Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Pelicans	60%	120	115	112.7	102	99.7
	29	Jazz	40%	117	105	102.9	102	104.4

Prediction updated: Mar 1, 2026 02:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+18

-19

101

UTA

+16

-7

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.14 56.9%

UTA

0.95 47.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	39.3	24	57%	5	6	2	0	4	2	3	2	7-10	70%	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	36.0	17	53%	8	7	0	1	2	1	1	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	33.3	18	64%	4	2	1	0	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-10	40%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	12.7	3	50%	7	0	1	0	1	1	1	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	11.1	4	67%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	34.5	18	53%	11	5	0	2	5	5	1	10	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	2-8	25%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	25.3	8	80%	6	5	1	2	1	4	2	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	18.9	7	70%	9	3	0	1	2	2	2	7	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	15.2	11	69%	3	1	0	2	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	11.6	5	63%	3	1	0	3	0	2	2	1	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	58	32	5	11	19	23	12	46	22-29	76%	24-41	59%	15-44	34%

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22 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	39.3	24	57%	5	6	2	0	4	2	3	2	7-10	70%	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	36.0	17	53%	8	7	0	1	2	1	1	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	33.3	18	64%	4	2	1	0	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-10	40%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	12.7	3	50%	7	0	1	0	1	1	1	6	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	11.1	4	67%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	34.5	18	53%	11	5	0	2	5	5	1	10	6-6	100%	3-6	50%	2-8	25%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	25.3	8	80%	6	5	1	2	1	4	2	4	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	18.9	7	70%	9	3	0	1	2	2	2	7	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	15.2	11	69%	3	1	0	2	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	11.6	5	63%	3	1	0	3	0	2	2	1	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	58	32	5	11	19	23	12	46	22-29	76%	24-41	59%	15-44	34%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	29.7	13	38%	8	2	1	3	2	4	4	4	2-2	100%	1-8	13%	3-8	38%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	29.5	12	43%	6	1	1	1	1	4	1	5	8-9	89%	2-5	40%	0-5	0%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	23.4	17	57%	2	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	8-10	80%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	20.8	4	40%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Blake Hinson #2 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	16.1	8	67%	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	32.5	21	55%	3	7	2	1	2	2	0	3	7-8	88%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	28.1	14	70%	3	5	1	0	0	3	1	2	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	26.1	10	31%	4	1	1	0	1	1	3	1	0-1	0%	2-8	25%	2-8	25%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	15.2	3	50%	2	0	2	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	9.5	3	38%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	9.1	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	47%	40	24	10	5	7	20	13	27	27-33	82%	21-53	40%	12-43	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.14 56.9%

UTA

0.95 47.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

84%

UTA

59%

Midrange

NOP

36%

UTA

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

22.5

34%

51%

UTA

18.0

28%

42%

Free Throws

NOP

76%

UTA

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Bey	24	57%	12.0 / 21
B. McGowens	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Fears	18	53%	9.0 / 17
H. Jones	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Poole	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Matković	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Queen	7	70%	3.5 / 5
Y. Missi	5	63%	2.5 / 4
Z. Williamson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Jordan	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Hawkins	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Collier	21	55%	10.5 / 19
K. George	17	57%	8.5 / 15
E. Harkless	14	70%	7.0 / 10
A. Bailey	13	38%	6.5 / 17
K. Filipowski	12	43%	6.0 / 14
B. Sensabaugh	10	31%	5.0 / 16
B. Hinson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Williams	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Konchar	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Love	3	38%	1.5 / 4
O. Tshiebwe	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 22 112.9	NOP 112.7 +9.8 UTA 102.9
Pace	11 101.3 2 103.4	NOP 99.7 UTA 104.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 27 13.8	NOP 14.4 UTA 13.8 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 20 53.6%	NOP 54.7% +14.1% UTA 40.6%
TO %	11 13.2% 23 14.4%	NOP 16.3% UTA 6.0% −10.3%
ORB %	8 27.0% 12 26.2%	NOP 30.8% +8.8% UTA 22.0%
FTrt	8 28.4 10 27.7	NOP 34.1 UTA 34.4 +0.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 2 69.6%	NOP 82.1% +9.4% UTA 72.7%
STL %	10 8.7% 14 8.5%	NOP 4.9% UTA 9.8% +4.9%
BLK %	7 10.1% 30 7.5%	NOP 20.8% +8.6% UTA 12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 18 56.4%	NOP 56.9% +9.6% UTA 47.3%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 17 64.5%	NOP 84.2% +25.1% UTA 59.1%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 8 44.4%	NOP 36.4% +10.6% UTA 25.8%
3P %	24 34.7% 25 34.5%	NOP 34.1% +6.2% UTA 27.9%
FT %	14 78.4% 13 78.6%	NOP 75.9% UTA 81.8% +5.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 17 31.3%	NOP 22.4% UTA 22.9% +0.6%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 23 28.4%	NOP 25.9% −6.4% UTA 32.3%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 21 40.3%	NOP 51.8% +7.0% UTA 44.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	UTA
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	115	105
Rebounds	58	40
Assists	32	24
Steals	5	10
Blocks	11	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls	23	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (6)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	46 (2)	27 (4)
Field Goals	39-85	33-96
At-the-Rim FG	16-19	13-22
Midrange FG	8-22	8-31
2-Point FG	24-41	21-53
3-Point FG	15-44	12-43
Free Throws	22-29	27-33
Fast Break Pts	23	17
2nd Chance Pts	20	11
Points in Paint	46	42
Pts off Turnovers	9	24
Bench Points	49	51
Biggest Lead	27	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg