Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Spurs	48%	113	89	89.9	99	101.0
	5	Knicks	52%	114	114	115.2	99	97.1

Prediction updated: Mar 1, 2026 05:36 PM

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+13

-22

NYK

+21

-13

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.00 50.0%

NYK

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · PF · 6'5" 200 · 26	35.0	18	60%	7	3	1	0	2	3	3	4	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	3-9	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	34.2	25	60%	13	2	0	4	7	2	1	12	8-9	89%	7-10	70%	1-7	14%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	31.2	7	35%	3	6	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	30.4	13	43%	4	4	1	0	0	3	2	2	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	23.6	3	38%	4	1	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	22.1	8	50%	3	4	3	0	2	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	17.2	3	30%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	17.1	3	75%	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	11.2	2	50%	3	1	0	0	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	3.6	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	3.6	2	50%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Not With Team Return To Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	50%	41	25	7	5	22	21	10	31	16-22	73%	23-43	53%	9-34	26%

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4 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · PF · 6'5" 200 · 26	35.0	18	60%	7	3	1	0	2	3	3	4	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	3-9	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	34.2	25	60%	13	2	0	4	7	2	1	12	8-9	89%	7-10	70%	1-7	14%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	31.2	7	35%	3	6	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	30.4	13	43%	4	4	1	0	0	3	2	2	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	23.6	3	38%	4	1	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	22.1	8	50%	3	4	3	0	2	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	17.2	3	30%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	17.1	3	75%	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	11.2	2	50%	3	1	0	0	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	3.6	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	3.6	2	50%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	3.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Not With Team Return To Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	50%	41	25	7	5	22	21	10	31	16-22	73%	23-43	53%	9-34	26%

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5 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 29	34.9	12	55%	5	1	1	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Mikal Bridges #25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 30	33.2	25	74%	5	2	5	0	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	5-9	56%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 29	32.4	24	71%	4	7	0	0	3	4	0	4	6-7	86%	3-9	33%	4-7	57%
Josh Hart #3 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 31	29.6	10	33%	10	7	1	0	1	2	3	7	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	1-6	17%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 30	28.2	12	60%	14	1	1	0	4	4	5	9	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%

Landry Shamet #44 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 29	25.0	7	44%	1	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Jose Alvarado #5 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	17.1	3	30%	3	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	15.1	4	67%	5	0	1	1	2	1	2	3	0-3	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Mohamed Diawara #51 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 21	14.9	14	50%	4	0	1	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-13	31%
Ariel Hukporti #55 · C · 7'0" 246 · 24	2.4	2	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #20 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	2.4	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyler Kolek #13 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin McCullar Jr. #9 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pacôme Dadiet #4 · SG · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dillon Jones #1 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Jemison III #50 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Pelvic; Core Muscle Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	54	27	13	3	13	19	18	36	11-19	58%	26-49	53%	17-48	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	NYK

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.00 50.0%

NYK

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

63%

NYK

64%

Midrange

SAS

38%

NYK

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13.5

26%

40%

NYK

25.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

SAS

73%

NYK

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	25	60%	12.5 / 21
D. Vassell	18	60%	9.0 / 15
S. Castle	13	43%	6.5 / 15
D. Harper	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Fox	7	35%	3.5 / 10
K. Olynyk	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Champagnie	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Johnson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
H. Barnes	3	75%	1.5 / 2
L. Kornet	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. McLaughlin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Bryant	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	25	74%	12.5 / 17
J. Brunson	24	71%	12.0 / 17
M. Diawara	14	50%	7.0 / 14
O. Anunoby	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Towns	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Hart	10	33%	5.0 / 15
L. Shamet	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Robinson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Alvarado	3	30%	1.5 / 5
A. Hukporti	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Sochan	1	50%	0.5 / 1
K. McCullar	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 4 118.7	SAS 89.9 NYK 115.2 +25.3
Pace	13 100.5 25 97.7	SAS 101.0 +3.9 NYK 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 4 15.0	SAS 14.3 −0.6 NYK 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 9 55.7%	SAS 47.4% NYK 53.1% +5.7%
TO %	4 12.5% 9 13.1%	SAS 20.2% NYK 11.7% −8.5%
ORB %	10 26.2% 5 29.3%	SAS 21.7% NYK 36.7% +15.0%
FTrt	12 27.3 25 23.8	SAS 28.6 +9.0 NYK 19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 15 64.3%	SAS 78.1% +15.3% NYK 62.8%
STL %	24 7.5% 18 8.3%	SAS 7.1% NYK 13.1% +6.0%
BLK %	10 10.0% 22 8.3%	SAS 10.2% +3.2% NYK 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 7 57.6%	SAS 50.0% NYK 53.8% +3.8%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 14 64.8%	SAS 63.0% NYK 64.0% +1.0%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 7 44.6%	SAS 37.5% NYK 41.7% +4.2%
3P %	15 35.9% 4 37.3%	SAS 26.5% NYK 35.4% +8.9%
FT %	12 78.7% 10 79.2%	SAS 72.7% +14.8% NYK 57.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 18 31.2%	SAS 35.1% +9.3% NYK 25.8%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 14 26.1%	SAS 20.8% −4.0% NYK 24.7%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 12 42.8%	SAS 44.2% NYK 49.5% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	NYK
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	89	114
Rebounds	41	54
Assists	25	27
Steals	7	13
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	22 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	21	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (5)	36 (2)
Field Goals	32-77	43-97
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	16-25
Midrange FG	6-16	10-24
2-Point FG	23-43	26-49
3-Point FG	9-34	17-48
Free Throws	16-22	11-19
Fast Break Pts	13	23
2nd Chance Pts	13	22
Points in Paint	38	40
Pts off Turnovers	15	24
Bench Points	23	31
Biggest Lead	12	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg