Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 42% | 116 | 117 |
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Updated: Mar 1, 2026 08:06 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Nets | 21% | 108 | 102 |
Updated: Mar 1, 2026 08:06 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 1, 2026 10:02 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 1, 2026 10:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 91% | 120 | 100 |
 | 25 | Mavericks | 9% | 102 | 87 |
Updated: Mar 2, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pelicans | 28% | 107 | 117 |
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Updated: Mar 2, 2026 02:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Lakers | 81% | 122 | 128 |
Updated: Mar 2, 2026 02:02 AM
game detailSaturday, February 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 93 |
 | 8 | Hornets | 69% | 118 | 109 |
Updated: Feb 28, 2026 05:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Heat | 48% | 112 | 115 |
Updated: Feb 28, 2026 08:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Raptors | 82% | 118 | 134 |
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Updated: Feb 28, 2026 11:36 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 46% | 112 | 129 |
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Updated: Mar 1, 2026 01:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 60% | 120 | 115 |
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Updated: Mar 1, 2026 02:31 AM
game detailFriday, February 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 25% | 107 | 119 |
 | 2 | Pistons | 75% | 115 | 122 |
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 11:24 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 44% | 114 | 124 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 56% | 116 | 105 |
Updated: Feb 28, 2026 01:21 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 25% | 108 | 121 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 117 | 127 |
Updated: Feb 28, 2026 02:02 AM
game detailThursday, February 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 78% | 120 | 133 |
| 26 | Pacers | 22% | 111 | 109 |
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 26% | 111 | 96 |
| 19 | Hawks | 74% | 119 | 126 |
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 12:26 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 109 | 113 |
 | 15 | Magic | 49% | 108 | 108 |
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 12:26 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Blazers | 55% | 116 | 121 |
 | 25 | Bulls | 45% | 115 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 12:47 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 24% | 109 | 130 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 76% | 118 | 121 |
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 01:33 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 58% | 114 | 110 |
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Updated: Feb 27, 2026 01:33 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 65% | 120 | 129 |
| 29 | Jazz | 35% | 115 | 118 |
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 01:33 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 73% | 112 | 94 |
| 24 | Clippers | 27% | 104 | 88 |
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 03:02 AM
game detailWednesday, February 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 57% | 113 | 133 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 43% | 111 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:06 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 26% | 103 | 116 |
| 2 | Pistons | 74% | 111 | 124 |
Updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:06 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Raptors | 39% | 111 | 107 |
Updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:06 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 15% | 104 | 97 |
| 7 | Rockets | 85% | 117 | 128 |
Updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 116 |
 | 18 | Bucks | 42% | 111 | 118 |
Updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 48% | 115 | 84 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 52% | 116 | 103 |
Updated: Feb 26, 2026 03:02 AM
game detailTuesday, February 24, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 28 | Pacers | 25% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Knicks | 38% | 114 | 94 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 62% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 58% | 109 | 116 |
| 14 | Raptors | 42% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 51% | 111 | 123 |
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 16% | 110 | 98 |
| 16 | Hawks | 84% | 123 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 68% | 115 | 109 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 32% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 65% | 118 | 117 |
| 20 | Bucks | 35% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 71% | 120 | 131 |
| 26 | Bulls | 29% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 68% | 112 | 97 |
| 18 | Suns | 32% | 106 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 64% | 116 | 124 |
| 19 | Blazers | 36% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 38% | 112 | 110 |
| 11 | Lakers | 62% | 116 | 109 |
Monday, February 23, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 37% | 109 | 114 |
| 1 | Pistons | 63% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 36% | 111 | 123 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 64% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 12% | 105 | 105 |
| 5 | Rockets | 88% | 120 | 125 |
Sunday, February 22, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 47% | 112 | 113 |
| 7 | Thunder | 53% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 30% | 111 | 104 |
| 16 | Hawks | 70% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 58% | 113 | 122 |
| 20 | Bucks | 42% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 51% | 114 | 117 |
| 11 | Warriors | 49% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 55% | 113 | 134 |
| 26 | Pacers | 45% | 112 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 79% | 118 | 129 |
| 30 | Wizards | 21% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 56% | 116 | 111 |
| 8 | Lakers | 44% | 114 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 28% | 111 | 135 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 72% | 119 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 72% | 121 | 105 |
| 24 | Bulls | 28% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 60% | 113 | 92 |
| 21 | Suns | 40% | 110 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 36% | 105 | 111 |
| 13 | Clippers | 64% | 110 | 109 |
Saturday, February 21, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 40% | 110 | 110 |
| 13 | Suns | 60% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 62% | 115 | 111 |
| 26 | Pelicans | 38% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 79% | 119 | 126 |
| 22 | Bulls | 21% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 23% | 112 | 120 |
| 10 | Heat | 77% | 121 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 12% | 106 | 122 |
| 5 | Spurs | 88% | 121 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 43% | 109 | 106 |
| 4 | Knicks | 57% | 111 | 108 |
Friday, February 20, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 59% | 113 | 118 |
| 30 | Wizards | 41% | 110 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 58% | 117 | 118 |
| 18 | Hornets | 42% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 33% | 113 | 114 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 67% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 56% | 120 | 128 |
| 14 | Hawks | 44% | 118 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 20% | 109 | 111 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 80% | 120 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 51% | 114 | 139 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 49% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 10% | 99 | 86 |
| 4 | Thunder | 90% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 35% | 109 | 122 |
| 12 | Lakers | 65% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 48% | 117 | 157 |
| 17 | Blazers | 52% | 118 | 103 |
Thursday, February 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 105 |
| 16 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 59% | 113 | 105 |
| 29 | Wizards | 41% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 55% | 116 | 117 |
| 20 | 76ers | 45% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 13% | 107 | 84 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 87% | 122 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 48% | 109 | 126 |
| 8 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 66% | 118 | 110 |
| 24 | Bulls | 34% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 31% | 109 | 94 |
| 5 | Spurs | 69% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 72% | 116 | 131 |
| 28 | Kings | 28% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 110 | 121 |
| 11 | Warriors | 43% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 57% | 114 | 114 |
| 19 | Clippers | 43% | 112 | 115 |