Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Grizzlies	57%	114	125	128.9	97	94.2
	29	Pacers	43%	112	106	109.3	97	99.9

Prediction updated: Mar 1, 2026 10:02 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+18

-12

103

IND

+14

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.21 60.7%

IND

1.15 57.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	34.3	7	58%	3	14	4	1	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	21.3	18	100%	3	1	2	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	6-6	100%	2-3	67%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	20.7	17	94%	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	7-7	100%	1-2	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	20.4	11	42%	9	2	0	3	0	0	3	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 170 · 25	20.3	16	50%	3	5	0	0	2	1	2	1	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%

Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	33.5	16	67%	6	1	1	1	2	5	2	4	6-6	100%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	23.5	19	86%	5	0	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-8	63%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	23.4	10	71%	3	4	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	23.3	4	29%	2	1	0	3	3	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	19.4	7	35%	4	3	1	1	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Posterior Capsule Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	40	34	12	9	12	16	13	27	14-14	100%	33-59	56%	15-35	43%

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26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	34.3	7	58%	3	14	4	1	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	21.3	18	100%	3	1	2	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	6-6	100%	2-3	67%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	20.7	17	94%	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	7-7	100%	1-2	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	20.4	11	42%	9	2	0	3	0	0	3	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 170 · 25	20.3	16	50%	3	5	0	0	2	1	2	1	2-2	100%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%

Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	33.5	16	67%	6	1	1	1	2	5	2	4	6-6	100%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	23.5	19	86%	5	0	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-8	63%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	23.4	10	71%	3	4	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	23.3	4	29%	2	1	0	3	3	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	19.4	7	35%	4	3	1	1	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Posterior Capsule Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	40	34	12	9	12	16	13	27	14-14	100%	33-59	56%	15-35	43%

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29 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kam Jones #7 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 24	32.5	10	42%	2	10	1	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	27.9	14	88%	4	0	0	3	5	3	2	2	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	25.0	21	88%	3	2	0	1	2	0	0	3	1-4	25%	4-5	80%	4-5	80%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	22.0	9	56%	2	1	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	11.2	4	50%	4	5	2	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	35.8	11	42%	1	2	0	2	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-11	27%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	26.8	9	45%	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	24.6	18	82%	9	0	0	1	2	2	4	5	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	19.9	2	20%	5	3	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.2	8	67%	0	5	1	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back and Neck; Soreness
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	31	29	5	9	18	13	7	24	13-19	68%	24-41	59%	15-39	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.21 60.7%

IND

1.15 57.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

69%

IND

63%

Midrange

MEM

35%

IND

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

22.5

43%

64%

IND

22.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

MEM

100%

IND

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Hendricks	19	86%	9.5 / 11
J. Wells	18	100%	9.0 / 9
O. Prosper	17	94%	8.5 / 9
S. Pippen	16	50%	8.0 / 16
R. Rupert	16	67%	8.0 / 12
G. Jackson	11	42%	5.5 / 13
C. Spencer	10	71%	5.0 / 7
W. Clayton	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Small	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Mashack	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Walker	21	88%	10.5 / 12
M. Potter	18	82%	9.0 / 11
J. Huff	14	88%	7.0 / 8
T. Peter	11	42%	5.5 / 13
K. Jones	10	42%	5.0 / 12
B. Sheppard	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Brown	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. McConnell	8	67%	4.0 / 6
O. Toppin	4	50%	2.0 / 4
Q. Jackson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 28 110.1	MEM 128.9 +19.6 IND 109.3
Pace	7 101.8 10 101.4	MEM 94.2 IND 99.9 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 25 13.9	MEM 15.3 IND 14.4 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 23 53.3%	MEM 59.0% +0.9% IND 58.1%
TO %	22 14.3% 14 13.6%	MEM 11.5% −6.2% IND 17.7%
ORB %	19 24.7% 29 21.7%	MEM 35.1% +14.5% IND 20.6%
FTrt	21 25.1 20 25.2	MEM 14.9 IND 23.8 +8.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 5 67.8%	MEM 70.8% IND 74.4% +3.6%
STL %	11 8.7% 28 7.2%	MEM 12.4% +7.2% IND 5.2%
BLK %	14 9.1% 26 8.1%	MEM 22.0% +6.7% IND 15.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 24 55.4%	MEM 60.7% +3.1% IND 57.6%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 25 62.9%	MEM 69.4% +6.9% IND 62.5%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 19 42.7%	MEM 34.8% IND 52.9% +18.1%
3P %	22 35.3% 18 35.6%	MEM 42.9% +4.4% IND 38.5%
FT %	9 79.3% 17 77.6%	MEM 100.0% +31.6% IND 68.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 23 30.3%	MEM 38.3% +8.3% IND 30.0%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 18 27.5%	MEM 24.5% IND 21.3% −3.2%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 14 42.2%	MEM 37.2% IND 48.8% +11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	IND
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	125	106
Rebounds	40	31
Assists	34	29
Steals	12	5
Blocks	9	9
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	18 (1)
Fouls	16	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	24 (4)
Field Goals	48-94	39-80
At-the-Rim FG	25-36	15-24
Midrange FG	8-23	9-17
2-Point FG	33-59	24-41
3-Point FG	15-35	15-39
Free Throws	14-14	13-19
Fast Break Pts	21	8
2nd Chance Pts	9	16
Points in Paint	60	40
Pts off Turnovers	25	12
Bench Points	56	48
Biggest Lead	21	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg