Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Kings	19%	110	104	103.0	101	101.0
	11	Lakers	81%	122	128	126.7	101	101.0

Prediction updated: Mar 2, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+18

-20

LAL

+13

-9

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.5%

LAL

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	41.6	26	65%	7	4	1	1	3	3	2	5	3-4	75%	10-16	63%	1-2	50%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	33.8	16	80%	13	1	0	0	6	3	6	7	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	26.7	8	40%	9	1	1	2	0	2	5	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	22.0	9	75%	4	8	0	0	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	22.0	14	44%	4	5	0	0	4	3	0	4	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-7	14%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	25.3	2	14%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	20.7	6	38%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	16.3	10	63%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	14.2	10	63%	2	1	1	2	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	11.0	3	75%	6	1	1	3	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	6.3	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	52	30	4	8	20	16	16	36	14-15	93%	36-64	56%	6-26	23%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	41.6	26	65%	7	4	1	1	3	3	2	5	3-4	75%	10-16	63%	1-2	50%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	33.8	16	80%	13	1	0	0	6	3	6	7	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	26.7	8	40%	9	1	1	2	0	2	5	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	22.0	9	75%	4	8	0	0	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	22.0	14	44%	4	5	0	0	4	3	0	4	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-7	14%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	25.3	2	14%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	20.7	6	38%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	16.3	10	63%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	14.2	10	63%	2	1	1	2	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	11.0	3	75%	6	1	1	3	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	6.3	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	52	30	4	8	20	16	16	36	14-15	93%	36-64	56%	6-26	23%

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11 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	29.2	28	74%	5	9	1	1	1	1	0	5	4-7	57%	6-8	75%	4-8	50%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	27.1	12	60%	0	5	0	2	2	0	0	0	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	26.8	24	67%	1	5	2	1	3	0	0	1	5-6	83%	5-11	45%	3-4	75%
Marcus Smart #36 · PF · 6'3" 220 · 32	24.9	9	90%	3	3	5	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	18.0	12	100%	4	2	2	1	1	0	1	3	0-1	0%	6-6	100%	0-0	-

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	25.8	11	55%	1	5	1	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	22.3	8	44%	2	0	1	1	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	21.8	4	20%	7	1	1	0	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	13.5	6	100%	6	0	0	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	12.6	4	100%	5	1	0	1	0	4	1	4	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	6.3	3	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	3.9	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	3.9	2	20%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	3.9	2	100%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	61%	37	34	14	9	9	12	9	28	16-22	73%	29-55	53%	18-39	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.5%

LAL

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

71%

LAL

67%

Midrange

SAC

44%

LAL

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

9.0

23%

35%

LAL

27.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

SAC

93%

LAL

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Clifford	26	65%	13.0 / 20
M. Raynaud	16	80%	8.0 / 10
R. Westbrook	14	44%	7.0 / 16
M. Monk	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Eubanks	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. DeRozan	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Achiuwa	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Carter	6	38%	3.0 / 8
P. Baldwin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Plowden	2	14%	1.0 / 7
K. Hayes	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	28	74%	14.0 / 19
L. James	24	67%	12.0 / 18
A. Reaves	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Ayton	12	100%	6.0 / 6
L. Kennard	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Smart	9	90%	4.5 / 5
R. Hachimura	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Kleber	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. LaRavia	4	20%	2.0 / 10
J. Hayes	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. James	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Thiero	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Bufkin	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Knecht	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 10 117.1	SAC 103.0 LAL 126.7 +23.8
Pace	17 100.0 21 99.2	SAC 101.0 LAL 101.0 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 6 14.8	SAC 14.3 LAL 14.3 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 2 57.3%	SAC 50.0% LAL 59.6% +9.6%
TO %	15 13.7% 19 13.9%	SAC 17.2% LAL 8.8% −8.4%
ORB %	13 25.9% 22 23.9%	SAC 36.4% +16.4% LAL 20.0%
FTrt	19 25.6 1 32.0	SAC 16.7 LAL 23.4 +6.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 19 61.5%	SAC 71.4% LAL 72.3% +0.9%
STL %	21 8.0% 12 8.6%	SAC 4.0% LAL 13.9% +9.9%
BLK %	19 8.6% 23 8.3%	SAC 14.5% +0.4% LAL 14.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 2 59.4%	SAC 52.5% LAL 61.0% +8.5%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 1 72.0%	SAC 71.4% +4.7% LAL 66.7%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 4 46.8%	SAC 44.4% +12.6% LAL 31.8%
3P %	29 34.1% 14 35.9%	SAC 23.1% LAL 46.2% +23.1%
FT %	21 77.2% 26 76.3%	SAC 93.3% +20.6% LAL 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 21 30.7%	SAC 31.1% LAL 35.1% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 26 30.0%	SAC 40.0% LAL 23.4% −16.6%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 22 39.4%	SAC 28.9% LAL 41.5% +12.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	SAC	LAL
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	104	128
Rebounds	52	37
Assists	30	34
Steals	4	14
Blocks	8	9
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	16	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	28 (3)
Field Goals	42-90	47-94
At-the-Rim FG	20-28	22-33
Midrange FG	16-36	7-22
2-Point FG	36-64	29-55
3-Point FG	6-26	18-39
Free Throws	14-15	16-22
Fast Break Pts	16	20
2nd Chance Pts	8	9
Points in Paint	58	50
Pts off Turnovers	17	27
Bench Points	31	43
Biggest Lead	2	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg