Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Clippers	36%	105	114	118.8	96	96.5
	14	Warriors	64%	110	101	106.3	95	94.5

Prediction updated: Mar 3, 2026 03:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+18

-14

100

GSW

+20

-12

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.15 57.6%

GSW

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	28.9	23	77%	8	4	2	0	1	1	2	6	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	25.9	16	80%	7	7	2	0	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	24.3	9	30%	6	1	1	0	2	4	5	1	5-6	83%	2-8	25%	0-4	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	23.9	6	38%	4	2	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	21.6	8	80%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	31.4	17	57%	7	0	1	1	4	2	1	6	5-5	100%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	25.0	12	86%	6	0	0	1	1	0	1	5	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	22.8	12	60%	2	2	1	0	5	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	21.2	11	61%	9	0	2	4	0	3	2	7	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	2.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · NA · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	52	18	9	7	14	17	15	37	21-23	91%	33-54	61%	9-31	29%

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15 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	28.9	23	77%	8	4	2	0	1	1	2	6	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	25.9	16	80%	7	7	2	0	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	24.3	9	30%	6	1	1	0	2	4	5	1	5-6	83%	2-8	25%	0-4	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	23.9	6	38%	4	2	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	21.6	8	80%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	31.4	17	57%	7	0	1	1	4	2	1	6	5-5	100%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	25.0	12	86%	6	0	0	1	1	0	1	5	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	22.8	12	60%	2	2	1	0	5	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	21.2	11	61%	9	0	2	4	0	3	2	7	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	2.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · NA · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	52	18	9	7	14	17	15	37	21-23	91%	33-54	61%	9-31	29%

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14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	37.0	22	61%	7	3	0	0	2	1	1	6	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	3-6	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	31.4	4	33%	2	6	1	0	3	4	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	27.1	7	25%	4	2	1	0	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-7	14%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	27.1	17	65%	6	3	0	1	0	2	2	4	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	4-8	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	25.1	10	42%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-8	25%

Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	31.0	5	31%	10	3	3	0	2	1	3	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	21.5	18	82%	2	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	21.1	9	50%	2	5	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	12.4	9	56%	3	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	6.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	49%	40	26	7	2	12	17	15	25	12-17	71%	19-45	42%	17-48	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.15 57.6%

GSW

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

67%

GSW

56%

Midrange

LAC

54%

GSW

22%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

13.5

29%

44%

GSW

25.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

LAC

91%

GSW

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	23	77%	11.5 / 15
B. Mathurin	17	57%	8.5 / 15
K. Dunn	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Miller	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Garland	12	60%	6.0 / 10
Y. Niederhäuser	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Jones	9	30%	4.5 / 15
K. Sanders	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Lopez	6	38%	3.0 / 8
N. Batum	0	-	0.0 / 1
C. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Podziemski	22	61%	11.0 / 18
N. Williams	18	82%	9.0 / 11
A. Horford	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Moody	10	42%	5.0 / 12
P. Spencer	9	50%	4.5 / 9
Q. Post	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Melton	7	25%	3.5 / 14
G. Santos	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Green	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Leons	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.4 19 114.0	LAC 118.8 +12.4 GSW 106.3
Pace	28 97.3 18 99.9	LAC 96.5 +1.9 GSW 94.5
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 10 14.7	LAC 14.9 −0.3 GSW 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.9% 13 55.0%	LAC 54.7% +6.9% GSW 47.8%
TO %	17 13.9% 28 14.9%	LAC 12.8% GSW 12.2% −0.6%
ORB %	23 23.7% 14 25.8%	LAC 37.5% +8.7% GSW 28.8%
FTrt	3 29.5 24 23.8	LAC 27.1 +8.8 GSW 18.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.6% 1 70.6%	LAC 42.9% GSW 72.2% +29.3%
STL %	5 9.2% 3 9.6%	LAC 9.4% +2.0% GSW 7.4%
BLK %	13 9.5% 27 8.0%	LAC 15.6% +11.9% GSW 3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 11 57.1%	LAC 57.6% +8.6% GSW 49.0%
Rim FG%	3 67.1% 5 66.7%	LAC 66.7% +11.1% GSW 55.6%
Mid FG%	10 44.2% 22 42.1%	LAC 54.2% +32.0% GSW 22.2%
3P %	7 36.8% 20 35.6%	LAC 29.0% GSW 35.4% +6.4%
FT %	1 82.3% 6 80.7%	LAC 91.3% +20.7% GSW 70.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.6% 24 29.5%	LAC 35.3% +6.3% GSW 29.0%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 3 20.8%	LAC 28.2% GSW 19.4% −8.9%
3P Att. %	19 40.4% 1 49.7%	LAC 36.5% GSW 51.6% +15.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	GSW
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	114	101
Rebounds	52	40
Assists	18	26
Steals	9	7
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	12 (2)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (4)	25 (2)
Field Goals	42-85	36-93
At-the-Rim FG	20-30	15-27
Midrange FG	13-24	4-18
2-Point FG	33-54	19-45
3-Point FG	9-31	17-48
Free Throws	21-23	12-17
Fast Break Pts	19	10
2nd Chance Pts	19	23
Points in Paint	62	36
Pts off Turnovers	23	15
Bench Points	52	41
Biggest Lead	17	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg