Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, March 2, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Celtics | |||
 | 18 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, March 1, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | |||
 | 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BEC0C2;}%20.st1{fill:%23002D62;}%20.st2{fill:%23FDBB30;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M318.6,100.7c-20.1-24.2-48.9-37.7-81.3-37.7l-129.5,0L47.7,336.1l110.6,0.1l15.9-66.1c14.8,0,53.9,0,53.8,0%20c37,0.3,67.4-12.3,87.9-36.3C353,193.4,346.4,134.3,318.6,100.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M168.4,262.9L152.6,329l-96,0l56.9-258.8l123.7,0.1c30.8,0.1,57.2,12.5,75.8,35c27.4,33.1,30.1,88.1-2.7,123.9%20c-20.1,23.6-49.6,34-82.3,33.7L168.4,262.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M100.8,127.7l54.2,0c6.2,0,12.9,5.2,10,13.1c-1.8,4.9-3.1,10.6-3.8,15.9c-0.5,4.2,4.2,6.8,6.8,6.8l110.5,0.1%20c2.1,0,3.2-0.6,3.2-1.6c0-1-0.1-4.7-0.5-7.2c-0.4-2.4-0.8-2.9-2.8-2.9c-13.8,0-19.4-6.1-33.8-15.5c-14.4-9.3-35.6-14.7-53.8-14.7%20l-88.7-0.1L100.8,127.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M167.7,199.3c-1.9-4.1-3.7-9-4.8-13.4c-1.4-5.7-6.2-10.4-14.5-10.4l-58.2,0l1.4-6.5l188.5,0.1%20c1.9,0,1.5,0.8,1.4,2.9c-0.1,2.1-0.6,5.9-0.9,8.2c-0.3,2.3-2.2,1.7-4,1.8c-4.2,0.1-12.1,1.1-16.7,4.5c-7.8,5.9-24.5,16.2-33.8,19.2%20c-10,3.2-47.6,14.7-58.6-6.5'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M79.9,222.8l98.4,0.1c4.3,0,8.1,1,11,3.4c8.3,6.9,19.1,11.8,30.5,15.1c5.1,1.5,14-0.4,21.9-4.9%20c19.7-11.1,32.4-32.3,36.5-46c1.1-3.6-1-3.3-3.8-3.1c-8.3,0.6-17,8.1-28.5,15.4c-11.5,7.3-34.8,14.2-57,14.2l-107.8-0.1L79.9,222.8%20z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M224.2,91c1.4-0.2,6.4-0.5,9.1,0.5c18.7,7.4,36.4,26.8,43.8,47.5c1.4,4,1.8,6.5,0,6.7%20c-8.6,0.9-12.6-3.3-22.6-10.1c-10.1-6.8-19.4-11.5-32.1-15.5c-12.6-4-35.5-4.6-38.5-4.7c-3-0.1-2.6-1.3-1.3-2.6%20C193.6,101.9,208.3,93.9,224.2,91z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M313.9,162c0.1,0.8-0.8,1.7-1.8,1.7c-0.1,0-21.6,0-21.6,0c-2.8,0-2.8-1.3-2.9-2.9c-0.1-1.6-0.6-4.7-0.6-6.6%20c-0.1-1.8-0.8-3.9,1.7-4.9c6-2.5,11.7-8.4,14.3-13.4c0.9-1.7,2.2-4.5,3.6-2.1C311.7,141.8,313.3,151.9,313.9,162z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M306.2,200.7c-0.4,0.7-1.7,1.3-2.2,0.1c-3.1-8.4-10.6-14.2-15.8-17.1c-1.6-0.9-1.7-1.9-1.5-3.4%20c0.2-1.5,0.9-6.4,1-8.5c0.1-1.6,0.7-2.8,2-2.8l22.5,0c0.8,0,1.8,0.7,1.8,1.3C313.9,181,310.7,191.6,306.2,200.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M247.8,242.9c-1.6,0.2-5-0.3,0.4-3.5c16.3-9.5,30.9-31.8,34.7-44.5c1.5-4.9,1.6-5.1,3.5-4.6%20c2.5,0.7,6.4,4.1,9.4,8.3c3,4.1,4.3,12.2,2.6,14.6C286.8,228.8,268.1,239.9,247.8,242.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M289.3,142.1c-3.8,2-4.5,1.7-5.3-1.2c-7.1-24.9-28-43.3-36.6-48.7c-1.6-1-1.2-1.7,0-1.6%20c20.5,2.7,40.5,13.9,50.6,29.2C303.8,128.5,293,140.1,289.3,142.1z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 21 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 17 | Blazers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | |||
 | 5 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | |||
 | 10 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Lakers | |||
Saturday, February 28, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | |||
 | 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
 | 19 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Raptors | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | |||
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
Friday, February 27, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | |||
| 18 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 10 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
Thursday, February 26, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | |||
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 20 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 5 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | |||
| 10 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | |||
| 8 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 21 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 17 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
Tuesday, February 24, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 20 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 21 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | |||
| 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | |||
| 17 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | |||
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 13 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| 25 | Blazers | |||
Monday, February 23, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | |||
| 8 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
Sunday, February 22, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 13 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | |||
| 17 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | |||
| 20 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| 12 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Saturday, February 21, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | |||
| 15 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 18 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 8 | Knicks | |||
Friday, February 20, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | |||
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | |||
| 13 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | |||
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| 25 | Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 10 | Lakers | |||
Thursday, February 19, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | |||
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | |||
| 15 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | |||
| 22 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||