Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 8, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	54%	114	109	117.2	93	87.7
	6	Cavaliers	46%	113	98	105.4	93	99.0

Prediction updated: Mar 8, 2026 04:36 PM

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+14

-10

CLE

+15

-7

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.12 56.2%

CLE

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 29	37.8	23	57%	9	8	0	0	4	5	3	6	8-9	89%	6-14	43%	1-3	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	35.9	4	29%	11	1	0	0	0	4	0	11	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	35.6	6	30%	7	5	0	0	0	2	1	6	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	27.0	20	53%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	6-7	86%	4-7	57%	2-9	22%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	24.4	15	75%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-10	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	34.8	18	69%	3	7	1	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	2-6	33%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	25.8	16	100%	10	0	1	0	0	1	2	8	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-6	67%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	11.7	7	70%	1	1	0	0	2	3	1	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	7.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	INACTIVE
John Tonje #8 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Vučević #4 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	49	25	2	0	10	20	10	39	20-22	91%	22-46	48%	15-38	39%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 29	37.8	23	57%	9	8	0	0	4	5	3	6	8-9	89%	6-14	43%	1-3	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	35.9	4	29%	11	1	0	0	0	4	0	11	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	35.6	6	30%	7	5	0	0	0	2	1	6	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jayson Tatum #0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	27.0	20	53%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	6-7	86%	4-7	57%	2-9	22%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	24.4	15	75%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-10	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	34.8	18	69%	3	7	1	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	2-6	33%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	25.8	16	100%	10	0	1	0	0	1	2	8	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-6	67%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	11.7	7	70%	1	1	0	0	2	3	1	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	7.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	INACTIVE
John Tonje #8 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Vučević #4 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	49	25	2	0	10	20	10	39	20-22	91%	22-46	48%	15-38	39%

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6 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	38.3	19	50%	4	10	0	0	0	0	1	3	4-7	57%	3-8	38%	3-8	38%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	33.5	30	65%	7	5	1	2	0	1	0	7	9-11	82%	6-9	67%	3-9	33%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	31.1	24	60%	8	1	0	3	2	0	5	3	2-3	67%	8-13	62%	2-6	33%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	29.1	5	28%	5	4	1	0	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	20.6	7	70%	3	0	1	0	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%

Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	25.3	8	50%	6	1	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	24.1	0	0%	3	0	1	1	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	20.4	2	25%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	13.6	3	25%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	42	23	4	6	7	19	10	32	15-21	71%	22-41	54%	13-45	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.12 56.2%

CLE

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

63%

CLE

70%

Midrange

BOS

40%

CLE

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

22.5

39%

59%

CLE

19.5

29%

43%

Free Throws

BOS

91%

CLE

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	23	57%	11.5 / 20
J. Tatum	20	53%	10.0 / 19
P. Pritchard	18	69%	9.0 / 13
B. Scheierman	16	100%	8.0 / 8
S. Hauser	15	75%	7.5 / 10
L. Garza	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. White	6	30%	3.0 / 10
N. Queta	4	29%	2.0 / 7
H. González	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	30	65%	15.0 / 23
E. Mobley	24	60%	12.0 / 20
J. Harden	19	50%	9.5 / 19
J. Tyson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Wade	7	70%	3.5 / 5
S. Merrill	5	28%	2.5 / 9
T. Bryant	3	25%	1.5 / 6
D. Schröder	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Ellis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 6 118.3	BOS 117.2 +11.8 CLE 105.4
Pace	30 95.5 12 100.6	BOS 87.7 CLE 99.0 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 21 14.1	BOS 16.4 CLE 14.6 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 5 56.1%	BOS 53.0% +4.7% CLE 48.3%
TO %	2 12.0% 10 13.2%	BOS 11.4% CLE 8.6% −2.8%
ORB %	6 29.2% 9 26.9%	BOS 23.8% +3.4% CLE 20.4%
FTrt	30 20.7 15 26.5	BOS 26.2 +1.8 CLE 24.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 11 65.3%	BOS 67.6% +1.9% CLE 65.7%
STL %	25 7.4% 15 8.4%	BOS 2.2% CLE 4.3% +2.1%
BLK %	5 10.4% 11 9.8%	BOS 0.0% CLE 13.0% +13.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 5 58.2%	BOS 56.2% +6.7% CLE 49.5%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 7 66.1%	BOS 62.5% CLE 69.6% +7.1%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 3 46.8%	BOS 40.0% +6.7% CLE 33.3%
3P %	8 36.7% 13 36.0%	BOS 39.5% +10.6% CLE 28.9%
FT %	7 80.7% 19 77.6%	BOS 90.9% +19.5% CLE 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 14 31.7%	BOS 19.0% CLE 26.7% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 8 24.1%	BOS 35.7% CLE 20.9% −14.8%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 9 44.2%	BOS 45.2% CLE 52.3% +7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	BOS	CLE
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	109	98
Rebounds	49	42
Assists	25	23
Steals	2	4
Blocks	0	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	7 (2)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (1)	32 (1)
Field Goals	37-84	35-86
At-the-Rim FG	10-16	16-23
Midrange FG	12-30	6-18
2-Point FG	22-46	22-41
3-Point FG	15-38	13-45
Free Throws	20-22	15-21
Fast Break Pts	2	18
2nd Chance Pts	11	10
Points in Paint	32	38
Pts off Turnovers	13	8
Bench Points	41	13
Biggest Lead	26	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg