Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 8, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Celtics | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Knicks | |||
 | 15 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pistons | |||
 | 14 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Mavericks | |||
 | 20 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Magic | |||
 | 22 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 21 | Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bulls | |||
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Saturday, March 7, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | |||
 | 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Nets | |||
| 12 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | |||
Friday, March 6, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | |||
| 4 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | |||
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Blazers | |||
| 2 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 19 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | |||
| 10 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | |||
| 14 | Lakers | |||
Thursday, March 5, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | |||
| 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | |||
| 14 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| 2 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | |||
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| 10 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 19 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | |||
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 28 | Kings | |||
Wednesday, March 4, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 4 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Blazers | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| 22 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | |||
| 16 | Clippers | |||
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | |||
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | |||
| 15 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 19 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | |||
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 14 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | |||
| 28 | Kings | |||
Monday, March 2, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | |||
| 22 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
Sunday, March 1, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 27 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 23 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Blazers | |||
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| 5 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 18 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 15 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | |||
| 14 | Lakers | |||
Saturday, February 28, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Blazers | |||
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
Friday, February 27, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | |||
| 4 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 22 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 17 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
Thursday, February 26, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | |||
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | |||
| 27 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | |||
| 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Blazers | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | |||
| 16 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | |||
| 20 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| 17 | Clippers | |||
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | |||
| 19 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | |||
| 2 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 22 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | |||
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
Tuesday, February 24, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 23 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | |||
| 27 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 20 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | |||
| 22 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | |||
| 19 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | |||
| 14 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| 21 | Blazers | |||
Monday, February 23, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | |||
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 2 | Rockets | |||