Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 8, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	23%	113	118	112.4	105	102.8
	19	Pelicans	77%	122	138	131.4	105	107.2

Prediction updated: Mar 8, 2026 10:36 PM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+17

-17

105

NOP

+16

-8

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.12 56.2%

NOP

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Leaky Black #14 · PF · 6'6" 209 · 27	31.4	10	45%	4	2	1	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	23.8	5	19%	4	1	0	0	0	4	1	3	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	1-7	14%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.4	20	71%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	17.7	17	94%	4	8	0	0	4	3	1	3	6-8	75%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	17.6	7	50%	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	25.7	5	42%	9	3	1	2	2	3	4	5	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	25.4	19	73%	3	0	0	0	4	3	2	1	3-3	100%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	23.2	9	75%	3	4	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	21.9	11	79%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	21.2	10	42%	3	3	0	0	1	3	1	2	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	9.7	5	50%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; ; Foot; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	41	27	2	3	17	31	13	28	22-27	81%	27-49	55%	14-42	33%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Leaky Black #14 · PF · 6'6" 209 · 27	31.4	10	45%	4	2	1	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	23.8	5	19%	4	1	0	0	0	4	1	3	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	1-7	14%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.4	20	71%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-7	57%
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	17.7	17	94%	4	8	0	0	4	3	1	3	6-8	75%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	17.6	7	50%	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	25.7	5	42%	9	3	1	2	2	3	4	5	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	25.4	19	73%	3	0	0	0	4	3	2	1	3-3	100%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	23.2	9	75%	3	4	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	21.9	11	79%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	21.2	10	42%	3	3	0	0	1	3	1	2	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	9.7	5	50%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; ; Foot; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	41	27	2	3	17	31	13	28	22-27	81%	27-49	55%	14-42	33%

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19 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	29.1	23	52%	10	2	2	0	0	1	5	5	5-10	50%	9-13	69%	0-4	0%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	28.8	24	71%	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	4	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	4-9	44%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	23.6	19	73%	6	2	2	0	2	2	0	6	7-9	78%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	23.5	20	77%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	8-11	73%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · C · 6'7" 206 · 27	16.9	4	33%	2	0	3	0	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	24.5	13	65%	4	5	0	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	24.4	18	53%	5	7	1	1	2	3	0	5	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	22.5	4	67%	1	3	1	1	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	19.4	2	100%	5	1	0	1	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	14.8	2	100%	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	4.2	5	83%	2	0	1	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	4.2	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	4.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	61%	44	25	11	6	8	20	12	32	37-47	79%	40-66	61%	7-23	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.12 56.2%

NOP

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

65%

NOP

62%

Midrange

WAS

43%

NOP

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

21.0

33%

50%

NOP

10.5

30%

46%

Free Throws

WAS

81%

NOP

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Johnson	20	71%	10.0 / 14
W. Riley	19	73%	9.5 / 13
T. Young	17	94%	8.5 / 9
A. Gill	11	79%	5.5 / 7
L. Black	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Hardy	10	42%	5.0 / 12
B. Carrington	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Sarr	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Coulibaly	5	19%	2.5 / 13
J. Reese	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. Cooper	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Murphy	24	71%	12.0 / 17
S. Bey	23	52%	11.5 / 22
Z. Williamson	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Murray	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Fears	18	53%	9.0 / 17
D. Queen	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Matković	5	83%	2.5 / 3
H. Jones	4	33%	2.0 / 6
B. McGowens	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Y. Missi	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Hawkins	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Peavy	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 20 113.3	WAS 112.4 NOP 131.4 +19.0
Pace	5 102.5 11 101.3	WAS 102.8 NOP 107.2 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 22 14.1	WAS 14.0 NOP 13.4 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 27 52.7%	WAS 52.7% NOP 56.7% +4.0%
TO %	26 14.7% 11 13.2%	WAS 14.2% NOP 6.8% −7.4%
ORB %	21 24.0% 8 27.0%	WAS 28.9% NOP 30.0% +1.1%
FTrt	26 23.5 8 28.4	WAS 29.7 NOP 52.8 +23.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 26 59.6%	WAS 65.9% +12.7% NOP 53.2%
STL %	22 7.8% 10 8.7%	WAS 1.9% NOP 10.5% +8.6%
BLK %	9 10.0% 7 10.1%	WAS 4.5% NOP 12.2% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 25 55.4%	WAS 56.2% NOP 61.1% +4.9%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 29 61.5%	WAS 65.4% +3.9% NOP 61.5%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 30 36.6%	WAS 43.5% NOP 57.1% +13.6%
3P %	16 35.9% 24 34.7%	WAS 33.3% +2.9% NOP 30.4%
FT %	23 76.6% 14 78.4%	WAS 81.5% +2.8% NOP 78.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 1 42.8%	WAS 28.6% NOP 58.4% +29.9%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 5 21.7%	WAS 25.3% NOP 15.7% −9.5%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 27 35.5%	WAS 46.2% +20.3% NOP 25.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	WAS	NOP
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	118	138
Rebounds	41	44
Assists	27	25
Steals	2	11
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	8 (0)
Fouls	31	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	32 (3)
Field Goals	41-91	47-89
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	32-52
Midrange FG	10-23	8-14
2-Point FG	27-49	40-66
3-Point FG	14-42	7-23
Free Throws	22-27	37-47
Fast Break Pts	9	22
2nd Chance Pts	23	15
Points in Paint	44	72
Pts off Turnovers	10	26
Bench Points	59	48
Biggest Lead	8	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg