Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Mavericks	31%	113	112	112.0	100	99.4
	15	Hawks	69%	120	124	125.3	99	99.5

Prediction updated: Mar 10, 2026 11:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+14

-14

100

ATL

+15

-9

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.12 56.0%

ATL

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	32.1	14	41%	12	5	0	0	2	1	2	10	1-2	50%	5-15	33%	1-1	100%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	29.9	14	70%	2	4	1	0	3	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	28.8	7	29%	6	0	1	0	1	2	3	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	25.4	14	64%	10	1	1	0	1	4	5	5	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Max Christie #00 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	24.8	6	50%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	28.1	21	66%	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	5-11	45%
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	23.8	16	80%	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	20.6	7	50%	6	6	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	17.6	13	81%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	7-8	88%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	9.0	0	0%	0	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	43	28	6	0	14	16	12	31	17-22	77%	28-54	52%	13-32	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	32.1	14	41%	12	5	0	0	2	1	2	10	1-2	50%	5-15	33%	1-1	100%
Naji Marshall #13 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 28	29.9	14	70%	2	4	1	0	3	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	28.8	7	29%	6	0	1	0	1	2	3	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	25.4	14	64%	10	1	1	0	1	4	5	5	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Max Christie #00 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	24.8	6	50%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	28.1	21	66%	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	5-11	45%
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	23.8	16	80%	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	20.6	7	50%	6	6	0	0	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	17.6	13	81%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	7-8	88%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	9.0	0	0%	0	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	56%	43	28	6	0	14	16	12	31	17-22	77%	28-54	52%	13-32	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	37.8	27	64%	7	8	1	2	1	3	0	7	5-7	71%	8-13	62%	2-5	40%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	36.7	29	76%	2	3	2	1	4	3	0	2	0-0	-	7-11	64%	5-8	63%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	36.0	14	58%	7	10	3	0	0	1	2	5	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	32.5	18	69%	9	2	1	4	1	1	2	7	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	28.0	13	41%	9	4	0	0	2	2	3	6	1-3	33%	3-8	38%	2-7	29%

Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.4	4	50%	3	0	1	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	15.5	0	0%	3	1	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	14.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	11.0	8	100%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	10.3	9	75%	5	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	45	29	8	8	9	18	13	32	12-18	67%	35-59	59%	14-36	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	ATL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.12 56.0%

ATL

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

64%

ATL

79%

Midrange

DAL

41%

ATL

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

19.5

41%

61%

ATL

21.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

DAL

77%

ATL

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Thompson	21	66%	10.5 / 16
K. Middleton	16	80%	8.0 / 10
C. Flagg	14	41%	7.0 / 17
N. Marshall	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Gafford	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Williams	13	81%	6.5 / 8
P. Washington	7	29%	3.5 / 12
M. Bagley	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Christie	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	29	76%	14.5 / 19
J. Johnson	27	64%	13.5 / 21
O. Okongwu	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Daniels	14	58%	7.0 / 12
C. McCollum	13	41%	6.5 / 16
M. Gueye	9	75%	4.5 / 6
G. Vincent	8	100%	4.0 / 4
Z. Risacher	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Kispert	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Landale	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 14 115.1	DAL 112.0 ATL 125.3 +13.3
Pace	6 102.5 4 102.5	DAL 99.4 ATL 99.5 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 29 13.5	DAL 14.5 ATL 14.5 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 10 55.4%	DAL 55.2% ATL 58.9% +3.7%
TO %	13 13.5% 8 13.0%	DAL 12.8% ATL 8.9% −3.9%
ORB %	26 23.2% 20 24.3%	DAL 27.3% ATL 29.5% +2.2%
FTrt	6 28.7 27 23.4	DAL 25.6 +6.7 ATL 18.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 4 69.1%	DAL 68.3% +9.1% ATL 59.2%
STL %	27 7.3% 6 9.1%	DAL 6.0% ATL 8.1% +2.1%
BLK %	16 9.0% 18 8.8%	DAL 0.0% ATL 14.8% +14.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 14 56.9%	DAL 56.0% ATL 59.0% +3.0%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 21 63.3%	DAL 64.0% ATL 79.3% +15.3%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 6 44.6%	DAL 41.4% +1.4% ATL 40.0%
3P %	26 34.4% 5 37.1%	DAL 40.6% +1.7% ATL 38.9%
FT %	28 75.5% 20 77.4%	DAL 77.3% +10.6% ATL 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 13 32.1%	DAL 29.1% ATL 30.5% +1.5%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 9 25.0%	DAL 33.7% ATL 31.6% −2.1%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 11 42.9%	DAL 37.2% ATL 37.9% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	ATL
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	112	124
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	28	29
Steals	6	8
Blocks	0	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	16	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	32 (3)
Field Goals	41-86	49-95
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	23-29
Midrange FG	12-29	12-30
2-Point FG	28-54	35-59
3-Point FG	13-32	14-36
Free Throws	17-22	12-18
Fast Break Pts	7	26
2nd Chance Pts	14	24
Points in Paint	48	60
Pts off Turnovers	13	21
Bench Points	57	23
Biggest Lead	2	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg