Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Pistons | 87% | 117 | 138 |
 | 27 | Nets | 13% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Heat | 88% | 123 | 150 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Mavericks | 31% | 113 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 36% | 107 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Bucks | 39% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 48% | 111 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bulls | 31% | 110 | 130 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Hornets | 58% | 117 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Timberwolves | 48% | 114 | 106 |
 | 13 | Lakers | 52% | 115 | 120 |
Monday, March 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 18% | 106 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 55% | 110 | 115 |
| 28 | Nets | 45% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Thunder | 67% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 76% | 119 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Knicks | 49% | 110 | 118 |
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Sunday, March 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 54% | 114 | 109 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 46% | 113 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 59% | 115 | 97 |
| 13 | Lakers | 41% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 45% | 113 | 110 |
| 11 | Heat | 55% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 31% | 109 | 92 |
| 14 | Raptors | 69% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 23% | 113 | 118 |
 | 19 | Pelicans | 77% | 122 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Magic | 65% | 114 | 130 |
| 24 | Bucks | 35% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 40% | 109 | 120 |
| 3 | Spurs | 60% | 112 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 32% | 113 | 111 |
| 18 | Blazers | 68% | 119 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 62% | 117 | 110 |
| 29 | Kings | 38% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hornets | 65% | 115 | 99 |
| 20 | Suns | 35% | 110 | 111 |
Saturday, March 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 37% | 111 | 119 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 63% | 115 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 21% | 103 | 107 |
| 14 | Pistons | 79% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 32% | 112 | 116 |
| 16 | Hawks | 68% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 53% | 114 | 123 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 47% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 27% | 113 | 99 |
| 20 | Bucks | 73% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 23% | 104 | 97 |
| 3 | Thunder | 77% | 114 | 104 |
Friday, March 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 9% | 103 | 100 |
| 1 | Celtics | 91% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 31% | 114 | 128 |
| 7 | Hornets | 69% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 32% | 107 | 99 |
| 8 | Rockets | 68% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 49% | 115 | 142 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 51% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 33% | 112 | 116 |
| 15 | Suns | 67% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 30% | 106 | 112 |
| 2 | Spurs | 70% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 27% | 112 | 117 |
| 10 | Lakers | 73% | 120 | 128 |
Thursday, March 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 30% | 108 | 114 |
| 16 | Magic | 70% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 39% | 116 | 122 |
| 29 | Wizards | 61% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 23% | 109 | 110 |
| 12 | Heat | 77% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 28% | 105 | 115 |
| 8 | Rockets | 72% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 40% | 111 | 107 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 60% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 49% | 111 | 106 |
| 7 | Spurs | 51% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 19% | 109 | 105 |
| 14 | Suns | 81% | 120 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 45% | 117 | 113 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 55% | 119 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 63% | 118 | 133 |
| 27 | Kings | 37% | 114 | 123 |
Wednesday, March 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 60% | 111 | 103 |
| 7 | Knicks | 40% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 25% | 109 | 118 |
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 118 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 40% | 114 | 102 |
| 25 | 76ers | 60% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 62% | 118 | 122 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 38% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 52% | 117 | 131 |
| 20 | Bucks | 48% | 116 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 24% | 107 | 107 |
| 16 | Clippers | 76% | 116 | 130 |
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | 20% | 108 | 90 |
| 9 | Hornets | 80% | 119 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 56% | 113 | 109 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 44% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 11% | 104 | 109 |
| 16 | Magic | 89% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 22% | 108 | 98 |
| 12 | Heat | 78% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 56% | 112 | 111 |
| 13 | Raptors | 44% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 68% | 115 | 131 |
| 20 | 76ers | 32% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 82% | 118 | 116 |
| 26 | Bulls | 18% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 23% | 111 | 110 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 77% | 120 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 29% | 115 | 101 |
| 11 | Lakers | 71% | 122 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 75% | 116 | 114 |
| 29 | Kings | 25% | 108 | 103 |
Monday, March 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 85% | 117 | 123 |
| 29 | Wizards | 15% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 61% | 114 | 108 |
| 18 | Bucks | 39% | 110 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 80% | 125 | 128 |
| 30 | Jazz | 20% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 36% | 105 | 114 |
| 14 | Warriors | 64% | 110 | 101 |
Sunday, March 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 48% | 113 | 89 |
| 5 | Knicks | 52% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 79% | 118 | 106 |
| 24 | Nets | 21% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 57% | 118 | 97 |
| 23 | Bulls | 43% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 42% | 116 | 117 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 58% | 119 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 57% | 114 | 125 |
| 29 | Pacers | 43% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 36% | 113 | 101 |
| 18 | Hawks | 64% | 118 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 66% | 112 | 106 |
| 16 | Magic | 34% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 23% | 106 | 98 |
| 3 | Celtics | 77% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 91% | 120 | 100 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 9% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 28% | 107 | 117 |
| 15 | Clippers | 72% | 115 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 19% | 110 | 104 |
| 11 | Lakers | 81% | 122 | 128 |
Saturday, February 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 93 |
| 8 | Hornets | 69% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 52% | 113 | 105 |
| 14 | Heat | 48% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 82% | 118 | 134 |
| 30 | Wizards | 18% | 106 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 46% | 112 | 129 |
| 12 | Warriors | 54% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 60% | 120 | 115 |
| 29 | Jazz | 40% | 117 | 105 |
Friday, February 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 25% | 107 | 119 |
| 2 | Pistons | 75% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 9% | 101 | 111 |
| 3 | Celtics | 91% | 118 | 148 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 69% | 116 | 127 |
| 21 | Bucks | 31% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 44% | 114 | 124 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 56% | 116 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 25% | 108 | 121 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 117 | 127 |
Thursday, February 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 78% | 120 | 133 |
| 26 | Pacers | 22% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 49% | 116 | 117 |
| 14 | 76ers | 51% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 26% | 111 | 96 |
| 19 | Hawks | 74% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 76% | 117 | 126 |
| 24 | Nets | 24% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 109 | 113 |
| 15 | Magic | 49% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Blazers | 55% | 116 | 121 |
| 25 | Bulls | 45% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 24% | 109 | 130 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 76% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 58% | 114 | 110 |
| 17 | Suns | 42% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 65% | 120 | 129 |
| 29 | Jazz | 35% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 73% | 112 | 94 |
| 23 | Clippers | 27% | 104 | 88 |
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 26% | 103 | 116 |
| 2 | Pistons | 74% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 114 | 110 |
| 11 | Raptors | 39% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 57% | 113 | 133 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 43% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 15% | 104 | 97 |
| 7 | Rockets | 85% | 117 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 116 |
| 18 | Bucks | 42% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 48% | 115 | 84 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 52% | 116 | 103 |