Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Pacers	45%	114	109	103.8	105	105.4
	26	Kings	55%	116	114	106.5	107	106.6

Prediction updated: Mar 11, 2026 02:03 AM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+12

-15

102

SAC

+10

-11

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.07 53.4%

SAC

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 23	38.6	8	40%	9	2	2	0	4	2	0	9	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	34.6	29	58%	4	3	0	1	0	2	2	2	7-7	100%	8-15	53%	2-7	29%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	31.9	12	43%	7	3	0	0	1	2	0	7	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-8	25%
Kam Jones #7 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 24	26.6	14	78%	4	9	2	0	2	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	14.7	17	71%	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	7-9	78%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%

Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	23.3	9	75%	4	3	0	0	3	4	3	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	20.6	5	83%	4	0	1	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	18.1	4	22%	1	5	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-2	0%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	16.1	11	61%	7	0	0	1	1	1	1	6	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	10.8	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	4.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness; Neck Soreness
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Acl; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	48	29	7	2	15	23	8	40	20-22	91%	25-50	50%	13-43	30%

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28 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 23	38.6	8	40%	9	2	2	0	4	2	0	9	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	34.6	29	58%	4	3	0	1	0	2	2	2	7-7	100%	8-15	53%	2-7	29%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	31.9	12	43%	7	3	0	0	1	2	0	7	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-8	25%
Kam Jones #7 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 24	26.6	14	78%	4	9	2	0	2	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	14.7	17	71%	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	7-9	78%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%

Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	23.3	9	75%	4	3	0	0	3	4	3	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	20.6	5	83%	4	0	1	0	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	18.1	4	22%	1	5	1	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-2	0%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	16.1	11	61%	7	0	0	1	1	1	1	6	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	10.8	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	4.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness; Neck Soreness
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Torn
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Acl; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	48	29	7	2	15	23	8	40	20-22	91%	25-50	50%	13-43	30%

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26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	38.4	12	43%	5	2	2	0	2	4	1	4	2-4	50%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	33.7	18	60%	11	2	0	2	1	1	3	8	2-2	100%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	25.5	16	62%	7	9	0	0	1	1	0	7	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	23.8	12	40%	3	1	1	2	2	2	1	2	4-4	100%	4-13	31%	0-0	-
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	19.5	6	50%	7	0	0	1	1	1	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	30.9	10	56%	6	0	2	0	0	3	1	5	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	22.9	8	44%	4	4	3	0	1	3	0	4	3-4	75%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	16.3	24	86%	5	3	1	0	2	1	1	4	3-3	100%	6-9	67%	3-4	75%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	14.3	4	67%	4	1	1	2	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	10.8	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	INACTIVE
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	54%	52	22	10	7	11	18	8	44	25-30	83%	34-70	49%	7-20	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	IND	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.07 53.4%

SAC

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

68%

SAC

60%

Midrange

IND

39%

SAC

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

19.5

30%

45%

SAC

10.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

IND

91%

SAC

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nesmith	29	58%	14.5 / 25
O. Toppin	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Jones	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Huff	12	43%	6.0 / 14
M. Potter	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Sheppard	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Walker	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Brown	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Q. Jackson	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Slawson	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Peter	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Carter	24	86%	12.0 / 14
M. Raynaud	18	60%	9.0 / 15
R. Westbrook	16	62%	8.0 / 13
N. Clifford	12	43%	6.0 / 14
D. DeRozan	12	40%	6.0 / 15
D. Plowden	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Hayes	8	44%	4.0 / 9
P. Achiuwa	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Eubanks	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Monk	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 26 110.6	IND 103.8 SAC 106.5 +2.7
Pace	10 101.4 17 100.0	IND 105.4 SAC 106.6 +1.3
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 14 14.5	IND 13.7 SAC 13.5 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 29 52.5%	IND 47.8% SAC 49.4% +1.6%
TO %	14 13.6% 15 13.7%	IND 12.7% SAC 9.6% −3.1%
ORB %	29 21.7% 13 25.9%	IND 15.4% SAC 16.7% +1.3%
FTrt	20 25.2 19 25.6	IND 23.7 SAC 33.3 +9.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 20 61.5%	IND 76.3% +22.6% SAC 53.7%
STL %	28 7.2% 21 8.0%	IND 6.7% SAC 9.3% +2.6%
BLK %	26 8.1% 19 8.6%	IND 2.9% SAC 14.0% +11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 29 54.7%	IND 53.4% SAC 54.3% +0.9%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 8 65.9%	IND 68.4% +8.4% SAC 60.0%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 13 43.8%	IND 38.7% SAC 40.0% +1.3%
3P %	18 35.6% 29 34.1%	IND 30.2% SAC 35.0% +4.8%
FT %	17 77.6% 21 77.2%	IND 90.9% +7.6% SAC 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 28 28.0%	IND 20.4% SAC 33.3% +12.9%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 30 38.1%	IND 33.3% −11.1% SAC 44.4%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 30 33.9%	IND 46.2% +24.0% SAC 22.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	IND	SAC
Possessions	105	107
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	109	114
Rebounds	48	52
Assists	29	22
Steals	7	10
Blocks	2	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	23	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (1)	44 (1)
Field Goals	38-93	41-90
At-the-Rim FG	13-19	18-30
Midrange FG	12-31	16-40
2-Point FG	25-50	34-70
3-Point FG	13-43	7-20
Free Throws	20-22	25-30
Fast Break Pts	5	18
2nd Chance Pts	16	11
Points in Paint	42	64
Pts off Turnovers	14	24
Bench Points	29	50
Biggest Lead	20	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg