Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Bulls	31%	110	130	118.2	110	108.3
	18	Warriors	69%	117	124	110.7	112	93.8

Prediction updated: Mar 11, 2026 02:03 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+24

-12

122

GSW

100

+17

-12

117

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.06 52.8%

GSW

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SG · 6'8" 196 · 21	45.2	41	68%	6	2	2	2	1	1	1	5	4-5	80%	11-13	85%	5-15	33%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	43.2	21	58%	13	17	0	0	5	4	2	11	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	4-9	44%
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	37.7	17	53%	11	1	1	1	0	1	6	5	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 26	33.9	12	40%	12	3	0	1	1	3	6	6	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-10	20%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	23.2	2	25%	5	1	2	0	1	0	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%

Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	33.5	22	61%	4	5	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	8-12	67%	2-6	33%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	28.1	10	63%	10	1	0	2	1	3	3	7	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	20.2	5	23%	3	4	0	0	1	5	1	2	0-0	-	1-8	13%	1-3	33%
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibular Head; Contusion
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right knee pain
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	130	53%	64	34	6	6	12	18	20	44	15-18	83%	35-65	54%	15-47	32%

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24 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SG · 6'8" 196 · 21	45.2	41	68%	6	2	2	2	1	1	1	5	4-5	80%	11-13	85%	5-15	33%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	43.2	21	58%	13	17	0	0	5	4	2	11	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	4-9	44%
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	37.7	17	53%	11	1	1	1	0	1	6	5	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 26	33.9	12	40%	12	3	0	1	1	3	6	6	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-10	20%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	23.2	2	25%	5	1	2	0	1	0	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%

Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	33.5	22	61%	4	5	1	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	8-12	67%	2-6	33%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	28.1	10	63%	10	1	0	2	1	3	3	7	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	20.2	5	23%	3	4	0	0	1	5	1	2	0-0	-	1-8	13%	1-3	33%
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibular Head; Contusion
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right knee pain
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	130	53%	64	34	6	6	12	18	20	44	15-18	83%	35-65	54%	15-47	32%

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18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	36.7	17	45%	5	1	0	1	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	3-9	33%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	34.1	13	36%	9	5	0	4	1	1	3	6	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-10	30%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	31.7	8	44%	4	1	3	0	1	3	2	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	29.5	12	120%	7	4	1	2	1	2	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	26.9	9	50%	2	7	2	1	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	30.2	17	53%	3	6	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	21.8	12	75%	11	2	2	0	1	3	3	8	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	20.6	17	85%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	6-7	86%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	20.2	17	57%	4	2	0	4	1	2	1	3	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	11.0	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Soreness
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Foot; Soreness
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	124	53%	49	30	9	12	12	18	12	37	16-18	89%	24-51	47%	20-54	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.06 52.8%

GSW

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

58%

GSW

47%

Midrange

CHI

48%

GSW

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

22.5

32%

48%

GSW

30.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

CHI

83%

GSW

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Buzelis	41	68%	20.5 / 30
T. Jones	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Giddey	21	58%	10.5 / 18
L. Miller	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Smith	12	40%	6.0 / 15
N. Richards	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Dillingham	5	23%	2.5 / 11
G. Yabusele	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Santos	17	45%	8.5 / 19
P. Spencer	17	53%	8.5 / 16
L. Cryer	17	85%	8.5 / 10
K. Porziņģis	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Horford	13	36%	6.5 / 18
D. Green	12	120%	6.0 / 5
G. Payton	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Podziemski	9	50%	4.5 / 9
W. Richard	8	44%	4.0 / 9
N. Williams	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.2 19 114.0	CHI 118.2 +7.5 GSW 110.7
Pace	3 103.3 18 99.9	CHI 108.3 +14.5 GSW 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.6 10 14.7	CHI 13.3 −2.1 GSW 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.7% 13 55.0%	CHI 51.3% GSW 51.4% +0.1%
TO %	20 14.1% 28 14.9%	CHI 10.5% GSW 9.6% −0.9%
ORB %	27 23.1% 14 25.8%	CHI 35.1% +13.7% GSW 21.4%
FTrt	22 24.6 24 23.8	CHI 16.1 GSW 17.1 +1.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 1 70.6%	CHI 68.0% GSW 68.2% +0.2%
STL %	26 7.4% 3 9.6%	CHI 5.5% GSW 8.0% +2.5%
BLK %	15 9.0% 27 8.0%	CHI 11.8% GSW 18.5% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 11 57.1%	CHI 52.8% GSW 53.4% +0.6%
Rim FG%	30 61.4% 5 66.7%	CHI 57.9% +11.2% GSW 46.7%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 22 42.1%	CHI 48.1% +0.5% GSW 47.6%
3P %	19 35.6% 20 35.6%	CHI 31.9% GSW 37.0% +5.1%
FT %	18 77.6% 6 80.7%	CHI 83.3% GSW 88.9% +5.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.2% 24 29.5%	CHI 33.9% +5.4% GSW 28.6%
Mid Att. %	1 17.5% 3 20.8%	CHI 24.1% GSW 20.0% −4.1%
3P Att. %	8 44.3% 1 49.7%	CHI 42.0% GSW 51.4% +9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	CHI	GSW
Possessions	110	112
Possession Minutes	24.4	28.7
Points	130	124
Rebounds	64	49
Assists	34	30
Steals	6	9
Blocks	6	12
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	12 (0)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	20 (4)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (2)	37 (3)
Field Goals	50-112	44-105
At-the-Rim FG	22-38	14-30
Midrange FG	13-27	10-21
2-Point FG	35-65	24-51
3-Point FG	15-47	20-54
Free Throws	15-18	16-18
Fast Break Pts	17	12
2nd Chance Pts	20	16
Points in Paint	64	44
Pts off Turnovers	17	17
Bench Points	37	65
Biggest Lead	13	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg