Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 15, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Mavericks	20%	110	130	127.5	102	103.9
	8	Cavaliers	80%	121	120	116.5	103	101.2

Prediction updated: Mar 15, 2026 07:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+10

-12

100

CLE

+12

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.30 65.0%

CLE

1.22 61.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
P.J. Washington #25 · C · 6'7" 230 · 28	33.4	20	59%	11	2	5	1	0	2	5	6	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	3-4	75%
Cooper Flagg #32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 19	32.8	27	68%	6	10	0	2	3	4	0	6	6-8	75%	9-14	64%	1-3	33%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	32.0	25	83%	5	7	1	0	3	1	2	3	8-8	100%	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	29.3	9	113%	2	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	24.3	11	55%	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%

Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	24.4	5	28%	5	2	1	0	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	23.7	12	67%	2	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	15.8	6	60%	5	0	0	1	2	4	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	14.6	10	83%	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	7.6	5	83%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	2.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	65%	44	35	13	5	12	21	9	35	23-27	85%	31-57	54%	15-30	50%

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23 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
P.J. Washington #25 · C · 6'7" 230 · 28	33.4	20	59%	11	2	5	1	0	2	5	6	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	3-4	75%
Cooper Flagg #32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 19	32.8	27	68%	6	10	0	2	3	4	0	6	6-8	75%	9-14	64%	1-3	33%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	32.0	25	83%	5	7	1	0	3	1	2	3	8-8	100%	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	29.3	9	113%	2	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	24.3	11	55%	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%

Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	24.4	5	28%	5	2	1	0	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	23.7	12	67%	2	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	15.8	6	60%	5	0	0	1	2	4	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	14.6	10	83%	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	7.6	5	83%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	2.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	65%	44	35	13	5	12	21	9	35	23-27	85%	31-57	54%	15-30	50%

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8 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	39.1	26	52%	1	11	2	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	4-11	36%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	37.5	13	50%	5	7	1	0	6	2	0	5	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	36.0	18	60%	11	4	0	4	4	3	3	8	2-5	40%	8-11	73%	0-3	0%
Keon Ellis #14 · SF · 6'4" 175 · 26	31.4	5	36%	5	3	0	1	2	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	26.3	12	67%	5	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%

Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	22.9	24	109%	8	1	0	0	1	5	3	5	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	6-7	86%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	22.0	8	80%	1	6	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-1	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	12.4	4	50%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	12.3	10	83%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	61%	38	32	5	5	16	21	10	28	14-21	67%	29-47	62%	16-41	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.30 65.0%

CLE

1.22 61.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

75%

CLE

75%

Midrange

DAL

39%

CLE

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

22.5

50%

75%

CLE

24.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

DAL

85%

CLE

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	27	68%	13.5 / 20
N. Marshall	25	83%	12.5 / 15
P. Washington	20	59%	10.0 / 17
B. Williams	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. Nembhard	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Poulakidas	10	83%	5.0 / 6
M. Christie	9	113%	4.5 / 4
M. Bagley	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Middleton	5	28%	2.5 / 9
C. Martin	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	26	52%	13.0 / 25
M. Strus	24	109%	12.0 / 11
E. Mobley	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Harden	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Wade	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Bryant	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Schröder	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Ellis	5	36%	2.5 / 7
N. Tomlin	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 6 118.3	DAL 127.5 +10.9 CLE 116.5
Pace	6 102.5 12 100.6	DAL 103.9 +2.7 CLE 101.2
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 21 14.1	DAL 13.9 −0.4 CLE 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 5 56.1%	DAL 61.5% +1.3% CLE 60.2%
TO %	13 13.5% 10 13.2%	DAL 11.6% −2.5% CLE 14.1%
ORB %	26 23.2% 9 26.9%	DAL 24.3% +2.1% CLE 22.2%
FTrt	6 28.7 15 26.5	DAL 31.0 +7.1 CLE 23.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 11 65.3%	DAL 76.1% +5.0% CLE 71.1%
STL %	27 7.3% 15 8.4%	DAL 12.7% +7.8% CLE 4.9%
BLK %	16 9.0% 11 9.8%	DAL 10.6% +1.8% CLE 8.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 5 58.2%	DAL 65.0% +3.8% CLE 61.2%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 7 66.1%	DAL 75.0% CLE 75.0%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 3 46.8%	DAL 39.4% CLE 42.1% +2.7%
3P %	26 34.4% 13 36.0%	DAL 50.0% +11.0% CLE 39.0%
FT %	28 75.5% 19 77.6%	DAL 85.2% +18.5% CLE 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 14 31.7%	DAL 27.6% CLE 31.8% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 8 24.1%	DAL 37.9% CLE 21.6% −16.3%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 9 44.2%	DAL 34.5% CLE 46.6% +12.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	CLE
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	130	120
Rebounds	44	38
Assists	35	32
Steals	13	5
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	21	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	28 (4)
Field Goals	46-87	45-88
At-the-Rim FG	18-24	21-28
Midrange FG	13-33	8-19
2-Point FG	31-57	29-47
3-Point FG	15-30	16-41
Free Throws	23-27	14-21
Fast Break Pts	24	14
2nd Chance Pts	11	9
Points in Paint	52	54
Pts off Turnovers	25	9
Bench Points	38	46
Biggest Lead	21	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg