Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 15, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | ||||
| 3 | Cavaliers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | ||||
| 16 | Raptors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | ||||
| 21 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Blazers | ||||
| 19 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | ||||
| 5 | Knicks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | ||||
| 29 | Kings | ||||
Saturday, March 14, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | ||||
| 19 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | ||||
| 17 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | ||||
| 4 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | ||||
| 12 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | ||||
| 11 | Lakers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | ||||
| 15 | Clippers | ||||
Friday, March 13, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 6 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | ||||
| 25 | Pacers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | ||||
| 16 | Raptors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 23 | Mavericks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | ||||
| 10 | Rockets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 8 | Warriors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | ||||
| 20 | Blazers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | ||||
| 15 | Clippers | ||||
Thursday, March 12, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | ||||
| 8 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | ||||
| 25 | Pacers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| 13 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | ||||
| 18 | Hawks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | ||||
| 12 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | ||||
| 24 | Grizzlies | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | ||||
| 4 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | ||||
| 11 | Lakers | ||||
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 14 | Magic | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | ||||
| 21 | Pelicans | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | ||||
| 30 | Jazz | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | ||||
| 6 | Nuggets | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | ||||
| 28 | Kings | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 15 | Clippers | ||||
Tuesday, March 10, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | ||||
| 27 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | ||||
| 11 | Heat | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | ||||
| 20 | Bucks | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | ||||
| 12 | Warriors | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | ||||
| 19 | Blazers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | ||||
| 28 | Kings | ||||
Sunday, March 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 54% | 114 | 109 | |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 46% | 113 | 98 | |
Updated: Mar 8, 2026 04:36 PM
game detailSaturday, March 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 37% | 111 | 119 | |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 63% | 115 | 92 | |
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 07:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 21% | 103 | 107 | |
| 14 | Pistons | 79% | 113 | 105 | |
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 11:01 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 53% | 114 | 123 | |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 47% | 113 | 120 | |
Updated: Mar 8, 2026 12:36 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 23% | 104 | 97 | |
| 3 | Thunder | 77% | 114 | 104 | |
Updated: Mar 8, 2026 01:21 AM
game detailFriday, March 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 9% | 103 | 100 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 91% | 120 | 120 | |
Updated: Mar 6, 2026 11:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 32% | 107 | 99 | |
| 8 | Rockets | 68% | 113 | 106 | |
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 49% | 115 | 142 | |
| 5 | Nuggets | 51% | 116 | 103 | |
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 01:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 33% | 112 | 116 | |
| 15 | Suns | 67% | 117 | 118 | |
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 01:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 30% | 106 | 112 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 70% | 113 | 116 | |
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 02:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 27% | 112 | 117 | |
| 10 | Lakers | 73% | 120 | 128 | |
Updated: Mar 7, 2026 03:31 AM
game detailThursday, March 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 30% | 108 | 114 | |
| 15 | Magic | 70% | 115 | 115 | |
Updated: Mar 6, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 39% | 116 | 122 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 61% | 119 | 112 | |
Updated: Mar 6, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 28% | 105 | 115 | |
| 8 | Rockets | 72% | 112 | 113 | |
Updated: Mar 6, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 40% | 111 | 107 | |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 60% | 115 | 115 | |
Updated: Mar 6, 2026 12:36 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 45% | 117 | 113 | |
| 11 | Nuggets | 55% | 119 | 120 | |
Updated: Mar 6, 2026 03:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 63% | 118 | 133 | |
| 27 | Kings | 37% | 114 | 123 | |
Updated: Mar 6, 2026 03:02 AM
game detailWednesday, March 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 60% | 111 | 103 | |
| 7 | Knicks | 40% | 108 | 100 | |
Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 25% | 109 | 118 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 118 | 89 | |
Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 62% | 118 | 122 | |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 38% | 114 | 114 | |
Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 24% | 107 | 107 | |
| 16 | Clippers | 76% | 116 | 130 | |
Updated: Mar 5, 2026 03:31 AM
game detailTuesday, March 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | 20% | 108 | 90 | |
| 9 | Hornets | 80% | 119 | 117 | |
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 56% | 113 | 109 | |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 44% | 111 | 113 | |
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 11% | 104 | 109 | |
| 15 | Magic | 89% | 120 | 126 | |
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 56% | 112 | 111 | |
| 13 | Raptors | 44% | 110 | 95 | |
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 82% | 118 | 116 | |
| 26 | Bulls | 18% | 106 | 108 | |
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:52 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 23% | 111 | 110 | |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 77% | 120 | 117 | |
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:52 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 29% | 115 | 101 | |
| 11 | Lakers | 71% | 122 | 110 | |
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 03:31 AM
game detailMonday, March 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 85% | 117 | 123 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 15% | 104 | 118 | |
Updated: Mar 2, 2026 11:36 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 36% | 105 | 114 | |
| 14 | Warriors | 64% | 110 | 101 | |
Updated: Mar 3, 2026 03:01 AM
game detail