Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 15, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Jazz	47%	115	111	106.7	104	111.5
	26	Kings	53%	116	116	112.6	103	96.5

Prediction updated: Mar 16, 2026 01:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+12

-15

101

SAC

+14

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.11 55.5%

SAC

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andersson Garcia #0 · C · 6'7" 220 · 26	43.0	3	21%	11	3	2	1	2	2	1	10	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	40.4	13	59%	1	4	1	1	2	3	0	1	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	38.4	34	71%	7	7	1	1	3	4	1	6	7-8	88%	9-13	69%	3-7	43%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	24.6	21	48%	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	5	2-4	50%	8-18	44%	1-3	33%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	22.7	22	61%	3	0	1	0	3	1	3	0	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%

Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	32.5	2	50%	3	3	2	1	3	5	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	22.8	9	56%	8	1	3	0	0	0	4	4	3-6	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	15.5	7	70%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury management
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	DND – Rest
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	40	22	12	5	15	16	10	30	17-25	68%	29-50	58%	12-36	33%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andersson Garcia #0 · C · 6'7" 220 · 26	43.0	3	21%	11	3	2	1	2	2	1	10	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	40.4	13	59%	1	4	1	1	2	3	0	1	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	38.4	34	71%	7	7	1	1	3	4	1	6	7-8	88%	9-13	69%	3-7	43%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	24.6	21	48%	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	5	2-4	50%	8-18	44%	1-3	33%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	22.7	22	61%	3	0	1	0	3	1	3	0	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%

Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	32.5	2	50%	3	3	2	1	3	5	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	22.8	9	56%	8	1	3	0	0	0	4	4	3-6	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	15.5	7	70%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury management
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	DND – Rest
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	40	22	12	5	15	16	10	30	17-25	68%	29-50	58%	12-36	33%

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26 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	38.3	16	80%	5	8	0	2	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-6	67%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	38.0	41	66%	4	11	3	0	5	0	1	3	18-21	86%	10-18	56%	1-3	33%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	33.5	20	67%	11	1	2	1	2	0	3	8	0-0	-	10-13	77%	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	28.6	8	50%	12	1	0	0	3	3	1	11	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	26.2	10	56%	4	2	1	0	2	6	2	2	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	30.8	10	33%	4	2	2	0	2	5	2	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-11	18%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	28.7	9	56%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-8	38%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	16.0	2	50%	7	1	1	0	0	1	2	5	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Soreness
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	50	28	9	3	18	19	12	38	23-28	82%	30-49	61%	11-36	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.11 55.5%

SAC

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

60%

SAC

76%

Midrange

UTA

57%

SAC

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

18.0

33%

50%

SAC

16.5

31%

46%

Free Throws

UTA

68%

SAC

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Williams	34	71%	17.0 / 24
B. Sensabaugh	22	61%	11.0 / 18
I. Collier	21	48%	10.5 / 22
E. Harkless	13	59%	6.5 / 11
O. Tshiebwe	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Hinson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Garcia	3	21%	1.5 / 7
B. Mbeng	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	41	66%	20.5 / 31
P. Achiuwa	20	67%	10.0 / 15
K. Hayes	16	80%	8.0 / 10
N. Clifford	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Plowden	10	33%	5.0 / 15
D. McDermott	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Raynaud	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Cardwell	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 26 110.6	UTA 106.7 SAC 112.6 +5.9
Pace	2 103.4 17 100.0	UTA 111.5 +14.9 SAC 96.5
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 14 14.5	UTA 12.9 −2.0 SAC 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 29 52.5%	UTA 54.7% SAC 54.7%
TO %	23 14.4% 15 13.7%	UTA 13.4% −2.2% SAC 15.6%
ORB %	12 26.2% 13 25.9%	UTA 20.8% SAC 28.6% +7.8%
FTrt	10 27.7 19 25.6	UTA 29.1 SAC 32.9 +3.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 20 61.5%	UTA 53.7% SAC 68.3% +14.6%
STL %	14 8.5% 21 8.0%	UTA 11.5% +2.8% SAC 8.7%
BLK %	30 7.5% 19 8.6%	UTA 10.2% +4.2% SAC 6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 29 54.7%	UTA 55.5% SAC 58.6% +3.1%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 8 65.9%	UTA 60.0% SAC 76.5% +16.5%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 13 43.8%	UTA 56.7% +3.6% SAC 53.1%
3P %	25 34.5% 29 34.1%	UTA 33.3% +2.7% SAC 30.6%
FT %	13 78.6% 21 77.2%	UTA 68.0% SAC 82.1% +14.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 28 28.0%	UTA 23.3% +3.3% SAC 20.0%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 30 38.1%	UTA 34.9% −2.8% SAC 37.6%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 30 33.9%	UTA 41.9% SAC 42.4% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	UTA	SAC
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	111	116
Rebounds	40	50
Assists	22	28
Steals	12	9
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	16	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	38 (1)
Field Goals	41-86	41-85
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	13-17
Midrange FG	17-30	17-32
2-Point FG	29-50	30-49
3-Point FG	12-36	11-36
Free Throws	17-25	23-28
Fast Break Pts	22	7
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	46	50
Pts off Turnovers	20	15
Bench Points	18	21
Biggest Lead	6	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg