Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Grizzlies	12%	109	101	102.0	99	102.8
	8	Hornets	88%	124	124	125.3	99	95.5

Prediction updated: Mar 21, 2026 10:51 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+11

-13

CHA

+17

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.03 51.5%

CHA

1.27 63.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Javon Small #10 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 23	28.8	17	71%	7	3	1	0	5	1	0	7	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	27.3	10	50%	7	1	1	0	1	1	4	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	24.6	9	35%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	3-10	30%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	23.6	19	56%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	5-6	83%	7-9	78%	0-5	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	21.9	11	61%	4	2	2	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%

Tyler Burton #5 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	28.7	10	56%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	26.1	0	0%	1	4	2	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-4	0%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	25.0	14	78%	2	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	22.1	4	33%	3	4	0	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	12.0	7	88%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	52%	34	20	10	1	13	20	9	25	15-19	79%	19-40	48%	16-46	35%

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25 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Javon Small #10 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 23	28.8	17	71%	7	3	1	0	5	1	0	7	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	27.3	10	50%	7	1	1	0	1	1	4	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	24.6	9	35%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-1	0%	0-2	0%	3-10	30%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	23.6	19	56%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	5-6	83%	7-9	78%	0-5	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	21.9	11	61%	4	2	2	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%

Tyler Burton #5 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	28.7	10	56%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	26.1	0	0%	1	4	2	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-4	0%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	25.0	14	78%	2	3	3	1	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	22.1	4	33%	3	4	0	0	3	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	12.0	7	88%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	52%	34	20	10	1	13	20	9	25	15-19	79%	19-40	48%	16-46	35%

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8 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	32.8	11	79%	14	3	1	2	3	1	6	8	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	30.3	22	85%	5	3	0	1	2	1	0	5	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	5-9	56%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 25	28.7	29	69%	3	4	3	1	3	4	1	2	4-5	80%	2-5	40%	7-14	50%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	26.5	13	72%	4	1	1	0	1	1	1	3	1-3	33%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	21.4	9	45%	3	5	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	21.5	8	80%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	20.1	5	42%	4	0	1	0	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	19.2	12	46%	8	7	0	0	5	4	1	7	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	18.6	5	83%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	15.2	10	83%	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tosan Evbuomwan #20 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	63%	49	25	7	4	17	17	13	36	16-24	67%	27-42	64%	18-43	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	CHA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.03 51.5%

CHA

1.27 63.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

55%

CHA

73%

Midrange

MEM

22%

CHA

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

24.0

35%

52%

CHA

27.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

MEM

79%

CHA

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Jackson	19	56%	9.5 / 17
J. Small	17	71%	8.5 / 12
T. Hendricks	14	78%	7.0 / 9
W. Clayton	11	61%	5.5 / 9
O. Prosper	10	50%	5.0 / 10
T. Burton	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Wells	9	35%	4.5 / 13
T. Gibson	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Jarreau	4	33%	2.0 / 6
C. Spencer	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	29	69%	14.5 / 21
B. Miller	22	85%	11.0 / 13
M. Bridges	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. White	12	46%	6.0 / 13
M. Diabaté	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. Kalkbrenner	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Knueppel	9	45%	4.5 / 10
S. James	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Green	5	42%	2.5 / 6
G. Williams	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Mann	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 5 118.6	MEM 102.0 CHA 125.3 +23.2
Pace	7 101.8 27 97.5	MEM 102.8 +7.3 CHA 95.5
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 3 15.2	MEM 14.0 −1.1 CHA 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 12 55.2%	MEM 50.0% CHA 63.5% +13.5%
TO %	22 14.3% 27 14.8%	MEM 12.1% −3.8% CHA 15.9%
ORB %	19 24.7% 4 30.5%	MEM 20.0% CHA 34.2% +14.2%
FTrt	21 25.1 23 24.4	MEM 22.1 CHA 28.2 +6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 14 64.3%	MEM 57.1% +1.5% CHA 55.6%
STL %	11 8.7% 29 7.2%	MEM 10.1% +3.0% CHA 7.1%
BLK %	14 9.1% 20 8.6%	MEM 2.4% CHA 10.0% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 10 57.3%	MEM 51.5% CHA 63.3% +11.8%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 23 63.1%	MEM 54.8% CHA 72.7% +17.9%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 25 41.4%	MEM 22.2% CHA 33.3% +11.1%
3P %	22 35.3% 3 37.8%	MEM 34.8% CHA 41.9% +7.1%
FT %	9 79.3% 2 81.8%	MEM 78.9% +12.2% CHA 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 25 29.3%	MEM 36.0% CHA 38.8% +2.8%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 6 22.0%	MEM 10.5% −0.1% CHA 10.6%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 2 48.7%	MEM 53.5% +2.9% CHA 50.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	CHA
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	101	124
Rebounds	34	49
Assists	20	25
Steals	10	7
Blocks	1	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	36 (4)
Field Goals	35-86	45-85
At-the-Rim FG	17-31	24-33
Midrange FG	2-9	3-9
2-Point FG	19-40	27-42
3-Point FG	16-46	18-43
Free Throws	15-19	16-24
Fast Break Pts	10	15
2nd Chance Pts	17	23
Points in Paint	38	54
Pts off Turnovers	17	14
Bench Points	35	40
Biggest Lead	2	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg