Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, March 21, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 95% | 122 | 132 |
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Updated: Mar 21, 2026 08:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Hornets | 88% | 124 | 124 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2026 10:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Lakers | 56% | 115 | 105 |
 | 16 | Magic | 44% | 113 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2026 10:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Pelicans | 35% | 116 | 106 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2026 10:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 22, 2026 12:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Heat | 45% | 111 | 122 |
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Updated: Mar 22, 2026 12:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 22, 2026 12:02 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Mavericks | 37% | 111 | 131 |
Updated: Mar 22, 2026 12:06 AM
game detailFriday, March 20, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 39% | 105 | 101 |
 | 10 | Pistons | 61% | 109 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2026 11:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 39% | 111 | 95 |
| 9 | Rockets | 61% | 115 | 117 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2026 11:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 79% | 121 | 117 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 21% | 110 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2026 11:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Timberwolves | 51% | 114 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2026 11:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Raptors | 32% | 112 | 115 |
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Updated: Mar 21, 2026 12:32 AM
game detailThursday, March 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 31% | 111 | 111 |
| 6 | Hornets | 69% | 118 | 130 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2026 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 86% | 119 | 117 |
| 28 | Wizards | 14% | 105 | 95 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2026 10:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cavaliers | 78% | 122 | 115 |
 | 25 | Bulls | 22% | 112 | 110 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2026 11:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 46% | 111 | 99 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 54% | 113 | 105 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2026 11:51 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 20, 2026 02:02 AM
game detailWednesday, March 18, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 20% | 104 | 99 |
| 2 | Celtics | 80% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 94% | 115 | 121 |
 | 30 | Nets | 6% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 76% | 118 | 127 |
| 27 | Pacers | 24% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 67% | 117 | 139 |
| 23 | Bulls | 33% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Timberwolves | 77% | 117 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 58% | 116 | 109 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 42% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 61% | 122 | 118 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 39% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 63% | 118 | 135 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 37% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 45% | 109 | 124 |
| 9 | Rockets | 55% | 111 | 116 |
Tuesday, March 17, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 36% | 115 | 106 |
| 8 | Hornets | 64% | 120 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 114 | 113 |
| 15 | Magic | 22% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 92% | 122 | 130 |
| 28 | Wizards | 8% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 16% | 103 | 110 |
 | 11 | Knicks | 84% | 116 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 80% | 120 | 123 |
 | 24 | Bucks | 20% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 19 | Timberwolves | 58% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 14% | 107 | 96 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 86% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 82% | 120 | 132 |
| 27 | Kings | 18% | 108 | 104 |
Monday, March 16, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 45% | 114 | 112 |
| 13 | Hawks | 55% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 71% | 116 | 125 |
| 27 | Wizards | 29% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 77% | 114 | 114 |
| 30 | Nets | 23% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 25% | 106 | 112 |
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 37% | 114 | 107 |
| 22 | Bulls | 63% | 118 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 36% | 114 | 111 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 64% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 51% | 111 | 100 |
| 11 | Rockets | 49% | 110 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 115 | 119 |
| 19 | Clippers | 29% | 108 | 115 |
Sunday, March 15, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 20% | 105 | 103 |
| 1 | Thunder | 80% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 20% | 110 | 130 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 80% | 121 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 58% | 111 | 108 |
| 14 | Raptors | 42% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 38% | 111 | 123 |
| 20 | Bucks | 62% | 115 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 72% | 115 | 103 |
| 24 | 76ers | 28% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 23% | 106 | 107 |
| 6 | Knicks | 77% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 47% | 115 | 111 |
| 26 | Kings | 53% | 116 | 116 |
Saturday, March 14, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 32% | 103 | 97 |
| 24 | 76ers | 68% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 27% | 111 | 99 |
| 17 | Hawks | 73% | 120 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 35% | 114 | 102 |
| 3 | Spurs | 65% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 5% | 104 | 100 |
| 2 | Celtics | 95% | 125 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 40% | 113 | 121 |
| 11 | Heat | 60% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 49% | 118 | 125 |
| 8 | Lakers | 51% | 119 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 17% | 106 | 118 |
| 10 | Clippers | 83% | 118 | 109 |
Friday, March 13, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 21% | 109 | 110 |
| 8 | Pistons | 79% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Knicks | 79% | 117 | 101 |
| 24 | Pacers | 21% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 41% | 109 | 115 |
| 17 | Raptors | 59% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 76% | 120 | 138 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 24% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 32% | 108 | 105 |
| 11 | Rockets | 68% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 47% | 112 | 127 |
| 15 | Warriors | 53% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 19% | 112 | 114 |
| 19 | Blazers | 81% | 123 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 15% | 105 | 108 |
| 12 | Clippers | 85% | 119 | 119 |
Thursday, March 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 16% | 102 | 109 |
| 2 | Pistons | 84% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 77% | 115 | 123 |
| 26 | Pacers | 23% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 17% | 108 | 131 |
| 15 | Magic | 83% | 120 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 15% | 106 | 97 |
| 19 | Hawks | 85% | 119 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 32% | 111 | 105 |
| 13 | Heat | 68% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 65% | 116 | 120 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 35% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 39% | 115 | 136 |
| 8 | Spurs | 61% | 119 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 24% | 104 | 102 |
| 1 | Thunder | 76% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 22% | 113 | 130 |
| 7 | Lakers | 78% | 123 | 142 |
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 56% | 115 | 122 |
| 16 | Magic | 44% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 51% | 116 | 111 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 49% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 85% | 124 | 134 |
| 26 | Jazz | 15% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 35% | 112 | 93 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 65% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 85% | 121 | 117 |
| 28 | Kings | 15% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 39% | 109 | 128 |
| 10 | Clippers | 61% | 112 | 153 |
Tuesday, March 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 46% | 111 | 129 |
| 25 | 76ers | 54% | 112 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 87% | 117 | 138 |
| 27 | Nets | 13% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 12% | 108 | 129 |
| 14 | Heat | 88% | 123 | 150 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 31% | 113 | 112 |
| 15 | Hawks | 69% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 36% | 107 | 99 |
| 9 | Rockets | 64% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 61% | 113 | 129 |
| 21 | Bucks | 39% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 48% | 111 | 116 |
| 3 | Spurs | 52% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 31% | 110 | 130 |
| 18 | Warriors | 69% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 58% | 117 | 103 |
| 19 | Blazers | 42% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 45% | 114 | 109 |
| 26 | Kings | 55% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 48% | 114 | 106 |
| 13 | Lakers | 52% | 115 | 120 |
Monday, March 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 18% | 106 | 101 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 82% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 55% | 110 | 115 |
| 28 | Nets | 45% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 33% | 110 | 126 |
| 2 | Thunder | 67% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 76% | 119 | 116 |
| 27 | Jazz | 24% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 49% | 110 | 118 |
| 14 | Clippers | 51% | 111 | 126 |
Sunday, March 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 54% | 114 | 109 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 46% | 113 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 59% | 115 | 97 |
| 13 | Lakers | 41% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 45% | 113 | 110 |
| 11 | Heat | 55% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 31% | 109 | 92 |
| 14 | Raptors | 69% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 23% | 113 | 118 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 77% | 122 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 65% | 114 | 130 |
| 24 | Bucks | 35% | 109 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 40% | 109 | 120 |
| 3 | Spurs | 60% | 112 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 32% | 113 | 111 |
| 18 | Blazers | 68% | 119 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 62% | 117 | 110 |
| 29 | Kings | 38% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hornets | 65% | 115 | 99 |
| 20 | Suns | 35% | 110 | 111 |