Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Clippers	63%	115	138	130.2	106	92.2
	21	Mavericks	37%	111	131	124.8	105	99.2

Prediction updated: Mar 22, 2026 12:06 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

-11

104

DAL

+21

-10

116

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.35 67.6%

DAL

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	38.9	41	82%	3	11	1	1	4	0	1	2	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	8-12	67%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 29	37.4	15	83%	6	5	1	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	36.1	34	71%	3	5	2	1	2	1	1	2	5-5	100%	7-13	54%	5-9	56%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	34.5	10	56%	9	2	0	2	2	1	1	8	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	29.2	8	50%	3	0	1	2	1	6	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%

Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	31.6	4	33%	2	5	2	2	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	21.6	10	56%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	20.4	6	100%	6	1	1	0	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	15.3	10	100%	6	2	0	1	1	4	1	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Recovery
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	138	68%	40	33	8	10	11	22	6	34	15-18	83%	30-48	63%	21-42	50%

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12 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	38.9	41	82%	3	11	1	1	4	0	1	2	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	8-12	67%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 29	37.4	15	83%	6	5	1	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	36.1	34	71%	3	5	2	1	2	1	1	2	5-5	100%	7-13	54%	5-9	56%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	34.5	10	56%	9	2	0	2	2	1	1	8	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	29.2	8	50%	3	0	1	2	1	6	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%

Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	31.6	4	33%	2	5	2	2	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	21.6	10	56%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	20.4	6	100%	6	1	1	0	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	15.3	10	100%	6	2	0	1	1	4	1	5	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Recovery
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	138	68%	40	33	8	10	11	22	6	34	15-18	83%	30-48	63%	21-42	50%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	41.4	21	66%	6	0	1	0	0	1	2	4	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	40.5	18	47%	10	8	0	4	2	3	4	6	6-7	86%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	37.1	28	54%	2	4	2	0	2	2	1	1	5-7	71%	10-17	59%	1-6	17%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	25.3	7	39%	13	1	0	0	1	2	6	7	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	23.4	7	29%	4	0	1	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-7	14%

Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	31.3	13	65%	5	9	0	0	0	2	0	5	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	27.0	12	100%	0	2	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-4	100%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	24.6	17	94%	7	1	0	0	2	1	3	4	1-3	33%	5-6	83%	2-2	100%
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	14.4	8	57%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	131	56%	47	25	5	6	10	16	17	30	22-29	76%	35-68	51%	13-34	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.35 67.6%

DAL

1.12 56.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

68%

DAL

69%

Midrange

LAC

57%

DAL

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

31.5

50%

75%

DAL

19.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

LAC

83%

DAL

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Garland	41	82%	20.5 / 25
K. Leonard	34	71%	17.0 / 24
D. Jones	15	83%	7.5 / 9
B. Lopez	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Miller	10	56%	5.0 / 9
I. Jackson	10	100%	5.0 / 5
J. Collins	8	50%	4.0 / 8
N. Batum	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Dunn	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Marshall	28	54%	14.0 / 26
P. Washington	21	66%	10.5 / 16
C. Flagg	18	47%	9.0 / 19
M. Bagley	17	94%	8.5 / 9
R. Nembhard	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Thompson	12	100%	6.0 / 6
K. Middleton	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Gafford	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Christie	7	29%	3.5 / 12

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.4 27 110.4	LAC 130.2 +5.4 DAL 124.8
Pace	28 97.3 6 102.5	LAC 92.2 DAL 99.2 +7.1
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 24 14.0	LAC 15.6 DAL 14.5 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.9% 28 52.7%	LAC 68.3% +14.9% DAL 53.4%
TO %	17 13.9% 13 13.5%	LAC 10.9% DAL 8.7% −2.2%
ORB %	23 23.7% 26 23.2%	LAC 16.7% DAL 33.3% +16.6%
FTrt	3 29.5 6 28.7	LAC 20.0 DAL 28.4 +8.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.6% 22 60.4%	LAC 64.7% +12.6% DAL 52.1%
STL %	5 9.2% 27 7.3%	LAC 7.5% +2.7% DAL 4.8%
BLK %	13 9.5% 16 9.0%	LAC 14.7% +2.2% DAL 12.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 28 55.2%	LAC 67.6% +11.6% DAL 56.0%
Rim FG%	3 67.1% 22 63.2%	LAC 68.0% DAL 68.8% +0.8%
Mid FG%	10 44.2% 18 43.1%	LAC 56.5% +20.4% DAL 36.1%
3P %	7 36.8% 26 34.4%	LAC 50.0% +11.8% DAL 38.2%
FT %	1 82.3% 28 75.5%	LAC 83.3% +7.4% DAL 75.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.6% 12 32.8%	LAC 27.8% DAL 31.4% +3.6%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 28 31.7%	LAC 25.6% −9.7% DAL 35.3%
3P Att. %	19 40.4% 26 35.5%	LAC 46.7% +13.3% DAL 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	DAL
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	27.6	25.4
Points	138	131
Rebounds	40	47
Assists	33	25
Steals	8	5
Blocks	10	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	22	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	30 (3)
Field Goals	51-90	48-102
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	22-32
Midrange FG	13-23	13-36
2-Point FG	30-48	35-68
3-Point FG	21-42	13-34
Free Throws	15-18	22-29
Fast Break Pts	15	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	20
Points in Paint	48	64
Pts off Turnovers	16	14
Bench Points	30	50
Biggest Lead	10	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg