Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Cavaliers	65%	121	111	116.8	95	97.1
	19	Pelicans	35%	116	106	111.6	95	93.0

Prediction updated: Mar 21, 2026 10:51 PM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+18

-13

100

NOP

+12

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.11 55.5%

NOP

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	39.0	27	52%	7	3	1	0	1	1	1	6	6-7	86%	6-15	40%	3-8	38%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	36.3	20	59%	6	10	1	1	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-9	44%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	32.1	15	75%	10	2	0	0	1	2	1	9	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	30.4	18	75%	8	3	1	2	2	3	3	5	2-5	40%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	23.3	7	58%	5	3	2	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	24.2	5	50%	8	2	0	0	1	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	22.7	7	50%	2	1	1	0	1	3	2	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	14.7	11	69%	8	1	0	1	1	2	2	6	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	13.4	1	10%	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	55	26	6	4	13	17	14	41	15-22	68%	30-49	61%	12-39	31%

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4 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	39.0	27	52%	7	3	1	0	1	1	1	6	6-7	86%	6-15	40%	3-8	38%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	36.3	20	59%	6	10	1	1	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	4-9	44%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	32.1	15	75%	10	2	0	0	1	2	1	9	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	30.4	18	75%	8	3	1	2	2	3	3	5	2-5	40%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	23.3	7	58%	5	3	2	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	24.2	5	50%	8	2	0	0	1	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	22.7	7	50%	2	1	1	0	1	3	2	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	14.7	11	69%	8	1	0	1	1	2	2	6	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	13.4	1	10%	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	55	26	6	4	13	17	14	41	15-22	68%	30-49	61%	12-39	31%

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19 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	40.5	10	45%	6	0	1	2	1	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-8	25%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	36.4	19	63%	5	4	0	0	1	4	2	3	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	4-8	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	32.3	25	74%	6	4	1	0	1	3	1	5	5-9	56%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · C · 6'7" 206 · 27	31.3	12	50%	3	3	1	1	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-11	36%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 30	30.0	12	46%	3	9	1	0	2	0	1	2	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	24.2	6	43%	10	3	1	3	1	2	4	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	18.0	7	32%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	15.2	9	75%	3	4	3	0	2	1	0	3	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	12.2	6	75%	1	0	2	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Small Toe; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	40	30	10	7	9	19	10	30	16-20	80%	27-50	54%	12-40	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.11 55.5%

NOP

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

68%

NOP

61%

Midrange

CLE

47%

NOP

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

18.0

31%

46%

NOP

18.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

CLE

68%

NOP

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	27	52%	13.5 / 26
J. Harden	20	59%	10.0 / 17
E. Mobley	18	75%	9.0 / 12
S. Merrill	15	75%	7.5 / 10
T. Bryant	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Wade	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Ellis	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Strus	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Schröder	1	10%	0.5 / 5
N. Tomlin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	25	74%	12.5 / 17
S. Bey	19	63%	9.5 / 15
H. Jones	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Murray	12	46%	6.0 / 13
T. Murphy	10	45%	5.0 / 11
D. Queen	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Fears	7	32%	3.5 / 11
Y. Missi	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Matković	6	75%	3.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 20 113.3	CLE 116.8 +5.3 NOP 111.6
Pace	12 100.6 11 101.3	CLE 97.1 +4.1 NOP 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 22 14.1	CLE 14.8 −0.6 NOP 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 27 52.7%	CLE 54.5% +4.5% NOP 50.0%
TO %	10 13.2% 11 13.2%	CLE 12.5% NOP 8.3% −4.2%
ORB %	9 26.9% 8 27.0%	CLE 31.8% +12.2% NOP 19.6%
FTrt	15 26.5 8 28.4	CLE 25.0 +2.8 NOP 22.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 26 59.6%	CLE 61.9% NOP 76.9% +15.0%
STL %	15 8.4% 10 8.7%	CLE 6.3% NOP 10.5% +4.2%
BLK %	11 9.8% 7 10.1%	CLE 8.0% NOP 14.3% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 25 55.4%	CLE 55.5% +1.4% NOP 54.1%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 29 61.5%	CLE 67.6% +6.5% NOP 61.1%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 30 36.6%	CLE 46.7% +11.0% NOP 35.7%
3P %	13 36.0% 24 34.7%	CLE 30.8% +0.8% NOP 30.0%
FT %	19 77.6% 14 78.4%	CLE 68.2% NOP 80.0% +11.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 1 42.8%	CLE 38.6% NOP 40.0% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 5 21.7%	CLE 17.0% NOP 15.6% −1.5%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 27 35.5%	CLE 44.3% NOP 44.4% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	CLE	NOP
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	111	106
Rebounds	55	40
Assists	26	30
Steals	6	10
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	17	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (0)	30 (1)
Field Goals	42-88	39-90
At-the-Rim FG	23-34	22-36
Midrange FG	7-15	5-14
2-Point FG	30-49	27-50
3-Point FG	12-39	12-40
Free Throws	15-22	16-20
Fast Break Pts	10	14
2nd Chance Pts	11	14
Points in Paint	60	54
Pts off Turnovers	14	21
Bench Points	24	28
Biggest Lead	13	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg