Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Bucks	20%	103	108	117.4	92	92.5
	15	Suns	80%	114	105	114.1	92	91.5

Prediction updated: Mar 22, 2026 02:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+14

-15

PHX

+19

-10

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.20 60.0%

PHX

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	33.1	26	62%	10	7	3	0	3	1	0	10	3-6	50%	7-12	58%	3-7	43%
Ousmane Dieng #21 · SG · 6'9" 185 · 23	32.9	11	50%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 31	23.8	20	77%	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	2	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	3-8	38%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	21.8	8	50%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	20.5	7	88%	3	0	1	2	2	5	0	3	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	27.0	5	83%	5	3	0	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	24.7	5	83%	11	3	0	0	1	1	8	3	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	23.1	11	55%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-6	50%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	17.4	8	67%	5	2	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	15.6	7	50%	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cormac Ryan #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Synovitis
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension; Bone Bruise
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Costochondritis
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	60%	42	20	6	4	15	17	8	34	14-21	67%	23-39	59%	16-39	41%

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27 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	33.1	26	62%	10	7	3	0	3	1	0	10	3-6	50%	7-12	58%	3-7	43%
Ousmane Dieng #21 · SG · 6'9" 185 · 23	32.9	11	50%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 31	23.8	20	77%	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	2	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	3-8	38%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	21.8	8	50%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	20.5	7	88%	3	0	1	2	2	5	0	3	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	27.0	5	83%	5	3	0	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	24.7	5	83%	11	3	0	0	1	1	8	3	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	23.1	11	55%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-6	50%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	17.4	8	67%	5	2	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	15.6	7	50%	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cormac Ryan #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Synovitis
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension; Bone Bruise
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Costochondritis
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	60%	42	20	6	4	15	17	8	34	14-21	67%	23-39	59%	16-39	41%

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15 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SF · 6'4" 186 · 24	35.6	24	60%	3	2	0	0	2	1	1	2	3-7	43%	6-11	55%	3-6	50%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	35.2	14	37%	4	7	2	1	3	3	1	3	4-5	80%	2-12	17%	2-5	40%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	33.0	18	64%	4	6	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	4-11	36%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · C · 6'11" 235 · 24	31.6	12	67%	5	3	1	0	2	3	2	3	0-2	0%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Jordan Goodwin #23 · PF · 6'3" 215 · 27	27.1	11	55%	7	4	1	0	1	2	3	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%

Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	23.4	12	67%	8	3	1	1	1	2	3	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	19.2	8	67%	2	0	1	1	0	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 20	16.4	2	33%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 28	9.8	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 27	8.7	4	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
CJ Huntley #22 · SF · 6'11" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot Third Metatarsal; Stress Reaction
Amir Coffey #2 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Haywood Highsmith #19 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Inflammation
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	38	27	7	4	10	21	12	26	10-18	56%	25-50	50%	15-39	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.20 60.0%

PHX

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

70%

PHX

65%

Midrange

MIL

47%

PHX

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

24.0

41%

62%

PHX

22.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

MIL

67%

PHX

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Rollins	26	62%	13.0 / 21
K. Kuzma	20	77%	10.0 / 13
O. Dieng	11	50%	5.5 / 11
G. Trent	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Prince	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Green	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Turner	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Thomas	7	50%	3.5 / 7
P. Nance	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Sims	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	24	60%	12.0 / 20
C. Gillespie	18	64%	9.0 / 14
D. Booker	14	37%	7.0 / 19
O. Ighodaro	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. Dunn	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Goodwin	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Fleming	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Bouyea	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Maluach	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Livers	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 112.3 18 114.3	MIL 117.4 +3.3 PHX 114.1
Pace	24 98.1 23 98.2	MIL 92.5 +0.9 PHX 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 12 14.5	MIL 15.6 −0.2 PHX 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.5% 19 53.7%	MIL 60.3% +6.9% PHX 53.4%
TO %	24 14.7% 16 13.7%	MIL 16.3% PHX 9.4% −6.9%
ORB %	30 21.1% 7 28.9%	MIL 23.5% PHX 26.1% +2.6%
FTrt	29 22.3 28 22.5	MIL 26.9 +6.7 PHX 20.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 63.3% 23 60.1%	MIL 51.3% PHX 67.5% +16.2%
STL %	23 7.5% 2 9.7%	MIL 6.5% PHX 7.6% +1.1%
BLK %	25 8.2% 21 8.4%	MIL 8.0% PHX 10.3% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 27 55.3%	MIL 60.0% +7.0% PHX 53.0%
Rim FG%	4 67.1% 18 64.0%	MIL 70.0% +4.8% PHX 65.2%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 17 43.3%	MIL 47.4% +10.4% PHX 37.0%
3P %	2 38.7% 12 36.1%	MIL 41.0% +2.5% PHX 38.5%
FT %	30 73.0% 15 78.1%	MIL 66.7% +11.1% PHX 55.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.2% 29 26.3%	MIL 25.6% PHX 25.8% +0.2%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 22 28.4%	MIL 24.4% −6.0% PHX 30.3%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 7 45.3%	MIL 50.0% +6.2% PHX 43.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MIL	PHX
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	108	105
Rebounds	42	38
Assists	20	27
Steals	6	7
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	10 (0)
Fouls	17	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	26 (3)
Field Goals	39-78	40-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	15-23
Midrange FG	9-19	10-27
2-Point FG	23-39	25-50
3-Point FG	16-39	15-39
Free Throws	14-21	10-18
Fast Break Pts	15	10
2nd Chance Pts	16	27
Points in Paint	38	40
Pts off Turnovers	11	23
Bench Points	36	26
Biggest Lead	9	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg