Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Warriors	38%	111	110	107.8	102	101.1
	18	Hawks	62%	114	126	123.5	102	102.9

Prediction updated: Mar 22, 2026 12:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+12

-21

ATL

+15

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.20 59.8%

ATL

1.27 63.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	26.1	13	65%	6	4	0	0	2	3	0	6	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	24.4	5	42%	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	23.7	2	25%	2	6	2	0	4	2	0	2	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	21.7	20	59%	2	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	2-7	29%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	14.4	8	67%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%

Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	31.0	9	64%	5	1	1	0	3	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	28.7	19	95%	4	2	1	0	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	2-2	100%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	26.2	18	64%	0	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	19.4	12	55%	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-9	44%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	15.1	2	33%	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	9.3	2	50%	1	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Low Back; Tightness
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	29	23	9	2	21	21	8	21	13-17	76%	26-40	65%	15-42	36%

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20 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	26.1	13	65%	6	4	0	0	2	3	0	6	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	24.4	5	42%	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	23.7	2	25%	2	6	2	0	4	2	0	2	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	21.7	20	59%	2	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	2-7	29%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	14.4	8	67%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%

Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	31.0	9	64%	5	1	1	0	3	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	28.7	19	95%	4	2	1	0	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	2-2	100%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	26.2	18	64%	0	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	19.4	12	55%	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-9	44%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	15.1	2	33%	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	9.3	2	50%	1	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Low Back; Tightness
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	29	23	9	2	21	21	8	21	13-17	76%	26-40	65%	15-42	36%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	32.1	28	82%	7	6	4	0	1	0	2	5	2-2	100%	10-12	83%	2-5	40%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	28.6	23	64%	3	5	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-4	50%	9-11	82%	1-5	20%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	27.5	17	71%	2	1	2	0	1	3	0	2	7-7	100%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	25.8	6	43%	5	5	0	1	2	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	25.7	16	133%	10	2	0	3	2	1	1	9	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-4	100%

Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.4	17	106%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	22.3	2	11%	4	2	1	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	18.6	7	50%	1	1	3	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	18.2	8	57%	3	4	0	0	2	3	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	13.3	2	33%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	4.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	64%	41	28	10	4	18	17	9	32	17-20	85%	35-49	71%	13-40	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.20 59.8%

ATL

1.27 63.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

67%

ATL

77%

Midrange

GSW

62%

ATL

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

22.5

36%

54%

ATL

19.5

33%

49%

Free Throws

GSW

76%

ATL

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Melton	20	59%	10.0 / 17
N. Williams	19	95%	9.5 / 10
P. Spencer	18	64%	9.0 / 14
D. Green	13	65%	6.5 / 10
L. Cryer	12	55%	6.0 / 11
W. Richard	9	64%	4.5 / 7
Q. Post	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Podziemski	5	42%	2.5 / 6
G. Santos	2	25%	1.0 / 4
Ö. Yurtseven	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Leons	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Daniels	28	82%	14.0 / 17
C. McCollum	23	64%	11.5 / 18
N. Alexander-Walker	17	71%	8.5 / 12
Z. Risacher	17	106%	8.5 / 8
M. Gueye	16	133%	8.0 / 6
C. Kispert	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Landale	7	50%	3.5 / 7
O. Okongwu	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Kuminga	2	11%	1.0 / 9
G. Vincent	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Hield	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 14 115.1	GSW 107.8 ATL 123.5 +15.7
Pace	18 99.9 4 102.5	GSW 101.1 ATL 102.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 29 13.5	GSW 14.2 ATL 14.0 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 10 55.4%	GSW 59.1% ATL 61.2% +2.1%
TO %	28 14.9% 8 13.0%	GSW 19.0% ATL 15.5% −3.5%
ORB %	14 25.8% 20 24.3%	GSW 20.0% ATL 30.0% +10.0%
FTrt	24 23.8 27 23.4	GSW 20.7 ATL 22.5 +1.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 4 69.1%	GSW 56.1% ATL 58.3% +2.2%
STL %	3 9.6% 6 9.1%	GSW 8.8% ATL 9.8% +1.0%
BLK %	27 8.0% 18 8.8%	GSW 4.1% ATL 10.0% +5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 14 56.9%	GSW 59.8% ATL 63.6% +3.8%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 21 63.3%	GSW 66.7% ATL 77.1% +10.4%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 6 44.6%	GSW 61.5% +4.4% ATL 57.1%
3P %	20 35.6% 5 37.1%	GSW 35.7% +3.2% ATL 32.5%
FT %	6 80.7% 20 77.4%	GSW 76.5% ATL 85.0% +8.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 13 32.1%	GSW 32.9% ATL 39.3% +6.4%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 9 25.0%	GSW 15.9% ATL 15.7% −0.1%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 11 42.9%	GSW 51.2% +6.3% ATL 44.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	ATL
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	110	126
Rebounds	29	41
Assists	23	28
Steals	9	10
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (6)	32 (1)
Field Goals	41-82	48-89
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	27-35
Midrange FG	8-13	8-14
2-Point FG	26-40	35-49
3-Point FG	15-42	13-40
Free Throws	13-17	17-20
Fast Break Pts	14	21
2nd Chance Pts	15	22
Points in Paint	46	66
Pts off Turnovers	22	38
Bench Points	62	36
Biggest Lead	8	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg