Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 28, 2026

11:30 PM			Win Prob.	pScore
	22	Kings			0
	13	Hawks			0

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	115.9 113.7	SAC ATL
Pace	98.9 103.4	SAC ATL
Avg. Poss. Time	14.4 13.3	SAC ATL
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	54.8% 54.6%	SAC ATL
TO %	12.6% 14.1%	SAC ATL
ORB %	25.4% 26.3%	SAC ATL
FTrt	23.5 25.2	SAC ATL
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	61.5% 68.3%	SAC ATL
STL %	7.6% 9.4%	SAC ATL
BLK %	8.8% 9.7%	SAC ATL

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Last Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	56.8% 56.5%	SAC ATL
Rim FG%	67.6% 62.9%	SAC ATL
Mid FG%	46.0% 44.5%	SAC ATL
3P %	35.7% 35.8%	SAC ATL
FT %	80.6% 77.5%	SAC ATL
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26.8% 34.1%	SAC ATL
Mid Att. %	34.1% 24.8%	SAC ATL
3P Att. %	39.1% 41.0%	SAC ATL

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

BOXSCORE

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22 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis F-C · 6'10" 240 · 30	26.7					1								5-7	61%
Keegan Murray F · 6'8" 225 · 26	26.6					1								2-4	57%
Zach LaVine G · 6'5" 200 · 31	24.0					1								3-5	55%
Malik Monk G · 6'3" 200 · 28	22.0					1								3-5	55%
DeMar DeRozan G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37	21.9					1								4-8	52%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 33	21.4					1								2-4	49%
Keon Ellis G · 6'4" 175 · 26	21.1					1								1-2	61%
Nique Clifford G · 6'5" 175 · 24	11.3					0								1-2	53%
Devin Carter G · 6'2" 195 · 24	10.3					0								1-2	51%
Isaac Jones F · 6'9" 245 · 26	7.9					0								1-2	56%
Maxime Raynaud C · 7'1" 250 · 23	7.8					0								1-2	58%
Drew Eubanks F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29	7.7					0								1-2	61%
Daeqwon Plowden G-F · 6'6" 216 · 28	7.3					0								1-1	53%
Terence Davis G · 6'4" 201 · 29	7.1					0								0-1	53%
Dylan Cardwell C · 6'11" 255 · 24	7.0					0								1-2	57%
Dario Šarić F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32	4.3					0								0-1	53%
Isaiah Stevens G · 6'0" 185 · 25	4.0					0								0-1	49%
Doug McDermott F · 6'6" 225 · 34	3.7					0								0-0	50%
Dexter Dennis G · 6'5" 210 · 27	2.7					0								0-1	52%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%

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22 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis F-C · 6'10" 240 · 30	26.7					1								5-7	61%
Keegan Murray F · 6'8" 225 · 26	26.6					1								2-4	57%
Zach LaVine G · 6'5" 200 · 31	24.0					1								3-5	55%
Malik Monk G · 6'3" 200 · 28	22.0					1								3-5	55%
DeMar DeRozan G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37	21.9					1								4-8	52%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 33	21.4					1								2-4	49%
Keon Ellis G · 6'4" 175 · 26	21.1					1								1-2	61%
Nique Clifford G · 6'5" 175 · 24	11.3					0								1-2	53%
Devin Carter G · 6'2" 195 · 24	10.3					0								1-2	51%
Isaac Jones F · 6'9" 245 · 26	7.9					0								1-2	56%
Maxime Raynaud C · 7'1" 250 · 23	7.8					0								1-2	58%
Drew Eubanks F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29	7.7					0								1-2	61%
Daeqwon Plowden G-F · 6'6" 216 · 28	7.3					0								1-1	53%
Terence Davis G · 6'4" 201 · 29	7.1					0								0-1	53%
Dylan Cardwell C · 6'11" 255 · 24	7.0					0								1-2	57%
Dario Šarić F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32	4.3					0								0-1	53%
Isaiah Stevens G · 6'0" 185 · 25	4.0					0								0-1	49%
Doug McDermott F · 6'6" 225 · 34	3.7					0								0-0	50%
Dexter Dennis G · 6'5" 210 · 27	2.7					0								0-1	52%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young G · 6'1" 164 · 28	28.6					1								4-7	52%
Dyson Daniels G · 6'7" 199 · 23	25.8					2								4-7	57%
Jalen Johnson F · 6'8" 219 · 24	25.8					1								4-7	59%
Kristaps Porziņģis F-C · 7'2" 240 · 31	24.2					1								3-5	56%
Zaccharie Risacher F · 6'8" 200 · 21	22.1					1								3-5	58%
Onyeka Okongwu F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25	20.3					1								3-4	65%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker G · 6'5" 205 · 28	16.7					0								1-3	54%
Luke Kennard G · 6'5" 206 · 30	14.0					0								1-2	54%
Vít Krejčí G · 6'8" 195 · 26	10.1					0								0-1	63%
Caleb Houstan G · 6'8" 205 · 23	9.8					0								0-1	53%
Mouhamed Gueye F · 6'10" 210 · 23	9.7					0								1-2	60%
Charles Bassey C-F · 6'10" 230 · 25	9.0					0								2-2	63%
N'Faly Dante C · 6'11" 230 · 24	7.2					0								1-1	61%
Asa Newell F · 6'10" 220 · 20	6.9					0								1-1	60%
Keaton Wallace G · 6'3" 185 · 27	6.6					0								1-1	54%
Eli John Ndiaye F · 6'8" 209 · 22	4.6					0								1-1	58%
Jacob Toppin F · 6'8" 200 · 26	4.0					0								0-1	59%
Nikola Đurišić G · 6'8" 214 · 22	3.7					0								0-1	56%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

MATCHUP

Last Season Avg

Last Season Avg

BOXSCORE