Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Kings	27%	114	113	116.5	97	95.0
	18	Hawks	73%	122	123	126.8	97	99.1

Prediction updated: Mar 28, 2026 11:21 PM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+19

-15

101

ATL

+16

-12

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.13 56.5%

ATL

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	30.3	18	75%	10	0	1	0	1	1	3	7	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	2-2	100%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	30.0	22	58%	4	3	0	0	3	2	2	2	3-3	100%	8-16	50%	1-2	50%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 28	27.4	10	45%	2	7	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	20.2	16	73%	6	2	2	0	1	1	5	1	0-0	-	8-10	80%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 24	17.7	2	25%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	28.4	14	78%	4	0	0	0	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
DaQuan Jeffries #25 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 29	26.5	15	83%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	23.4	3	14%	4	5	0	1	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-6	17%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	19.0	3	38%	7	4	1	0	1	3	3	4	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	17.0	10	63%	1	4	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Management
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	43	27	6	1	15	18	16	27	11-13	85%	33-61	54%	12-32	38%

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25 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	30.3	18	75%	10	0	1	0	1	1	3	7	6-8	75%	3-6	50%	2-2	100%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	30.0	22	58%	4	3	0	0	3	2	2	2	3-3	100%	8-16	50%	1-2	50%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 28	27.4	10	45%	2	7	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 27	20.2	16	73%	6	2	2	0	1	1	5	1	0-0	-	8-10	80%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 24	17.7	2	25%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	28.4	14	78%	4	0	0	0	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
DaQuan Jeffries #25 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 29	26.5	15	83%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	23.4	3	14%	4	5	0	1	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-6	17%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	19.0	3	38%	7	4	1	0	1	3	3	4	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	17.0	10	63%	1	4	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; UCL Repair
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Injury Management
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	43	27	6	1	15	18	16	27	11-13	85%	33-61	54%	12-32	38%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 24	37.0	26	59%	5	10	1	0	3	0	0	5	0-0	-	7-11	64%	4-11	36%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	36.2	27	79%	5	8	4	0	2	1	1	4	9-9	100%	3-5	60%	4-9	44%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	34.3	19	73%	13	4	0	2	1	4	6	7	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	31.6	10	63%	7	2	0	0	0	3	3	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	30.1	22	58%	4	5	1	0	1	1	2	2	2-4	50%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%

Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	25.0	2	33%	3	3	2	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.1	13	72%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	15.8	4	33%	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	11.0	0	0%	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Index Finger; Sprain
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	61%	40	34	10	3	12	12	13	27	17-22	77%	29-49	59%	16-41	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.13 56.5%

ATL

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

61%

ATL

60%

Midrange

SAC

47%

ATL

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

38%

56%

ATL

24.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

SAC

85%

ATL

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	22	58%	11.0 / 19
M. Raynaud	18	75%	9.0 / 12
P. Achiuwa	16	73%	8.0 / 11
D. Jeffries	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. Plowden	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Monk	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Hayes	10	63%	5.0 / 8
N. Clifford	3	14%	1.5 / 11
D. Cardwell	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Carter	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	27	79%	13.5 / 17
J. Johnson	26	59%	13.0 / 22
C. McCollum	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Landale	19	73%	9.5 / 13
Z. Risacher	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Gueye	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Kispert	4	33%	2.0 / 6
G. Vincent	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Koloko	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 14 115.1	SAC 116.5 ATL 126.8 +10.3
Pace	17 100.0 4 102.5	SAC 95.0 ATL 99.1 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 29 13.5	SAC 15.2 ATL 14.5 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 10 55.4%	SAC 54.8% ATL 58.9% +4.1%
TO %	15 13.7% 8 13.0%	SAC 13.2% ATL 10.7% −2.5%
ORB %	13 25.9% 20 24.3%	SAC 37.2% +4.7% ATL 32.5%
FTrt	19 25.6 27 23.4	SAC 14.0 ATL 24.4 +10.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 4 69.1%	SAC 60.0% ATL 75.6% +15.6%
STL %	21 8.0% 6 9.1%	SAC 6.2% ATL 10.3% +4.1%
BLK %	19 8.6% 18 8.8%	SAC 2.0% ATL 4.9% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 14 56.9%	SAC 56.5% ATL 60.9% +4.4%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 21 63.3%	SAC 61.3% +1.3% ATL 60.0%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 6 44.6%	SAC 46.7% ATL 57.9% +11.2%
3P %	29 34.1% 5 37.1%	SAC 37.5% ATL 39.0% +1.5%
FT %	21 77.2% 20 77.4%	SAC 84.6% +7.3% ATL 77.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 13 32.1%	SAC 33.3% ATL 33.3%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 9 25.0%	SAC 32.3% ATL 21.1% −11.1%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 11 42.9%	SAC 34.4% ATL 45.6% +11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	ATL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	113	123
Rebounds	43	40
Assists	27	34
Steals	6	10
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	18	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (3)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	27 (4)
Field Goals	45-93	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	19-31	18-30
Midrange FG	14-30	11-19
2-Point FG	33-61	29-49
3-Point FG	12-32	16-41
Free Throws	11-13	17-22
Fast Break Pts	13	14
2nd Chance Pts	21	20
Points in Paint	56	44
Pts off Turnovers	20	20
Bench Points	45	19
Biggest Lead	7	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg