Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, March 28, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bulls | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | |||
 | 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23F79E1E;}%20.st1{fill:%23E46025;}%20.st2{fill:%23B65B27;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st0'%20points='20.3,339.6%20190,246.7%2074.9,339.6%20214.5,259.4%20212.3,275.5%20235.6,262.6%20288.1,312.3%20316.1,228.2%20351.6,223.2%20336,174.6%20369,145.9%20325.2,127.4%20337.2,76.4%20296.9,94.9%20277.9,49.3%20243.8,83.3%20187.7,53.9%20177.6,109.1%20125.8,120.3%20156.5,138.9%20125.6,154.4%20151.8,156.6%2044,240.5%20152.5,182.8%2036,271.4%20159.9,206.9%2027.7,306.4%20173.5,228.6%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M330.8,175.4c-1.9,46.6-41.3,82.8-87.9,80.9c-46.6-1.9-82.8-41.3-80.9-87.9s41.3-82.8,87.9-80.9%20C296.5,89.4,332.7,128.7,330.8,175.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M256.7,244.7c-46.6-1.9-82.8-41.3-80.9-87.9c0.9-21.6,9.8-40.9,23.8-55.2c-21.7,14.5-36.4,38.8-37.6,66.8%20c-1.9,46.6,34.3,86,80.9,87.9c25,1,48-8.9,64.2-25.7C292.7,240.2,275.3,245.5,256.7,244.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M330.9,172.8c0-3-0.1-6-0.4-9c-4.9-3.4-10.6-6-17.6-6.9c-1.3-0.2-2.5-0.3-3.8-0.4c-0.8-5.6-2.1-11-3.7-16.4%20c0.9,0.1,1.7,0.1,2.6,0.2c5.9,0.5,11.8,1.1,17.6,1.9c-0.8-2.2-1.7-4.3-2.6-6.3c-6.5-1-13.1-1.7-19.8-2.3h-0.1%20c-2.2-5.5-4.7-10.6-7.8-15.7c4.3-0.9,8.2-2.6,11.3-5.6c-1.5-1.6-3.3-3.2-5-4.6c-2.7,2.5-6.2,3.8-10.3,4.4c-0.6-0.9-1.3-1.7-1.9-2.5%20c-5.7-7.5-12.4-13.8-19.7-19c-6.4-1.8-13-2.9-19.9-3.3c-0.4,0-0.7,0-1.2,0c12.8,5.1,24.3,13.6,33.5,24.9%20c-8.8-0.8-18.9-3.8-28.9-6.7c-3-0.9-5.9-1.7-8.6-2.5c-17.1-4.7-30.2-5.5-40-4.6c-7.3,4.2-13.9,9.4-19.7,15.5%20c10.6-4.5,32.1-12,58.2-4.8c2.7,0.7,5.6,1.6,8.6,2.5c11.5,3.4,24.4,7.2,35.6,7.3c3.1,4.6,5.7,9.4,7.9,14.5%20c-2.2-0.1-4.4-0.2-6.6-0.2c-54.2-0.9-100.8,15.3-126.6,41.2c0.2,5.2,0.7,10.2,1.7,15.1c7.3-10.5,18-19.9,31.9-27.8%20c26.3-14.7,61.1-22.6,98.1-21.8c1.3,0,2.5,0.1,3.8,0.1c1.9,5.4,3.3,10.9,4.2,16.6c-23.8,1-39.3,15.9-57.1,31.8%20c-15.9,14.3-35.4,28.5-63.8,37c2.6,3.3,5.6,6.4,8.7,9.2c26.9-10.7,44.6-27.6,59.6-41.1c17.1-15.3,31.8-29.9,53.2-30.7%20c0.5,5.9,0.5,12,0,18.1c-2.9,33.1-22,61.2-48.2,75c6.6-0.6,13.2-2,19.3-4.2c2.1-1.7,4.2-3.5,6.1-5.5c17.1-16.8,27.8-39.9,29.9-64.7%20c0.5-6.2,0.5-12.4,0-18.5c1.1,0.1,2.2,0.2,3.3,0.4C320.5,164.6,326.3,168.4,330.9,172.8'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 25 | Suns | |||
Friday, March 27, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | |||
 | 14 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Heat | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
 | 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | |||
 | 20 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Mavericks | |||
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 17 | Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Nets | |||
 | 12 | Lakers | |||
Thursday, March 26, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Knicks | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | |||
 | 5 | Magic | |||
Wednesday, March 25, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | |||
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | |||
| 21 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | |||
| 17 | Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Tuesday, March 24, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
Monday, March 23, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | |||
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| 5 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 19 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | |||
| 18 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| 10 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 16 | Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Sunday, March 22, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | |||
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 22 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
Saturday, March 21, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | |||
| 5 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | |||
| 15 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 10 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
Friday, March 20, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| 16 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | |||
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
Thursday, March 19, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | |||
| 15 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | |||
| 21 | Kings | |||
Wednesday, March 18, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | |||
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | |||
| 21 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 8 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| 10 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
Tuesday, March 17, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 5 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 19 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 20 | Kings | |||
Monday, March 16, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | |||
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | |||
| 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | |||
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | |||
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Sunday, March 15, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| 19 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | |||
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| 21 | Kings | |||