Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Bulls	57%	117	124	111.7	111	106.0
	27	Grizzlies	43%	114	125	112.6	111	116.6

Prediction updated: Mar 29, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+17

-23

105

MEM

+16

-14

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.18 59.0%

MEM

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	38.5	29	60%	10	3	1	3	4	3	1	9	6-7	86%	7-11	64%	3-10	30%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	34.9	18	69%	13	10	2	3	5	2	1	12	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	29.7	7	44%	4	1	0	3	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	29.3	19	56%	9	6	2	0	4	2	1	8	2-4	50%	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Leonard Miller #11 · C · 6'10" 220 · 22	16.3	5	63%	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	30.4	26	65%	1	2	2	0	2	2	0	1	11-13	85%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	23.0	4	40%	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	22.4	8	67%	7	2	0	1	1	3	3	4	4-8	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	15.4	8	80%	2	2	0	0	5	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain; Injury Management
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	53	26	8	11	23	20	10	43	32-43	74%	31-49	63%	10-33	30%

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23 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	38.5	29	60%	10	3	1	3	4	3	1	9	6-7	86%	7-11	64%	3-10	30%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	34.9	18	69%	13	10	2	3	5	2	1	12	5-5	100%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	29.7	7	44%	4	1	0	3	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	29.3	19	56%	9	6	2	0	4	2	1	8	2-4	50%	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Leonard Miller #11 · C · 6'10" 220 · 22	16.3	5	63%	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	30.4	26	65%	1	2	2	0	2	2	0	1	11-13	85%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	23.0	4	40%	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	22.4	8	67%	7	2	0	1	1	3	3	4	4-8	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	15.4	8	80%	2	2	0	0	5	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain; Injury Management
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Sprain
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	53	26	8	11	23	20	10	43	32-43	74%	31-49	63%	10-33	30%

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27 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	30.4	14	70%	4	2	2	0	0	6	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23	24.2	24	60%	9	4	4	0	3	2	3	6	2-3	67%	8-13	62%	2-6	33%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	21.2	10	31%	4	3	0	0	2	1	1	3	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	0-4	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	15.5	12	75%	4	1	1	0	1	3	1	3	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	15.5	6	60%	2	4	3	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	29.9	17	71%	2	2	1	0	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	29.9	7	39%	3	6	2	0	5	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Adama Bal #72 · NA · 6'7" 190 · 22	27.6	3	19%	2	3	2	0	0	5	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Tyler Burton #5 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	26.6	18	60%	5	3	1	1	0	3	0	5	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	19.3	14	78%	2	3	1	2	1	4	1	1	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Injury Management
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle And Elbow; Surgery Recovery
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Soreness
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	55%	37	31	17	3	14	32	10	27	13-17	76%	38-69	55%	12-38	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	MEM

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.18 59.0%

MEM

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

67%

MEM

57%

Midrange

CHI

43%

MEM

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

15.0

30%

45%

MEM

18.0

32%

47%

Free Throws

CHI

74%

MEM

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Buzelis	29	60%	14.5 / 24
C. Sexton	26	65%	13.0 / 20
T. Jones	19	56%	9.5 / 17
J. Giddey	18	69%	9.0 / 13
L. Olbrich	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Dillingham	8	80%	4.0 / 5
I. Okoro	7	44%	3.5 / 8
L. Miller	5	63%	2.5 / 4
P. Williams	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Coward	24	60%	12.0 / 20
T. Burton	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Mashack	17	71%	8.5 / 12
R. Rupert	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Jarreau	14	78%	7.0 / 9
O. Prosper	12	75%	6.0 / 8
G. Jackson	10	31%	5.0 / 16
W. Clayton	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Small	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Bal	3	19%	1.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.2 23 112.4	CHI 111.7 MEM 112.6 +0.9
Pace	3 103.3 7 101.8	CHI 106.0 MEM 116.6 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.6 26 13.8	CHI 13.6 MEM 12.4 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.7% 24 53.3%	CHI 56.1% +3.8% MEM 52.3%
TO %	20 14.1% 22 14.3%	CHI 18.6% MEM 10.9% −7.7%
ORB %	27 23.1% 19 24.7%	CHI 27.0% +8.1% MEM 18.9%
FTrt	22 24.6 21 25.1	CHI 52.4 +36.5 MEM 15.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 6 67.4%	CHI 63.4% +1.4% MEM 62.0%
STL %	26 7.4% 11 8.7%	CHI 7.2% MEM 15.3% +8.1%
BLK %	15 9.0% 14 9.1%	CHI 15.9% +9.8% MEM 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 22 55.8%	CHI 59.0% +3.7% MEM 55.3%
Rim FG%	30 61.4% 26 62.8%	CHI 66.7% +9.8% MEM 56.9%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 11 44.2%	CHI 42.9% MEM 50.0% +7.1%
3P %	19 35.6% 22 35.3%	CHI 30.3% MEM 31.6% +1.3%
FT %	18 77.6% 9 79.3%	CHI 74.4% MEM 76.5% +2.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.2% 26 28.6%	CHI 51.2% +3.6% MEM 47.7%
Mid Att. %	1 17.5% 19 27.8%	CHI 8.5% −8.3% MEM 16.8%
3P Att. %	8 44.3% 10 43.6%	CHI 40.2% +4.7% MEM 35.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	CHI	MEM
Possessions	111	111
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	124	125
Rebounds	53	37
Assists	26	31
Steals	8	17
Blocks	11	3
Turnovers (Team)	23 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	20	32
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (7)	10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (1)	27 (3)
Field Goals	41-82	50-107
At-the-Rim FG	28-42	29-51
Midrange FG	3-7	9-18
2-Point FG	31-49	38-69
3-Point FG	10-33	12-38
Free Throws	32-43	13-17
Fast Break Pts	17	17
2nd Chance Pts	16	20
Points in Paint	60	70
Pts off Turnovers	13	27
Bench Points	46	59
Biggest Lead	5	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg