Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 9, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Lakers	35%	108	119	129.3	92	98.3
	17	Warriors	65%	113	103	110.8	93	87.4

Prediction updated: Apr 10, 2026 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+11

-17

GSW

+17

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.38 69.2%

GSW

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 30	31.9	14	64%	2	8	4	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	31.8	26	76%	8	11	2	1	4	1	0	8	1-2	50%	8-12	67%	3-5	60%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SG · 6'7" 235 · 24	30.7	16	114%	7	4	3	1	3	5	3	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-5	80%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	30.6	21	81%	5	1	0	1	0	2	3	2	3-4	75%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	29.6	12	50%	2	2	3	0	0	2	0	2	0-1	0%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%

Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	25.6	2	33%	6	5	0	0	4	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 22	20.6	10	71%	1	3	2	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	11.3	12	120%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	8.5	4	67%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	6.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	3.7	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Contusion
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Muscle Strain
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	69%	33	37	14	3	17	13	8	25	5-8	63%	33-51	65%	16-29	55%

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22 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 30	31.9	14	64%	2	8	4	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	31.8	26	76%	8	11	2	1	4	1	0	8	1-2	50%	8-12	67%	3-5	60%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SG · 6'7" 235 · 24	30.7	16	114%	7	4	3	1	3	5	3	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-5	80%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	30.6	21	81%	5	1	0	1	0	2	3	2	3-4	75%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	29.6	12	50%	2	2	3	0	0	2	0	2	0-1	0%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%

Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	25.6	2	33%	6	5	0	0	4	0	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 22	20.6	10	71%	1	3	2	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	11.3	12	120%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	8.5	4	67%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	6.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	3.7	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Contusion
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Muscle Strain
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	69%	33	37	14	3	17	13	8	25	5-8	63%	33-51	65%	16-29	55%

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17 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pat Spencer #61 · SF · 6'2" 205 · 30	38.1	12	50%	4	6	1	0	3	0	2	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Nate Williams #19 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 27	34.5	17	65%	4	3	0	0	4	2	3	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	24.0	17	53%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.1	2	50%	5	6	1	0	4	2	2	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	14.9	2	20%	3	2	2	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%

Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 25	29.8	12	75%	13	1	0	2	2	1	4	9	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 27	24.1	12	60%	4	3	2	0	2	0	2	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	23.3	11	55%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	15.2	8	67%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	14.0	10	100%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral low back strain
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Pelvic; Contusion
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar Tendon; Surgery
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness Management / Right Knee Soreness
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	58%	38	24	8	2	19	6	15	23	12-12	100%	32-51	63%	9-30	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.38 69.2%

GSW

1.16 57.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

82%

GSW

73%

Midrange

LAL

56%

GSW

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

24.0

55%

83%

GSW

13.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

LAL

63%

GSW

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	26	76%	13.0 / 17
D. Ayton	21	81%	10.5 / 13
J. LaRavia	16	114%	8.0 / 7
L. Kennard	14	64%	7.0 / 11
R. Hachimura	12	50%	6.0 / 12
N. Smith	12	120%	6.0 / 5
B. James	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Timme	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Vanderbilt	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Bufkin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Thiero	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Kleber	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Williams	17	65%	8.5 / 13
B. Podziemski	17	53%	8.5 / 16
P. Spencer	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Bassey	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Leons	12	60%	6.0 / 10
S. Curry	11	55%	5.5 / 10
G. Payton	10	100%	5.0 / 5
L. Cryer	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Green	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Melton	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 117.1 19 114.0	LAL 129.3 +18.6 GSW 110.8
Pace	21 99.2 18 99.9	LAL 98.3 +10.9 GSW 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 10 14.7	LAL 14.7 −1.8 GSW 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 13 55.0%	LAL 71.3% +15.1% GSW 56.2%
TO %	19 13.9% 28 14.9%	LAL 18.5% GSW 18.0% −0.5%
ORB %	22 23.9% 14 25.8%	LAL 25.8% GSW 37.5% +11.7%
FTrt	1 32.0 24 23.8	LAL 10.0 GSW 14.8 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.5% 1 70.6%	LAL 75.5% +17.0% GSW 58.5%
STL %	12 8.6% 3 9.6%	LAL 15.2% +6.6% GSW 8.6%
BLK %	23 8.3% 27 8.0%	LAL 5.9% +2.0% GSW 3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 11 57.1%	LAL 69.2% +11.3% GSW 57.9%
Rim FG%	1 72.0% 5 66.7%	LAL 82.4% +9.7% GSW 72.7%
Mid FG%	4 46.8% 22 42.1%	LAL 55.9% +0.7% GSW 55.2%
3P %	14 35.9% 20 35.6%	LAL 55.2% +25.2% GSW 30.0%
FT %	26 76.3% 6 80.7%	LAL 62.5% GSW 100.0% +37.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.7% 24 29.5%	LAL 21.3% GSW 27.2% +5.9%
Mid Att. %	26 30.0% 3 20.8%	LAL 42.5% GSW 35.8% −6.7%
3P Att. %	22 39.4% 1 49.7%	LAL 36.3% GSW 37.0% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	LAL	GSW
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	119	103
Rebounds	33	38
Assists	37	24
Steals	14	8
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	17 (2)	19 (0)
Fouls	13	6
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (0)	23 (0)
Field Goals	49-80	41-81
At-the-Rim FG	14-17	16-22
Midrange FG	19-34	16-29
2-Point FG	33-51	32-51
3-Point FG	16-29	9-30
Free Throws	5-8	12-12
Fast Break Pts	18	8
2nd Chance Pts	10	18
Points in Paint	48	54
Pts off Turnovers	28	22
Bench Points	30	53
Biggest Lead	27	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg