Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, April 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Heat | 47% | 115 | 114 |
 | 8 | Raptors | 53% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 60% | 119 | 119 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Nets | 38% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 46% | 110 | 106 |
 | 4 | Knicks | 54% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Lakers | 35% | 108 | 119 |
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Wednesday, April 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 24% | 104 | 120 |
 | 12 | Magic | 76% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bucks | 7% | 100 | 111 |
 | 6 | Pistons | 93% | 119 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 72% | 111 | 128 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Mavericks | 17% | 105 | 107 |
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Tuesday, April 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 57% | 118 | 129 |
| 26 | Wizards | 43% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 75% | 116 | 124 |
| 23 | Pacers | 25% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 53% | 107 | 90 |
| 29 | Nets | 47% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 46% | 115 | 95 |
| 13 | Raptors | 54% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Hornets | 30% | 108 | 102 |
| 2 | Celtics | 70% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Pelicans | 61% | 119 | 156 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Warriors | 82% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 93% | 118 | 123 |
| 27 | Lakers | 7% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 21% | 108 | 103 |
| 12 | Clippers | 79% | 118 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 46% | 110 | 119 |
| 10 | Suns | 54% | 111 | 105 |
Monday, April 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 54% | 115 | 108 |
| 12 | Hawks | 46% | 114 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 63% | 109 | 107 |
| 16 | Magic | 37% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 74% | 117 | 142 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 26% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 26% | 111 | 102 |
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Blazers | 25% | 113 | 132 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 75% | 122 | 137 |
Sunday, April 5, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 22% | 105 | 101 |
| 2 | Celtics | 78% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 35% | 108 | 115 |
| 28 | Nets | 65% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 81% | 121 | 120 |
| 26 | Bulls | 19% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 35% | 107 | 115 |
| 24 | Bucks | 65% | 112 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 18% | 110 | 108 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 82% | 122 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 60% | 114 | 122 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 40% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 71% | 117 | 112 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 29% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 3% | 101 | 111 |
| 1 | Thunder | 97% | 125 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 41% | 111 | 128 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 59% | 114 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 77% | 119 | 138 |
| 23 | Kings | 23% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 49% | 111 | 117 |
| 14 | Warriors | 51% | 112 | 116 |
Saturday, April 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 11% | 110 | 136 |
| 11 | Heat | 89% | 126 | 152 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 52% | 120 | 134 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 48% | 119 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 63% | 112 | 116 |
| 17 | 76ers | 37% | 108 | 93 |
Friday, April 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 17% | 110 | 108 |
| 6 | Hornets | 83% | 123 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 33% | 112 | 103 |
| 8 | 76ers | 67% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 85% | 116 | 141 |
| 29 | Nets | 15% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 18% | 109 | 96 |
| 10 | Knicks | 82% | 121 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 12% | 106 | 106 |
| 7 | Rockets | 88% | 121 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 79% | 116 | 128 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 21% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 92% | 118 | 133 |
| 28 | Bucks | 8% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 64% | 116 | 138 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 36% | 111 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 55% | 117 | 113 |
| 25 | Kings | 45% | 115 | 117 |
Thursday, April 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 36% | 112 | 107 |
| 3 | Hornets | 64% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 30% | 105 | 108 |
| 5 | Pistons | 70% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 21% | 107 | 96 |
| 1 | Thunder | 79% | 118 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 71% | 118 | 118 |
| 21 | Warriors | 29% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 36% | 112 | 106 |
| 18 | Blazers | 64% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 40% | 112 | 118 |
| 11 | Clippers | 60% | 115 | 99 |
Wednesday, April 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 79% | 121 | 153 |
| 28 | Wizards | 21% | 111 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 52% | 115 | 130 |
| 14 | Magic | 48% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 60% | 116 | 147 |
| 13 | Heat | 40% | 112 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 69% | 114 | 130 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 31% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 23% | 107 | 123 |
| 18 | Raptors | 77% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 43% | 115 | 145 |
| 22 | Bulls | 57% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | 9% | 100 | 113 |
| 8 | Rockets | 91% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 85% | 128 | 130 |
| 27 | Jazz | 15% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 86% | 119 | 127 |
| 25 | Warriors | 14% | 104 | 113 |
Tuesday, March 31, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 46% | 111 | 111 |
| 17 | Magic | 54% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 88% | 118 | 117 |
| 30 | Nets | 12% | 103 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 51% | 112 | 99 |
| 27 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 37% | 105 | 116 |
| 7 | Pistons | 63% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 51% | 111 | 94 |
| 9 | Rockets | 49% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 48% | 117 | 113 |
| 12 | Lakers | 52% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 35% | 109 | 114 |
| 11 | Clippers | 65% | 114 | 104 |
Monday, March 30, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 53% | 118 | 109 |
| 12 | Heat | 47% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 48% | 112 | 102 |
| 11 | Hawks | 52% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 73% | 115 | 131 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 27% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 12% | 109 | 114 |
| 2 | Spurs | 88% | 125 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 68% | 117 | 124 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 32% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 84% | 126 | 122 |
| 28 | Jazz | 16% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 23% | 99 | 110 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 17% | 109 | 101 |
| 20 | Lakers | 83% | 121 | 120 |
Sunday, March 29, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 88% | 118 | 127 |
| 30 | Bucks | 12% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 69% | 121 | 118 |
| 22 | Pacers | 31% | 114 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 42% | 106 | 99 |
| 28 | Nets | 58% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 45% | 112 | 114 |
| 3 | Hornets | 55% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 55% | 110 | 87 |
| 19 | Raptors | 45% | 109 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 17% | 107 | 88 |
| 17 | Blazers | 83% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 68% | 115 | 134 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 32% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 25% | 106 | 100 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 29% | 113 | 93 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 71% | 121 | 116 |
Saturday, March 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 88% | 120 | 127 |
| 26 | Bucks | 12% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 58% | 110 | 109 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 42% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 33% | 114 | 118 |
| 3 | Hornets | 67% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 27% | 114 | 113 |
| 18 | Hawks | 73% | 122 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 57% | 117 | 124 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 43% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 12% | 106 | 109 |
| 11 | Suns | 88% | 122 | 134 |
Friday, March 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 69% | 117 | 114 |
| 22 | Pacers | 31% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 27% | 108 | 102 |
| 2 | Celtics | 73% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 36% | 117 | 128 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 64% | 122 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 76% | 116 | 119 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 24% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 9% | 104 | 113 |
| 1 | Thunder | 91% | 122 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 27% | 107 | 106 |
| 19 | Raptors | 73% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 8% | 111 | 129 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 92% | 129 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 19% | 106 | 126 |
| 20 | Warriors | 81% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 35% | 112 | 100 |
| 18 | Blazers | 65% | 117 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 10% | 103 | 99 |
| 10 | Lakers | 90% | 119 | 116 |