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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks43%92105
9Spurs57%9597
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.1
38.5
37.8
4
52%
8
5
2
2
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
38.5
25.1
10
83%
11
1
0
0
1
1
4
7
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
58%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.8
37.8
40.1
19
55%
8
2
1
1
1
2
1
7
5-5
100%
7-13
9-18
54%
47%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.0
29.5
27.2
25
61%
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
14.8
18.5
8
74%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
35.0
34.5
12
68%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
50%
2-5
40%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.8
26.1
23.9
13
45%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
6-12
2-5
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.0
18.4
21.1
14
78%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
0.7
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
0.6
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
0.4
0
0-0
43%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.6
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.9
41.1
35.7
24
49%
4
8
0
1
0
5
0
4
5-6
83%
8-21
9-16
38%
52%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
37.0
28.6
27
55%
9
2
0
0
0
0
2
7
1-1
100%
13-24
6-12
54%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
35.3
30.2
13
62%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
0-3
2-6
0%
45%
4-7
57%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.1
32.4
30.3
19
95%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
5-5
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
18.1
23.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
23.8
15.8
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
18.1
17.0
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.6
17.9
18.7
8
40%
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
16.2
28.0
3
52%
5
2
0
1
0
0
4
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
5.5
0
0-1
58%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.0
5.0
0
0-1
45%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.2
3.0
0
0-1
40%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.5
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.7
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.