Final Win Prob. pScore
1536%96
93
1764%100
99
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
103.39093.8
HOU logo Rockets
113.88783.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU93
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENJohnson Driving Layup (18 PTS)93
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUNorris Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENPosey P.FOUL (P4.PN)91
97
Q4 - 0:12.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENLaFrentz Layup (18 PTS)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS McCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUTorres Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T14)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENMcCloud P.FOUL (P2.PN)89
96
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)89
96
Q4 - 0:26.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)89
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 2 of 289
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENJohnson P.FOUL (P4.PN)89
95
Q4 - 0:34.0DENVan Exel Driving Layup (25 PTS)89
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)87
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 1:01DENVan Exel Driving Layup (23 PTS)87
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 1:07DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)85
95
Q4 - 1:07HOUFrancis 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)85
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 1:25HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 1:27HOUMISS Torres 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 1:46DENVan Exel Foul Turnover (P4.T12)85
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 1:46DENVan Exel OFF.Foul (P3)85
93
Q4 - 1:56DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 1:58HOUMISS Norris 19' Jump Shot85
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 2:10HOUSUB: Thomas FOR Willis85
93
Q4 - 2:10DENJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T4)85
93
Q4 - 2:26DENJohnson 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)85
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 2:37DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 2:39HOUMISS Willis 7' Hook Shot83
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 2:59DENNorris STEAL (2 STL)83
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 3:10DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)83
93
Q4 - 3:14HOUFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)83
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 3:33DENMcCloud 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)83
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 3:47HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 3:47HOUROCKETS Rebound81
89
Q4 - 3:47HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 281
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 3:47DENPosey S.FOUL (P3.T3)81
89
Q4 - 3:51DENNorris STEAL (1 STL)81
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 4:03HOUFrancis 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)81
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 4:18HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
6.1%
87
93.9%
Q4 - 4:20HOUMISS Torres 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 4:33DENLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P2.T9)81
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 4:33DENLaFrentz OFF.Foul (P3)81
87
Q4 - 4:36DENSUB: Posey FOR Rider81
87
Q4 - 4:36HOUFrancis P.FOUL (P4.T3)81
87
Q4 - 4:53HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
8.8%
87
91.2%
Q4 - 4:53HOUMobley Layup (16 PTS)81
8.8%
87
91.2%
Q4 - 4:56HOUMISS Willis 4' Running Jump Shot81
15.6%
85
84.4%
Q4 - 5:18DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
14.8%
85
85.2%
Q4 - 5:18DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)80
14.2%
85
85.8%
Q4 - 5:18HOUFrancis IN.FOUL (P3.T2)79
85
Q4 - 5:29DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q4 - 5:31HOUMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 5:45DENVan Exel Foul Turnover (P2.T8)79
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q4 - 5:45DENVan Exel OFF.Foul (P2)79
85
Q4 - 5:59DENSUB: McCloud FOR Bowen79
85
Q4 - 5:59HOUNorris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)79
11.0%
85
89.0%
Q4 - 6:04HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
9.7%
85
90.3%
Q4 - 6:06DENMISS LaFrentz Layup79
10.6%
85
89.4%
Q4 - 6:30HOUMobley Layup (14 PTS) (Torres 1 AST)79
12.8%
85
87.2%
Q4 - 6:43DENRider Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)79
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q4 - 6:57DENSUB: LaFrentz FOR Williams79
83
Q4 - 6:57DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)79
83
Q4 - 6:57HOUWillis Layup (12 PTS)79
21.2%
83
78.8%
Q4 - 6:59HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)79
26.5%
81
73.5%
Q4 - 7:02HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot79
31.3%
81
68.7%
Q4 - 7:16DENJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)79
81
Q4 - 7:26HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
26.9%
81
73.1%
Q4 - 7:28DENMISS Rider 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
28.8%
81
71.2%
Q4 - 7:53HOUNorris Layup (6 PTS)79
33.3%
81
66.7%
Q4 - 8:11HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
39.5%
79
60.5%
Q4 - 8:13DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
41.3%
79
58.7%
Q4 - 8:20DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
45.6%
79
54.4%
Q4 - 8:22DENMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot79
41.3%
79
58.7%
Q4 - 8:35DENBowen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)79
45.6%
79
54.4%
Q4 - 8:37DENMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot79
41.3%
79
58.7%
Q4 - 8:54HOUTorres 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 8 AST)79
45.6%
79
54.4%
Q4 - 9:11HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)79
77
Q4 - 9:14DENWilliams 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)79
51.4%
77
48.6%
Q4 - 9:32HOUMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)77
45.1%
77
54.9%
Q4 - 9:48DENRider 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)77
39.5%
77
60.5%
Q4 - 10:03DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)75
33.7%
77
66.3%
Q4 - 10:05DENMISS Van Exel 6' Running Jump Shot75
30.4%
77
69.6%
Q4 - 10:11DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
33.7%
77
66.3%
Q4 - 10:13DENMISS Van Exel 21' Jump Shot75
30.4%
77
69.6%
Q4 - 10:27HOUROCKETS Rebound75
33.7%
77
66.3%
Q4 - 10:27HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)75
33.7%
77
66.3%
Q4 - 10:28HOUMISS Willis 6' Jump Shot75
32.2%
77
67.8%
Q4 - 10:30HOUROCKETS Rebound75
28.9%
77
71.1%
Q4 - 10:31HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot75
32.2%
77
67.8%
Q4 - 10:52DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)75
28.9%
77
71.1%
Q4 - 10:52DENSUB: Bowen FOR McCloud74
77
Q4 - 10:52HOUSUB: Torres FOR Thomas74
77
Q4 - 10:52HOUNorris S.FOUL (P2.T1)74
77
Q4 - 10:52DENJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS)74
24.5%
77
75.5%
Q4 - 10:56DENNuggets Rebound72
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q4 - 10:57DENWillis BLOCK (2 BLK)72
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q4 - 11:11DENRider REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
21.1%
77
78.9%
Q4 - 11:13HOUMISS Mobley Layup72
20.1%
77
79.9%
Q4 - 11:28HOUSUB: Willis FOR Rice72
77
Q4 - 11:28DENRider P.FOUL (P1.T1)72
77
Q4 - 11:42DENJohnson Layup (11 PTS)72
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q4 - 11:47HOUThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)70
14.8%
77
85.2%
Q4 - 12:0070
77
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN70
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUMobley 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
18.7%
75
81.3%
Q3 - 0:11.0DENMISS Rider Layup70
19.5%
75
80.5%
Q3 - 0:14.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
21.6%
75
78.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENMISS Rider Layup70
19.5%
75
80.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)70
21.6%
75
78.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
20.6%
75
79.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
18.6%
75
81.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
21.5%
75
78.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENMISS LaFrentz Layup70
19.5%
75
80.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Posey 4' Hook Shot70
19.5%
75
80.5%
Q3 - 1:11HOUThomas Tip Shot (14 PTS)70
21.8%
75
78.2%
Q3 - 1:13HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q3 - 1:16HOUMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot70
28.1%
73
71.9%
Q3 - 1:23DENFrancis STEAL (1 STL)70
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q3 - 1:35DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
29.3%
73
70.7%
Q3 - 1:37HOUMISS Mobley Layup70
28.1%
73
71.9%
Q3 - 2:06DENPosey 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)70
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q3 - 2:25HOUThomas 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS)68
22.3%
73
77.7%
Q3 - 2:32DENLaFrentz P.FOUL (P2.T4)68
71
Q3 - 2:46DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)68
71
Q3 - 2:46DENPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T5)68
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q3 - 2:46DENPosey OFF.Foul (P2)68
71
Q3 - 2:50DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
29.4%
71
70.6%
Q3 - 2:52HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
28.3%
71
71.7%
Q3 - 3:12DENThomas STEAL (1 STL)68
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q3 - 3:32HOUThomas Driving Layup (10 PTS)68
29.5%
71
70.5%
Q3 - 3:51DENMcCloud Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)68
33.2%
69
66.8%
Q3 - 4:11HOUFrancis L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)66
69
Q3 - 4:11DENNuggets Rebound66
29.8%
69
70.2%
Q3 - 4:12HOUMISS Thomas Layup66
28.5%
69
71.5%
Q3 - 4:31DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
25.7%
69
74.3%
Q3 - 4:35DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 4:38DENMobley BLOCK (3 BLK)63
17.9%
69
82.1%
Q3 - 4:55HOUWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 4:59HOUROCKETS Rebound63
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q3 - 5:00HOUMISS Francis Layup63
19.1%
69
80.9%
Q3 - 5:16DENSUB: Posey FOR Abdul-Wahad63
69
Q3 - 5:16HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)63
69
Q3 - 5:20DENLaFrentz Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Rider 2 AST)63
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q3 - 5:28DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 5:30HOUMISS Mobley Layup61
14.6%
69
85.4%
Q3 - 5:34HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
13.1%
69
86.9%
Q3 - 5:36DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
13.7%
69
86.3%
Q3 - 5:52HOUFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)61
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 6:04DENSUB: Rider FOR Posey61
66
Q3 - 6:04DENVan Exel P.FOUL (P1.T3)61
66
Q3 - 6:22DENVan Exel Driving Layup (19 PTS)61
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 6:41HOUFrancis 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 6:47HOUSUB: Williams FOR Cato59
64
Q3 - 6:48HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
20.3%
64
79.7%
Q3 - 6:50HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
22.3%
64
77.7%
Q3 - 6:56HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
20.2%
64
79.8%
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 17' Jump Shot59
21.1%
64
78.9%
Q3 - 7:03DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
23.3%
64
76.7%
Q3 - 7:05HOUMISS Rice 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
22.4%
64
77.6%
Q3 - 7:17DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)59
20.6%
64
79.4%
Q3 - 7:17HOUCato S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
64
Q3 - 7:17DENVan Exel Layup (16 PTS)58
18.2%
64
81.8%
Q3 - 7:22DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
16.0%
64
84.0%
Q3 - 7:24HOUMISS Francis Layup56
15.4%
64
84.6%
Q3 - 7:30HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 7:33HOUMISS Cato Dunk56
15.4%
64
84.6%
Q3 - 7:43HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 7:45DENMISS McCloud 19' Jump Shot56
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q3 - 7:55HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)56
16.0%
64
84.0%
Q3 - 8:07DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
14.2%
64
85.8%
Q3 - 8:07DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 8:07HOUThomas S.FOUL (P1.T1)54
64
Q3 - 8:11DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
12.6%
64
87.4%
Q3 - 8:13HOUMISS Thomas 10' Hook Shot54
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q3 - 8:34DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 8:34DENLaFrentz Tip Shot (11 PTS)54
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 8:38DENMISS LaFrentz Jump Shot52
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 8:46DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 8:48HOUMISS Francis 10' Running Jump Shot52
9.2%
64
90.8%
Q3 - 8:53HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 8:55DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 9:14HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
9.8%
64
90.2%
Q3 - 9:14DENSUB: McCloud FOR Williams52
63
Q3 - 9:14HOUROCKETS Rebound52
63
Q3 - 9:14HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 252
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 9:14DENWilliams S.FOUL (P4.T2)52
63
Q3 - 9:28HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 9:30DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 18' Jump Shot52
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 9:45HOURice 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)52
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q3 - 10:09DENAbdul-Wahad 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)52
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 10:25HOUCato 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)50
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q3 - 10:35HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
14.8%
58
85.2%
Q3 - 10:37DENMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot50
15.4%
58
84.6%
Q3 - 10:48DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 10:50HOUMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot50
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 11:01HOUROCKETS Rebound50
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 11:05HOUMISS Rice 7' Fadeaway Jumper50
16.5%
58
83.5%
Q3 - 11:20DENPosey L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)50
58
Q3 - 11:20HOUROCKETS Rebound50
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q3 - 11:20HOUMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
16.5%
58
83.5%
Q3 - 11:48DENVan Exel 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q3 - 12:0048
58
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)48
58
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUFrancis Backcourt Turnover (P2.T6)48
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENJohnson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)48
12.6%
58
87.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0HOUSUB: Williams FOR Rice46
58
Q2 - 0:30.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Norris 14' Jump Shot46
10.5%
58
89.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENVan Exel Layup (12 PTS)46
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMISS Posey Layup44
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q2 - 1:05DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 1:07HOUMISS Rice 20' Jump Shot44
8.6%
58
91.4%
Q2 - 1:25HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
58
Q2 - 1:27DENMISS Bowen Jump Shot44
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q2 - 1:34DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q2 - 1:34DENMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 144
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q2 - 1:34HOURice S.FOUL (P2.PN)44
58
Q2 - 1:34DENLaFrentz Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)44
8.0%
58
92.0%
Q2 - 1:53HOUWillis Reverse Layup (10 PTS)42
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q2 - 2:10DENJohnson 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q2 - 2:19DENSUB: Posey FOR Rider40
56
Q2 - 2:19DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)40
56
Q2 - 2:19HOURice Foul Turnover (P3.T5)40
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q2 - 2:19HOURice OFF.Foul (P1)40
56
Q2 - 2:24HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)40
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q2 - 2:26DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
6.7%
56
93.3%
Q2 - 2:34HOUFrancis Running Layup (9 PTS)40
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q2 - 2:46HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 2:48DENMobley BLOCK (2 BLK)40
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 3:09HOUFrancis Running Layup (7 PTS)40
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 3:36DENVan Exel Driving Layup (10 PTS)40
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q2 - 3:50HOUNorris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q2 - 3:50HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 3:50DENJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T4)38
50
Q2 - 4:10DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
10.7%
50
89.3%
Q2 - 4:10DENNuggets Rebound37
50
Q2 - 4:10DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 237
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 4:10HOUNorris S.FOUL (P1.T4)37
50
Q2 - 4:15HOUSUB: Mobley FOR Torres37
50
Q2 - 4:15HOUSUB: Rice FOR Williams37
50
Q2 - 4:15DENVan Exel Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)37
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q2 - 4:15HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Williams )36
50
Q2 - 4:30HOUWillis Layup (8 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)36
9.7%
50
90.3%
Q2 - 4:38HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 4:40DENMISS LaFrentz 18' Jump Shot36
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 4:45HOUWillis Layup (6 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)36
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 4:59HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
13.3%
46
86.7%
Q2 - 5:00HOUMISS Francis 12' Jump Shot36
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 5:05HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 5:07HOUMISS Norris 16' Jump Shot36
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 5:25DENJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 5:33HOUWillis P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
46
Q2 - 5:33DENSUB: Van Exel FOR Lenard34
46
Q2 - 5:34DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 5:34HOUMISS Williams Layup34
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 5:35HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q2 - 5:45DENWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)34
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 5:55HOUSUB: Francis FOR Mobley34
46
Q2 - 5:55DENSUB: Bowen FOR McCloud34
46
Q2 - 5:55HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
46
Q2 - 5:55HOUMobley L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)34
46
Q2 - 5:55DENNuggets Rebound34
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 5:56HOUMISS Willis 17' Jump Shot34
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 6:18DENLenard 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 6:34HOUNorris Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q2 - 6:50DENRider Layup (6 PTS)32
11.4%
44
88.6%
Q2 - 6:53DENRider REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q2 - 6:55DENMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot30
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q2 - 7:12HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q2 - 7:12DENSUB: LaFrentz FOR Williams30
43
Q2 - 7:12HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 7:12DENWilliams S.FOUL (P3.T3)30
42
Q2 - 7:22HOUROCKETS Rebound30
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 7:23HOUMISS Torres 14' Jump Shot30
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 7:26HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)30
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 7:28HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 7:39DENWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T2)30
42
Q2 - 8:04DENJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)30
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 8:12HOUWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)28
42
Q2 - 8:25HOUMobley 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
10.9%
42
89.1%
Q2 - 8:45DENWilliams 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 8:5726
40
Q2 - 8:57DENNuggets Rebound26
40
Q2 - 8:57DENMISS Williams Free Throw Technical26
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 8:57HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Willis )26
40
Q2 - 9:07HOUTorres Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
11.1%
40
88.9%
Q2 - 9:11DENTorres STEAL (1 STL)26
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 9:25HOUWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)26
11.1%
40
88.9%
Q2 - 9:38DENRider Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)26
13.4%
37
86.6%
Q2 - 9:55HOUWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 9:55HOUWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 9:55HOUSUB: Torres FOR Francis26
35
Q2 - 9:55DENSUB: Williams FOR LaFrentz26
35
Q2 - 9:55DENSUB: Johnson FOR Van Exel26
35
Q2 - 9:55DENLaFrentz S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
35
Q2 - 10:01HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)26
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 10:03DENMISS Rider 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 10:16HOUMobley 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)26
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 10:40DENRider 3' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 10:49HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 10:49HOUWillis Layup (2 PTS)24
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 10:51HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 10:51HOUMISS Willis Layup24
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 10:54HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 10:54HOUMISS Willis Jump Shot24
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 11:00HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 11:05HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
19.9%
31
80.1%
Q2 - 11:07DENMISS Rider 2' Layup24
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 11:29HOUWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)24
21.6%
31
78.4%
Q2 - 11:43HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
25.2%
28
74.8%
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot24
25.8%
28
74.2%
Q2 - 12:0024
28
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU24
27.2%
28
72.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENVan Exel 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rider 1 AST)24
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENNuggets Rebound22
23.2%
28
76.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMobley BLOCK (1 BLK)22
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENRider REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
23.2%
28
76.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
22.8%
28
77.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
21.9%
28
78.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUFrancis S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
28
Q1 - 0:31.0DENVan Exel Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
20.3%
28
79.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0HOUMobley Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q1 - 1:07DENRider Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)19
20.7%
26
79.3%
Q1 - 1:27HOUWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 1:27DENSUB: Lenard FOR Posey17
25
Q1 - 1:27HOUROCKETS Rebound17
25
Q1 - 1:27HOUMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 217
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 1:27DENMcCloud S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
25
Q1 - 1:27HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 1:29HOUMISS Rice 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 1:34HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 1:36DENMISS Rider 15' Turnaround Jump Shot17
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 1:58HOUFrancis Dunk (5 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)17
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 2:15DENLaFrentz 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)17
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 2:25DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
23
Q1 - 2:34HOUFrancis Running Layup (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)15
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 2:39DENMobley STEAL (1 STL)15
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 2:50DENRider REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 2:52HOUMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot15
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q1 - 3:06HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
22.3%
21
77.7%
Q1 - 3:08DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 3:13HOUSUB: Williams FOR Cato15
21
Q1 - 3:13DENSUB: Rider FOR Abdul-Wahad15
21
Q1 - 3:13HOUCato P.FOUL (P1.T1)15
21
Q1 - 3:33HOUThomas 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)15
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 3:47DENSUB: McCloud FOR Williams15
19
Q1 - 3:47HOUROCKETS Rebound15
19
Q1 - 3:47HOUMISS Rice Free Throw Technical15
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 3:47DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Williams )15
19
Q1 - 3:53HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 3:55DENMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot15
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 4:17HOUThomas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)15
28.0%
19
72.0%
Q1 - 4:30HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
29.6%
17
70.4%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot15
30.1%
17
69.9%
Q1 - 4:40HOUThomas 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)15
31.4%
17
68.6%
Q1 - 4:53HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 4:55DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 11' Jump Shot15
33.7%
15
66.3%
Q1 - 5:05DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.0%
15
65.0%
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Rice 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 5:19HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 5:21HOUMISS Mobley 14' Jump Shot15
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 5:41DENWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)15
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 5:53HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 5:53HOUROCKETS Rebound13
14
Q1 - 5:53HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 213
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 5:53DENWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
14
Q1 - 6:00HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
14
Q1 - 6:14DENAbdul-Wahad 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 6:24DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
30.1%
14
69.9%
Q1 - 6:26HOUMISS Mobley 11' Turnaround Jump Shot11
29.6%
14
70.4%
Q1 - 6:50DENLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)11
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 7:11HOUMobley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 7:24DENLaFrentz 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)8
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 7:40HOURice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)6
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 7:50HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
29.2%
9
70.8%
Q1 - 7:52DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 16' Jump Shot6
29.6%
9
70.4%
Q1 - 8:00HOURice Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)6
30.7%
9
69.3%
Q1 - 8:21HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
29.6%
9
70.4%
Q1 - 8:23DENMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot6
29.9%
9
70.1%
Q1 - 8:38HOURice Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)6
30.9%
9
69.1%
Q1 - 8:38HOURice Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)6
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 8:38HOURice Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)6
31.6%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 8:38DENAbdul-Wahad S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 9:02DENVan Exel 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Abdul-Wahad 1 AST)6
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 9:06HOURice Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 9:09HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 9:12DENMISS Van Exel Layup4
31.9%
6
68.1%
Q1 - 9:15HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 9:17HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.7%
6
68.3%
Q1 - 9:23DENMISS Van Exel 6' Jump Shot4
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 9:31DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 9:33HOUMISS Francis Jump Shot4
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 9:49DENAbdul-Wahad Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)4
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 10:07HOUCato Layup (4 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)2
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 10:24DENWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)2
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:45HOUThomas Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:55HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 10:57DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot0
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 11:18DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:20HOUMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot0
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 11:27HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:29DENMISS Van Exel 10' Turnaround Jump Shot0
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 11:46HOUCato Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)0
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Cato vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Francis0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
HOU
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
34
62%
HOU
20
32
63%
Midrange
DEN
18
39
46%
HOU
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
HOU
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
DEN
9
12
75%
HOU
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel2550%12.5 / 25
R. LaFrentz1864%9.0 / 14
A. Johnson1875%9.0 / 12
S. Williams850%4.0 / 8
I. Rider833%4.0 / 12
T. Abdul-Wahad643%3.0 / 7
G. McCloud643%3.0 / 7
J. Posey225%1.0 / 4
V. Lenard250%1.0 / 2
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2252%11.0 / 21
C. Mobley1745%8.5 / 19
K. Thomas1464%7.0 / 11
K. Willis1250%6.0 / 12
G. Rice956%4.5 / 8
M. Norris956%4.5 / 8
K. Cato770%3.5 / 5
W. Williams770%3.5 / 5
O. Torres225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+14
-12
92
HOU
74
+21
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
HOU
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
100.7
DEN 103.3
HOU 113.8 +10.5
Pace
92.1
90.5
DEN 93.8 +10.3
HOU 83.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
DEN 15.3 −1.9
HOU 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
46.5%
DEN 49.4%
HOU 49.4%
TO %
14.9%
14.3%
DEN 11.7% −1.4%
HOU 13.1%
ORB %
30.7%
29.0%
DEN 27.9%
HOU 39.5% +11.6%
FTrt
25.6
28.6
DEN 14.1
HOU 27.7 +13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
52.2%
DEN 51.2% +9.1%
HOU 42.1%
STL %
8.0%
7.1%
DEN 5.6%
HOU 6.9% +1.3%
BLK %
8.6%
7.6%
DEN 6.5%
HOU 6.8% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
48.2%
DEN 49.5%
HOU 51.6% +2.1%
Rim FG%
55.5%
56.6%
DEN 61.8%
HOU 62.5% +0.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.6%
DEN 46.2% +6.2%
HOU 40.0%
3P %
32.9%
33.5%
DEN 16.7%
HOU 28.6% +11.9%
FT %
74.4%
74.1%
DEN 75.0% +1.1%
HOU 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
32.3%
DEN 40.0% +1.4%
HOU 38.6%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
45.4%
DEN 45.9%
HOU 36.1% −9.7%
3P Att. %
18.7%
22.3%
DEN 14.1%
HOU 25.3% +11.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9087
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points9399
Rebounds3546
Assists2116
Steals56
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)31 (0)
Field Goals41-8538-83
At-the-Rim FG21-3420-32
Midrange FG18-3912-30
2-Point FG39-7332-62
3-Point FG2-126-21
Free Throws9-1217-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
43.6
25
50%
4
7
1
0
4
3
2
2
5-5
100%
10-16
63%
0-6
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
40.2
18
64%
14
1
0
2
2
3
4
10
0-1
0%
6-11
55%
2-2
100%
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
28.7
2
25%
4
3
0
0
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 260 · 34
18.8
8
50%
1
0
1
2
0
4
0
1
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
15.5
6
43%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" · 31
26.4
8
33%
4
2
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 34
26.2
6
43%
3
1
1
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
21.9
18
75%
0
5
1
0
1
4
0
0
2-3
67%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
10.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 28
7.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" · 29
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
50%
35
21
5
4
12
0
12
23
9-12
75%
39-73
53%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.