Final Win Prob. pScore
2730%84
74
2270%91
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
82.29088.8
NYK logo Knicks
95.48789.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA74
0%
83
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0NYKThomas Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)74
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHeat Rebound74
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIASprewell BLOCK (1 BLK)74
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Mack FOR Marks74
81
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)74
81
Q4 - 0:27.0NYKAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0NYKKNICKS Rebound74
80
Q4 - 0:27.0NYKMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 274
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.PN)74
80
Q4 - 0:33.0NYKHouston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Carter 5' Jump Shot74
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0NYKSUB: Anderson FOR Weatherspoon74
80
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)74
80
Q4 - 0:43.0NYKEisley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0NYKKNICKS Rebound74
79
Q4 - 0:43.0NYKMISS Eisley Free Throw 1 of 274
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHouse P.FOUL (P2.PN)74
79
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMarks Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)74
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0NYKHouston Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0NYKHouston Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)74
77
Q4 - 1:10NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)74
77
Q4 - 1:16NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot74
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 1:29NYKHouston Foul Turnover (P5.T17)74
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q4 - 1:29NYKHouston OFF.Foul (P2)74
77
Q4 - 1:41NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot74
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 2:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)74
77
Q4 - 2:05NYKHouston 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)74
20.4%
77
79.6%
Q4 - 2:19NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
25.9%
75
74.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
30.3%
75
69.7%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
42.2%
75
57.8%
Q4 - 2:48NYKMISS Weatherspoon 11' Jump Shot74
36.8%
75
63.2%
Q4 - 3:15MIAJones 9' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)74
26.6%
75
73.4%
Q4 - 3:35NYKWeatherspoon Dunk (13 PTS) (Eisley 4 AST)72
22.3%
75
77.7%
Q4 - 3:52NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
28.6%
73
71.4%
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Ellis 12' Jump Shot72
31.3%
73
68.7%
Q4 - 4:13MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
37.8%
73
62.2%
Q4 - 4:15NYKMISS Eisley 7' Jump Shot72
34.8%
73
65.2%
Q4 - 4:30NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
28.4%
73
71.6%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot72
31.1%
73
68.9%
Q4 - 4:46NYKHouston Foul Turnover (P4.T16)72
37.8%
73
62.2%
Q4 - 4:46NYKHouston OFF.Foul (P1)72
73
Q4 - 4:51MIASUB: Jones FOR Mack72
73
Q4 - 4:51NYKSUB: Sprewell FOR Anderson72
73
Q4 - 4:51NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)72
73
Q4 - 4:54NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
28.4%
73
71.6%
Q4 - 4:56NYKMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot72
34.8%
73
65.2%
Q4 - 5:10NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
29.6%
73
70.4%
Q4 - 5:12NYKMISS Houston 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
35.0%
73
65.0%
Q4 - 5:26MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
29.6%
73
70.4%
Q4 - 5:51NYKThomas 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Eisley 3 AST)70
23.2%
73
76.8%
Q4 - 6:10NYKSUB: Weatherspoon FOR Harrington70
71
Q4 - 6:10MIAMarks Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)70
29.8%
71
70.2%
Q4 - 6:32NYKThomas 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)70
36.9%
71
63.1%
Q4 - 6:59MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)70
43.9%
69
56.1%
Q4 - 7:12MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
29.9%
69
70.1%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot67
25.7%
69
74.3%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
29.9%
69
70.1%
Q4 - 7:36NYKMISS Eisley 20' Jump Shot67
28.0%
69
72.0%
Q4 - 7:56NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)67
24.0%
69
76.0%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Mack 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
25.7%
69
74.3%
Q4 - 8:12NYKThomas P.FOUL (P2.T1)67
69
Q4 - 8:26MIASUB: Ellis FOR Stepania67
69
Q4 - 8:26NYKSUB: Houston FOR Sprewell67
69
Q4 - 8:2667
69
Q4 - 8:26MIASUB: Carter FOR Jones67
69
Q4 - 8:26NYKEisley Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)67
29.8%
69
70.2%
Q4 - 8:43NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)67
24.8%
69
75.2%
Q4 - 8:45NYKMISS Sprewell 14' Jump Shot67
28.2%
69
71.8%
Q4 - 8:50NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
24.8%
69
75.2%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Marks 13' Jump Shot67
26.2%
69
73.8%
Q4 - 9:14NYKAnderson 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
30.1%
69
69.9%
Q4 - 9:21NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
35.6%
67
64.4%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot67
37.2%
67
62.8%
Q4 - 9:34MIASUB: Marks FOR Brown67
67
Q4 - 9:34MIAJones Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)67
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q4 - 9:34NYKKNICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Harrington )66
67
Q4 - 9:51NYKThomas 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)66
35.4%
67
64.6%
Q4 - 10:03NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
40.3%
65
59.7%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot66
42.0%
65
58.0%
Q4 - 10:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
45.8%
65
54.2%
Q4 - 10:12MIAMISS Mack 19' Jump Shot66
42.0%
65
58.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
45.9%
65
54.1%
Q4 - 10:27NYKMISS Anderson 12' Jump Shot66
44.2%
65
55.8%
Q4 - 10:42MIAHarrington STEAL (3 STL)66
65
Q4 - 10:42NYKJump Ball Harrington vs. Stepania: Tip to Thomas66
40.4%
65
59.6%
Q4 - 11:00NYKHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
45.9%
65
54.1%
Q4 - 11:00NYKSUB: Thomas FOR Weatherspoon66
64
Q4 - 11:00NYKHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)66
47.5%
64
52.5%
Q4 - 11:00MIABrown S.FOUL (P1.T1)66
63
Q4 - 11:01NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q4 - 11:02NYKMISS Eisley 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
53.9%
63
46.1%
Q4 - 11:27NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot66
52.0%
63
48.0%
Q4 - 11:42NYKEisley Foul Turnover (P3.T14)66
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q4 - 11:42NYKEisley OFF.Foul (P2)66
63
Q4 - 12:0066
63
Q3 - 0:00.0NYK66
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones Layup (19 PTS)66
50.5%
63
49.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
43.8%
63
56.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 264
42.8%
63
57.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 264
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound64
63
Q3 - 0:02.0NYKSprewell S.FOUL (P3.T3)64
63
Q3 - 0:18.0NYKWeatherspoon Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Eisley 2 AST)64
43.9%
63
56.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHarrington STEAL (2 STL)64
49.6%
61
50.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0NYKWeatherspoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
54.1%
61
45.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIASUB: Brown FOR Gatling64
60
Q3 - 0:57.0NYKKNICKS Rebound64
60
Q3 - 0:57.0NYKMISS Weatherspoon Free Throw 1 of 264
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAGatling P.FOUL (P4.PN)64
60
Q3 - 1:06NYK64
60
Q3 - 1:06NYKKNICKS Rebound64
53.3%
60
46.7%
Q3 - 1:07NYKMISS Sprewell 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
56.4%
60
43.6%
Q3 - 1:14NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
53.3%
60
46.7%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS House Layup64
54.7%
60
45.3%
Q3 - 1:25NYKAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
57.8%
60
42.2%
Q3 - 1:25MIASUB: Gatling FOR Ellis64
59
Q3 - 1:25NYKAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
59.1%
59
40.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAEllis S.FOUL (P4.PN)64
58
Q3 - 1:28MIASUB: Mack FOR Carter64
58
Q3 - 1:28MIAEllis P.FOUL (P3.T3)64
58
Q3 - 1:48MIAStepania Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)64
63.0%
58
37.0%
Q3 - 1:55NYKEisley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)62
57.8%
58
42.2%
Q3 - 1:58NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot62
54.8%
58
45.2%
Q3 - 2:14MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
56.2%
58
43.8%
Q3 - 2:16NYKMISS Weatherspoon 6' Jump Shot62
54.9%
58
45.1%
Q3 - 2:38NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
51.7%
58
48.3%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWeatherspoon BLOCK (1 BLK)62
53.1%
58
46.9%
Q3 - 3:00NYKWeatherspoon 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)62
56.4%
58
43.6%
Q3 - 3:18MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)62
58.9%
56
41.1%
Q3 - 3:18MIAHeat Rebound62
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot62
60.3%
56
39.7%
Q3 - 3:42NYKSUB: Eisley FOR Jackson62
56
Q3 - 3:42MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)62
56
Q3 - 3:42NYKSprewell Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)62
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q3 - 3:58MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)62
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q3 - 4:11NYKSUB: Harrington FOR Thomas60
56
Q3 - 4:11NYKSUB: Anderson FOR Houston60
56
Q3 - 4:11MIASUB: Stepania FOR Marks60
56
Q3 - 4:11MIASUB: House FOR Gatling60
56
Q3 - 4:11NYKSprewell P.FOUL (P2.T2)60
56
Q3 - 4:26NYKSprewell 23' Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
54.1%
56
45.9%
Q3 - 4:43MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)60
57.7%
54
42.3%
Q3 - 5:08NYKSprewell 12' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
48.2%
54
51.8%
Q3 - 5:28MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)57
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q3 - 5:48NYKSprewell 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)55
48.4%
52
51.6%
Q3 - 5:54NYKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
52.0%
50
48.0%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot55
53.5%
50
46.5%
Q3 - 6:18MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
55.2%
50
44.8%
Q3 - 6:21NYKMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot55
53.9%
50
46.1%
Q3 - 6:25NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
50.9%
50
49.1%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot55
52.2%
50
47.8%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
55.2%
50
44.8%
Q3 - 6:39NYKMISS Sprewell 16' Jump Shot55
53.9%
50
46.1%
Q3 - 6:50NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
50.9%
50
49.1%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot55
52.2%
50
47.8%
Q3 - 6:59MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
55.2%
50
44.8%
Q3 - 7:01NYKMISS Weatherspoon 5' Jump Shot55
52.2%
50
47.8%
Q3 - 7:02NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
49.4%
50
50.6%
Q3 - 7:04NYKMISS Houston Layup55
52.2%
50
47.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)55
49.5%
50
50.5%
Q3 - 7:33MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
53.6%
50
46.4%
Q3 - 7:35NYKMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot55
52.3%
50
47.7%
Q3 - 7:44NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)55
50
Q3 - 7:47MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
49.6%
50
50.4%
Q3 - 7:56NYKJackson P.FOUL (P1.T1)53
50
Q3 - 8:01MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q3 - 8:03NYKMISS Thomas Layup53
44.0%
50
56.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIASprewell STEAL (1 STL)53
41.2%
50
58.8%
Q3 - 8:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q3 - 8:33NYKMISS Weatherspoon 8' Jump Shot53
44.0%
50
56.0%
Q3 - 8:42NYKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
41.2%
50
58.8%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
42.5%
50
57.5%
Q3 - 8:59NYKSprewell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q3 - 8:59NYKKNICKS Rebound53
49
Q3 - 8:59NYKMISS Sprewell Free Throw 1 of 253
46.1%
49
53.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.T2)53
49
Q3 - 9:01MIAMarks P.FOUL (P4.T1)53
49
Q3 - 9:14MIAMarks Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)53
44.5%
49
55.5%
Q3 - 9:26NYKHouston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)51
41.0%
49
59.0%
Q3 - 9:31NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
37.4%
49
62.6%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot51
38.4%
49
61.6%
Q3 - 9:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
41.0%
49
59.0%
Q3 - 9:54NYKMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot51
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q3 - 9:56NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
37.4%
49
62.6%
Q3 - 9:57NYKMISS Weatherspoon 11' Jump Shot51
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMarks 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)51
36.8%
49
63.2%
Q3 - 10:25NYKWeatherspoon 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Houston 2 AST)49
33.6%
49
66.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)49
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
33.3%
47
66.7%
Q3 - 11:06NYKMISS Houston 16' Jump Shot47
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 11:11NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Marks 9' Jump Shot47
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q3 - 11:19MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
33.3%
47
66.7%
Q3 - 11:21NYKMISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot47
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMarks Slam Dunk (4 PTS)47
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q3 - 12:0045
47
Q2 - 0:00.0NYK45
27.4%
47
72.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)45
24.6%
47
75.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0NYKSprewell Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)42
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMack Layup (5 PTS) (House 4 AST)42
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0NYKSprewell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)40
15.9%
47
84.1%
Q2 - 1:02MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 3 AST)40
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q2 - 1:09NYKJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)38
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 1:21NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot38
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 1:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 1:40NYKMISS Sprewell 7' Jump Shot38
12.5%
47
87.5%
Q2 - 1:46NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot38
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 2:04NYKKNICKS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#7)38
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMack Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
11.7%
47
88.3%
Q2 - 2:13NYKSUB: Harrington FOR Weatherspoon37
47
Q2 - 2:13NYKKNICKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)37
47
Q2 - 2:13NYKWeatherspoon S.FOUL (P3.T2)37
47
Q2 - 2:13MIAMack Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 2:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q2 - 2:27NYKMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot35
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 2:45NYKSUB: Houston FOR Anderson35
47
Q2 - 2:45NYKSUB: Jackson FOR Eisley35
47
Q2 - 2:45MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)35
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 2:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q2 - 2:50NYKMISS Sprewell 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 2:54NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 2:56NYKMISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot35
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 3:12MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)35
8.4%
47
91.6%
Q2 - 3:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)33
47
Q2 - 3:29NYKThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)33
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 3:45MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)33
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 4:04NYKSprewell Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q2 - 4:04NYKSprewell OFF.Foul (P1)33
47
Q2 - 4:15MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 4:15NYKSUB: Thomas FOR Harrington32
47
Q2 - 4:15MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 4:15NYKEisley S.FOUL (P1.T1)31
47
Q2 - 4:31NYKEisley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 4:31MIASUB: Stepania FOR Gatling31
46
Q2 - 4:31NYKKNICKS Rebound31
46
Q2 - 4:31NYKMISS Eisley Free Throw 1 of 231
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 4:31MIAGatling P.FOUL (P3.T3)31
46
Q2 - 4:51NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS House 7' Jump Shot31
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 5:04NYKWeatherspoon Layup (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)31
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 5:20NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
8.0%
44
92.0%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot31
8.3%
44
91.7%
Q2 - 5:41NYKSprewell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)31
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 5:41NYKKNICKS Rebound31
43
Q2 - 5:41NYKMISS Sprewell Free Throw 1 of 231
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 5:41MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
43
Q2 - 6:01MIAGatling 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)31
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 6:14NYKWeatherspoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIASUB: Jones FOR Marks29
42
Q2 - 6:14NYKWeatherspoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMarks S.FOUL (P3.T1)29
41
Q2 - 6:28MIASUB: Gatling FOR Carter29
41
Q2 - 6:28NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
41
Q2 - 6:35MIAEllis 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)29
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 6:43NYKEisley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMarks Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)27
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 7:14NYKAnderson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 7:33NYKSUB: Sprewell FOR Houston25
39
Q2 - 7:33MIAMarks Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)25
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 7:49NYKHarrington Layup (7 PTS) (Houston 1 AST)25
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 8:08MIAEllis Layup (4 PTS)25
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 8:09MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Ellis 6' Jump Shot23
8.1%
37
91.9%
Q2 - 8:27NYKHarrington Layup (5 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)23
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 8:41NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
9.6%
35
90.4%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
9.9%
35
90.1%
Q2 - 8:56NYKSUB: Weatherspoon FOR Thomas23
35
Q2 - 8:56MIASUB: Mack FOR Jones23
35
Q2 - 8:5623
35
Q2 - 9:09NYKThomas Layup (5 PTS)23
10.7%
35
89.3%
Q2 - 9:10NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 9:12NYKMISS Eisley 9' Jump Shot23
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 9:16NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot23
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 9:38NYKHouston 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Eisley 1 AST)23
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 10:00MIAJones Reverse Layup (12 PTS)23
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q2 - 10:20NYKAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 10:31NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Ellis 6' Jump Shot21
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 10:42MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot21
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 10:58NYKEisley Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 11:11MIAEllis 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)21
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
13.5%
29
86.5%
Q2 - 11:27NYKMISS Thomas 7' Hook Shot19
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q2 - 11:46MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)19
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q2 - 12:0017
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 53' 3PT Jump Shot17
10.6%
29
89.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0NYKHouston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)17
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
10.7%
29
89.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
10.5%
29
89.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0NYKAnderson S.FOUL (P1.PN)15
29
Q1 - 0:37.0NYKAnderson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)15
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)15
10.7%
27
89.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0NYKHouston Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)15
11.4%
27
88.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0NYKHouston Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)15
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAStepania P.FOUL (P2.PN)15
25
Q1 - 1:10MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)15
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q1 - 1:20MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)13
25
Q1 - 1:24NYKHouston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)13
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q1 - 1:31NYKJump Ball Thomas vs. Brown: Tip to Houston13
22
Q1 - 1:31NYKHarrington Violation:Lane13
22
Q1 - 1:31MIAStepania Violation:Lane13
22
Q1 - 1:31NYKSUB: Anderson FOR Sprewell13
22
Q1 - 1:31NYKThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
14.1%
22
85.9%
Q1 - 1:31MIASUB: House FOR Ellis13
21
Q1 - 1:31MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)13
21
Q1 - 1:31NYKKNICKS Rebound13
15.4%
21
84.6%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Brown 10' Jump Shot13
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 1:56NYKThomas Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
16.3%
21
83.7%
Q1 - 1:57NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 1:58NYKMISS Houston Layup13
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 2:01MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)13
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 2:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 2:12NYKMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot13
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q1 - 2:17NYKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 2:18MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot13
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 2:25MIABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 2:27NYKMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot13
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q1 - 2:35MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)13
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 2:49NYKSprewell 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)13
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 3:14MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)13
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 3:28NYKHouston 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 3:45NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20.9%
15
79.1%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Ellis 12' Jump Shot11
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 3:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
15
Q1 - 4:15NYKHouston 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
22.9%
15
77.1%
Q1 - 4:36MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 4:54MIABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
23.0%
13
77.0%
Q1 - 4:54NYKMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 29
22.8%
13
77.2%
Q1 - 4:54MIASUB: Brown FOR Gatling9
13
Q1 - 4:54NYKHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
22.0%
13
78.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIAGatling L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)9
12
Q1 - 4:54NYKKNICKS Rebound9
23.0%
12
77.0%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot9
23.4%
12
76.6%
Q1 - 5:13NYKHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 5:13NYKHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 5:13MIAGatling P.FOUL (P1.PN)9
10
Q1 - 5:23MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 5:23NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
10
Q1 - 5:23NYKThomas S.FOUL (P1.T4)8
10
Q1 - 5:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 5:23MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 5:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot6
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Stepania Layup6
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 5:54NYKHouston 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)6
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 6:08MIAStepania Violation:Delay Of Game6
8
Q1 - 6:11MIACarter 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 6:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 6:18NYKMISS Houston 14' Jump Shot4
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 6:34NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 24
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 6:35MIAHeat Rebound4
8
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 24
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 6:35NYKHarrington S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
8
Q1 - 6:45NYKSUB: Harrington FOR Weatherspoon4
8
Q1 - 6:45NYKWeatherspoon P.FOUL (P2.T2)4
8
Q1 - 6:51NYKHouston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 7:10MIAStepania Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
22.4%
8
77.6%
Q1 - 7:18NYKWeatherspoon P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
8
Q1 - 7:35NYKSprewell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)4
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 7:42NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
26.2%
5
73.8%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot4
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 7:54MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 7:56NYKMISS Sprewell 20' Jump Shot4
27.3%
5
72.7%
Q1 - 8:16MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)4
26.4%
5
73.6%
Q1 - 8:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 8:32NYKMISS Jackson Layup2
25.2%
5
74.8%
Q1 - 8:38NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.6%
5
75.4%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
24.9%
5
75.1%
Q1 - 8:50MIAHeat Rebound2
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot2
25.1%
5
74.9%
Q1 - 8:59MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 9:01NYKMISS Houston 15' Jump Shot2
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 9:11MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T4)2
5
Q1 - 9:15NYKKNICKS Rebound2
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 9:18NYKMISS Sprewell Layup2
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 9:36MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)2
5
Q1 - 9:36NYKJump Ball Thomas vs. Stepania: Tip to Weatherspoon2
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 9:54NYKSprewell Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
26.8%
5
73.2%
Q1 - 9:54MIASUB: Stepania FOR Marks2
4
Q1 - 9:54MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T3)2
4
Q1 - 9:54NYKSprewell Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)2
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMarks L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:05NYKKNICKS Rebound2
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Gatling 15' Jump Shot2
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 10:27NYKJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 10:39MIACarter Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)2
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 10:40MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Carter Layup2
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 10:54MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 10:56NYKMISS Weatherspoon 8' Jump Shot2
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:28MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:30NYKMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot0
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:43NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:45NYKMISS Sprewell Layup0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:50MIAMarks P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00NYKJump Ball Thomas vs. Marks: Tip to Weatherspoon0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.85 42.5%
NYK
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
17
65%
NYK
11
20
55%
Midrange
MIA
18
50
36%
NYK
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
NYK
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
7
11
64%
NYK
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2250%11.0 / 22
L. Ellis1338%6.5 / 17
E. House1155%5.5 / 10
A. Carter840%4.0 / 10
S. Marks867%4.0 / 6
V. Stepania528%2.5 / 9
S. Mack550%2.5 / 5
C. Gatling233%1.0 / 3
E. Brown0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Houston1761%8.5 / 14
L. Sprewell1647%8.0 / 17
K. Thomas1350%6.5 / 13
C. Weatherspoon1350%6.5 / 13
O. Harrington990%4.5 / 5
S. Anderson964%4.5 / 7
H. Eisley429%2.0 / 7
M. Jackson217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+12
-15
87
NYK
71
+12
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.85 42.5%
NYK
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
99.5
MIA 82.2
NYK 95.4 +13.2
Pace
89.7
91.6
MIA 88.8
NYK 89.0 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.6
MIA 16.2
NYK 16.2 −0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.8%
MIA 42.9%
NYK 45.6% +2.7%
TO %
15.5%
15.3%
MIA 16.2% −1.3%
NYK 17.5%
ORB %
26.7%
25.7%
MIA 19.5%
NYK 27.0% +7.5%
FTrt
26.8
27.4
MIA 14.1
NYK 41.2 +27.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
61.1%
MIA 56.3%
NYK 56.7% +0.4%
STL %
7.4%
7.3%
MIA 6.7%
NYK 8.0% +1.3%
BLK %
8.7%
5.4%
MIA 3.3% +0.3%
NYK 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
49.3%
MIA 42.5%
NYK 48.8% +6.3%
Rim FG%
60.6%
52.9%
MIA 64.7% +9.7%
NYK 55.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
40.9%
MIA 36.0%
NYK 41.5% +5.5%
3P %
34.7%
35.3%
MIA 27.3%
NYK 28.6% +1.3%
FT %
72.4%
78.7%
MIA 63.6%
NYK 75.0% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
28.7%
MIA 21.8%
NYK 29.4% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
50.7%
MIA 64.1%
NYK 60.3% −3.8%
3P Att. %
14.1%
20.6%
MIA 14.1% +3.8%
NYK 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANYK
Possessions9087
Possession Minutes24.323.5
Points7483
Rebounds3543
Assists1817
Steals67
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)33 (3)
Field Goals32-7830-68
At-the-Rim FG11-1711-20
Midrange FG18-5017-41
2-Point FG29-6728-61
3-Point FG3-112-7
Free Throws7-1121-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
41.7
22
50%
7
3
0
0
1
3
2
5
3-3
100%
8-16
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
41.5
13
38%
4
2
0
0
0
4
3
1
0-0
-
5-14
36%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
36.5
8
40%
5
8
1
1
4
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 26
24.8
8
67%
5
0
0
1
3
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
17.3
2
33%
5
0
1
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
29.7
11
55%
0
4
3
0
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
22.2
5
28%
6
0
0
0
3
2
2
4
1-3
33%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" · 31
18.0
5
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 244 · 22
8.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
F · 6'8" 205 · 23
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
43%
35
18
6
2
15
0
8
27
7-11
64%
29-67
43%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.