Final Win Prob. pScore
2356%91
96
2744%89
87
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
102.19497.9
MIA logo Heat
96.79089.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
87
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
87
Q4 - 0:01.0CHHMISS Davis 29' 3PT Jump Shot96
87
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)96
87
Q4 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Brown FOR Gatling96
85
Q4 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Jones96
85
Q4 - 0:39.0CHHCampbell P.FOUL (P4.PN)96
85
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
85
Q4 - 0:40.0CHHMISS Brown 5' Jump Shot96
85
Q4 - 1:01CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)96
85
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Gatling 12' Jump Shot96
85
Q4 - 1:19CHHBrown P.FOUL (P5.T3)96
85
Q4 - 1:19MIAHEAT Rebound96
85
Q4 - 1:20CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot96
85
Q4 - 1:29MIAMack Violation:Kicked Ball96
85
Q4 - 1:39CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)96
85
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
85
Q4 - 1:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
85
Q4 - 1:48CHHMISS Davis Driving Layup96
85
Q4 - 1:57CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
85
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup96
85
Q4 - 2:17CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
85
Q4 - 2:17Hornets Rebound95
85
Q4 - 2:17CHHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 1 of 295
85
Q4 - 2:17MIAHouse S.FOUL (P4.PN)95
85
Q4 - 2:31CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
85
Q4 - 2:33CHHMISS Mashburn Layup95
85
Q4 - 2:39MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)95
85
Q4 - 2:46MIASUB: Ellis FOR Carter95
85
Q4 - 2:46MIASUB: Mack FOR Stepania95
85
Q4 - 2:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)95
85
Q4 - 2:50CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)95
85
Q4 - 2:50MIAHouse S.FOUL (P3.PN)94
85
Q4 - 2:50CHHMashburn Layup (10 PTS)94
85
Q4 - 2:57CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
85
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot92
85
Q4 - 3:11MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
85
Q4 - 3:13CHHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
85
Q4 - 3:36MIAGatling Layup (16 PTS)92
85
Q4 - 3:38MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
83
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot92
83
Q4 - 3:45CHHCarter STEAL (1 STL)92
83
Q4 - 4:03CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
83
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Gatling 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
83
Q4 - 4:24MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)92
83
Q4 - 4:27CHHDavis 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)92
83
Q4 - 4:42MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis90
83
Q4 - 4:42Hornets Rebound90
83
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Stepania 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
83
Q4 - 5:03CHHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)90
83
Q4 - 5:23CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
83
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot87
83
Q4 - 5:36MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)87
83
Q4 - 5:36CHHWesley P.FOUL (P3.T2)87
83
Q4 - 5:46CHHCampbell 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
83
Q4 - 6:05MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
83
Q4 - 6:05MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jones85
82
Q4 - 6:05CHHSUB: Campbell FOR Traylor85
82
Q4 - 6:05CHHSUB: Brown FOR Bullard85
82
Q4 - 6:05MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
82
Q4 - 6:05CHHBullard S.FOUL (P2.T1)85
81
Q4 - 6:25MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
81
Q4 - 6:27CHHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
81
Q4 - 6:46CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
81
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot85
81
Q4 - 6:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
81
Q4 - 6:58CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot85
81
Q4 - 7:13CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
81
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot85
81
Q4 - 7:32CHHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
81
Q4 - 7:32CHHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
81
Q4 - 7:3283
81
Q4 - 7:32MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T4)83
81
Q4 - 7:36MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)83
81
Q4 - 8:03CHHWesley 13' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)83
81
Q4 - 8:24MIAGatling 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)81
81
Q4 - 8:39CHHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)81
79
Q4 - 8:52MIAStepania 8' Running Hook Shot (19 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 9:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
77
Q4 - 9:05CHHMISS Traylor 13' Jump Shot78
77
Q4 - 9:16CHHSUB: Traylor FOR Campbell78
77
Q4 - 9:16MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.T3)78
77
Q4 - 9:34MIAStepania Layup (17 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)78
77
Q4 - 9:51MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
75
Q4 - 9:53CHHStepania BLOCK (7 BLK)78
75
Q4 - 10:02CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
75
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Gatling 11' Jump Shot78
75
Q4 - 10:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)78
75
Q4 - 10:19CHHMISS Campbell Free Throw 1 of 178
75
Q4 - 10:19MIASUB: Carter FOR Ellis78
75
Q4 - 10:19MIAGatling S.FOUL (P3.T2)78
75
Q4 - 10:19CHHCampbell Layup (16 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)78
75
Q4 - 10:30CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
75
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS House 8' Jump Shot76
75
Q4 - 10:54CHHMashburn 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
75
Q4 - 11:16MIAGatling 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
75
Q4 - 11:36MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
73
Q4 - 11:37CHHMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 274
73
Q4 - 11:37CHHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
73
Q4 - 11:37MIAEllis S.FOUL (P5.T1)73
73
Q4 - 12:0073
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
73
Q3 - 0:00.0CHHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot73
73
Q3 - 0:17.0CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
73
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
73
Q3 - 0:37.0CHHDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)73
73
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
73
Q3 - 0:37.0CHHDavis Driving Layup (16 PTS)72
73
Q3 - 0:43.0CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)70
73
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAGatling T.FOUL (P2.T2)69
73
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAGatling P.FOUL (P2.T2)69
73
Q3 - 0:51.0CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)69
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAStepania T.FOUL (P1.T1)68
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAStepania Violation:Lane68
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Rebound68
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 268
73
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
73
Q3 - 0:51.0CHHCampbell L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)68
72
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Rebound68
72
Q3 - 0:51.0CHHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot68
72
Q3 - 1:12MIAStepania 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
72
Q3 - 1:36CHHBullard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)68
70
Q3 - 1:48CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
70
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 265
70
Q3 - 1:50MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
70
Q3 - 1:50CHHSUB: Campbell FOR Magloire65
69
Q3 - 1:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)65
69
Q3 - 1:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 1:50CHHMagloire Ejection:Second Technical65
67
Q3 - 1:50CHHMagloire T.FOUL (P4.PN)65
67
Q3 - 1:50CHHMagloire L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)65
67
Q3 - 1:50MIAHEAT Rebound65
67
Q3 - 1:51CHHEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)65
67
Q3 - 1:59CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)65
67
Q3 - 1:59MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Stepania )64
67
Q3 - 2:14MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)64
67
Q3 - 2:14CHHBullard S.FOUL (P1.PN)64
66
Q3 - 2:14MIAJones Driving Layup (19 PTS)64
66
Q3 - 2:34CHHDavis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
64
Q3 - 2:45MIAHouse P.FOUL (P2.T1)62
64
Q3 - 2:54CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
64
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 262
64
Q3 - 2:56MIASUB: Gatling FOR Carter62
64
Q3 - 2:56MIAHEAT Rebound62
64
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 262
64
Q3 - 2:56CHHMagloire S.FOUL (P3.T4)62
64
Q3 - 3:21CHHWesley 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
64
Q3 - 3:40CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
64
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Carter Layup60
64
Q3 - 4:02CHHMashburn 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 4:10CHHSUB: Bullard FOR Traylor58
64
Q3 - 4:10CHHSUB: Mashburn FOR Nailon58
64
Q3 - 4:10CHHSUB: Magloire FOR Campbell58
64
Q3 - 4:10Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 2)58
64
Q3 - 4:21MIAEllis Tip Shot (8 PTS)58
64
Q3 - 4:22MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
62
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Ellis Layup58
62
Q3 - 4:37MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
62
Q3 - 4:39CHHMISS Wesley 11' Jump Shot58
62
Q3 - 4:58MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)58
62
Q3 - 5:17CHHCampbell Layup (14 PTS)58
60
Q3 - 5:39MIACarter Layup (10 PTS) (House 3 AST)56
60
Q3 - 5:42MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
58
Q3 - 5:44CHHStepania BLOCK (6 BLK)56
58
Q3 - 5:59MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
58
Q3 - 6:16CHHSUB: Traylor FOR Brown56
56
Q3 - 6:16CHHBrown L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)56
56
Q3 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound56
56
Q3 - 6:18CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot56
56
Q3 - 6:37MIAStepania Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)56
56
Q3 - 6:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)56
54
Q3 - 6:57CHHCampbell Layup (12 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)56
54
Q3 - 7:14MIAHouse 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
54
Q3 - 7:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
52
Q3 - 7:23CHHMISS Campbell Layup54
52
Q3 - 7:35MIAEllis 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)54
52
Q3 - 7:53CHHWesley Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
50
Q3 - 8:09MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)52
50
Q3 - 8:23CHHDavis 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
50
Q3 - 8:30CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
50
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
50
Q3 - 8:46MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
50
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot50
50
Q3 - 8:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
50
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot50
50
Q3 - 8:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
50
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot50
50
Q3 - 9:06CHHDavis 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
50
Q3 - 9:20MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
50
Q3 - 9:20MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
49
Q3 - 9:20CHHBrown S.FOUL (P3.T2)48
48
Q3 - 9:32CHHSUB: Nailon FOR Mashburn48
48
Q3 - 9:32CHHDavis P.FOUL (P2.T1)48
48
Q3 - 9:39CHHBrown Layup (6 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)48
48
Q3 - 9:43MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)46
48
Q3 - 10:02CHHBrown 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)46
48
Q3 - 10:12Hornets Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 2)44
48
Q3 - 10:23MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)44
48
Q3 - 10:33MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
46
Q3 - 10:35CHHMISS Campbell 7' Jump Shot44
46
Q3 - 10:53MIACarter 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
46
Q3 - 11:08CHHWesley 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
44
Q3 - 11:30CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
44
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS House 4' Running Finger Roll42
44
Q3 - 11:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
44
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot42
44
Q3 - 12:0042
44
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
44
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
44
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 41' 3PT Jump Shot42
44
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
44
Q2 - 0:02.0CHHMISS Bullard 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
44
Q2 - 0:15.0CHHSUB: Bullard FOR Magloire42
44
Q2 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Jones42
44
Q2 - 0:15.0Hornets Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)42
44
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMack Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)42
44
Q2 - 0:31.0CHHWesley Foul Turnover (P1.T8)42
44
Q2 - 0:31.0CHHWesley OFF.Foul (P2)42
44
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)42
44
Q2 - 0:57.0CHHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)42
41
Q2 - 1:02CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
41
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Stepania Layup42
41
Q2 - 1:11MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
41
Q2 - 1:15CHHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 1:27MIASUB: Mack FOR Ellis42
41
Q2 - 1:27MIAEllis P.FOUL (P4.T4)42
41
Q2 - 1:43MIAGatling 12' Hook Shot (8 PTS)42
41
Q2 - 1:53CHHWesley P.FOUL (P1.T4)42
39
Q2 - 2:09CHHBrown L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)42
39
Q2 - 2:09MIAHEAT Rebound42
39
Q2 - 2:09CHHMISS Mashburn 20' Jump Shot42
39
Q2 - 2:19MIAEllis P.FOUL (P3.T3)42
39
Q2 - 2:33MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)42
39
Q2 - 2:48CHHSUB: Davis FOR Campbell42
36
Q2 - 2:48Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
36
Q2 - 2:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)42
36
Q2 - 2:55CHHWesley 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)42
36
Q2 - 3:06CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)40
36
Q2 - 3:06MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Gatling )39
36
Q2 - 3:16MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)39
36
Q2 - 3:30CHHMashburn Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
36
Q2 - 3:44CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
36
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 3:59CHHSUB: Wesley FOR Nailon37
36
Q2 - 3:59CHHNailon Foul Turnover (P2.T6)37
36
Q2 - 3:59CHHNailon OFF.Foul (P1)37
36
Q2 - 4:02CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
36
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 4:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
36
Q2 - 4:15CHHMISS Magloire 9' Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 4:18CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
36
Q2 - 4:20CHHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot37
36
Q2 - 4:39MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
36
Q2 - 5:00CHHSUB: Magloire FOR Davis37
34
Q2 - 5:00CHHNailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
34
Q2 - 5:00Hornets Rebound36
34
Q2 - 5:00CHHMISS Nailon Free Throw 1 of 236
34
Q2 - 5:0036
34
Q2 - 5:00MIAGatling S.FOUL (P1.T2)36
34
Q2 - 5:10MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
34
Q2 - 5:21MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
34
Q2 - 5:23CHHMISS Nailon Alley Oop Layup36
34
Q2 - 5:39MIAStepania 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
34
Q2 - 5:43MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
32
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Stepania 7' Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 5:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
32
Q2 - 5:56CHHMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 6:15CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
32
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 6:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
32
Q2 - 6:37CHHMISS Nailon 8' Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 6:56MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
32
Q2 - 6:56MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mack36
31
Q2 - 6:56MIASUB: Carter FOR House36
31
Q2 - 6:56MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
31
Q2 - 6:56CHHSUB: Brown FOR Traylor36
30
Q2 - 6:56CHHSUB: Davis FOR Drew36
30
Q2 - 6:56CHHDrew S.FOUL (P1.T2)36
30
Q2 - 7:07CHHNailon 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
30
Q2 - 7:31MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (House 2 AST)34
30
Q2 - 7:44CHHNailon Layup (4 PTS) (Drew 1 AST)34
28
Q2 - 7:52CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
28
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Mack 21' Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 8:08CHHSUB: Mashburn FOR Wesley32
28
Q2 - 8:08MIAHEAT Rebound32
28
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS House Free Throw Technical32
28
Q2 - 8:0832
28
Q2 - 8:08CHHTraylor T.FOUL (P1.T1)32
28
Q2 - 8:09CHHTraylor Dunk (2 PTS)32
28
Q2 - 8:30MIAGatling Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
28
Q2 - 8:45CHHCampbell Layup (10 PTS)30
26
Q2 - 8:47CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
26
Q2 - 8:51CHHStepania BLOCK (5 BLK)28
26
Q2 - 9:08CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
26
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
26
Q2 - 9:26CHHCampbell Layup (8 PTS)28
26
Q2 - 9:42MIAStepania 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS)26
26
Q2 - 9:57CHHNailon 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
24
Q2 - 10:09Hornets Rebound24
24
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot24
24
Q2 - 10:26CHHDrew Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)24
24
Q2 - 10:47MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
24
Q2 - 10:53CHHHouse STEAL (1 STL)24
22
Q2 - 11:03MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
22
Q2 - 11:05Hornets Rebound24
22
Q2 - 11:06CHHStepania BLOCK (4 BLK)24
22
Q2 - 11:24MIAMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
22
Q2 - 11:24MIAHEAT Rebound24
21
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Mack Free Throw 1 of 224
21
Q2 - 11:24CHHTraylor S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
21
Q2 - 11:28MIAMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
21
Q2 - 11:30CHHJones BLOCK (1 BLK)24
21
Q2 - 11:45MIAGatling Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
21
Q2 - 12:0024
19
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
19
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
19
Q1 - 0:03.0CHHMISS Bullard 19' Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 0:23.0CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 224
19
Q1 - 0:24.0CHHSUB: Bullard FOR Brown24
19
Q1 - 0:24.0CHHSUB: Traylor FOR Magloire24
19
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
19
Q1 - 0:24.0CHHMagloire S.FOUL (P2.PN)24
18
Q1 - 0:37.0CHHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)24
18
Q1 - 0:54.0Hornets Rebound21
18
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 221
18
Q1 - 0:56.0CHHSUB: Nailon FOR Mashburn21
18
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
18
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 221
18
Q1 - 0:56.0CHHMagloire L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)21
18
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
18
Q1 - 0:56.0CHHMISS Magloire Tip Shot21
18
Q1 - 0:57.0CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
18
Q1 - 0:58.0CHHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 1:12Hornets Rebound21
18
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot21
18
Q1 - 1:33CHHWesley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
18
Q1 - 1:35CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
18
Q1 - 1:37CHHMISS Magloire 9' Hook Shot19
18
Q1 - 1:53CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
18
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Gatling 9' Jump Shot19
18
Q1 - 2:05CHHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
18
Q1 - 2:05MIASUB: Mack FOR Ellis18
18
Q1 - 2:05CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 2:05MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.PN)17
18
Q1 - 2:08CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
18
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Gatling 16' Jump Shot17
18
Q1 - 2:16MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
18
Q1 - 2:18CHHMISS Mashburn Layup17
18
Q1 - 2:25CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot17
18
Q1 - 2:41CHHMagloire Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)17
18
Q1 - 2:49CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
18
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:10CHHGatling STEAL (1 STL)15
18
Q1 - 3:15CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
18
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Gatling 15' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
18
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:34MIASUB: Gatling FOR Jones15
18
Q1 - 3:34MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 3:3415
17
Q1 - 3:36CHHJones STEAL (2 STL)15
17
Q1 - 3:51CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 115
17
Q1 - 3:52CHHDavis S.FOUL (P1.PN)15
17
Q1 - 3:52MIACarter 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 3:57MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
15
Q1 - 3:59CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot15
15
Q1 - 4:09MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
15
Q1 - 4:29MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
15
Q1 - 4:31CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot15
15
Q1 - 4:35Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
15
Q1 - 4:53CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot15
15
Q1 - 5:07CHHBrown P.FOUL (P1.T4)15
15
Q1 - 5:25CHHDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
15
Q1 - 5:25MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
15
Q1 - 5:25MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T4)14
15
Q1 - 5:25CHHDavis Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
15
Q1 - 5:31CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
15
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot12
15
Q1 - 5:46MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
15
Q1 - 5:48CHHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
15
Q1 - 6:11MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)12
15
Q1 - 6:18MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12
Q1 - 6:20CHHMISS Magloire 6' Jump Shot12
12
Q1 - 6:39MIAStepania 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
12
Q1 - 6:44CHHJones STEAL (1 STL)12
10
Q1 - 6:49CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot12
10
Q1 - 7:09MIAHEAT Rebound12
10
Q1 - 7:10CHHStepania BLOCK (3 BLK)12
10
Q1 - 7:28MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
10
Q1 - 7:28MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
9
Q1 - 7:28CHHMashburn S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
8
Q1 - 7:45CHHSUB: Magloire FOR Campbell12
8
Q1 - 7:45CHHCampbell L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)12
8
Q1 - 7:45MIAHEAT Rebound12
8
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup12
8
Q1 - 7:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
8
Q1 - 7:56CHHMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot12
8
Q1 - 8:06Hornets Rebound12
8
Q1 - 8:09CHHStepania BLOCK (2 BLK)12
8
Q1 - 8:17MIAJones 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
8
Q1 - 8:30CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
6
Q1 - 8:30CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
6
Q1 - 8:30MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.T3)10
6
Q1 - 8:46MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
6
Q1 - 8:51CHHCampbell Dunk (6 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 8:54CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
6
Q1 - 8:56CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 9:14MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 9:34CHHCampbell Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 9:49MIAEllis L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)6
4
Q1 - 9:49Hornets Rebound6
4
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 10:10CHHDavis Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 10:11CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
4
Q1 - 10:13CHHStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)4
4
Q1 - 10:23MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 10:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 10:27CHHMISS Brown Tip Shot4
4
Q1 - 10:28CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
4
Q1 - 10:29CHHMISS Campbell 4' Hook Shot4
4
Q1 - 10:50MIAEllis Layup (2 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:59CHHCampbell P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 11:18CHHMashburn 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 11:24MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:32MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:48CHHCampbell 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Campbell: Tip to Davis0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCHHMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHH
1.03 51.6%
MIA
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHH
19
36
53%
MIA
10
18
56%
Midrange
CHH
15
37
41%
MIA
21
45
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHH
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
MIA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
CHH
16
20
80%
MIA
16
26
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Davis2372%11.5 / 16
D. Wesley2162%10.5 / 17
E. Campbell1860%9.0 / 15
J. Mashburn1235%6.0 / 17
L. Nailon758%3.5 / 6
P. Brown638%3.0 / 8
J. Magloire429%2.0 / 7
M. Bullard350%1.5 / 3
R. Traylor225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2269%11.0 / 16
V. Stepania1948%9.5 / 20
C. Gatling1653%8.0 / 15
E. House1137%5.5 / 15
A. Carter1045%5.0 / 11
L. Ellis844%4.0 / 9
S. Mack125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHH
85
+8
-9
93
MIA
80
+10
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHH
1.03 51.6%
MIA
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
96.1
CHH 102.1 +5.5
MIA 96.7
Pace
94.4
89.7
CHH 97.9 +8.1
MIA 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.7
CHH 14.7 −1.3
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.6%
46.3%
CHH 48.2% +1.5%
MIA 46.7%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
CHH 8.9% −1.4%
MIA 10.3%
ORB %
30.6%
26.7%
CHH 21.1% +1.1%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
32.0
26.8
CHH 24.1
MIA 34.2 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
59.4%
CHH 31.6%
MIA 38.2% +6.6%
STL %
8.7%
7.4%
CHH 5.3%
MIA 5.6% +0.3%
BLK %
8.4%
8.7%
CHH 4.8%
MIA 12.3% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
47.7%
CHH 51.6% +4.3%
MIA 47.3%
Rim FG%
55.4%
60.6%
CHH 52.8%
MIA 55.6% +2.8%
Mid FG%
39.2%
38.0%
CHH 40.5%
MIA 46.7% +6.2%
3P %
34.8%
34.7%
CHH 40.0% +16.9%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
74.5%
72.4%
CHH 80.0% +18.5%
MIA 61.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
28.1%
CHH 43.4% +19.7%
MIA 23.7%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
57.8%
CHH 44.6% −14.6%
MIA 59.2%
3P Att. %
15.1%
14.1%
CHH 12.0%
MIA 17.1% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHHMIA
Possessions9490
Possession Minutes23.124.1
Points9687
Rebounds4038
Assists1213
Steals55
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)30 (7)
Field Goals38-8334-76
At-the-Rim FG19-3610-18
Midrange FG15-3721-45
2-Point FG34-7331-63
3-Point FG4-103-13
Free Throws16-2016-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 203 · 31
43.9
21
62%
3
3
0
0
1
3
0
3
6-6
100%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 212 · 23
40.7
23
72%
6
4
1
0
1
2
3
3
3-4
75%
7-9
78%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 247 · 29
37.8
12
35%
5
1
2
0
3
1
0
5
2-3
67%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 279 · 33
31.9
18
60%
10
1
0
2
0
4
1
9
0-1
0%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 239 · 32
30.3
6
38%
3
2
1
0
1
5
1
2
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
14.4
4
29%
8
0
0
1
0
4
2
6
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 27
14.3
7
58%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 25
10.8
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 34
10.8
3
50%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 184 · 27
5.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 33
G · 6'3" · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
40
12
5
3
9
0
8
32
16-20
80%
34-73
47%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.