Final Win Prob. pScore
178%96
80
2822%86
73
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo Timberwolves
95.28485.4
MIA logo Heat
86.98483.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN80
73
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJones Reverse Layup (12 PTS)80
73
Q4 - 0:28.0MINNesterovic Dunk (16 PTS) (Brandon 5 AST)80
71
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAStepania Layup (11 PTS) (House 2 AST)78
71
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
69
Q4 - 0:56.0MINMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot78
69
Q4 - 1:12MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)78
69
Q4 - 1:14MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot78
69
Q4 - 1:35MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)78
69
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot78
69
Q4 - 2:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
69
Q4 - 2:03MINMISS Peeler 21' Jump Shot78
69
Q4 - 2:21MIAHEAT Turnover: Inbound (T#17)78
69
Q4 - 2:21MINBrandon Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)78
69
Q4 - 2:21MIAHEAT Foul77
69
Q4 - 2:21MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 7 Short 2)77
69
Q4 - 2:21MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 2)77
69
Q4 - 2:24MINNesterovic Layup (14 PTS) (Peeler 2 AST)77
69
Q4 - 2:39MINBrandon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
69
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot75
69
Q4 - 2:57MINSzczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)75
69
Q4 - 3:11MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)72
69
Q4 - 3:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)72
69
Q4 - 3:16MINMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 3:29MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
69
Q4 - 3:30MINMISS Peeler 3PT Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 3:48MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
69
Q4 - 3:48MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)72
68
Q4 - 3:48MINBrandon P.FOUL (P2.PN)72
67
Q4 - 4:06MINBrandon Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
67
Q4 - 4:06MINBrandon Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
67
Q4 - 4:06MIAStrickland L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)70
67
Q4 - 4:21MINTimberwolves Rebound70
67
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 270
67
Q4 - 4:22MIAHEAT Rebound70
67
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 270
67
Q4 - 4:22MINSUB: Nesterovic FOR Smith70
67
Q4 - 4:22MINSmith L.B.FOUL (P6.PN)70
67
Q4 - 4:22MIAHEAT Rebound70
67
Q4 - 4:24MINMISS Smith Reverse Layup70
67
Q4 - 4:37MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)70
67
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 270
67
Q4 - 4:38MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
67
Q4 - 4:38MINSmith L.B.FOUL (P5.PN)70
66
Q4 - 4:38MIAHEAT Rebound70
66
Q4 - 4:39MINMISS Brandon 19' Jump Shot70
66
Q4 - 4:53MIAStepania Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)70
66
Q4 - 4:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)70
64
Q4 - 4:55MIASUB: Ellis FOR Marks70
64
Q4 - 4:55MIAHEAT Rebound70
64
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot70
64
Q4 - 5:10MINPeeler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)70
64
Q4 - 5:28MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)68
64
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 268
64
Q4 - 5:31MIAHEAT Rebound68
64
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 268
64
Q4 - 5:31MINSUB: Smith FOR Nesterovic68
64
Q4 - 5:31MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P5.T4)68
64
Q4 - 5:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
64
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Stepania Layup68
64
Q4 - 5:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)68
64
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot68
64
Q4 - 5:56MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
64
Q4 - 5:58MINJones BLOCK (1 BLK)68
64
Q4 - 6:13MIAHouse 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)68
64
Q4 - 6:21MIASUB: Marks FOR Gatling68
62
Q4 - 6:21MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)68
62
Q4 - 6:21MINSzczerbiak P.FOUL (P2.T3)68
62
Q4 - 6:31MINNesterovic Layup (12 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)68
62
Q4 - 6:45MINTimberwolves Rebound66
62
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Stepania 4' Jump Shot66
62
Q4 - 7:04MINSzczerbiak L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)66
62
Q4 - 7:04MIAHEAT Rebound66
62
Q4 - 7:05MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot66
62
Q4 - 7:10MINSUB: Brandon FOR Billups66
62
Q4 - 7:10MINTimberwolves Rebound66
62
Q4 - 7:11MINStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)66
62
Q4 - 7:32MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)66
62
Q4 - 7:39MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
59
Q4 - 7:41MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot66
59
Q4 - 8:00MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
59
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot66
59
Q4 - 8:18MINSzczerbiak 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
59
Q4 - 8:30MINSUB: Garnett FOR Smith64
59
Q4 - 8:3064
59
Q4 - 8:43MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)64
59
Q4 - 8:51MINBillups 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)64
57
Q4 - 9:09MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
57
Q4 - 9:10MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 262
57
Q4 - 9:10MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
57
Q4 - 9:10MINSmith S.FOUL (P4.T1)62
56
Q4 - 9:11MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
56
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
56
Q4 - 9:27MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)62
56
Q4 - 9:27MINSUB: Szczerbiak FOR Garnett62
55
Q4 - 9:27MINTimberwolves T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Smith )62
55
Q4 - 9:41MINSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
55
Q4 - 9:41MINSmith OFF.Foul (P3)62
55
Q4 - 9:50MIASUB: Stepania FOR Ellis62
55
Q4 - 9:50MIAGatling P.FOUL (P3.T4)62
55
Q4 - 9:55MIASUB: Strickland FOR Marks62
55
Q4 - 9:55MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.T3)62
55
Q4 - 10:15MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
55
Q4 - 10:38MINGarnett Layup (10 PTS)62
53
Q4 - 10:40MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)60
53
Q4 - 10:42MINMISS Garnett 5' Jump Shot60
53
Q4 - 10:57MINSUB: Nesterovic FOR Trent60
53
Q4 - 10:57MIAGatling P.FOUL (P2.T2)60
53
Q4 - 10:57MINTimberwolves Rebound60
53
Q4 - 10:58MINMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot60
53
Q4 - 11:11MIAMarks Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS)60
53
Q4 - 11:13MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)60
51
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot60
51
Q4 - 11:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
51
Q4 - 11:23MINMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot60
51
Q4 - 11:32MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.T1)60
51
Q4 - 11:43MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)60
51
Q4 - 12:0060
48
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
48
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)60
48
Q3 - 0:00.0MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot60
48
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)60
48
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
48
Q3 - 0:03.0MINMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot60
48
Q3 - 0:25.0MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
48
Q3 - 0:28.0MINMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot60
48
Q3 - 0:44.0MINTrent REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
48
Q3 - 0:46.0MINMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot60
48
Q3 - 1:06MINTrent REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
48
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot60
48
Q3 - 1:15MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
48
Q3 - 1:17MINMISS Trent 12' Jump Shot60
48
Q3 - 1:45MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)60
48
Q3 - 2:01MINSmith 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
46
Q3 - 2:14MINTrent REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
46
Q3 - 2:16MINMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot58
46
Q3 - 2:29MINSUB: Billups FOR Brandon58
46
Q3 - 2:29MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T2)58
46
Q3 - 2:38MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
46
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Marks 5' Jump Shot58
46
Q3 - 2:53MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
46
Q3 - 2:54MINMISS Trent Free Throw 2 of 258
46
Q3 - 2:54MINTimberwolves Rebound58
46
Q3 - 2:54MINMISS Trent Free Throw 1 of 258
46
Q3 - 2:54MIASUB: Gatling FOR Stepania58
46
Q3 - 2:54MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)58
46
Q3 - 2:54MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T1)58
46
Q3 - 2:59MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)58
46
Q3 - 3:11MIASUB: House FOR Carter58
46
Q3 - 3:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)58
46
Q3 - 3:18MINSzczerbiak Driving Layup (17 PTS)58
46
Q3 - 3:32MIAMarks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)56
46
Q3 - 3:39MINSzczerbiak Driving Layup (15 PTS)56
46
Q3 - 3:44MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
46
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
46
Q3 - 4:10MINGarnett 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
46
Q3 - 4:24MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
46
Q3 - 4:42MINTrent Foul Turnover (P2.T8)52
44
Q3 - 4:42MINTrent OFF.Foul (P2)52
44
Q3 - 4:48MINTrent REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
44
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot52
44
Q3 - 5:09MIAHEAT Rebound52
44
Q3 - 5:11MINMISS Trent 4' Jump Shot52
44
Q3 - 5:13MINTrent REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
44
Q3 - 5:15MINMISS Brandon 15' Jump Shot52
44
Q3 - 5:21MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)52
44
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot52
44
Q3 - 5:40MINSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
44
Q3 - 6:03MIAStepania 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
44
Q3 - 6:26MINBrandon Dunk (16 PTS)50
42
Q3 - 6:29MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)48
42
Q3 - 6:40MINTrent Foul Turnover (P1.T7)48
42
Q3 - 6:40MINTrent OFF.Foul (P1)48
42
Q3 - 6:45MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)48
42
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot48
42
Q3 - 6:54MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)48
42
Q3 - 6:56MINMISS Brandon 18' Jump Shot48
42
Q3 - 7:14MINTimberwolves Rebound48
42
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot48
42
Q3 - 7:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
42
Q3 - 7:30MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot48
42
Q3 - 7:43MIAStepania Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)48
42
Q3 - 7:58MINSUB: Trent FOR Nesterovic48
40
Q3 - 7:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)48
40
Q3 - 8:01MINSzczerbiak 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
40
Q3 - 8:08MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)46
40
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot46
40
Q3 - 8:22MINSzczerbiak 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)46
40
Q3 - 8:39MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)44
40
Q3 - 8:52MINNesterovic L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)44
37
Q3 - 8:52MIAHEAT Rebound44
37
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot44
37
Q3 - 9:08MINSmith L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)44
37
Q3 - 9:08MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
37
Q3 - 9:09MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot44
37
Q3 - 9:19MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
37
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot44
37
Q3 - 9:41MINNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
37
Q3 - 9:58MIAMarks 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
37
Q3 - 10:23MINGarnett 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
35
Q3 - 10:25MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
35
Q3 - 10:27MINMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot42
35
Q3 - 10:46MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
35
Q3 - 10:46MIAHEAT Rebound42
34
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 242
34
Q3 - 10:46MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T1)42
34
Q3 - 10:56MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
34
Q3 - 10:58MINMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot42
34
Q3 - 11:20MIAEllis 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
34
Q3 - 11:44MINJones STEAL (1 STL)42
32
Q3 - 12:0042
32
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
32
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
32
Q2 - 0:00.0MINMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot42
32
Q2 - 0:21.0MINMitchell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
32
Q2 - 0:23.0MINMISS Garnett 16' Turnaround Jump Shot42
32
Q2 - 0:36.0MIASUB: Stepania FOR Marks42
32
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMarks P.FOUL (P3.T3)42
32
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAEllis Layup (10 PTS)42
32
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
30
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Mack 20' Jump Shot42
30
Q2 - 1:01MINBrandon P.FOUL (P1.T2)42
30
Q2 - 1:07MINSzczerbiak Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)42
30
Q2 - 1:23MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
30
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot42
30
Q2 - 1:49MINSmith Layup (4 PTS) (Brandon 4 AST)42
30
Q2 - 2:02MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
30
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 140
30
Q2 - 2:04MIASUB: House FOR Strickland40
30
Q2 - 2:04MINSUB: Mitchell FOR Nesterovic40
30
Q2 - 2:0440
30
Q2 - 2:04MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T1)40
30
Q2 - 2:04MIAEllis 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)40
30
Q2 - 2:26MINGarnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
28
Q2 - 2:39MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)38
28
Q2 - 3:00MINTimberwolves Violation: Delay of game Violation38
26
Q2 - 3:02MINNesterovic Layup (10 PTS)38
26
Q2 - 3:04MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)36
26
Q2 - 3:06MINMISS Brandon Driving Layup36
26
Q2 - 3:16MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
26
Q2 - 3:18MIAMISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot36
26
Q2 - 3:27MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
26
Q2 - 3:29MINMISS Nesterovic Layup36
26
Q2 - 3:42MIAMarks 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)36
26
Q2 - 4:01MIASUB: Ellis FOR Stepania36
24
Q2 - 4:01MINSUB: Garnett FOR Peeler36
24
Q2 - 4:01MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)36
24
Q2 - 4:07MINSzczerbiak Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Brandon 3 AST)36
24
Q2 - 4:11MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
24
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
24
Q2 - 4:32MINSzczerbiak 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
24
Q2 - 4:49MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
24
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Marks Layup32
24
Q2 - 4:53MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)32
24
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Stepania 4' Jump Shot32
24
Q2 - 4:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
24
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot32
24
Q2 - 5:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
24
Q2 - 5:19MINMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 232
24
Q2 - 5:19MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
24
Q2 - 5:19MIAMack S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
24
Q2 - 5:23MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)31
24
Q2 - 5:30MINBrandon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)31
24
Q2 - 5:30MIASUB: Mack FOR Hamilton30
24
Q2 - 5:30MIASUB: Carter FOR House30
24
Q2 - 5:30MINBrandon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)30
24
Q2 - 5:30MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
24
Q2 - 5:33MIAHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)29
24
Q2 - 5:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
24
Q2 - 5:57MINNesterovic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
24
Q2 - 6:06MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
24
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot27
24
Q2 - 6:25MINNesterovic Dunk (6 PTS)27
24
Q2 - 6:27MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)25
24
Q2 - 6:29MINMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot25
24
Q2 - 6:46MINSUB: Brandon FOR Billups25
24
Q2 - 6:46MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)25
24
Q2 - 6:58MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)25
24
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot25
24
Q2 - 7:13MINNesterovic Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)25
24
Q2 - 7:20MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)23
24
Q2 - 7:33MINSUB: Nesterovic FOR Trent23
24
Q2 - 7:35MIASUB: Marks FOR Gatling23
24
Q2 - 7:35MINSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
24
Q2 - 7:54MIAHamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)23
24
Q2 - 8:03MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22
Q2 - 8:05MINMISS Trent Layup23
22
Q2 - 8:17MINSUB: Smith FOR Woods23
22
Q2 - 8:17MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)23
22
Q2 - 8:19MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)23
22
Q2 - 8:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
20
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot23
20
Q2 - 8:42MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
20
Q2 - 8:44MINMISS Trent 13' Jump Shot23
20
Q2 - 9:03MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)23
20
Q2 - 9:15MINWoods 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)23
18
Q2 - 9:25MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot23
18
Q2 - 9:34MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)23
18
Q2 - 9:34MINSUB: Szczerbiak FOR Garnett23
17
Q2 - 9:34MINTimberwolves T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Trent )23
17
Q2 - 9:45MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17
Q2 - 9:47MINMISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot23
17
Q2 - 9:57MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
17
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Stepania Layup23
17
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Ellis23
17
Q2 - 10:15MIASUB: Stepania FOR Marks23
17
Q2 - 10:15MIAHEAT Rebound23
17
Q2 - 10:17MINMISS Peeler 18' Jump Shot23
17
Q2 - 10:38MIAHouse Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
17
Q2 - 10:42MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
15
Q2 - 10:44MINMISS Trent Layup23
15
Q2 - 10:58MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)23
15
Q2 - 11:03MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
15
Q2 - 11:04MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot23
15
Q2 - 11:16MINWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
15
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot23
15
Q2 - 11:33MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
15
Q2 - 11:35MINMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot23
15
Q2 - 11:38MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
15
Q2 - 11:40MINMISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot23
15
Q2 - 12:0023
15
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
15
Q1 - 0:14.0MINTrent Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
15
Q1 - 0:14.0MINSUB: Billups FOR Brandon22
15
Q1 - 0:14.0MINTimberwolves Rebound22
15
Q1 - 0:14.0MINMISS Trent Free Throw 1 of 222
15
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMarks S.FOUL (P2.PN)22
15
Q1 - 0:18.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
15
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Gatling 2' Jump Shot22
15
Q1 - 0:35.0MINBrandon Finger Roll (12 PTS)22
15
Q1 - 0:44.0MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter20
15
Q1 - 0:49.0MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
15
Q1 - 1:06MINBrandon 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
15
Q1 - 1:26MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)18
15
Q1 - 1:40MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
13
Q1 - 1:42MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot18
13
Q1 - 1:48MINSUB: Trent FOR Szczerbiak18
13
Q1 - 1:48MINSUB: Peeler FOR Smith18
13
Q1 - 1:48MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
13
Q1 - 1:53MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot18
13
Q1 - 2:09MINBrandon 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
13
Q1 - 2:19MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)16
13
Q1 - 2:28MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
13
Q1 - 2:30MINMISS Nesterovic 7' Hook Shot16
13
Q1 - 2:47MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
13
Q1 - 3:02MINSmith P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
11
Q1 - 3:13MIAHEAT Rebound16
11
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS House Free Throw Technical16
11
Q1 - 3:13MINTimberwolves T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Nesterovic )16
11
Q1 - 3:30MINEllis STEAL (1 STL)16
11
Q1 - 3:35MINBrandon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11
Q1 - 3:37MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot16
11
Q1 - 3:50MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
11
Q1 - 3:52MINMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot16
11
Q1 - 4:10MIAMarks Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)16
11
Q1 - 4:27MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
9
Q1 - 4:27MIASUB: House FOR Jones15
9
Q1 - 4:27MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
9
Q1 - 4:27MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.PN)14
9
Q1 - 4:28MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
9
Q1 - 4:30MINMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot14
9
Q1 - 4:42MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)14
9
Q1 - 4:52MIAEllis 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 4:53MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
7
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot14
7
Q1 - 5:14MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
7
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot14
7
Q1 - 5:31MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
7
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Ellis 10' Jump Shot14
7
Q1 - 5:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
7
Q1 - 5:53MINBrandon Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)14
7
Q1 - 6:05MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
7
Q1 - 6:05MIAGatling OFF.Foul (P1)12
7
Q1 - 6:13MINSmith 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brandon 2 AST)12
7
Q1 - 6:32MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
7
Q1 - 6:32MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 6:32MIASUB: Gatling FOR Stepania10
5
Q1 - 6:32MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T1)10
5
Q1 - 6:39MINBrandon 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
5
Q1 - 6:51MIAStepania P.FOUL (P2.T3)8
5
Q1 - 7:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)8
5
Q1 - 7:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
2
Q1 - 7:25MINMISS Szczerbiak 17' Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 7:30MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
2
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Stepania 9' Hook Shot8
2
Q1 - 7:56MINSzczerbiak Dunk (2 PTS) (Brandon 1 AST)8
2
Q1 - 8:00MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 8:15MINNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)6
2
Q1 - 8:33MIAJones Foul Turnover (P2.T3)4
2
Q1 - 8:33MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)4
2
Q1 - 8:52MINBrandon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 9:00MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 9:05MINBrandon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Ellis 8' Hook Shot2
2
Q1 - 9:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 9:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 9:23MINMISS Brandon 18' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 9:36MIAMarks P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 9:46MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 9:46MIAStepania OFF.Foul (P1)2
2
Q1 - 10:05MIAHEAT Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:06MINMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:19MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:21MINMISS Brandon 9' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:33MIAMarks Dunk (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:35MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:01MINGarnett Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:17MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:30MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:32MINMISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:38MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Marks vs. Garnett: Tip to Carter0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
0.88 44.0%
MIA
0.85 42.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
17
24
71%
MIA
12
19
63%
Midrange
MIN
17
58
29%
MIA
14
45
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
1
1.5
2
50%
75%
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIN
9
13
69%
MIA
9
18
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Szczerbiak2261%11.0 / 18
T. Brandon1963%9.5 / 15
R. Nesterovic1662%8.0 / 13
K. Garnett1026%5.0 / 19
J. Smith844%4.0 / 9
A. Peeler225%1.0 / 4
C. Billups220%1.0 / 5
G. Trent17%0.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Ellis1765%8.5 / 13
E. House1765%8.5 / 13
E. Jones1255%6.0 / 11
S. Marks1139%5.5 / 14
V. Stepania1142%5.5 / 13
R. Strickland330%1.5 / 5
T. Hamilton2100%1.0 / 1
A. Carter0-0.0 / 5
C. Gatling0-0.0 / 3
S. Mack0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
75
+16
-9
91
MIA
68
+16
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
0.88 44.0%
MIA
0.85 42.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
96.1
MIN 95.2 +8.3
MIA 86.9
Pace
92.8
89.7
MIN 85.4 +1.9
MIA 83.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.7
MIN 16.9 −0.4
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
46.3%
MIN 42.3%
MIA 43.2% +0.9%
TO %
14.0%
15.5%
MIN 9.1% −8.1%
MIA 17.2%
ORB %
31.3%
26.7%
MIN 32.6% +0.8%
MIA 31.8%
FTrt
25.5
26.8
MIN 15.5
MIA 24.3 +8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
59.4%
MIN 40.0%
MIA 53.3% +13.3%
STL %
6.9%
7.4%
MIN 9.5% +7.1%
MIA 2.4%
BLK %
8.0%
8.7%
MIN 4.7% +2.3%
MIA 2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
47.7%
MIN 44.0% +1.6%
MIA 42.4%
Rim FG%
59.4%
60.6%
MIN 70.8% +7.6%
MIA 63.2%
Mid FG%
42.1%
38.0%
MIN 29.3%
MIA 31.1% +1.8%
3P %
37.8%
34.7%
MIN 50.0% +10.0%
MIA 40.0%
FT %
79.8%
72.4%
MIN 69.2% +19.2%
MIA 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.8%
28.1%
MIN 28.6% +2.9%
MIA 25.7%
Mid Att. %
58.0%
57.8%
MIN 69.0%
MIA 60.8% −8.2%
3P Att. %
15.2%
14.1%
MIN 2.4%
MIA 13.5% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINMIA
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes23.624.2
Points8073
Rebounds4443
Assists1416
Steals82
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)29 (6)
Field Goals35-8430-74
At-the-Rim FG17-2412-19
Midrange FG17-5814-45
2-Point FG34-8226-64
3-Point FG1-24-10
Free Throws9-139-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 26
41.5
10
26%
16
4
3
1
1
0
3
13
0-0
-
5-19
26%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
41.2
22
61%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
8-15
53%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 173 · 32
35.2
19
63%
3
5
2
0
1
2
0
3
5-5
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 26
35.1
8
44%
1
1
0
0
2
6
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
31.3
16
62%
10
0
1
1
1
5
6
4
0-0
-
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 32
21.8
2
25%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 27
15.3
1
7%
6
0
0
0
2
2
3
3
1-4
25%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 25
12.8
2
20%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 23
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 38
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 27
C · 6'11" 250 · 35
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
44%
44
14
8
3
9
0
14
30
9-13
69%
34-82
41%
1-2
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.