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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers47%10089
14Nuggets53%10168
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 23.2
36.9
40.0
24
68%
13
7
2
2
0
4
3
10
5-6
83%
8-13
7-15
62%
49%
1-2
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 29.7
33.9
36.0
10
33%
13
6
2
1
0
1
6
7
2-9
22%
4-11
9-18
36%
49%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.3
29.9
30.2
8
103%
7
2
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-2
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
2-2
100%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 25.7
24.5
23.6
2
26%
8
0
0
1
0
2
1
7
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
19.8
32.6
9
64%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.2
24.0
19.4
5
28%
4
3
0
1
4
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 31.2
20.8
21.1
8
80%
4
1
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Mitch Richmond
G · 6'5" 220 · 36.4
19.9
9.7
13
60%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-8
1-2
38%
44%
1-1
100%
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 35.7
12.4
8.6
4
29%
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-7
1-1
29%
43%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 22.6
7.8
8.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Crispin
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
6.9
4.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.0
3.2
1.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.0
38.3
38.9
21
44%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
7-17
7-16
41%
45%
1-5
20%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.0
32.4
22.9
2
50%
3
0
0
1
3
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
29.6
31.2
6
33%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 24.9
23.1
32.6
9
57%
4
1
3
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Tariq Abdul-Wahad
F-G · 6'6" 235 · 27.1
13.8
29.7
2
17%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
4-10
17%
44%
0-0
-
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.5
32.1
27.0
7
39%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 36.7
25.0
21.7
7
35%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 33.7
16.0
14.6
3
17%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-8
2-5
13%
46%
0-0
-
Shawnelle Scott
C · 6'11" · 29.4
15.1
4.2
8
67%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.5
10.0
3.0
3
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.3
4.7
5.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
7.3
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.