Final Win Prob. pScore
1656%94
84
2844%92
83
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo Celtics
91.39291.6
MIA logo Heat
92.29090.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
83
Q4 - 0:00.0BOSPierce Driving Layup (33 PTS)84
83
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)82
83
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
83
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSSUB: Williams FOR Anderson82
82
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
82
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSAnderson P.FOUL (P3.PN)82
81
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
81
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot82
81
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)82
81
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
81
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Gatling Tip Shot82
81
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)82
81
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup82
81
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)82
81
Q4 - 0:44.0MIASUB: Gatling FOR Marks81
81
Q4 - 0:44.0MIASUB: House FOR Carter81
81
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSCeltics Rebound81
81
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 281
81
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMarks S.FOUL (P2.PN)81
81
Q4 - 1:00BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
81
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 1:24BOSMarks STEAL (2 STL)81
81
Q4 - 1:43BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
81
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 2:10BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)81
81
Q4 - 2:19BOSSUB: Strickland FOR Williams78
81
Q4 - 2:19BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)78
81
Q4 - 2:24BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
81
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot78
81
Q4 - 2:33MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
81
Q4 - 2:35BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
81
Q4 - 2:45BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
81
Q4 - 2:47BOSMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot78
81
Q4 - 2:51BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
81
Q4 - 2:52BOSMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)78
81
Q4 - 3:03BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
81
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Carter 23' Jump Shot78
81
Q4 - 3:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)78
81
Q4 - 3:28BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup78
81
Q4 - 3:39MIASUB: Carter FOR Ellis78
81
Q4 - 3:39MIAEllis P.FOUL (P6.T4)78
81
Q4 - 3:56MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
81
Q4 - 3:56MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
80
Q4 - 3:56BOSAnderson S.FOUL (P2.T4)78
79
Q4 - 4:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
79
Q4 - 4:11BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
79
Q4 - 4:18MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)78
79
Q4 - 4:21MIASUB: Mourning FOR House78
79
Q4 - 4:36BOSWalker Layup (24 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 4:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
79
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot76
79
Q4 - 5:09MIAHEAT Rebound76
79
Q4 - 5:11BOSMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot76
79
Q4 - 5:21BOSSUB: Williams FOR Strickland76
79
Q4 - 5:2176
79
Q4 - 5:21MIAMarks P.FOUL (P1.T3)76
79
Q4 - 5:38MIAJones Driving Layup (27 PTS)76
79
Q4 - 5:48MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
77
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS House Driving Layup76
77
Q4 - 5:55BOSEllis STEAL (2 STL)76
77
Q4 - 6:07BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
77
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot76
77
Q4 - 6:22BOSPierce Palming Turnover (P6.T16)76
77
Q4 - 6:32BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
77
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
77
Q4 - 6:54BOSPierce 9' Running Jump Shot (31 PTS)76
77
Q4 - 6:59BOSCeltics Rebound74
77
Q4 - 7:01BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
77
Q4 - 7:14BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
77
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 274
77
Q4 - 7:15MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
77
Q4 - 7:15MIASUB: Marks FOR Mourning74
76
Q4 - 7:15BOSPotapenko S.FOUL (P4.T3)74
76
Q4 - 7:31MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
76
Q4 - 7:33BOSMISS Potapenko 20' Jump Shot74
76
Q4 - 7:47MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)74
76
Q4 - 8:06BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)74
73
Q4 - 8:18BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
73
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 271
73
Q4 - 8:19BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Battie71
73
Q4 - 8:19BOSSUB: Anderson FOR Palacio71
73
Q4 - 8:19BOSSUB: Potapenko FOR Williams71
73
Q4 - 8:19MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
73
Q4 - 8:19BOSWalker S.FOUL (P4.T2)71
72
Q4 - 8:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
72
Q4 - 8:29BOSEllis BLOCK (2 BLK)71
72
Q4 - 8:45MIAEllis P.FOUL (P5.T2)71
72
Q4 - 8:47BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
72
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Strickland 4' Running Jump Shot71
72
Q4 - 9:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
72
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
72
Q4 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound71
72
Q4 - 9:31BOSMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
72
Q4 - 9:34BOSPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
72
Q4 - 9:36BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
72
Q4 - 9:53MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (25 PTS)71
72
Q4 - 10:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
70
Q4 - 10:09BOSMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot71
70
Q4 - 10:22BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
70
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
70
Q4 - 10:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
70
Q4 - 10:31BOSMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot71
70
Q4 - 10:50MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)71
70
Q4 - 10:50BOSWilliams S.FOUL (P4.T1)71
69
Q4 - 10:50MIAJones Driving Layup (22 PTS)71
69
Q4 - 10:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
67
Q4 - 10:59BOSMISS Williams 9' Tip Shot71
67
Q4 - 11:13MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15)71
67
Q4 - 11:19MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
67
Q4 - 11:21BOSMISS Palacio 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
67
Q4 - 11:39MIASUB: Ellis FOR Hamilton71
67
Q4 - 11:39MIASUB: Jones FOR Gatling71
67
Q4 - 11:39MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)71
67
Q4 - 11:39MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)71
67
Q4 - 11:39MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.T1)71
67
Q4 - 11:39BOSPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
67
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot71
67
Q4 - 12:0071
67
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
67
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
67
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Hamilton 41' 3PT Jump Shot71
67
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
67
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
67
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAStrickland Foul Turnover (P3.T14)71
67
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAStrickland OFF.Foul (P2)71
67
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
67
Q3 - 0:21.0BOSMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)71
67
Q3 - 0:34.0BOSPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
67
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Mourning 10' Hook Shot71
67
Q3 - 0:50.0BOSWalker 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)71
67
Q3 - 1:05MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
67
Q3 - 1:05BOSSUB: Williams FOR Pierce69
66
Q3 - 1:05MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
66
Q3 - 1:05BOSPierce S.FOUL (P4.PN)69
65
Q3 - 1:05MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)69
65
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
65
Q3 - 1:30BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)69
65
Q3 - 1:30MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Ellis68
65
Q3 - 1:30BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)68
65
Q3 - 1:30MIAEllis P.FOUL (P4.PN)67
65
Q3 - 1:48MIAGatling Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)67
65
Q3 - 2:14BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)67
63
Q3 - 2:28MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)65
63
Q3 - 2:28MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
63
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot65
63
Q3 - 2:43MIAJump Ball Strickland vs. Strickland: Tip to Mourning65
63
Q3 - 2:43BOSSUB: Walker FOR Williams65
63
Q3 - 2:43BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)65
63
Q3 - 3:01BOSStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)65
63
Q3 - 3:07BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
63
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Gatling 6' Hook Shot62
63
Q3 - 3:25MIAHEAT Rebound62
63
Q3 - 3:29BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot62
63
Q3 - 3:53MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)62
63
Q3 - 4:08BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)62
61
Q3 - 4:17MIASUB: House FOR Jones60
61
Q3 - 4:17MIAEllis P.FOUL (P3.T4)60
61
Q3 - 4:22MIASUB: Mourning FOR Marks60
61
Q3 - 4:22BOSSUB: Strickland FOR Johnson60
61
Q3 - 4:22MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.T3)60
61
Q3 - 4:37MIAGatling 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)60
61
Q3 - 4:43MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
59
Q3 - 4:46BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup60
59
Q3 - 4:52BOSSUB: Williams FOR Walker60
59
Q3 - 4:52BOSSUB: Battie FOR Potapenko60
59
Q3 - 4:52MIAJones Violation:Kicked Ball60
59
Q3 - 4:56BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
59
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 5:15MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
59
Q3 - 5:17BOSMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 5:40BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
59
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 260
59
Q3 - 5:41MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 5:41BOSPotapenko S.FOUL (P3.PN)60
58
Q3 - 5:55MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
58
Q3 - 5:57BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot60
58
Q3 - 6:21MIAGatling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)60
58
Q3 - 6:28BOSSUB: Palacio FOR Anderson60
55
Q3 - 6:28MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)60
55
Q3 - 6:28BOSSUB: Johnson FOR Williams60
55
Q3 - 6:28MIAJones Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)60
55
Q3 - 6:28BOSCeltics T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Walker )60
54
Q3 - 6:37BOSWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)60
54
Q3 - 6:55MIAGatling 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)60
54
Q3 - 7:07BOSPotapenko 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)60
52
Q3 - 7:20BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
52
Q3 - 7:22BOSMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
52
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
52
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
51
Q3 - 7:37BOSWalker S.FOUL (P3.T4)60
50
Q3 - 7:55MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter60
50
Q3 - 7:55BOSPierce Out Of Bounds Turnover (P5.T13)60
50
Q3 - 8:05MIASUB: Gatling FOR Mourning60
50
Q3 - 8:08BOSCeltics Rebound60
50
Q3 - 8:08BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw Technical60
50
Q3 - 8:08MIAMourning T.FOUL (P1.T2)60
50
Q3 - 8:08MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)60
50
Q3 - 8:23BOSWilliams P.FOUL (P3.T3)60
50
Q3 - 8:23BOSCarter STEAL (2 STL)60
50
Q3 - 8:30MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)60
50
Q3 - 8:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
50
Q3 - 8:43BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
50
Q3 - 8:55BOSCeltics Rebound60
50
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
50
Q3 - 9:13BOSPotapenko 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)60
50
Q3 - 9:31MIAMarks Illegal Assist Turnover (P2.T10)58
50
Q3 - 9:42BOSWalker P.FOUL (P2.T2)58
50
Q3 - 10:02BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)58
50
Q3 - 10:02MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T2)57
50
Q3 - 10:02MIAMourning Violation:Defensive Goaltending57
50
Q3 - 10:02BOSWalker 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
50
Q3 - 10:02BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
50
Q3 - 10:05BOSMISS Anderson 10' Jump Shot55
50
Q3 - 10:09MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)55
50
Q3 - 10:22BOSWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)55
50
Q3 - 10:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
50
Q3 - 10:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
49
Q3 - 10:37BOSPierce P.FOUL (P3.T1)55
48
Q3 - 10:46BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)55
48
Q3 - 10:53MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
48
Q3 - 11:10BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
48
Q3 - 11:10BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
48
Q3 - 11:10MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T1)50
48
Q3 - 11:29MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)50
48
Q3 - 11:47BOSEllis STEAL (1 STL)50
45
Q3 - 12:0050
45
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS50
45
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound50
45
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot50
45
Q2 - 0:11.0BOSCeltics Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)50
45
Q2 - 0:16.0MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
45
Q2 - 0:16.0MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
44
Q2 - 0:16.0MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Jones50
43
Q2 - 0:16.0BOSAnderson P.FOUL (P1.PN)50
43
Q2 - 0:39.0BOSPierce Layup (15 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)50
43
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)48
43
Q2 - 0:57.0BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)48
43
Q2 - 1:03BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
43
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS House Driving Layup45
43
Q2 - 1:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
43
Q2 - 1:13BOSMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)45
43
Q2 - 1:28MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)45
43
Q2 - 1:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
41
Q2 - 1:35BOSMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot45
41
Q2 - 1:50MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)45
41
Q2 - 2:05MIASUB: Mourning FOR Marks45
39
Q2 - 2:05MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)45
39
Q2 - 2:11BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
39
Q2 - 2:26MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)43
39
Q2 - 2:42BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
36
Q2 - 2:59MIAMarks Dunk (4 PTS)41
36
Q2 - 3:00MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
34
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
34
Q2 - 3:21BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
34
Q2 - 3:34BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
34
Q2 - 3:41MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 3:54BOSPierce Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)39
32
Q2 - 4:07MIAMarks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)37
32
Q2 - 4:07MIAJump Ball Marks vs. Blount: Tip to Anderson37
32
Q2 - 4:13MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
32
Q2 - 4:14BOSEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)37
32
Q2 - 4:16BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
32
Q2 - 4:20BOSJones BLOCK (1 BLK)37
32
Q2 - 4:29BOSSUB: Strickland FOR Brown37
32
Q2 - 4:29BOSCeltics Rebound37
32
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
32
Q2 - 4:55BOSWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)37
32
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
32
Q2 - 5:05BOSSUB: Blount FOR Battie37
31
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
31
Q2 - 5:05BOSBattie S.FOUL (P3.PN)37
30
Q2 - 5:16MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
30
Q2 - 5:18BOSMISS Brown Layup37
30
Q2 - 5:31BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
30
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 137
30
Q2 - 5:32BOSBrown S.FOUL (P1.PN)37
30
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Reverse Layup (11 PTS)37
30
Q2 - 5:49BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
28
Q2 - 5:49MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland36
28
Q2 - 5:49MIASUB: Marks FOR Mourning36
28
Q2 - 5:49MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)36
28
Q2 - 5:49MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
28
Q2 - 5:49MIAMourning Violation:Defensive Goaltending36
28
Q2 - 5:49BOSPierce Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Battie 2 AST)36
28
Q2 - 6:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
28
Q2 - 6:01BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Strickland34
27
Q2 - 6:01MIAHEAT Rebound34
27
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 234
27
Q2 - 6:01BOSWalker S.FOUL (P1.PN)34
27
Q2 - 6:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
27
Q2 - 6:15BOSMISS Strickland Layup34
27
Q2 - 6:29MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)34
27
Q2 - 6:34MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
24
Q2 - 6:36BOSMISS Walker Reverse Layup34
24
Q2 - 6:42BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
24
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot34
24
Q2 - 6:51MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
24
Q2 - 6:53BOSMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot34
24
Q2 - 7:14MIASUB: Ellis FOR Gatling34
24
Q2 - 7:14MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)34
24
Q2 - 7:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
24
Q2 - 7:29BOSMISS Strickland 3PT Jump Shot34
24
Q2 - 7:43BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
24
Q2 - 7:45BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
24
Q2 - 7:53BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
24
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Mourning Layup34
24
Q2 - 8:17BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)34
24
Q2 - 8:27MIAStrickland P.FOUL (P1.T2)31
24
Q2 - 8:36BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
24
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot31
24
Q2 - 8:46MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
24
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 131
24
Q2 - 8:47BOSSUB: Brown FOR Johnson31
24
Q2 - 8:4731
24
Q2 - 8:47BOSBattie S.FOUL (P2.PN)31
24
Q2 - 8:47MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
24
Q2 - 9:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
22
Q2 - 9:03BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 131
22
Q2 - 9:03MIAGatling S.FOUL (P1.T1)31
22
Q2 - 9:03BOSWalker Driving Layup (11 PTS)31
22
Q2 - 9:16MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)29
22
Q2 - 9:26BOSJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4)29
19
Q2 - 9:30BOSBattie P.FOUL (P1.T3)29
19
Q2 - 9:40BOSSUB: Battie FOR Potapenko29
19
Q2 - 9:40BOSPotapenko L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)29
19
Q2 - 9:40MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
19
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot29
19
Q2 - 10:01BOSStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)29
19
Q2 - 10:20MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
19
Q2 - 10:42BOSAnderson 7' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)26
17
Q2 - 11:06MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
17
Q2 - 11:06BOSSUB: Walker FOR Williams24
16
Q2 - 11:06BOSSUB: Anderson FOR Palacio24
16
Q2 - 11:06MIAHEAT Rebound24
16
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 224
16
Q2 - 11:06BOSWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T1)24
16
Q2 - 11:20MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis24
16
Q2 - 11:20BOSPotapenko 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)24
16
Q2 - 11:28BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
16
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot24
16
Q2 - 11:47BOSPalacio Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)24
16
Q2 - 12:0024
16
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS24
16
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound24
16
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Palacio 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
16
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
16
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
16
Q1 - 0:12.0BOSMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot24
16
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Gatling 8' Hook Shot24
16
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
16
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup24
16
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
16
Q1 - 0:59.0BOSMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)24
16
Q1 - 1:17MIASUB: Mourning FOR Marks24
16
Q1 - 1:17MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
16
Q1 - 1:20MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
16
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot24
16
Q1 - 1:37BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)24
16
Q1 - 1:48BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 221
16
Q1 - 1:49MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
16
Q1 - 1:49BOSPotapenko S.FOUL (P1.T4)21
15
Q1 - 2:01BOSSUB: Johnson FOR Williams21
15
Q1 - 2:01MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jones21
15
Q1 - 2:01BOSWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T3)21
15
Q1 - 2:19BOSPotapenko Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)21
15
Q1 - 2:36MIAHouse 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)19
15
Q1 - 2:55BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
13
Q1 - 2:55BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
13
Q1 - 2:55MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)17
13
Q1 - 3:01BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
13
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot17
13
Q1 - 3:12MIASUB: House FOR Ellis17
13
Q1 - 3:12MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
13
Q1 - 3:22BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)17
13
Q1 - 3:29BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Strickland 11' Running Jump Shot14
13
Q1 - 3:50BOSWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)14
13
Q1 - 3:57BOSCeltics Rebound12
13
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 4:13BOSSUB: Palacio FOR Anderson12
13
Q1 - 4:13BOSStrickland P.FOUL (P1.T2)12
13
Q1 - 4:26BOSAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 4:26MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter11
13
Q1 - 4:26MIASUB: Gatling FOR Mourning11
13
Q1 - 4:26BOSSUB: Potapenko FOR Battie11
13
Q1 - 4:26MIACarter S.FOUL (P2.T4)11
13
Q1 - 4:26BOSAnderson Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
13
Q1 - 4:30MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
13
Q1 - 4:54BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
13
Q1 - 4:59BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot6
13
Q1 - 5:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
13
Q1 - 5:16BOSMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot6
13
Q1 - 5:26MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
13
Q1 - 5:31MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13
Q1 - 5:32BOSCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)6
13
Q1 - 5:36BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot6
13
Q1 - 5:56BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
13
Q1 - 5:56BOSSUB: Strickland FOR Johnson5
13
Q1 - 5:56BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
13
Q1 - 5:56MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
13
Q1 - 6:11BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
13
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot4
13
Q1 - 6:23BOSSUB: Johnson FOR Pierce4
13
Q1 - 6:23BOSPierce P.FOUL (P2.T1)4
13
Q1 - 6:30BOSAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)4
13
Q1 - 6:42BOSSUB: Williams FOR Johnson4
13
Q1 - 6:42BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
13
Q1 - 6:49MIAJones Finger Roll (3 PTS)4
13
Q1 - 7:08BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)4
11
Q1 - 7:12BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
11
Q1 - 7:14BOSMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)4
11
Q1 - 7:30MIACarter Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
11
Q1 - 7:33BOSCarter STEAL (1 STL)4
9
Q1 - 7:54MIAEllis 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
9
Q1 - 8:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
7
Q1 - 8:17BOSMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 24
7
Q1 - 8:17BOSCeltics Rebound4
7
Q1 - 8:17BOSMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 24
7
Q1 - 8:17MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
7
Q1 - 8:22BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 8:41BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P2.T3)4
7
Q1 - 8:41BOSPierce OFF.Foul (P1)4
7
Q1 - 8:46BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Marks 16' Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 9:13BOSJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)4
7
Q1 - 9:22BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
7
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
7
Q1 - 9:32BOSCeltics T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Walker )2
6
Q1 - 9:50BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:56MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
6
Q1 - 10:07MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)0
6
Q1 - 10:22BOSMarks STEAL (1 STL)0
4
Q1 - 10:42MIAMarks 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 10:57BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:05BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:24BOSMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:45MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Battie: Tip to Marks0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
11
24
46%
MIA
10
17
59%
Midrange
BOS
10
26
38%
MIA
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
BOS
12
17
71%
MIA
23
31
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3363%16.5 / 26
A. Walker2854%14.0 / 26
E. Strickland650%3.0 / 6
E. Williams650%3.0 / 6
K. Anderson542%2.5 / 6
V. Potapenko467%2.0 / 3
J. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
T. Battie0-0.0 / 2
M. Palacio0-0.0 / 4
M. Blount0-0.0 / 1
K. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2756%13.5 / 24
C. Gatling1365%6.5 / 10
L. Ellis1179%5.5 / 7
E. House938%4.5 / 12
A. Mourning836%4.0 / 11
A. Carter660%3.0 / 5
S. Marks542%2.5 / 6
R. Strickland422%2.0 / 9
T. Hamilton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
74
+11
-18
85
MIA
75
+13
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
96.1
BOS 91.3
MIA 92.2 +0.9
Pace
95.1
89.7
BOS 91.6 +1.1
MIA 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.7
BOS 15.7 −0.2
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
46.3%
BOS 49.3% +6.4%
MIA 42.9%
TO %
13.8%
15.5%
BOS 18.3%
MIA 16.1% −2.2%
ORB %
24.1%
26.7%
BOS 21.1%
MIA 25.0% +3.9%
FTrt
29.1
26.8
BOS 23.3
MIA 44.3 +21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
59.4%
BOS 54.8%
MIA 63.0% +8.2%
STL %
10.1%
7.4%
BOS 9.8% +3.1%
MIA 6.7%
BLK %
5.8%
8.7%
BOS 13.7%
MIA 18.0% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.7%
47.7%
BOS 49.4% +2.8%
MIA 46.6%
Rim FG%
53.9%
60.6%
BOS 45.8%
MIA 58.8% +13.0%
Mid FG%
36.6%
38.0%
BOS 38.5% +6.1%
MIA 32.4%
3P %
35.9%
34.7%
BOS 43.5% +11.9%
MIA 31.6%
FT %
76.4%
72.4%
BOS 70.6%
MIA 74.2% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
28.1%
BOS 32.9% +8.6%
MIA 24.3%
Mid Att. %
36.6%
57.8%
BOS 35.6% −13.0%
MIA 48.6%
3P Att. %
28.9%
14.1%
BOS 31.5% +4.4%
MIA 27.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8483
Rebounds4141
Assists1717
Steals96
Blocks79
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals31-7327-70
At-the-Rim FG11-2410-17
Midrange FG10-2611-34
2-Point FG21-5021-51
3-Point FG10-236-19
Free Throws12-1723-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
45.0
28
54%
3
3
0
2
3
4
1
2
2-4
50%
4-12
33%
6-11
55%
G · 6'1" 168 · 31
32.7
5
42%
6
4
1
0
2
3
1
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 24
30.9
33
63%
4
1
3
2
7
4
1
3
5-6
83%
11-19
58%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
20.7
0
0%
5
2
0
2
0
3
2
3
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 20
13.1
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 218 · 28
29.7
6
50%
4
2
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 27
22.2
4
67%
7
0
0
0
2
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29
21.1
6
50%
3
3
1
0
2
4
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
15.3
0
0%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26
5.1
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 21
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 194 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
49%
41
17
9
7
18
0
8
33
12-17
71%
21-50
42%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.