Final Win Prob. pScore
2742%88
84
2858%90
75
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
101.28386.9
MIA logo Heat
90.48379.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS84
100%
75
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot84
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0WASHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0WASHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIACarter S.FOUL (P2.T2)82
75
Q4 - 0:38.0WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 0:51.0WASMISS Jordan 18' Jump Shot82
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)82
98.9%
75
1.1%
Q4 - 1:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)82
72
Q4 - 1:20WASDavis P.FOUL (P1.T4)82
72
Q4 - 1:29WASJordan 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)82
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T9)80
98.5%
72
1.5%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P4)80
72
Q4 - 2:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
72
Q4 - 2:03WASMISS Laettner Free Throw 1 of 180
97.7%
72
2.3%
Q4 - 2:03MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T1)80
72
Q4 - 2:03WASLaettner Layup (9 PTS) (Jordan 5 AST)80
97.5%
72
2.5%
Q4 - 2:16MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)78
96.6%
72
3.4%
Q4 - 2:16MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)78
97.0%
71
3.0%
Q4 - 2:16WASLue IN.FOUL (P1.T3)78
70
Q4 - 2:17MIAHEAT Rebound78
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot78
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q4 - 2:33MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 2:38WASMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 2:57WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)78
70
Q4 - 3:02WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)78
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 3:23WASJordan 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)78
96.7%
70
3.3%
Q4 - 3:38WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
92.0%
70
8.0%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
91.0%
70
9.0%
Q4 - 3:54MIASUB: Ellis FOR Strickland76
70
Q4 - 3:54MIASUB: Carter FOR Gatling76
70
Q4 - 3:54WASSUB: Davis FOR Jones76
70
Q4 - 3:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)76
70
Q4 - 3:56WASJordan 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)76
88.8%
70
11.2%
Q4 - 4:03WASJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
84.8%
70
15.2%
Q4 - 4:05WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot74
80.8%
70
19.2%
Q4 - 4:27WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
85.1%
70
14.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot74
83.4%
70
16.6%
Q4 - 4:50WASLue 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)74
79.1%
70
20.9%
Q4 - 5:03WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
68.7%
70
31.3%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot72
66.4%
70
33.6%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
60.9%
70
39.1%
Q4 - 5:26WASMISS Jordan 17' Jump Shot72
63.4%
70
36.6%
Q4 - 5:41MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)72
70
Q4 - 5:41MIAJump Ball Gatling vs. Laettner: Tip to Jordan72
69.0%
70
31.0%
Q4 - 5:41MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis72
70
Q4 - 5:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)72
70
Q4 - 5:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
61.0%
70
39.0%
Q4 - 5:55WASMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot72
63.5%
70
36.5%
Q4 - 6:11WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
66.6%
70
33.4%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot72
64.5%
70
35.5%
Q4 - 6:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
59.3%
70
40.7%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot72
64.5%
70
35.5%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
59.3%
70
40.7%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS House 11' Jump Shot72
64.5%
70
35.5%
Q4 - 6:29WASStrickland STEAL (3 STL)72
59.3%
70
40.7%
Q4 - 6:31WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
66.7%
70
33.3%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot72
64.5%
70
35.5%
Q4 - 6:54WASHamilton 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
59.4%
70
40.6%
Q4 - 7:18WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
51.5%
70
48.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot70
49.2%
70
50.8%
Q4 - 7:40WASHamilton P.FOUL (P4.T2)70
70
Q4 - 7:41WASStrickland STEAL (2 STL)70
44.0%
70
56.0%
Q4 - 7:57WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
51.5%
70
48.5%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot70
49.2%
70
50.8%
Q4 - 8:19WASJordan 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
44.5%
70
55.5%
Q4 - 8:35WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
38.0%
70
62.0%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Gatling 6' Hook Shot68
36.2%
70
63.8%
Q4 - 8:49MIASUB: Ellis FOR Carter68
70
Q4 - 8:49MIASUB: Strickland FOR Jones68
70
Q4 - 8:49WASSUB: Lue FOR Davis68
70
Q4 - 8:49WASSUB: Jordan FOR Whitney68
70
Q4 - 8:4968
70
Q4 - 8:49WASLaettner P.FOUL (P3.T1)68
70
Q4 - 9:05MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
33.3%
70
66.7%
Q4 - 9:07WASMISS Laettner 20' Jump Shot68
34.9%
70
65.1%
Q4 - 9:28MIACarter Running Finger Roll (11 PTS)68
38.6%
70
61.4%
Q4 - 10:01WASLaettner 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
44.4%
68
55.6%
Q4 - 10:24MIAGatling Layup (9 PTS)66
38.8%
68
61.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot66
48.3%
66
51.7%
Q4 - 10:44MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Carter 5' Jump Shot66
48.3%
66
51.7%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q4 - 11:01WASMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot66
45.9%
66
54.1%
Q4 - 11:14WASDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
49.4%
66
50.6%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot66
47.9%
66
52.1%
Q4 - 11:31MIASUB: Mourning FOR Ellis66
66
Q4 - 11:31WASHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T8)66
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q4 - 11:31WASHamilton OFF.Foul (P3)66
66
Q4 - 11:46WASWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
49.5%
66
50.5%
Q4 - 11:48MIAMISS Carter Layup66
47.9%
66
52.1%
Q4 - 12:0066
66
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASLaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASSUB: Jones FOR Jordan65
66
Q3 - 0:00.0WASLaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
43.5%
66
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAEllis P.FOUL (P3.PN)64
66
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.T2)64
66
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAEllis 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
38.9%
66
61.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0WASWhitney Layup (14 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)64
44.4%
64
55.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0WASJordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
38.9%
64
61.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0WASEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)62
35.9%
64
64.1%
Q3 - 1:00WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
38.9%
64
61.1%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot62
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 1:07MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
34.6%
64
65.4%
Q3 - 1:10WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot62
35.9%
64
64.1%
Q3 - 1:19WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
38.8%
64
61.2%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 1:38WASHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jordan 4 AST)62
34.6%
64
65.4%
Q3 - 1:57MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P1.T7)59
26.0%
64
74.0%
Q3 - 1:57MIAGatling OFF.Foul (P1)59
64
Q3 - 2:17MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
23.2%
64
76.8%
Q3 - 2:19WASMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
24.2%
64
75.8%
Q3 - 2:29WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
26.6%
64
73.4%
Q3 - 2:34WASMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot59
24.2%
64
75.8%
Q3 - 2:45MIASUB: Gatling FOR Mourning59
64
Q3 - 2:45WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)59
64
Q3 - 2:48MIAEllis Layup (20 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)59
26.6%
64
73.4%
Q3 - 3:05MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
30.8%
62
69.2%
Q3 - 3:06WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot59
32.1%
62
67.9%
Q3 - 3:24MIACarter 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)59
35.0%
62
65.0%
Q3 - 3:51WASHamilton 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
38.9%
60
61.1%
Q3 - 3:58WASDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot57
33.7%
60
66.3%
Q3 - 4:19WASJones STEAL (2 STL)57
30.8%
60
69.2%
Q3 - 4:37MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)57
35.3%
60
64.7%
Q3 - 4:47MIASUB: House FOR Strickland57
58
Q3 - 4:47WASLaettner L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)57
58
Q3 - 4:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
38.7%
58
61.3%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot57
42.1%
58
57.9%
Q3 - 5:00WASJones STEAL (1 STL)57
38.7%
58
61.3%
Q3 - 5:05MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)57
43.1%
58
56.9%
Q3 - 5:19WASDavis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jordan 3 AST)57
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q3 - 5:42MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)54
31.4%
58
68.6%
Q3 - 5:58WASWhitney 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jordan 2 AST)54
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q3 - 6:04WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
28.3%
56
71.7%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot51
27.2%
56
72.8%
Q3 - 6:24WASLaettner Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)51
24.9%
56
75.1%
Q3 - 6:2450
56
Q3 - 6:26WASHamilton 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
22.0%
56
78.0%
Q3 - 6:37WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Strickland 4' Jump Shot48
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q3 - 6:45MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot48
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q3 - 7:00WASLaettner P.FOUL (P1.T2)48
56
Q3 - 7:10MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)48
56
Q3 - 7:10WASLaettner Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)48
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q3 - 7:19MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)48
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q3 - 7:45WASWhitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)48
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q3 - 7:59WASDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 8:01WASMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot45
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 8:20WASDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
14.0%
56
86.0%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot45
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 8:43WASWhitney 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)45
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q3 - 8:45MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T1)43
56
Q3 - 9:04MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
12.5%
54
87.5%
Q3 - 9:25WASMISS Hamilton 4' Jump Shot43
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)43
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q3 - 9:47MIAHEAT Rebound43
53
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 243
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 9:47WASSUB: Davis FOR White43
53
Q3 - 9:47WASJordan P.FOUL (P2.T1)43
53
Q3 - 9:55MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 9:57WASMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot43
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 10:10WASWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
16.7%
53
83.3%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Carter 12' Jump Shot43
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q3 - 10:31MIAHEAT Rebound43
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 10:32WASMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot43
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q3 - 10:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)43
53
Q3 - 10:50MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)43
16.7%
53
83.3%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
19.3%
51
80.7%
Q3 - 11:06WASMISS Jordan 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)43
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q3 - 11:44WASMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
24.7%
49
75.3%
Q3 - 12:0043
49
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS43
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAEllis Layup (17 PTS)43
26.7%
49
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot43
31.7%
47
68.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0WASHamilton Layup (8 PTS)43
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0WASWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Strickland Layup41
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
24.8%
47
75.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0WASMISS Laettner 13' Jump Shot41
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0WASWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup41
26.1%
47
73.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
24.8%
47
75.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASMISS White Tip Shot41
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 1:00WASWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 1:03WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot41
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q2 - 1:15WASSUB: White FOR Brown41
47
Q2 - 1:15MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)41
27.1%
47
72.9%
Q2 - 1:22WASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 1:22MIASUB: Gatling FOR Mourning40
47
Q2 - 1:22WASWizards Rebound40
47
Q2 - 1:22WASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 240
24.5%
47
75.5%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T3)40
47
Q2 - 1:48MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)40
24.5%
47
75.5%
Q2 - 2:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
30.2%
44
69.8%
Q2 - 2:08WASMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)40
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 2:30MIAJones Layup (10 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)40
33.0%
44
67.0%
Q2 - 2:32MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
35.8%
42
64.2%
Q2 - 2:38WASJones BLOCK (3 BLK)40
36.8%
42
63.2%
Q2 - 2:51MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
38.9%
42
61.1%
Q2 - 3:10WASLaettner 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
41.6%
40
58.4%
Q2 - 3:25WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)38
40
Q2 - 3:25MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T2)38
40
Q2 - 3:48MIAEllis Driving Layup (12 PTS)38
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 4:02MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
41.6%
38
58.4%
Q2 - 4:04WASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 238
42.0%
38
58.0%
Q2 - 4:04WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
43.7%
38
56.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T1)37
38
Q2 - 4:04WASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
41.8%
38
58.2%
Q2 - 4:06WASMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot37
39.6%
38
60.4%
Q2 - 4:31MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)37
41.8%
38
58.2%
Q2 - 4:44WASJordan 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
44.6%
36
55.4%
Q2 - 5:10MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)35
41.8%
36
58.2%
Q2 - 5:19WASJordan P.FOUL (P1.T3)35
33
Q2 - 5:25MIASUB: Carter FOR House35
33
Q2 - 5:25WASSUB: Laettner FOR Jones35
33
Q2 - 5:25WASSUB: Hamilton FOR Davis35
33
Q2 - 5:25WASSUB: Jordan FOR Whitney35
33
Q2 - 5:2535
33
Q2 - 5:25MIAHEAT Rebound35
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Strickland Layup35
49.7%
33
50.3%
Q2 - 5:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q2 - 5:31WASMISS Whitney 15' Jump Shot35
48.6%
33
51.4%
Q2 - 5:56WASWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
50.6%
33
49.4%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Shot35
49.7%
33
50.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
47.1%
33
52.9%
Q2 - 6:10WASJones BLOCK (2 BLK)35
48.2%
33
51.8%
Q2 - 6:26MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
50.6%
33
49.4%
Q2 - 6:26WASJones S.FOUL (P2.T2)35
32
Q2 - 6:26MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
53.4%
32
46.6%
Q2 - 6:32WASSUB: Brown FOR Haywood35
30
Q2 - 6:32MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania35
30
Q2 - 6:32MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
30
Q2 - 6:45WASDavis Driving Layup (5 PTS)35
55.8%
30
44.2%
Q2 - 6:48MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)33
53.4%
30
46.6%
Q2 - 6:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
50.1%
30
49.9%
Q2 - 6:59WASMISS Haywood 10' Jump Shot33
51.1%
30
48.9%
Q2 - 7:17WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
52.9%
30
47.1%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Ellis 12' Jump Shot33
52.0%
30
48.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
50.0%
30
50.0%
Q2 - 7:29WASMISS Whitney 18' Jump Shot33
50.9%
30
49.1%
Q2 - 7:43MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)33
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 7:49MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
55.6%
28
44.4%
Q2 - 7:54WASMISS Jones 6' Hook Shot33
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q2 - 8:11WASJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
57.8%
28
42.2%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Stepania 9' Hook Shot33
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 8:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
55.2%
28
44.8%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot33
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 8:30WASHaywood Layup (4 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)33
55.2%
28
44.8%
Q2 - 8:45MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
52.4%
28
47.6%
Q2 - 9:03WASLue 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
54.6%
26
45.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIASUB: Ellis FOR Gatling29
26
Q2 - 9:17WASWizards Rebound29
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q2 - 9:18WASHouse BLOCK (2 BLK)29
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q2 - 9:20WASJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q2 - 9:22WASHouse BLOCK (1 BLK)29
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q2 - 9:28WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Strickland 8' Jump Shot29
51.2%
26
48.8%
Q2 - 9:36WASWhitney P.FOUL (P2.T1)29
26
Q2 - 9:49MIAHEAT Rebound29
49.3%
26
50.7%
Q2 - 9:52WASMISS Whitney 20' Jump Shot29
50.1%
26
49.9%
Q2 - 10:13WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
51.7%
26
48.3%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot29
50.9%
26
49.1%
Q2 - 10:24MIA29
26
Q2 - 10:30WASWhitney 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)29
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q2 - 10:31WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
46.5%
26
53.5%
Q2 - 10:34WASMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot27
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q2 - 10:47MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)27
46.5%
26
53.5%
Q2 - 11:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
51.4%
23
48.6%
Q2 - 11:04WASMISS Lue 9' Jump Shot27
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIAGatling 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (House 2 AST)27
54.0%
23
46.0%
Q2 - 11:45WASDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)27
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q2 - 12:0024
21
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
51.5%
21
48.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Gatling 49' 3PT Jump Shot24
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0WASStrickland STEAL (1 STL)24
21
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJump Ball Strickland vs. Lue: Tip to Gatling24
48.6%
21
51.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
50.5%
21
49.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0WASJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
20
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAGatling Running Layup (4 PTS)24
52.9%
20
47.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0WASSUB: Brown FOR Jordan24
18
Q1 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Strickland FOR Ellis24
18
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
56.0%
18
44.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0WASMISS Jordan 19' Jump Shot24
56.5%
18
43.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0WASDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Gatling 15' Jump Shot24
57.3%
18
42.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
56.0%
18
44.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0WASMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot24
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 1:15MIAGatling Driving Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
57.2%
18
42.8%
Q1 - 1:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
60.2%
16
39.8%
Q1 - 1:42WASMISS Davis 13' Running Jump Shot24
60.7%
16
39.3%
Q1 - 2:07WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
61.3%
16
38.7%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot24
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 2:24WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)24
59.6%
16
40.4%
Q1 - 2:24WASSUB: Jones FOR Laettner23
16
Q1 - 2:24WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)23
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 2:24MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.PN)22
16
Q1 - 2:36MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
56.9%
16
43.1%
Q1 - 2:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
57.3%
15
42.7%
Q1 - 2:36WASSUB: Davis FOR Hamilton22
14
Q1 - 2:36WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
14
Q1 - 2:36WASHamilton P.FOUL (P2.PN)22
14
Q1 - 2:51MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
59.6%
14
40.4%
Q1 - 2:53WASMISS Jordan 18' Jump Shot22
60.1%
14
39.9%
Q1 - 3:04WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
61.4%
14
38.6%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot22
60.7%
14
39.3%
Q1 - 3:19WASSUB: Lue FOR Whitney22
14
Q1 - 3:19WASHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T4)22
14
Q1 - 3:27MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14
Q1 - 3:29WASMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 122
59.5%
14
40.5%
Q1 - 3:29MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.T4)22
14
Q1 - 3:29WASJordan Driving Layup (10 PTS)22
59.2%
14
40.8%
Q1 - 3:41MIAEllis 4' Layup (7 PTS)20
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 3:41MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
59.2%
12
40.8%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Gatling 5' Hook Shot20
60.7%
12
39.3%
Q1 - 3:44MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
59.2%
12
40.8%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot20
60.7%
12
39.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIAHEAT Rebound20
59.2%
12
40.8%
Q1 - 3:57WASMISS Haywood 16' Jump Shot20
59.9%
12
40.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIASUB: Gatling FOR Allen20
12
Q1 - 3:57MIASUB: House FOR Carter20
12
Q1 - 3:57WASWizards Rebound20
61.4%
12
38.6%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
60.7%
12
39.3%
Q1 - 4:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
57.2%
12
42.8%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot20
58.7%
12
41.3%
Q1 - 4:19WASHaywood 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
57.1%
12
42.9%
Q1 - 4:35MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)18
55.2%
12
44.8%
Q1 - 4:50MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning18
12
Q1 - 4:50WASSUB: Haywood FOR White18
12
Q1 - 4:50WASWhite P.FOUL (P2.T3)18
12
Q1 - 5:05WASJordan 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
52.4%
12
47.6%
Q1 - 5:32MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)16
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 5:47WASJordan 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)16
54.0%
9
46.0%
Q1 - 5:56WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
52.3%
9
47.7%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Allen 3' Hook Shot14
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 6:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
49.9%
9
50.1%
Q1 - 6:08MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot14
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 6:22WASWhitney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 6:26WASWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot14
51.0%
9
49.0%
Q1 - 6:44WASHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
49.6%
9
50.4%
Q1 - 7:00MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)14
51.3%
9
48.7%
Q1 - 7:16MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
7
Q1 - 7:23WASHamilton 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
52.4%
7
47.6%
Q1 - 7:28WASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
50.8%
7
49.2%
Q1 - 7:30WASMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot12
49.6%
7
50.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
7
Q1 - 7:53MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)12
50.5%
7
49.5%
Q1 - 8:06WASWhite Layup (2 PTS)12
48.6%
7
51.4%
Q1 - 8:24WASWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot10
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 8:50WASWhitney 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)10
45.2%
7
54.8%
Q1 - 9:05MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
43.7%
7
56.3%
Q1 - 9:10WASHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 9:10WASHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 9:10MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
5
Q1 - 9:22MIACarter Driving Layup (5 PTS)6
43.6%
5
56.4%
Q1 - 9:40WASJordan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
44.7%
3
55.3%
Q1 - 9:54WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.5%
3
56.5%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Carter Layup4
43.2%
3
56.8%
Q1 - 10:11WASHamilton Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 10:12WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
43.3%
3
56.7%
Q1 - 10:13WASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)4
42.7%
3
57.3%
Q1 - 10:24MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
43.2%
3
56.8%
Q1 - 10:24MIAHEAT Rebound4
2
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 24
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 10:24WASWhitney S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 10:32WASWhite P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:52WASHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 10:52WASHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:07MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 11:18WASJordan 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 11:42WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. White: Tip to Jones0
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.82 41.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
8
13
62%
MIA
11
21
52%
Midrange
WAS
20
51
39%
MIA
15
50
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
MIA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
WAS
13
17
76%
MIA
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Jordan2250%11.0 / 22
R. Hamilton1948%9.5 / 20
C. Whitney1470%7.0 / 10
C. Laettner964%4.5 / 7
H. Davis857%4.0 / 7
T. Lue433%2.0 / 6
B. Haywood450%2.0 / 4
J. White250%1.0 / 2
K. Brown233%1.0 / 3
P. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Ellis2486%12.0 / 14
E. Jones1346%6.5 / 14
A. Carter1134%5.5 / 16
C. Gatling945%4.5 / 10
R. Strickland722%3.5 / 16
E. House531%2.5 / 8
A. Mourning429%2.0 / 7
M. Allen250%1.0 / 2
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
73
+11
-10
84
MIA
75
+15
-8
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.82 41.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.5
96.1
WAS 101.2 +10.8
MIA 90.4
Pace
91.3
89.7
WAS 86.9 +7.4
MIA 79.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.7
WAS 16.6 −1.5
MIA 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.4%
46.3%
WAS 48.0% +7.1%
MIA 40.9%
TO %
13.3%
15.5%
WAS 10.9%
MIA 9.4% −1.5%
ORB %
30.8%
26.7%
WAS 25.6% +0.1%
MIA 25.5%
FTrt
28.0
26.8
WAS 23.0 +10.8
MIA 12.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
59.4%
WAS 39.4%
MIA 51.6% +12.2%
STL %
7.6%
7.4%
WAS 4.8%
MIA 6.0% +1.2%
BLK %
6.6%
8.7%
WAS 5.6%
MIA 10.9% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
47.7%
WAS 49.4% +8.2%
MIA 41.2%
Rim FG%
56.3%
60.6%
WAS 61.5% +9.1%
MIA 52.4%
Mid FG%
39.7%
38.0%
WAS 39.2% +9.2%
MIA 30.0%
3P %
38.8%
34.7%
WAS 50.0% +4.5%
MIA 45.5%
FT %
76.5%
72.4%
WAS 76.5%
MIA 80.0% +3.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.2%
28.1%
WAS 17.6%
MIA 25.6% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
61.0%
57.8%
WAS 68.9%
MIA 61.0% −7.9%
3P Att. %
11.8%
14.1%
WAS 13.5% +0.1%
MIA 13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions8383
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points8475
Rebounds4541
Assists1316
Steals45
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)29 (4)
Field Goals33-7431-82
At-the-Rim FG8-1311-21
Midrange FG20-5115-50
2-Point FG28-6426-71
3-Point FG5-105-11
Free Throws13-178-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 245 · 32
39.0
9
64%
8
2
2
2
2
3
0
8
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 193 · 24
38.8
19
48%
4
0
0
0
3
4
2
2
6-6
100%
5-15
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 216 · 39
37.7
22
50%
7
5
0
0
2
2
1
6
2-3
67%
10-19
53%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 30
30.4
14
70%
4
2
2
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 290 · 26
10.6
2
50%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 183 · 32
26.1
8
57%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
24.1
4
33%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 265 · 31
17.1
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 263 · 22
10.3
4
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 20
5.8
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 25
C · 6'10" 260 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
49%
45
13
4
4
10
0
10
35
13-17
76%
28-64
44%
5-10
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.