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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nuggets20%9480
10Celtics80%10495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 36.7
30.5
15.6
16
78%
2
6
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
7-9
2-4
78%
43%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.0
29.0
40.2
16
40%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
8-16
7-17
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
24.3
34.9
7
58%
8
1
0
1
3
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-10
40%
44%
1-1
100%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 24.9
19.6
26.7
2
11%
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
43%
0-3
0%
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.5
17.8
34.6
5
40%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
0-2
3-7
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.4
31.2
6.9
10
45%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
1-2
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.6
27.9
17.3
14
49%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-3
33%
5-9
2-5
56%
41%
1-4
25%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.0
24.4
17.6
2
100%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 33.7
12.9
16.0
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
0-0
-
Shawnelle Scott
C · 6'11" · 29.5
10.8
18.8
4
100%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.6
5.8
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 20.7
5.8
3.5
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
40.2
36.5
35
64%
7
2
4
1
0
1
0
7
9-10
90%
10-16
6-13
63%
48%
2-7
29%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
39.8
38.2
28
56%
6
4
0
1
1
4
1
5
4-5
80%
6-12
5-12
50%
46%
4-11
36%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 20.4
29.7
20.5
10
38%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-11
2-4
45%
52%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
29.6
25.5
9
57%
10
1
0
1
1
1
5
5
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
0-0
-
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 31.2
24.4
32.7
9
71%
2
5
2
2
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
4-5
4-8
80%
46%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 26.7
18.4
21.1
4
67%
7
1
0
1
0
1
6
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
17.7
14.0
0
0%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 28.0
14.4
20.2
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.4
11.1
22.3
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Randy Brown
G · 6'2" 190 · 33.5
5.8
10.6
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 20.7
5.8
4.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
2.9
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.