Final Win Prob. pScore
2636%87
80
2464%91
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
95.28491.8
WAS logo Wizards
96.58578.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS80
0%
82
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0%
82
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
0%
82
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)80
82
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
19.0%
82
81.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0WASMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
13.3%
82
86.7%
Q4 - 0:37.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)80
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot80
18.2%
82
81.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAJones 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)80
14.4%
82
85.6%
Q4 - 1:07MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)78
82
Q4 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound78
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q4 - 1:08WASMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot78
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q4 - 1:32WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)78
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 278
7.9%
82
92.1%
Q4 - 1:33MIAHeat Rebound78
82
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 278
10.4%
82
89.6%
Q4 - 1:33WASLaettner P.FOUL (P1.PN)78
82
Q4 - 1:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q4 - 1:35WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot78
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q4 - 1:58WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q4 - 2:04MIAHeat Rebound78
14.7%
82
85.3%
Q4 - 2:04MIAJordan BLOCK (1 BLK)78
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q4 - 2:24WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)78
14.9%
82
85.1%
Q4 - 2:24WASWIZARDS Rebound78
81
Q4 - 2:24WASMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 278
15.9%
81
84.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAJackson S.FOUL (P5.PN)78
81
Q4 - 2:33WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
12.3%
81
87.7%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot78
14.9%
81
85.1%
Q4 - 2:52WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)78
22.9%
81
77.1%
Q4 - 2:52WASWIZARDS Rebound78
80
Q4 - 2:52WASMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 278
24.2%
80
75.8%
Q4 - 2:52WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)78
80
Q4 - 2:52MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T4)78
80
Q4 - 3:07WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Mourning 1' Layup78
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
32.4%
80
67.6%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot78
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q4 - 3:16MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)78
80
Q4 - 3:16WASHamilton L.B.FOUL (P5.T4)78
80
Q4 - 3:16MIAHeat Rebound78
32.5%
80
67.5%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot78
23.6%
80
76.4%
Q4 - 3:18MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
32.5%
80
67.5%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot78
23.6%
80
76.4%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
32.6%
80
67.4%
Q4 - 3:29WASMISS Hamilton 3' Jump Shot78
28.4%
80
71.6%
Q4 - 3:47MIAJackson 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (House 4 AST)78
23.8%
80
76.2%
Q4 - 3:59WASHaywood P.FOUL (P3.T3)76
80
Q4 - 4:13WASLaettner 2' Reverse Layup (13 PTS)76
17.7%
80
82.3%
Q4 - 4:30MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
23.4%
78
76.6%
Q4 - 4:30MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
22.1%
78
77.9%
Q4 - 4:30WASLue S.FOUL (P2.T2)74
78
Q4 - 4:39WASHaywood P.FOUL (P2.T1)74
78
Q4 - 4:47MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
17.5%
78
82.5%
Q4 - 4:49MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot74
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q4 - 5:05WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)74
19.9%
78
80.1%
Q4 - 5:05WASWIZARDS Rebound74
77
Q4 - 5:05WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 274
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMourning S.FOUL (P4.T3)74
77
Q4 - 5:05WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)74
19.7%
77
80.3%
Q4 - 5:06WASMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot74
23.9%
77
76.1%
Q4 - 5:24MIAJones 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)74
19.6%
77
80.4%
Q4 - 5:37MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
14.9%
77
85.0%
Q4 - 5:39WASMISS Jordan 14' Jump Shot72
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 5:46MIASUB: Jackson FOR Carter72
77
Q4 - 5:46MIAJones P.FOUL (P4.T2)72
77
Q4 - 6:04WASSUB: Laettner FOR Jones72
77
Q4 - 6:04MIAEllis P.FOUL (P4.T1)72
77
Q4 - 6:04MIALue STEAL (2 STL)72
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q4 - 6:19WASHamilton 14' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)72
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 6:30WASWIZARDS Rebound72
21.1%
75
78.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot72
22.8%
75
77.2%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)72
75
Q4 - 6:53MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
26.9%
75
73.1%
Q4 - 6:55WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot72
25.0%
75
75.0%
Q4 - 7:15MIAEllis 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (House 3 AST)72
22.0%
75
78.0%
Q4 - 7:38WASJordan 13' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)70
17.8%
75
82.2%
Q4 - 7:49WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS House 5' Jump Shot70
23.5%
73
76.5%
Q4 - 7:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
27.5%
73
72.5%
Q4 - 7:59WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot70
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q4 - 8:19WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
23.2%
73
76.8%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Carter 3' Jump Shot70
24.6%
73
75.4%
Q4 - 8:34WASSUB: Jordan FOR Davis70
73
Q4 - 8:3470
73
Q4 - 8:34WASHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)70
28.0%
73
72.0%
Q4 - 8:36WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
23.2%
73
76.8%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot70
24.6%
73
75.4%
Q4 - 8:44WASLue Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)70
27.9%
73
72.1%
Q4 - 8:57WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
23.1%
73
76.9%
Q4 - 8:59WASMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot70
26.4%
73
73.6%
Q4 - 9:23MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
24.2%
73
75.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIAHeat Rebound67
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q4 - 9:32MIAHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)67
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q4 - 9:46WASHaywood Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)67
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q4 - 9:46WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q4 - 9:48WASMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot67
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAEllis 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (House 2 AST)67
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q4 - 10:20MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant65
73
Q4 - 10:20WASDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)65
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 10:24MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)65
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q4 - 10:27MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 10:29WASMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot65
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q4 - 10:43WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Grant 2' Layup65
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q4 - 10:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)65
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q4 - 10:52MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q4 - 10:54MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)65
10.1%
73
89.9%
Q4 - 11:18WASHamilton 17' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)65
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIAGrant 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)65
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q4 - 12:0063
71
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS63
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0WASJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot63
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0WASDavis P.FOUL (P1.T4)63
71
Q3 - 0:25.0WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)63
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0WASJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0WASMISS Whitney 14' Jump Shot63
12.4%
71
87.6%
Q3 - 1:14MIAJones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 1:29WASLaettner Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 1:29WASLaettner Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q3 - 1:29MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)61
69
Q3 - 1:48MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)61
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 1:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)61
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 1:57WASMISS Whitney 18' Jump Shot61
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q3 - 2:07WASWIZARDS Rebound61
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q3 - 2:08WASMISS Lue 9' Jump Shot61
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 2:28WASWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot61
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 2:36MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
14.1%
69
85.9%
Q3 - 2:38WASMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot61
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 2:55MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 2:55WASSUB: Davis FOR Hamilton60
69
Q3 - 2:55MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 2:55WASHamilton S.FOUL (P4.T3)59
69
Q3 - 3:13WASHamilton 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)59
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 3:23MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson59
67
Q3 - 3:23MIAJackson P.FOUL (P4.T4)59
67
Q3 - 3:24MIALue STEAL (1 STL)59
12.5%
67
87.5%
Q3 - 3:28MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
14.7%
67
85.3%
Q3 - 3:30WASMISS Whitney 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q3 - 3:50MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)59
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 3:50WASWhitney S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
67
Q3 - 3:50MIAHouse 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)58
10.6%
67
89.4%
Q3 - 4:08WASLaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)56
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 4:17WASSUB: Lue FOR Jordan56
67
Q3 - 4:32MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)56
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 4:52WASHamilton 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Laettner 3 AST)54
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 5:07WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 5:33WASHamilton 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jordan 7 AST)54
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 5:48WASSUB: Jones FOR White54
63
Q3 - 5:48MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)54
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 5:53MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
13.4%
63
86.6%
Q3 - 5:55WASMISS Laettner 16' Jump Shot54
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 6:10WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)54
63
Q3 - 6:11MIAEllis 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (House 1 AST)54
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 6:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)52
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q3 - 6:23WASMISS Jordan 2' Layup52
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 6:48MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 6:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)50
7.8%
63
92.2%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Carter 10' Jump Shot50
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 7:05WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)50
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 7:05WASWIZARDS Rebound50
62
Q3 - 7:05WASMISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 250
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 7:05WASWIZARDS Rebound50
62
Q3 - 7:05WASMISS Jordan Free Throw Technical50
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 7:05MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning50
62
Q3 - 7:05MIAJackson T.FOUL (P3.T3)50
62
Q3 - 7:05MIAJackson S.FOUL (P3.T3)50
62
Q3 - 7:18MIASUB: House FOR Jones50
62
Q3 - 7:18MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland50
62
Q3 - 7:18MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T10)50
8.2%
62
91.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Strickland 4' Jump Shot50
8.5%
62
91.5%
Q3 - 7:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 7:28WASMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot50
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 7:56MIAJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)50
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q3 - 8:18WASJordan 17' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)47
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.T2)47
60
Q3 - 8:34WASWIZARDS Rebound47
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Strickland 10' Jump Shot47
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q3 - 8:41WASWhite Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)47
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 8:56MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 8:56MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 8:56WASWhite S.FOUL (P2.T1)45
60
Q3 - 9:07WASWhitney Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)45
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 9:07MIAMourning T.FOUL (P2.T1)45
59
Q3 - 9:11WASWhite 1' Layup (6 PTS)45
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)45
57
Q3 - 9:32WASWIZARDS Rebound45
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot45
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)45
57
Q3 - 9:51WASHamilton 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 9:55WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
11.3%
55
88.7%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot45
11.8%
55
88.2%
Q3 - 10:17WASJordan 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)45
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q3 - 10:31MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)45
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q3 - 10:49WASJordan 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Whitney 4 AST)42
11.7%
53
88.3%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMourning 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)42
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q3 - 11:27WASHamilton 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jordan 6 AST)40
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q3 - 11:41WASWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q3 - 11:43WASMISS Hamilton 12' Jump Shot40
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q3 - 11:45WASHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q3 - 11:46WASMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot40
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q3 - 12:0040
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASHaywood Layup (2 PTS)40
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot40
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAJackson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)40
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
15.6%
47
84.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0WASMISS Jordan 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
14.3%
47
85.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot38
14.6%
47
85.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0WASJones 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)38
15.6%
47
84.4%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T9)38
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P1)38
45
Q2 - 1:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 1:18WASMISS Jordan 12' Jump Shot38
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 1:40MIAJackson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)38
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot36
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 2:00WASHaywood Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)36
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q2 - 2:19MIAJackson 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 2:30WASJordan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)34
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 2:45WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
11.7%
45
88.3%
Q2 - 2:47MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot34
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 2:5734
45
Q2 - 2:57WASHaywood L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)34
45
Q2 - 2:57MIAHeat Rebound34
13.1%
45
86.9%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot34
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 3:13WASJones 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Jordan 5 AST)34
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 3:26WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot34
15.2%
43
84.8%
Q2 - 3:41WASLue P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
43
Q2 - 4:00WASJordan 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)34
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 4:20WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot34
18.9%
41
81.1%
Q2 - 4:30WASWhitney P.FOUL (P1.T2)34
41
Q2 - 4:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
20.4%
41
79.6%
Q2 - 4:40WASMISS Jordan 14' Jump Shot34
19.7%
41
80.3%
Q2 - 4:59MIAStrickland 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)34
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 5:16WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)32
17.0%
41
83.0%
Q2 - 5:16WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 5:16MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.PN)32
39
Q2 - 5:21WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
18.8%
39
81.2%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 5:27MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
20.6%
39
79.4%
Q2 - 5:29WASMISS Whitney 19' Jump Shot32
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 5:34WASWIZARDS Rebound32
18.8%
39
81.2%
Q2 - 5:34WASMISS Jordan 17' Jump Shot32
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
18.8%
39
81.2%
Q2 - 5:50WASSUB: Whitney FOR Hamilton31
39
Q2 - 5:50MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 5:50WASHamilton S.FOUL (P3.T1)30
39
Q2 - 6:13WASJones 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 4 AST)30
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)30
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 6:49WASJordan 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)28
17.4%
37
82.6%
Q2 - 7:02MIASUB: Jones FOR Carter28
35
Q2 - 7:02MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T4)28
35
Q2 - 7:16MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)28
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 7:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)26
35
Q2 - 7:38WASLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jordan 3 AST)26
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 7:45WASJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot26
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 7:57WASHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)26
22.9%
32
77.1%
Q2 - 7:57MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis26
31
Q2 - 7:57WASHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)26
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 7:57MIASUB: Strickland FOR Gatling26
30
Q2 - 7:57WASSUB: Jones FOR Laettner26
30
Q2 - 7:57MIAEllis P.FOUL (P3.T3)26
30
Q2 - 7:59MIALaettner STEAL (1 STL)26
24.9%
30
75.1%
Q2 - 8:09WASLaettner 2' Layup (9 PTS)26
27.2%
30
72.8%
Q2 - 8:10WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q2 - 8:13WASMISS Haywood 11' Jump Shot26
31.1%
28
68.9%
Q2 - 8:18WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q2 - 8:19WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot26
31.1%
28
68.9%
Q2 - 8:28WASLaettner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
29.5%
28
70.5%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot26
30.2%
28
69.8%
Q2 - 8:44WASLaettner Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q2 - 8:44WASSUB: Jordan FOR Brown26
27
Q2 - 8:44WASSUB: Hamilton FOR Davis26
27
Q2 - 8:44MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.T2)26
27
Q2 - 8:44WASLaettner 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)26
34.2%
27
65.8%
Q2 - 9:05MIACarter 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)26
36.4%
25
63.6%
Q2 - 9:08WASDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q2 - 9:27WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)24
25
Q2 - 9:33MIAGatling 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)24
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q2 - 9:37WASDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q2 - 9:55MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)22
27.1%
25
72.9%
Q2 - 10:09MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant20
25
Q2 - 10:09WASLaettner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q2 - 10:20WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Gatling 15' Jump Shot20
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q2 - 10:41WASBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q2 - 10:41WASBrown OFF.Foul (P1)20
25
Q2 - 11:00WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot20
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q2 - 11:14MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot20
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q2 - 11:29WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)20
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.T1)20
25
Q2 - 12:0020
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
23.6%
25
76.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0WASMISS Lue 5' Jump Shot20
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0WASWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot20
24.3%
25
75.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0WASLue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
25.3%
25
74.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0WASWIZARDS Rebound20
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Ellis 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.3%
25
75.7%
Q1 - 1:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 1:04WASMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot20
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q1 - 1:24MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)20
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 1:36WASSUB: Davis FOR Hamilton17
25
Q1 - 1:36WASHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T3)17
25
Q1 - 1:49WASLue 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Laettner 2 AST)17
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q1 - 1:53MIAWhite STEAL (1 STL)17
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 2:11WASLaettner 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)17
24.1%
23
75.9%
Q1 - 2:35MIAEllis 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)17
26.1%
21
73.9%
Q1 - 2:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 2:43WASMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot15
23.7%
21
76.3%
Q1 - 2:54MIASUB: Gatling FOR Mourning15
21
Q1 - 2:54WASSUB: Lue FOR Whitney15
21
Q1 - 2:54MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland15
21
Q1 - 2:54WASSUB: Brown FOR Jordan15
21
Q1 - 2:54WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
21
Q1 - 2:54MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T6)15
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 2:54MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)15
21
Q1 - 3:18WASWhite 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Jordan 2 AST)15
24.2%
21
75.8%
Q1 - 3:29MIAWhitney STEAL (2 STL)15
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 3:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
27.7%
19
72.3%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot15
26.5%
19
73.5%
Q1 - 3:54WASHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Whitney 3 AST)15
27.7%
19
72.3%
Q1 - 4:08MIAEllis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)15
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 4:16MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 4:18WASMISS Jordan 17' Jump Shot13
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 4:26MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jackson13
16
Q1 - 4:26MIAJackson P.FOUL (P2.T2)13
16
Q1 - 4:44MIAJackson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)13
28.3%
16
71.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 4:51WASMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot11
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIAStrickland 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 5:31MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)9
16
Q1 - 5:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.5%
16
75.5%
Q1 - 5:34WASMISS White 2' Layup9
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 5:51MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 5:51MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
23.0%
16
77.0%
Q1 - 5:51WASHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
16
Q1 - 6:08WASWhite 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Laettner 1 AST)7
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 6:28MIAStrickland 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 6:29MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
22.5%
14
77.5%
Q1 - 6:32MIALaettner BLOCK (2 BLK)5
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 6:54WASJordan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)5
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 7:05WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot5
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 7:27WASJordan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)5
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 7:27WASJordan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 7:27MIAJackson S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
10
Q1 - 7:52MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)5
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 8:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)3
10
Q1 - 8:09WASLaettner 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)3
26.3%
10
73.7%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)3
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 8:26MIAHeat Rebound2
8
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 22
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 8:26WASWhite S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
8
Q1 - 8:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 8:30MIALaettner BLOCK (1 BLK)2
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 8:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 8:45WASMISS Laettner 14' Jump Shot2
27.8%
8
72.2%
Q1 - 8:52MIAJordan STEAL (1 STL)2
27.3%
8
72.7%
Q1 - 9:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 9:02WASMISS Jordan 18' Jump Shot2
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 9:16MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T3)2
28.3%
8
71.7%
Q1 - 9:16MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P1)2
8
Q1 - 9:33WASJordan 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)2
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWhitney STEAL (1 STL)2
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 9:46WASHamilton 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)2
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:29WASJordan 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 10:45WASWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot0
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:07WASHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)0
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball White vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.0%
WAS
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
17
53%
WAS
8
12
67%
Midrange
MIA
19
48
40%
WAS
23
54
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
WAS
2
3.0
5
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
12
15
80%
WAS
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson1860%9.0 / 15
L. Ellis1568%7.5 / 11
A. Mourning1150%5.5 / 11
E. Jones1038%5.0 / 13
B. Grant844%4.0 / 9
E. House850%4.0 / 8
R. Strickland638%3.0 / 8
A. Carter213%1.0 / 8
C. Gatling250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Jordan2545%12.5 / 28
R. Hamilton2357%11.5 / 20
C. Laettner1365%6.5 / 10
J. White675%3.0 / 4
P. Jones660%3.0 / 5
T. Lue542%2.5 / 6
B. Haywood350%1.5 / 3
C. Whitney113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
69
+17
-15
86
WAS
72
+12
-13
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.0%
WAS
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
101.5
MIA 95.2
WAS 96.5 +1.2
Pace
89.7
91.3
MIA 91.8 +13.4
WAS 78.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.2
MIA 15.7 −2.7
WAS 18.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.4%
MIA 44.2%
WAS 47.9% +3.7%
TO %
15.5%
13.3%
MIA 15.2% −0.7%
WAS 15.9%
ORB %
26.7%
30.8%
MIA 34.2% +5.6%
WAS 28.6%
FTrt
26.8
28.0
MIA 19.5
WAS 26.8 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
58.4%
MIA 68.8% +8.2%
WAS 60.6%
STL %
7.4%
7.6%
MIA 7.1%
WAS 9.4% +2.3%
BLK %
8.7%
6.6%
MIA 6.1%
WAS 7.7% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
48.3%
MIA 46.0%
WAS 48.8% +2.8%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.3%
MIA 52.9%
WAS 66.7% +13.8%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.7%
MIA 39.6%
WAS 42.6% +3.0%
3P %
34.7%
38.8%
MIA 33.3%
WAS 40.0% +6.7%
FT %
72.4%
76.5%
MIA 80.0% +6.3%
WAS 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
27.2%
MIA 22.1% +5.2%
WAS 16.9%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
61.0%
MIA 62.3% −13.7%
WAS 76.1%
3P Att. %
14.1%
11.8%
MIA 15.6% +8.5%
WAS 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points8082
Rebounds3835
Assists2220
Steals68
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)25 (4)
Field Goals32-7733-71
At-the-Rim FG9-178-12
Midrange FG19-4823-54
2-Point FG28-6531-66
3-Point FG4-122-5
Free Throws12-1514-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 30
39.1
10
38%
6
4
2
1
1
4
1
5
4-4
100%
3-8
38%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
35.5
8
44%
12
0
2
0
4
2
5
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
34.5
11
50%
3
1
0
2
2
4
2
1
1-4
25%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 31
34.0
18
60%
3
2
0
0
2
5
2
1
0-0
-
6-13
46%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
21.8
6
38%
5
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
27.6
15
68%
5
0
0
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
21.4
2
13%
4
3
2
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
19.3
8
50%
0
4
0
0
2
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" · 34
7.0
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
G · 6'7" · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
46%
38
22
6
4
15
0
13
25
12-15
80%
28-65
43%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.