Final Win Prob. pScore
1659%90
95
2641%87
86
ORTG#PossPace
Nets
103.39294.0
MIA logo Heat
96.68987.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NJN95
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)95
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0NJNKidd Layup (13 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)95
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)93
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0NJNMISS Kidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJackson Tip Shot (24 PTS)93
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS House Driving Layup93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10NJNMISS Kittles 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot93
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 1:48NJNMartin 15' Jump Shot (25 PTS)93
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 2:03NJNNets Rebound91
82
Q4 - 2:03NJNMISS Collins Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 291
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 2:03NJNNets Rebound91
82
Q4 - 2:03NJNMISS Collins Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 291
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 2:03MIASUB: Gatling FOR Ellis91
82
Q4 - 2:03NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)91
82
Q4 - 2:03MIAEllis FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P4.T2)91
82
Q4 - 2:13NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)91
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 2:15NJNMISS Collins 8' Jump Shot91
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAHouse 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)91
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 2:57NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 2:57NJNKittles Tip Shot (27 PTS)91
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 3:01NJNMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot89
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q4 - 3:20MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 3:26NJNMISS Kittles 20' Jump Shot89
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 3:28NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 3:32NJNMISS Kidd Driving Layup89
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 3:32MIASUB: Gill FOR Carter89
78
Q4 - 3:32NJNSUB: Collins FOR Williams89
78
Q4 - 3:32MIAEllis P.FOUL (P3.T1)89
78
Q4 - 3:34MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T22)89
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
98.7%
78
1.3%
Q4 - 3:49NJNMISS Martin 4' Running Hook Shot89
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 4:03NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 4:06MIAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIASUB: House FOR Jones89
78
Q4 - 4:20NJNKidd P.FOUL (P3.T1)89
78
Q4 - 4:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 4:32NJNMISS Kidd 14' Jump Shot89
99.0%
78
1.0%
Q4 - 4:47NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot89
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 5:14NJNKittles 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)89
97.9%
78
2.1%
Q4 - 5:24MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)87
97.2%
78
2.8%
Q4 - 5:39NJNSUB: Kidd FOR Harris87
78
Q4 - 5:39NJNJefferson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)87
96.1%
78
3.9%
Q4 - 5:53NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot87
97.0%
78
3.0%
Q4 - 6:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)87
78
Q4 - 6:06NJNKittles Violation:Kicked Ball87
78
Q4 - 6:10NJNEllis STEAL (2 STL)87
95.0%
78
5.0%
Q4 - 6:29MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning87
78
Q4 - 6:29NJNSUB: Martin FOR Collins87
78
Q4 - 6:29MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T20)87
96.3%
78
3.7%
Q4 - 6:29MIAEllis OFF.Foul (P2)87
78
Q4 - 6:46NJNWilliams 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)87
95.0%
78
5.0%
Q4 - 7:05MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)85
92.3%
78
7.7%
Q4 - 7:29NJNJefferson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)85
94.0%
76
6.0%
Q4 - 7:50NJNNets Rebound83
92.4%
76
7.6%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot83
91.8%
76
8.2%
Q4 - 7:54MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
90.1%
76
9.9%
Q4 - 7:56NJNMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot83
90.8%
76
9.2%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)83
91.3%
76
8.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
89.1%
76
10.9%
Q4 - 8:12NJNMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
89.8%
76
10.2%
Q4 - 8:27NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
91.3%
76
8.7%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Mourning Layup83
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
89.1%
76
10.9%
Q4 - 8:33MIAMISS Mourning Layup83
90.7%
76
9.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
89.2%
76
10.8%
Q4 - 8:48NJNMISS Jefferson 8' Running Jump Shot83
89.9%
76
10.1%
Q4 - 8:5783
76
Q4 - 8:57MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T18)83
91.4%
76
8.6%
Q4 - 8:57MIAJackson OFF.Foul (P4)83
76
Q4 - 9:12NJNWilliams 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)83
88.0%
76
12.0%
Q4 - 9:33MIACarter 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)81
85.1%
76
14.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIASUB: Jones FOR Grant81
74
Q4 - 9:48MIAHEAT Rebound81
88.1%
74
11.9%
Q4 - 9:49NJNMISS Jefferson 7' Running Jump Shot81
88.8%
74
11.2%
Q4 - 10:12MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS)81
89.3%
74
10.7%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
91.3%
72
8.7%
Q4 - 10:24NJNMISS Kittles 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
91.9%
72
8.1%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T17)81
93.0%
72
7.0%
Q4 - 10:51NJNCollins 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)81
91.4%
72
8.6%
Q4 - 11:12MIACarter 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)79
88.4%
72
11.6%
Q4 - 11:26MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
90.5%
70
9.5%
Q4 - 11:28NJNEllis BLOCK (2 BLK)79
91.0%
70
9.0%
Q4 - 11:42MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)79
92.1%
70
7.9%
Q4 - 12:0079
70
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
90.6%
70
9.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound79
90.6%
70
9.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 42' 3PT Jump Shot79
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0NJNKidd P.FOUL (P2.T4)79
70
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAJackson Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)79
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0NJNJefferson T.FOUL (P1.T3)79
69
Q3 - 0:03.0NJNJefferson Reverse Dunk (7 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)79
91.4%
69
8.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)77
89.5%
69
10.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Williams: Tip to Carter77
66
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
92.9%
66
7.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0NJNMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot77
93.3%
66
6.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)77
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
92.3%
66
7.7%
Q3 - 1:10NJNMISS Kidd Free Throw 2 of 277
92.5%
66
7.5%
Q3 - 1:10NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
93.4%
66
6.6%
Q3 - 1:10NJNSUB: Collins FOR Van Horn76
66
Q3 - 1:10MIAJackson L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)76
66
Q3 - 1:13MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)76
92.2%
66
7.8%
Q3 - 1:27NJNJefferson Dunk (5 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)76
90.8%
66
9.2%
Q3 - 1:30NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
88.8%
66
11.2%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Grant 2' Jump Shot74
88.3%
66
11.7%
Q3 - 1:52NJNHarris 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Van Horn 3 AST)74
87.0%
66
13.0%
Q3 - 1:58NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
84.3%
66
15.7%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot72
83.6%
66
16.4%
Q3 - 2:07NJNHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)72
80.9%
66
19.1%
Q3 - 2:07NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)71
80.4%
66
19.6%
Q3 - 2:07MIASUB: Mourning FOR Jones70
66
Q3 - 2:07NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Martin70
66
Q3 - 2:07NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)70
66
Q3 - 2:07MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.T4)70
66
Q3 - 2:22MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS)70
77.9%
66
22.1%
Q3 - 2:45NJNMartin Dunk (23 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)70
81.0%
64
19.0%
Q3 - 3:05MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
77.8%
64
22.2%
Q3 - 3:05MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
78.3%
63
21.7%
Q3 - 3:05NJNSUB: Harris FOR Kittles68
62
Q3 - 3:05NJNMartin S.FOUL (P4.T3)68
62
Q3 - 3:27MIAHEAT Rebound68
62
Q3 - 3:29NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 168
81.0%
62
19.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T3)68
62
Q3 - 3:29NJNMartin Running Dunk (21 PTS) (Kittles 2 AST)68
80.6%
62
19.4%
Q3 - 3:52MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)66
77.8%
62
22.2%
Q3 - 4:12MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)66
60
Q3 - 4:12NJNKittles Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)66
79.9%
60
20.1%
Q3 - 4:12NJNNets Rebound65
60
Q3 - 4:12NJNMISS Kittles Free Throw 1 of 265
79.4%
60
20.6%
Q3 - 4:12MIASUB: Jones FOR Mourning65
60
Q3 - 4:12MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T2)65
60
Q3 - 4:15MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)65
80.4%
60
19.6%
Q3 - 4:21NJNCarter STEAL (1 STL)65
77.0%
60
23.0%
Q3 - 4:42MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland65
60
Q3 - 4:42MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)65
80.4%
60
19.6%
Q3 - 5:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
76.3%
60
23.7%
Q3 - 5:05NJNMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)65
77.3%
60
22.7%
Q3 - 5:16MIAStrickland Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)65
79.5%
60
20.5%
Q3 - 5:35NJNVan Horn 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
76.3%
60
23.7%
Q3 - 5:42NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
73.6%
60
26.4%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot63
72.5%
60
27.5%
Q3 - 6:00MIAHEAT Rebound63
69.8%
60
30.2%
Q3 - 6:02NJNMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot63
70.9%
60
29.1%
Q3 - 6:23NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
73.3%
60
26.7%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Jackson 23' Jump Shot63
72.3%
60
27.7%
Q3 - 6:54NJNKittles Dunk (22 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)63
69.8%
60
30.2%
Q3 - 6:57NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
66.5%
60
33.5%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot61
65.4%
60
34.6%
Q3 - 7:08NJNSUB: Williams FOR MacCulloch61
60
Q3 - 7:08MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)61
60
Q3 - 7:08NJNMacCulloch L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)61
60
Q3 - 7:08MIAHEAT Rebound61
62.4%
60
37.6%
Q3 - 7:09NJNMISS Kidd 16' Jump Shot61
63.5%
60
36.5%
Q3 - 7:14MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T1)61
60
Q3 - 7:29MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
66.1%
60
33.9%
Q3 - 7:29MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
66.7%
59
33.3%
Q3 - 7:29NJNMacCulloch S.FOUL (P3.T1)61
58
Q3 - 7:36NJNStrickland STEAL (1 STL)61
69.3%
58
30.7%
Q3 - 7:46MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P1)61
58
Q3 - 7:46MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jones61
58
Q3 - 7:46MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T10)61
72.7%
58
27.3%
Q3 - 7:59NJNKittles 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)61
69.4%
58
30.6%
Q3 - 8:12MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)59
66.0%
58
34.0%
Q3 - 8:35NJNKittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)59
69.0%
56
31.0%
Q3 - 8:42NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
62.5%
56
37.5%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup56
61.3%
56
38.7%
Q3 - 8:49MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q3 - 8:53NJNMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)56
59.8%
56
40.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T9)56
62.5%
56
37.5%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P2)56
56
Q3 - 9:13NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)56
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q3 - 9:33MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)53
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q3 - 9:43NJNMartin Foul Turnover (P2.T5)53
47.9%
56
52.1%
Q3 - 9:43NJNMartin OFF.Foul (P3)53
56
Q3 - 9:57NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot53
50.6%
56
49.4%
Q3 - 10:13NJNMartin Violation:Kicked Ball53
56
Q3 - 10:24NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (MacCulloch 1 AST)53
48.5%
56
51.5%
Q3 - 10:44MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)50
41.5%
56
58.5%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
45.0%
54
55.0%
Q3 - 11:02NJNMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot50
47.0%
54
53.0%
Q3 - 11:27MIAJackson Driving Layup (16 PTS)50
49.5%
54
50.5%
Q3 - 11:47NJNMacCulloch Layup (4 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)50
52.7%
52
47.3%
Q3 - 12:0048
52
Q2 - 0:00.0NJN48
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound48
49.4%
52
50.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNMISS Kittles 43' 3PT Jump Shot48
46.8%
52
53.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)48
49.6%
52
50.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)48
52
Q2 - 0:06.0NJNKidd P.FOUL (P1.T2)48
52
Q2 - 0:09.0NJNJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kittles 1 AST)48
47.1%
52
52.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
39.6%
52
60.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
47.0%
49
53.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0NJNMISS Van Horn 17' Jump Shot45
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)45
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
53.7%
47
46.3%
Q2 - 1:00NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot45
54.5%
47
45.5%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)45
56.5%
47
43.5%
Q2 - 1:36NJNKittles Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)45
60.6%
45
39.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIASUB: Gill FOR Jackson44
45
Q2 - 1:36NJNKittles Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)44
60.0%
45
40.0%
Q2 - 1:36MIAJackson P.FOUL (P2.PN)43
45
Q2 - 1:39MIASUB: Mourning FOR Gatling43
45
Q2 - 1:39NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Martin43
45
Q2 - 1:3943
45
Q2 - 1:39MIAGatling P.FOUL (P1.T4)43
45
Q2 - 1:57MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
56.5%
45
43.5%
Q2 - 1:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
60.6%
43
39.4%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Grant Layup43
62.5%
43
37.5%
Q2 - 2:21NJNKittles Layup (13 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)43
60.3%
43
39.7%
Q2 - 2:24NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
57.3%
43
42.7%
Q2 - 2:26MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
54.1%
43
45.9%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Jackson Tip Shot41
56.3%
43
43.7%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Gatling Finger Roll41
56.3%
43
43.7%
Q2 - 2:36NJNGatling STEAL (1 STL)41
54.1%
43
45.9%
Q2 - 2:56MIAEllis 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)41
57.3%
43
42.7%
Q2 - 3:11MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
60.4%
41
39.6%
Q2 - 3:13NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
61.5%
41
38.5%
Q2 - 3:15NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
63.8%
41
36.2%
Q2 - 3:19NJNEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)41
61.4%
41
38.6%
Q2 - 3:30MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)41
63.8%
41
36.2%
Q2 - 3:45NJNKittles Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
66.2%
39
33.8%
Q2 - 3:45MIASUB: Jackson FOR Jones40
39
Q2 - 3:45NJNKittles Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q2 - 3:45MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T3)39
39
Q2 - 3:47NJNMacCulloch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
63.8%
39
36.2%
Q2 - 3:49NJNMISS Martin Layup39
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 4:10MIAJones Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)39
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 4:15NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
67.2%
37
32.8%
Q2 - 4:39MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)39
69.2%
37
30.8%
Q2 - 4:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 4:46NJNMISS Van Horn 19' Jump Shot39
67.2%
37
32.8%
Q2 - 4:50MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter39
37
Q2 - 4:50NJNSUB: Kittles FOR Harris39
37
Q2 - 4:50NJNSUB: MacCulloch FOR Williams39
37
Q2 - 5:06MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
69.2%
37
30.8%
Q2 - 5:09MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
71.7%
35
28.3%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot39
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q2 - 5:28NJNMartin Dunk (19 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)39
71.7%
35
28.3%
Q2 - 5:35NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
69.2%
35
30.8%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Gatling 9' Hook Shot37
68.4%
35
31.6%
Q2 - 5:54MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
66.6%
35
33.4%
Q2 - 5:55NJNMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 237
67.0%
35
33.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning37
35
Q2 - 5:55NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
68.8%
35
31.2%
Q2 - 5:55MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)36
35
Q2 - 5:59NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
66.6%
35
33.4%
Q2 - 6:00NJNMISS Williams Tip Shot36
64.8%
35
35.2%
Q2 - 6:01NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
66.6%
35
33.4%
Q2 - 6:02NJNMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot36
64.4%
35
35.6%
Q2 - 6:18NJNSUB: Van Horn FOR Collins36
35
Q2 - 6:18MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
66.6%
35
33.4%
Q2 - 6:34NJNMartin 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)36
63.5%
35
36.5%
Q2 - 6:42MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
35
Q2 - 7:00MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
61.3%
35
38.7%
Q2 - 7:00MIAHEAT Rebound34
34
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 234
62.0%
34
38.0%
Q2 - 7:00MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill34
34
Q2 - 7:00NJNWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T1)34
34
Q2 - 7:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q2 - 7:11NJNMISS Harris 23' Jump Shot34
62.1%
34
37.9%
Q2 - 7:29MIAGill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)34
64.0%
34
36.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIASUB: Gatling FOR Jackson34
31
Q2 - 7:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
31
Q2 - 7:48NJNMartin 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)34
68.9%
31
31.1%
Q2 - 8:10MIAJackson 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)32
66.4%
31
33.6%
Q2 - 8:29NJNMartin Dunk (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)32
68.9%
29
31.1%
Q2 - 8:44NJNNets Rebound30
66.4%
29
33.6%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot30
65.7%
29
34.3%
Q2 - 9:05NJNMartin 7' Hook Shot (11 PTS)30
63.7%
29
36.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAJackson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)28
61.3%
29
38.7%
Q2 - 9:35NJNMartin 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)28
58.7%
29
41.3%
Q2 - 9:53NJNSUB: Martin FOR Jefferson26
29
Q2 - 9:53NJNSUB: Kidd FOR Kittles26
29
Q2 - 9:53NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)26
29
Q2 - 9:57MIAJackson Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)26
56.1%
29
43.9%
Q2 - 10:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
58.7%
27
41.3%
Q2 - 10:02NJNMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot26
59.5%
27
40.5%
Q2 - 10:17MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
61.3%
27
38.7%
Q2 - 10:25MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
63.7%
25
36.3%
Q2 - 10:28NJNMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)26
64.5%
25
35.5%
Q2 - 10:51MIAJackson 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
66.2%
25
33.8%
Q2 - 11:04NJNEllis STEAL (1 STL)26
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)26
70.3%
23
29.7%
Q2 - 11:32MIAHEAT Rebound26
74.4%
20
25.6%
Q2 - 11:35NJNMISS Collins 6' Jump Shot26
75.0%
20
25.0%
Q2 - 11:37NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
76.3%
20
23.7%
Q2 - 11:37NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
76.3%
20
23.7%
Q2 - 11:37NJNMISS Jefferson Dunk26
75.0%
20
25.0%
Q2 - 11:48NJNMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)26
75.0%
20
25.0%
Q2 - 12:0026
20
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
76.3%
20
23.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNVan Horn 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
74.4%
20
25.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
71.7%
20
28.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
71.7%
20
28.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot24
71.3%
20
28.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0NJNWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)24
70.2%
20
29.8%
Q1 - 1:05MIAJones Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)22
67.5%
20
32.5%
Q1 - 1:11MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
70.2%
18
29.8%
Q1 - 1:13NJNMISS Kittles 20' Jump Shot22
70.6%
18
29.4%
Q1 - 1:26NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
18
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 122
71.3%
18
28.7%
Q1 - 1:28NJNWilliams S.FOUL (P1.PN)22
18
Q1 - 1:28MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS)22
71.5%
18
28.5%
Q1 - 1:43NJNKittles Dunk (9 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)22
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
71.5%
16
28.5%
Q1 - 1:51MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland20
15
Q1 - 1:51MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
71.9%
15
28.1%
Q1 - 1:51NJNJefferson P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
14
Q1 - 2:07NJNKidd Dunk (4 PTS) (Van Horn 2 AST)20
73.6%
14
26.4%
Q1 - 2:11MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 2:20MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
69.9%
14
30.1%
Q1 - 2:22NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
70.4%
14
29.6%
Q1 - 2:40MIAJackson 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
73.7%
12
26.3%
Q1 - 2:54NJNMISS Kittles 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
74.1%
12
25.9%
Q1 - 3:02NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
75.4%
12
24.6%
Q1 - 3:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
73.6%
12
26.4%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot18
74.9%
12
25.1%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Grant 8' Jump Shot18
74.9%
12
25.1%
Q1 - 3:26NJNKittles Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
73.6%
12
26.4%
Q1 - 3:26MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T3)17
12
Q1 - 3:26NJNKittles Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
71.8%
12
28.2%
Q1 - 3:33NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Martin15
12
Q1 - 3:33MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning15
12
Q1 - 3:33NJNNets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
12
Q1 - 3:38MIAJackson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
69.9%
12
30.1%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 3:55NJNMISS Van Horn 17' Jump Shot15
72.4%
10
27.6%
Q1 - 4:15MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 4:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
73.6%
8
26.4%
Q1 - 4:36NJNMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot15
74.1%
8
25.9%
Q1 - 4:53MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)15
75.1%
8
24.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
75.7%
6
24.3%
Q1 - 5:03NJNMISS Martin 15' Jump Shot15
76.1%
6
23.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)15
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 5:51NJNMartin Dunk (7 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)15
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 5:54NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
76.5%
4
23.5%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot13
76.1%
4
23.9%
Q1 - 6:26NJNKittles 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)13
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 6:36NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot11
72.8%
4
27.2%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot11
72.7%
4
27.3%
Q1 - 6:57NJNMartin Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
71.5%
4
28.5%
Q1 - 6:57NJNMartin OFF.Foul (P2)11
4
Q1 - 7:00NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
72.8%
4
27.2%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot11
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 7:16NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 7:33NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 211
72.1%
4
27.9%
Q1 - 7:35NJNSUB: Williams FOR MacCulloch11
4
Q1 - 7:35MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)11
71.4%
4
28.6%
Q1 - 7:35NJNMacCulloch S.FOUL (P2.T4)11
3
Q1 - 7:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
71.9%
3
28.1%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot11
72.8%
3
27.2%
Q1 - 7:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
3
Q1 - 8:04NJNKittles Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)11
71.5%
3
28.5%
Q1 - 8:10MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)9
70.2%
3
29.8%
Q1 - 8:20NJNMartin Dunk (5 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)9
68.8%
3
31.2%
Q1 - 8:31NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
67.4%
3
32.6%
Q1 - 8:33NJNMISS Van Horn 13' Turnaround Jump Shot7
66.5%
3
33.5%
Q1 - 8:41NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
67.2%
3
32.8%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot7
66.8%
3
33.2%
Q1 - 8:53NJNMacCulloch P.FOUL (P1.T3)7
3
Q1 - 9:03NJNKidd 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
65.7%
3
34.3%
Q1 - 9:19MIAJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
64.2%
3
35.8%
Q1 - 9:32NJNMartin P.FOUL (P1.T2)5
1
Q1 - 9:45NJNMartin 12' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
64.6%
1
35.4%
Q1 - 9:56NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
63.4%
1
36.6%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot3
63.1%
1
36.9%
Q1 - 10:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
62.2%
1
37.8%
Q1 - 10:09NJNMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)3
62.4%
1
37.6%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
62.5%
1
37.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAHEAT Rebound3
0
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 23
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 10:27NJNVan Horn S.FOUL (P1.T1)3
0
Q1 - 10:43NJNMacCulloch Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 10:43NJNMacCulloch Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T2)1
0
Q1 - 10:47NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot1
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 11:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 11:06NJNMISS Van Horn 8' Running Hook Shot1
60.5%
0
39.5%
Q1 - 11:23NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
60.3%
0
39.7%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup1
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 11:41NJNMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:41NJNNets Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:41NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 20
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIAJackson S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:44MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Van Horn: Tip to Strickland0
59.0%
0
41.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
18
30
60%
MIA
15
25
60%
Midrange
NJN
17
41
41%
MIA
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
MIA
4
6.0
6
67%
100%
Free Throws
NJN
13
20
65%
MIA
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Kittles2761%13.5 / 22
K. Martin2560%12.5 / 21
J. Kidd1350%6.5 / 13
R. Jefferson950%4.5 / 9
A. Williams650%3.0 / 6
L. Harris536%2.5 / 7
K. Van Horn422%2.0 / 9
T. MacCulloch450%2.0 / 4
J. Collins225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson2460%12.0 / 20
B. Grant1250%6.0 / 12
E. Jones1050%5.0 / 10
L. Ellis10100%5.0 / 5
A. Mourning950%4.5 / 9
A. Carter857%4.0 / 7
E. House660%3.0 / 5
R. Strickland440%2.0 / 5
K. Gill3150%1.5 / 1
C. Gatling0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
83
+13
-9
96
MIA
67
+9
-22
76
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.8
96.1
NJN 103.3 +6.6
MIA 96.6
Pace
94.8
89.7
NJN 94.0 +6.9
MIA 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.7
NJN 15.3 −1.2
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
46.3%
NJN 48.2%
MIA 54.3% +6.1%
TO %
14.9%
15.5%
NJN 8.8% −13.6%
MIA 22.4%
ORB %
29.3%
26.7%
NJN 27.9% +3.7%
MIA 24.2%
FTrt
28.0
26.8
NJN 23.5 +3.5
MIA 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.4%
59.4%
NJN 71.8% +21.8%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
9.2%
7.4%
NJN 9.8% +4.2%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
8.9%
8.7%
NJN 4.7%
MIA 9.9% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
47.7%
NJN 49.0%
MIA 54.4% +5.4%
Rim FG%
57.6%
60.6%
NJN 60.0%
MIA 60.0%
Mid FG%
39.2%
38.0%
NJN 41.5%
MIA 43.6% +2.1%
3P %
33.8%
34.7%
NJN 28.6%
MIA 66.7% +38.1%
FT %
73.5%
72.4%
NJN 65.0%
MIA 71.4% +6.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
28.1%
NJN 35.3%
MIA 35.7% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
57.8%
NJN 48.2% −7.5%
MIA 55.7%
3P Att. %
17.5%
14.1%
NJN 16.5% +7.9%
MIA 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions9289
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points9586
Rebounds3739
Assists2818
Steals95
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)31 (5)
Field Goals39-8536-70
At-the-Rim FG18-3015-25
Midrange FG17-4117-39
2-Point FG35-7132-64
3-Point FG4-144-6
Free Throws13-2010-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 185 · 28
39.9
27
61%
5
2
4
0
1
0
1
4
6-7
86%
9-11
82%
1-7
14%
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
39.5
13
50%
7
11
1
0
2
3
1
6
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
33.0
25
60%
2
4
0
0
3
4
0
2
1-3
33%
12-19
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 26
29.1
4
22%
6
3
2
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-9
22%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 26
14.1
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 30
30.4
6
50%
7
1
0
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 21
21.4
9
50%
4
2
2
0
2
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 31
16.6
5
36%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 23
15.9
2
25%
3
2
0
2
0
0
3
0
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 184 · 26
C · 6'10" 220 · 26
G · 6'5" 185 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
37
28
9
3
9
0
12
25
13-20
65%
35-71
49%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.