Final Win Prob. pScore
2737%87
76
2663%91
73
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
89.48594.7
HOU logo Rockets
84.98678.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU76
100%
73
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound76
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Norris 44' 3PT Jump Shot76
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)76
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)73
73
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUTorres P.FOUL (P1.T2)73
73
Q4 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Gill FOR Carter73
73
Q4 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant73
73
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)73
73
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMobley Driving Layup (17 PTS)73
67.1%
73
32.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland73
71
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 2)73
71
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUJump Ball Norris vs. Strickland: Tip to Mobley73
71
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUROCKETS Rebound73
81.1%
71
18.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Norris Layup73
91.6%
71
8.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
76.2%
71
23.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
81.3%
71
18.7%
Q4 - 0:48.0HOUThomas 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Norris 5 AST)73
84.2%
71
15.8%
Q4 - 1:01HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)73
69
Q4 - 1:06MIAJones Driving Layup (19 PTS)73
88.6%
69
11.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
79.4%
69
20.6%
Q4 - 1:29HOUMISS Torres 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
76.0%
69
24.0%
Q4 - 1:49HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
64.0%
69
36.0%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Jones 23' Jump Shot71
67.7%
69
32.3%
Q4 - 2:06HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
77.5%
69
22.5%
Q4 - 2:06MIASUB: Mourning FOR Ellis71
68
Q4 - 2:06HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
78.7%
68
21.3%
Q4 - 2:06MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T4)71
67
Q4 - 2:07HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
82.7%
67
17.3%
Q4 - 2:08HOUMISS Willis 6' Hook Shot71
88.4%
67
11.6%
Q4 - 2:32MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)71
82.9%
67
17.1%
Q4 - 2:48MIASUB: Jones FOR Gill69
67
Q4 - 2:48MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)69
67
Q4 - 2:53MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
74.5%
67
25.5%
Q4 - 2:55HOUMISS Thomas Layup69
71.3%
67
28.7%
Q4 - 3:07HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
62.5%
67
37.5%
Q4 - 3:09HOUMISS Thomas 6' Hook Shot69
71.8%
67
28.2%
Q4 - 3:21HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
62.6%
67
37.4%
Q4 - 3:23MIAWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)69
67.0%
67
33.0%
Q4 - 3:39HOUWillis Dunk (2 PTS) (Norris 4 AST)69
69.0%
67
31.0%
Q4 - 3:52MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.T3)69
65
Q4 - 4:07MIAJackson Reverse Layup (12 PTS)69
76.5%
65
23.5%
Q4 - 4:22MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter67
65
Q4 - 4:22HOUSUB: Norris FOR Brown67
65
Q4 - 4:22HOUThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T11)67
69.7%
65
30.3%
Q4 - 4:22HOUThomas OFF.Foul (P3)67
65
Q4 - 4:49MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
60.2%
65
39.8%
Q4 - 5:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
49.5%
65
50.5%
Q4 - 5:03HOUMISS Mobley 9' Jump Shot65
46.9%
65
53.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIAJackson Driving Layup (10 PTS)65
40.9%
65
59.1%
Q4 - 5:44HOUMobley Driving Layup (13 PTS)63
33.3%
65
66.7%
Q4 - 5:58MIASUB: Grant FOR Jones63
63
Q4 - 5:58MIASUB: Jackson FOR Mourning63
63
Q4 - 5:58HOUSUB: Willis FOR Griffin63
63
Q4 - 5:58HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)63
63
Q4 - 5:58MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)63
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q4 - 6:26HOUTorres 6' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mobley 5 AST)63
48.5%
63
51.5%
Q4 - 6:41MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)63
55.8%
61
44.2%
Q4 - 6:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
48.6%
61
51.4%
Q4 - 6:56HOUMISS Thomas 15' Turnaround Jump Shot61
46.1%
61
53.9%
Q4 - 7:18MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)61
40.1%
61
59.9%
Q4 - 7:41HOUThomas 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)59
34.1%
61
65.9%
Q4 - 8:00MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)59
40.2%
59
59.8%
Q4 - 8:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
34.2%
59
65.8%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot57
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q4 - 8:23HOUThomas 6' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)57
34.1%
59
65.9%
Q4 - 8:3657
57
Q4 - 8:36MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)57
40.4%
57
59.6%
Q4 - 8:51HOUThomas Layup (20 PTS)57
46.6%
57
53.4%
Q4 - 9:06MIACarter Foul Turnover (P2.T9)57
52.4%
55
47.6%
Q4 - 9:06MIACarter OFF.Foul (P2)57
55
Q4 - 9:18MIAHeat Rebound57
58.1%
55
41.9%
Q4 - 9:21HOUMISS Torres 9' Jump Shot57
56.4%
55
43.6%
Q4 - 9:28MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)57
52.5%
55
47.5%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
58.1%
55
41.9%
Q4 - 9:35HOUMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot57
56.4%
55
43.6%
Q4 - 9:53HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
52.5%
55
47.5%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot57
54.2%
55
45.8%
Q4 - 10:08HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)57
56.8%
55
43.2%
Q4 - 10:08HOUROCKETS Rebound57
54
Q4 - 10:08HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 257
58.2%
54
41.8%
Q4 - 10:08MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson57
54
Q4 - 10:08MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.T2)57
54
Q4 - 10:23HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
57.0%
54
43.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIAGriffin BLOCK (3 BLK)57
58.6%
54
41.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
62.3%
54
37.7%
Q4 - 10:36HOUMISS Torres 22' Jump Shot57
60.7%
54
39.3%
Q4 - 11:00HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
57.0%
54
43.0%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot57
57.4%
54
42.6%
Q4 - 11:22HOUTorres Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
60.8%
54
39.2%
Q4 - 11:22HOUROCKETS Rebound57
53
Q4 - 11:22HOUMISS Torres Free Throw 1 of 257
61.8%
53
38.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIAJackson S.FOUL (P4.T1)57
53
Q4 - 11:36MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
61.1%
53
38.9%
Q4 - 11:46HOUGriffin P.FOUL (P1.T1)55
53
Q4 - 12:0055
53
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
55.7%
53
44.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
55.7%
53
44.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot55
52.2%
53
47.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUThomas P.FOUL (P2.T4)55
53
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUSUB: Brown FOR Norris55
53
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHeat Rebound55
54.4%
53
45.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot55
51.3%
53
48.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)55
54.5%
53
45.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot55
53.1%
53
46.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUMobley Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)55
50.0%
53
50.0%
Q3 - 0:46.055
52
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
55.1%
52
44.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMobley BLOCK (1 BLK)55
56.5%
52
43.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUMISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot55
58.2%
52
41.8%
Q3 - 1:13MIACarter Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
54.0%
52
46.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)53
52
Q3 - 1:23HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 1 of 153
48.1%
52
51.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones53
52
Q3 - 1:23MIAJackson S.FOUL (P3.T3)53
52
Q3 - 1:23HOUNorris Layup (6 PTS) (Mobley 4 AST)53
48.7%
52
51.3%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMobley STEAL (2 STL)53
54.1%
50
45.9%
Q3 - 1:37HOUMobley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)53
58.5%
50
41.5%
Q3 - 1:56MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
63.6%
48
36.4%
Q3 - 2:11MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
57.3%
48
42.7%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot51
54.1%
48
45.9%
Q3 - 2:20HOUTorres Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
57.4%
48
42.6%
Q3 - 2:29MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
48
Q3 - 2:40MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant51
48
Q3 - 2:40MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)51
48
Q3 - 2:40HOUROCKETS Rebound51
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q3 - 2:41MIAGriffin BLOCK (2 BLK)51
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q3 - 2:53MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
57.4%
48
42.6%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot51
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q3 - 3:08HOUThomas 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS)51
56.4%
48
43.6%
Q3 - 3:10HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
60.5%
46
39.5%
Q3 - 3:12HOUMISS Torres 15' Turnaround Jump Shot51
63.6%
46
36.4%
Q3 - 3:39MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)51
60.5%
46
39.5%
Q3 - 3:53HOUThomas Dunk (15 PTS) (Norris 3 AST)49
56.5%
46
43.5%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
59.4%
44
40.6%
Q3 - 4:13HOUSUB: Thomas FOR Willis48
44
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)48
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q3 - 4:13HOUMobley S.FOUL (P1.T3)47
44
Q3 - 4:22MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
55.9%
44
44.1%
Q3 - 4:24HOUMISS Norris Driving Layup47
54.4%
44
45.6%
Q3 - 4:39HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
50.9%
44
49.1%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot47
52.4%
44
47.6%
Q3 - 5:07HOUMobley 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q3 - 5:26HOUSUB: Griffin FOR Thomas47
42
Q3 - 5:26HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)47
42
Q3 - 5:30MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)47
58.2%
42
41.8%
Q3 - 5:37MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
54.6%
42
45.4%
Q3 - 5:39HOUMISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot45
53.2%
42
46.8%
Q3 - 6:00MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland45
42
Q3 - 6:00MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning45
42
Q3 - 6:00HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)45
42
Q3 - 6:04MIAJackson Layup (8 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
45.6%
42
54.4%
Q3 - 6:15HOUMISS Thomas 6' Fadeaway Jumper43
44.3%
42
55.7%
Q3 - 6:32MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)43
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
45.6%
42
54.4%
Q3 - 6:41HOUMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot43
44.3%
42
55.7%
Q3 - 6:53HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)43
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot43
42.6%
42
57.4%
Q3 - 7:07HOUNorris Foul Turnover (P4.T9)43
44.6%
42
55.4%
Q3 - 7:07HOUNorris OFF.Foul (P3)43
42
Q3 - 7:27HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
40.8%
42
59.2%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS Jackson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot43
42.0%
42
58.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMourning Violation:Defensive Goaltending43
42
Q3 - 7:42HOUMobley Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q3 - 7:57MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)43
48.4%
40
51.6%
Q3 - 7:57MIAJackson OFF.Foul (P2)43
40
Q3 - 8:04HOUWillis P.FOUL (P2.T2)43
40
Q3 - 8:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q3 - 8:24HOUMISS Thomas Dunk43
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q3 - 8:37HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
47.8%
40
52.2%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot43
49.1%
40
50.9%
Q3 - 8:55HOUThomas Running Layup (13 PTS)43
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q3 - 9:08HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
54.9%
38
45.1%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Mourning Dunk43
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q3 - 9:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
58.6%
38
41.4%
Q3 - 9:29HOUMISS Torres 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
57.5%
38
42.5%
Q3 - 9:50MIAJackson Layup (6 PTS)43
54.9%
38
45.1%
Q3 - 9:54HOUNorris Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)41
51.4%
38
48.6%
Q3 - 10:11MIAStrickland Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
46.9%
38
53.1%
Q3 - 10:26HOUThomas P.FOUL (P1.T1)39
38
Q3 - 10:39HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q3 - 10:39HOUROCKETS Rebound39
37
Q3 - 10:39HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 239
44.4%
37
55.6%
Q3 - 10:39MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T1)39
37
Q3 - 10:54MIAMourning 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)39
43.4%
37
56.6%
Q3 - 11:01MIAHeat Rebound37
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot37
37.4%
37
62.6%
Q3 - 11:11HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)37
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMobley STEAL (1 STL)37
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q3 - 11:42HOUTorres 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)37
39.9%
37
60.1%
Q3 - 12:0037
35
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU37
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWillis STEAL (1 STL)37
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
45.8%
35
54.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0HOUMISS Norris 23' Jump Shot37
45.0%
35
55.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
43.3%
35
56.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Torres 8' Jump Shot37
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
43.3%
35
56.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot37
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup37
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 1:16HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot37
43.8%
35
56.2%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 1:28HOUMISS Norris 9' Jump Shot37
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 1:38HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 1:39HOUMISS Willis 16' Jump Shot37
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJones Dunk (11 PTS)37
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 2:11HOUTorres Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
39.1%
35
60.9%
Q2 - 2:11HOUTorres Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
39.7%
34
60.3%
Q2 - 2:11HOUSUB: Willis FOR Cato35
33
Q2 - 2:11MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
33
Q2 - 2:11MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)35
33
Q2 - 2:12HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
42.1%
33
57.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Grant 4' Running Jump Shot35
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
45.3%
33
54.7%
Q2 - 2:33HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup35
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 2:58MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
42.2%
33
57.8%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
39.1%
33
60.9%
Q2 - 3:09HOUMISS Torres 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 3:18HOUROCKETS Rebound33
33
Q2 - 3:18HOUMISS Torres Free Throw Technical33
35.7%
33
64.3%
Q2 - 3:18MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )33
33
Q2 - 3:29MIASUB: Mourning FOR Ellis33
33
Q2 - 3:29MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T4)33
33
Q2 - 3:29HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
35.7%
33
64.3%
Q2 - 3:31HOUMISS Thomas 8' Hook Shot33
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 3:44HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
35.7%
33
64.3%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot33
36.7%
33
63.3%
Q2 - 4:03HOUNorris 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
41.3%
31
58.7%
Q2 - 4:25HOUSUB: Torres FOR Mobley32
31
Q2 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
40.8%
31
59.2%
Q2 - 4:25HOUSUB: Thomas FOR Griffin31
31
Q2 - 4:25MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill31
31
Q2 - 4:25HOUCato S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
31
Q2 - 4:44HOUGriffin 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)31
38.6%
31
61.4%
Q2 - 5:06MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)31
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q2 - 5:12HOUNorris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q2 - 5:16HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
35.8%
29
64.2%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot29
36.6%
29
63.4%
Q2 - 5:23MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q2 - 5:25HOUMISS Griffin 19' Turnaround Jump Shot29
37.6%
29
62.4%
Q2 - 5:54MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
35.7%
29
64.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
33.2%
29
66.8%
Q2 - 6:10HOUMISS Norris 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 6:25MIASUB: Grant FOR Carter27
29
Q2 - 6:25MIASUB: Strickland FOR Mourning27
29
Q2 - 6:25HOUSUB: Norris FOR Brown27
29
Q2 - 6:25HOUSUB: Cato FOR Torres27
29
Q2 - 6:25HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)27
29
Q2 - 6:33MIAJones Layup (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)27
30.3%
29
69.7%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.3%
29
71.7%
Q2 - 6:41HOUMISS Mobley 12' Fadeaway Jumper25
27.5%
29
72.5%
Q2 - 6:50HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
25.7%
29
74.3%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot25
26.4%
29
73.6%
Q2 - 6:58HOUBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
28.3%
29
71.7%
Q2 - 7:03HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot25
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q2 - 7:10MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 7:11HOUMISS Griffin 12' Jump Shot25
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q2 - 7:21HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot25
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q2 - 7:42HOUMorris 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)25
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 7:57MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)25
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 8:22HOUBrown 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q2 - 8:41MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIAHeat Rebound22
25
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 222
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q2 - 8:4122
25
Q2 - 8:41HOUMorris S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
25
Q2 - 8:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot22
28.9%
25
71.1%
Q2 - 8:55HOUMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)22
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q2 - 9:17HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot22
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q2 - 9:38HOUMorris 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)22
30.3%
25
69.7%
Q2 - 9:45MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania22
23
Q2 - 9:45MIAStepania P.FOUL (P3.T3)22
23
Q2 - 9:45HOUBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 9:46HOUMISS Mobley 12' Fadeaway Jumper22
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q2 - 9:52HOUROCKETS Rebound22
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 9:53HOUMISS Morris Driving Layup22
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q2 - 10:02MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson22
23
Q2 - 10:02MIAStepania P.FOUL (P2.T2)22
23
Q2 - 10:02HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:08MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q2 - 10:10MIAGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)22
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q2 - 10:24HOUMISS Mobley 21' Jump Shot22
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q2 - 10:35HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Stepania 12' Turnaround Jump Shot22
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 10:51MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q2 - 10:53HOUMISS Brown Driving Layup22
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q2 - 11:04MIAJackson P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
23
Q2 - 11:20MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q2 - 11:20MIAStepania OFF.Foul (P1)22
23
Q2 - 11:35MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q2 - 11:38HOUMISS Mobley 7' Running Jump Shot22
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q2 - 12:0022
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound22
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 32' 3PT Running Jump Shot22
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUGriffin 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)22
34.4%
23
65.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIACarter 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0HOUSUB: Brown FOR Norris20
21
Q1 - 0:25.0HOUNorris P.FOUL (P2.T3)20
21
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
21
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 120
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUSUB: Griffin FOR Willis20
21
Q1 - 0:36.0MIASUB: Gill FOR Jones20
21
Q1 - 0:36.0MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant20
21
Q1 - 0:36.0MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T2)20
21
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUThomas Driving Layup (10 PTS)20
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJackson Layup (4 PTS)20
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Jackson Dunk18
33.3%
19
66.7%
Q1 - 1:18HOUMobley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
34.4%
19
65.6%
Q1 - 1:38MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
37.2%
17
62.8%
Q1 - 1:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 1:49HOUMISS Willis 6' Hook Shot16
33.9%
17
66.1%
Q1 - 1:59HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot16
33.4%
17
66.6%
Q1 - 2:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
34.6%
17
65.4%
Q1 - 2:22HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
34.0%
17
66.0%
Q1 - 2:27HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot16
33.4%
17
66.6%
Q1 - 2:38MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland16
17
Q1 - 2:38MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
17
Q1 - 2:46HOUThomas Layup (8 PTS)16
34.5%
17
65.5%
Q1 - 2:47HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 2:49HOUMISS Norris 11' Running Jump Shot16
38.3%
15
61.7%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
36.8%
15
63.2%
Q1 - 3:33HOUTorres 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
38.9%
15
61.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning16
13
Q1 - 3:57MIAStrickland P.FOUL (P1.T1)16
13
Q1 - 3:58HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Grant Layup16
41.8%
13
58.2%
Q1 - 4:06HOUNorris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
42.3%
13
57.7%
Q1 - 4:28MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)16
40.2%
13
59.8%
Q1 - 4:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
38.4%
13
61.6%
Q1 - 4:42HOUMISS Norris 19' Jump Shot14
37.8%
13
62.2%
Q1 - 4:48HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot14
37.0%
13
63.0%
Q1 - 5:09HOUThomas Layup (6 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)14
38.3%
13
61.7%
Q1 - 5:17HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
39.9%
11
60.1%
Q1 - 5:19HOUMISS Torres 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
41.4%
11
58.6%
Q1 - 5:39HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
39.9%
11
60.1%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 214
40.1%
11
59.9%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHeat Rebound14
11
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 214
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 5:39HOUWillis S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
11
Q1 - 6:02HOUTorres 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)14
41.4%
11
58.6%
Q1 - 6:08HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot14
45.5%
8
54.5%
Q1 - 6:28HOUNorris 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 6:36HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)14
6
Q1 - 6:53MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)14
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 7:14HOUTorres Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 7:42HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 7:46HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot10
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 8:04HOUMobley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 8:11HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot10
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 8:23HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup10
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 8:36HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot10
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 8:51HOUThomas Layup (4 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)10
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 9:19MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 9:35HOUThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)8
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 9:49HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
0
Q1 - 9:51MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 9:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 9:59HOUMISS Thomas 6' Running Jump Shot6
41.7%
0
58.3%
Q1 - 10:10HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot6
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 10:22MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.8%
0
59.2%
Q1 - 10:24HOUMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot6
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 10:41MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 10:41MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 10:41HOUNorris S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 10:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMISS Willis 5' Hook Shot4
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:08MIAJackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:19HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 11:24HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:26HOUMISS Thomas 7' Turnaround Jump Shot2
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Willis vs. Mourning: Tip to Jackson0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.7%
HOU
0.82 41.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
23
65%
HOU
13
23
57%
Midrange
MIA
18
50
36%
HOU
18
48
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
4
25%
38%
HOU
1
1.5
9
11%
17%
Free Throws
MIA
7
10
70%
HOU
8
14
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1943%9.5 / 22
J. Jackson1554%7.5 / 14
R. Strickland1267%6.0 / 9
A. Carter1267%6.0 / 9
B. Grant627%3.0 / 11
A. Mourning643%3.0 / 7
K. Gill638%3.0 / 8
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Thomas2648%13.0 / 27
C. Mobley1745%8.5 / 19
O. Torres1243%6.0 / 14
M. Norris625%3.0 / 12
E. Griffin440%2.0 / 5
T. Morris467%2.0 / 3
K. Willis220%1.0 / 5
T. Brown250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+10
-10
85
HOU
75
+13
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.7%
HOU
0.82 41.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.7
MIA 89.4 +4.5
HOU 84.9
Pace
89.7
90.5
MIA 94.7 +16.8
HOU 78.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.3
MIA 15.2 −3.3
HOU 18.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.5%
MIA 44.8% +4.2%
HOU 40.6%
TO %
15.5%
14.3%
MIA 11.9%
HOU 11.3% −0.6%
ORB %
26.7%
29.0%
MIA 15.4%
HOU 21.7% +6.3%
FTrt
26.8
28.6
MIA 13.0
HOU 17.5 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
52.2%
MIA 50.0% +3.1%
HOU 46.9%
STL %
7.4%
7.1%
MIA 9.4% +3.6%
HOU 5.8%
BLK %
8.7%
7.6%
MIA 7.0% +0.2%
HOU 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
48.2%
MIA 44.7% +3.7%
HOU 41.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.6%
MIA 65.2% +8.7%
HOU 56.5%
Mid FG%
38.0%
37.6%
MIA 36.0%
HOU 37.5% +1.5%
3P %
34.7%
33.5%
MIA 25.0% +13.9%
HOU 11.1%
FT %
72.4%
74.1%
MIA 70.0% +12.9%
HOU 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
32.3%
MIA 29.9% +1.1%
HOU 28.7%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
45.4%
MIA 64.9%
HOU 60.0% −4.9%
3P Att. %
14.1%
22.3%
MIA 5.2%
HOU 11.3% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes21.526.5
Points7673
Rebounds4243
Assists1715
Steals85
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals34-7732-80
At-the-Rim FG15-2313-23
Midrange FG18-5018-48
2-Point FG33-7331-71
3-Point FG1-41-9
Free Throws7-108-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
39.0
19
43%
6
4
1
1
1
2
1
5
3-4
75%
8-19
42%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
38.2
15
54%
5
3
1
0
3
4
2
3
0-0
-
6-13
46%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
33.0
6
27%
7
1
1
1
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
31.7
6
43%
9
1
0
2
1
0
0
9
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
25.9
12
67%
3
5
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
28.5
0
0%
6
1
3
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
22.0
12
67%
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
18.9
6
38%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
45%
42
17
8
5
10
0
6
36
7-10
70%
33-73
45%
1-4
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.