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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 21, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nuggets14%9374
2Spurs86%106109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.1
28.4
38.8
11
42%
2
8
3
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
6-15
44%
42%
1-4
25%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 24.9
27.1
32.0
10
63%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-8
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
25.9
33.7
10
36%
6
1
1
1
3
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-12
4-10
42%
45%
0-2
0%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.6
25.4
32.8
8
67%
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
5-11
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Shawnelle Scott
C · 6'11" · 29.5
17.7
16.2
4
40%
8
1
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 36.7
24.9
10.1
9
46%
2
4
1
0
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
3-8
1-3
38%
43%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.4
21.3
12.4
2
20%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
41%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.1
20.9
17.5
4
40%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.6
15.5
21.7
1
7%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.6
12.4
3.3
5
48%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
3-5
60%
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 33.8
10.9
13.7
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 20.7
9.8
1.1
8
67%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
38%
2-3
67%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
31.1
37.8
21
80%
3
2
1
1
3
8
0
3
7-7
100%
7-10
9-16
70%
53%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 32.7
28.8
27.2
10
64%
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.6
27.2
27.4
14
92%
2
2
5
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 30.5
24.4
25.1
8
40%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
1-5
2-3
20%
46%
2-4
50%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 36.4
23.4
27.0
14
59%
8
2
1
1
3
0
4
4
0-2
0%
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.8
24.5
22.0
4
34%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Terry Porter
G · 6'3" 205 · 38.7
20.8
18.5
7
88%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.1
19.4
22.5
8
67%
8
1
5
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
18.3
18.9
12
71%
3
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
2-4
50%
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
10.0
0.2
4
67%
3
1
2
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
40%
0-0
-
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
7.9
2.9
4
67%
4
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 28.1
4.2
3.4
3
39%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.