Final Win Prob. pScore
1115%91
101
185%104
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
107.49495.3
SAS logo Spurs
96.89492.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL101
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 1:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)101
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 1:04MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot101
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 1:22SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)101
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 1:30MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)101
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 1:42MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)98
96.4%
91
3.6%
Q4 - 1:45SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot98
95.5%
91
4.5%
Q4 - 1:56MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
93.4%
91
6.6%
Q4 - 1:56MILJohnson 1' Layup (6 PTS)98
93.4%
91
6.6%
Q4 - 1:58MILSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)96
86.2%
91
13.8%
Q4 - 2:09SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen96
91
Q4 - 2:14SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)96
91.3%
91
8.7%
Q4 - 2:14MILRedd S.FOUL (P2.PN)96
90
Q4 - 2:14SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS)96
94.5%
90
5.5%
Q4 - 2:17MILBowen STEAL (1 STL)96
96.0%
88
4.0%
Q4 - 2:35MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 2:37SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot96
97.5%
88
2.5%
Q4 - 2:48MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)96
96.1%
88
3.9%
Q4 - 2:48MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)95
95.9%
88
4.1%
Q4 - 2:48MILSUB: Redd FOR Thomas94
88
Q4 - 2:48MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)94
88
Q4 - 2:48SASBowen S.FOUL (P3.T4)94
88
Q4 - 2:56MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
91.6%
88
8.4%
Q4 - 2:58SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup94
90.4%
88
9.6%
Q4 - 3:19MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (28 PTS)94
87.1%
88
12.9%
Q4 - 3:41SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)92
74.3%
88
25.7%
Q4 - 3:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)92
85.9%
85
14.1%
Q4 - 3:50MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot92
87.4%
85
12.6%
Q4 - 4:04SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
90.5%
85
9.5%
Q4 - 4:04SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
91.0%
84
9.0%
Q4 - 4:04MILThomas P.FOUL (P3.PN)92
83
Q4 - 4:16MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (30 PTS)92
93.2%
83
6.8%
Q4 - 4:30SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
90.7%
83
9.3%
Q4 - 4:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)90
91.3%
82
8.7%
Q4 - 4:30MILMason S.FOUL (P3.T4)90
81
Q4 - 4:45MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)90
93.4%
81
6.6%
Q4 - 4:57SASSUB: Bowen FOR Daniels88
81
Q4 - 4:57SASSmith P.FOUL (P3.T3)88
81
Q4 - 5:18SASParker 1' Layup (13 PTS)88
86.2%
81
13.8%
Q4 - 5:42MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)88
89.8%
79
10.2%
Q4 - 5:58MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
86.5%
79
13.5%
Q4 - 5:59SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 286
85.9%
79
14.1%
Q4 - 5:59SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)86
83.4%
79
16.6%
Q4 - 5:5986
78
Q4 - 5:59MILJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T3)86
78
Q4 - 6:21MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)86
81.4%
78
18.6%
Q4 - 6:35MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
76.8%
78
23.2%
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 284
76.1%
78
23.9%
Q4 - 6:36SASSUB: Smith FOR Smith84
78
Q4 - 6:36SASSUB: Parker FOR Porter84
78
Q4 - 6:36SASSPURS Rebound84
78
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 284
72.1%
78
27.9%
Q4 - 6:36MILMason S.FOUL (P2.T2)84
78
Q4 - 6:54MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)84
70.9%
78
29.1%
Q4 - 7:09MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
59.8%
78
40.2%
Q4 - 7:12SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot82
57.6%
78
42.4%
Q4 - 7:33MILRobinson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)82
52.6%
78
47.4%
Q4 - 7:48SASRobinson 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)80
46.2%
78
53.8%
Q4 - 8:01MILCassell Violation:Jump Ball80
76
Q4 - 8:01SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Cassell: Tip to80
76
Q4 - 8:17MILCassell 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
49.9%
76
50.1%
Q4 - 8:31MILSUB: Mason FOR Ham78
76
Q4 - 8:31MILSUB: Cassell FOR Alston78
76
Q4 - 8:31MILSUB: Robinson FOR Redd78
76
Q4 - 8:31SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose78
76
Q4 - 8:31SASDaniels P.FOUL (P4.T2)78
76
Q4 - 8:43MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)78
43.3%
76
56.7%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
41.4%
76
58.6%
Q4 - 8:58SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)78
37.3%
76
62.7%
Q4 - 9:00MILMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot78
39.1%
76
60.9%
Q4 - 9:20SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)78
41.5%
76
58.5%
Q4 - 9:20MILJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T1)78
75
Q4 - 9:20SASRobinson Layup (17 PTS)78
47.4%
75
52.6%
Q4 - 9:31SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)78
73
Q4 - 9:33MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)78
53.8%
73
46.2%
Q4 - 9:44MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
41.5%
73
58.5%
Q4 - 9:46SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot75
39.8%
73
60.2%
Q4 - 10:03MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)75
34.4%
73
65.6%
Q4 - 10:17SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan72
73
Q4 - 10:17SASDaniels L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)72
73
Q4 - 10:17MILBucks Rebound72
24.9%
73
75.1%
Q4 - 10:18MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q4 - 10:25SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)72
25.0%
73
75.0%
Q4 - 10:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)72
21.0%
73
79.0%
Q4 - 10:48MILRose BLOCK (1 BLK)72
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q4 - 11:10SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)72
24.4%
73
75.6%
Q4 - 11:22MILRedd 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
20.9%
73
79.1%
Q4 - 11:30MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q4 - 11:34SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q4 - 11:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)70
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot70
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q4 - 11:49SASSPURS Rebound70
73
Q4 - 11:49SASMISS Porter Free Throw Technical70
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q4 - 11:49MILBucks T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Ham )70
73
Q4 - 12:0070
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL70
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMISS Porter 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
16.6%
73
83.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0SASSPURS Rebound70
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0MILMISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot70
15.6%
73
84.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 270
17.0%
73
83.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)70
15.1%
73
84.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILSUB: Redd FOR Robinson70
72
Q3 - 0:31.0MILJohnson P.FOUL (P1.PN)70
72
Q3 - 0:44.0SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
72
Q3 - 0:46.0MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 170
18.1%
72
81.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILSUB: Ham FOR Mason70
72
Q3 - 0:46.0SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson70
72
Q3 - 0:46.0SASSUB: Porter FOR Parker70
72
Q3 - 0:46.0MILSUB: Johnson FOR Przybilla70
72
Q3 - 0:46.0SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.PN)70
72
Q3 - 0:46.0MILRobinson Dunk (24 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)70
17.7%
72
82.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASDaniels 5' Running Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)68
14.6%
72
85.4%
Q3 - 1:15MILThomas 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)68
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 1:34SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)66
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 1:43SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q3 - 1:46MILDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)66
18.3%
68
81.7%
Q3 - 2:01MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
19.9%
68
80.1%
Q3 - 2:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)66
17.1%
68
82.9%
Q3 - 2:03SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup66
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 2:07SASMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot66
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 2:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)66
17.1%
68
82.9%
Q3 - 2:17MILSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)66
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 2:33SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
19.9%
68
80.1%
Q3 - 2:53MILPrzybilla Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
23.1%
66
76.9%
Q3 - 2:53MILPrzybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
22.1%
66
77.9%
Q3 - 2:53SASSUB: Daniels FOR Smith64
66
Q3 - 2:53MILSUB: Alston FOR Cassell64
66
Q3 - 2:53MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)64
66
Q3 - 2:53SASRobinson S.FOUL (P1.T4)64
66
Q3 - 3:15SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
19.2%
66
80.8%
Q3 - 3:15SASRobinson 1' Layup (15 PTS)64
19.2%
66
80.8%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Smith 2' Layup64
24.3%
64
75.7%
Q3 - 3:27SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 3:30MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)64
23.0%
64
77.0%
Q3 - 3:44SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)64
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 3:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)64
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 3:55MILMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot64
23.0%
64
77.0%
Q3 - 4:10SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
25.2%
64
74.8%
Q3 - 4:10SASSmith 2' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)64
25.2%
64
74.8%
Q3 - 4:13SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 4:34MILSUB: Thomas FOR Redd64
62
Q3 - 4:34MILCassell Foul Turnover (P3.T9)64
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q3 - 4:34MILCassell OFF.Foul (P2)64
62
Q3 - 4:34MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
32.3%
62
67.7%
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup64
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 4:50MILRobinson 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q3 - 5:00SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen62
62
Q3 - 5:00MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)62
62
Q3 - 5:08MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
24.3%
62
75.7%
Q3 - 5:11SASMISS Parker 1' Layup62
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 5:15SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
21.0%
62
79.0%
Q3 - 5:17MILMISS Cassell 11' Jump Shot62
22.0%
62
78.0%
Q3 - 5:30SASRobinson 1' Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)62
24.3%
62
75.7%
Q3 - 5:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)62
27.1%
60
72.9%
Q3 - 5:35SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
29.8%
60
70.2%
Q3 - 5:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q3 - 5:48MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)62
28.3%
60
71.7%
Q3 - 6:07SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)62
29.7%
60
70.3%
Q3 - 6:23MILPrzybilla L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)62
60
Q3 - 6:23SASSPURS Rebound62
26.3%
60
73.7%
Q3 - 6:24MILMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot62
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q3 - 6:32MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
29.8%
60
70.2%
Q3 - 6:36SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot62
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q3 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)62
26.3%
60
73.7%
Q3 - 6:45SASMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot62
28.7%
60
71.3%
Q3 - 7:10MILPrzybilla Dunk (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)62
25.4%
60
74.6%
Q3 - 7:19MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
22.7%
60
77.3%
Q3 - 7:21SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot60
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
20.0%
60
80.0%
Q3 - 7:36MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot60
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 7:48MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot60
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 8:07MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)60
19.7%
60
80.3%
Q3 - 8:18MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 8:19SASMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 258
17.3%
60
82.7%
Q3 - 8:19SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q3 - 8:19MILRedd S.FOUL (P1.T3)58
59
Q3 - 8:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
17.4%
59
82.6%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot58
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 8:40MILBucks Rebound58
59
Q3 - 8:40MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 258
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 8:40MILBucks Rebound58
59
Q3 - 8:40MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 258
21.5%
59
78.5%
Q3 - 8:40SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)58
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 8:40SASBowen FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T3)58
59
Q3 - 8:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
17.4%
59
82.6%
Q3 - 8:41MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot58
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 8:51SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)58
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 8:57MILRobinson P.FOUL (P3.T2)58
56
Q3 - 9:13MILRobinson 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)58
24.5%
56
75.5%
Q3 - 9:21SASDuncan 2' Layup (17 PTS)56
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q3 - 9:29MILPrzybilla P.FOUL (P3.T1)56
54
Q3 - 9:39MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)56
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q3 - 9:39SASParker S.FOUL (P3.T2)55
54
Q3 - 9:39MILCassell 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
21.9%
54
78.1%
Q3 - 9:45MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 9:49SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q3 - 9:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
17.3%
54
82.7%
Q3 - 9:53SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot53
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q3 - 10:02SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
16.9%
54
83.1%
Q3 - 10:04MILMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot53
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 10:06MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 10:11MILBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)53
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 10:19SASParker 1' Layup (9 PTS)53
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 10:30MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q3 - 10:46SASSmith P.FOUL (P2.T1)50
52
Q3 - 10:56SASParker 2' Finger Roll (7 PTS)50
17.0%
52
83.0%
Q3 - 11:18MILCassell Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)50
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q3 - 11:18SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q3 - 11:38MILCassell 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)50
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q3 - 12:0047
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL47
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Duncan 22' Jump Shot47
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen47
50
Q2 - 0:06.0SASSUB: Smith FOR Daniels47
50
Q2 - 0:06.0SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)47
50
Q2 - 0:06.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0MILSUB: Ham FOR Thomas45
50
Q2 - 0:06.0MILSUB: Johnson FOR Robinson45
50
Q2 - 0:06.0SASDaniels P.FOUL (P2.PN)45
50
Q2 - 0:10.0MILSUB: Thomas FOR Johnson45
50
Q2 - 0:10.0SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T3)45
50
Q2 - 0:26.0SASDuncan 2' Layup (15 PTS)45
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0MILRobinson 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)45
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
11.5%
48
88.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASSPURS Rebound43
47
Q2 - 0:51.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 243
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MILSUB: Redd FOR Thomas43
47
Q2 - 0:51.0MILRobinson P.FOUL (P2.PN)43
47
Q2 - 1:07MILRobinson 2' Layup (16 PTS)43
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 1:26SASRobinson 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)41
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 1:49MILThomas 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS)41
11.8%
45
88.2%
Q2 - 2:07SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
10.2%
45
89.8%
Q2 - 2:07SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q2 - 2:07MILThomas S.FOUL (P2.PN)39
43
Q2 - 2:19MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 2:25MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
10.2%
43
89.8%
Q2 - 2:28SASMISS Bowen 4' Jump Shot37
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 2:38SASSUB: Daniels FOR Smith37
43
Q2 - 2:38MILSUB: Thomas FOR Redd37
43
Q2 - 2:38MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
43
Q2 - 2:38SASSPURS Rebound37
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 2:38SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 2:38SASMISS Robinson Follow Up Dunk37
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 2:40SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 3:02MILCassell 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 3:20SASParker 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)35
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 3:24SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 3:26MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot35
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 3:32SASSUB: Bowen FOR Smith35
41
Q2 - 3:32SASParker P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
41
Q2 - 3:39MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
10.2%
41
89.8%
Q2 - 3:41SASMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot35
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 3:58MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)35
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 4:09SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 4:21MILJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)33
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 4:36SASParker Violation:Kicked Ball33
41
Q2 - 4:36SASSUB: Parker FOR Porter33
41
Q2 - 4:36MILSUB: Johnson FOR Thomas33
41
Q2 - 4:36MILSUB: Robinson FOR Ham33
41
Q2 - 4:36MILBucks Rebound33
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 4:36MILRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)33
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 4:43SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)33
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 5:04MILCassell 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 5:09MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
8.1%
39
91.9%
Q2 - 5:11SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.8%
39
92.2%
Q2 - 5:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)31
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 5:19MILMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot31
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 5:36MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
8.1%
39
91.9%
Q2 - 5:39SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.8%
39
92.2%
Q2 - 5:47SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose31
39
Q2 - 5:47MILHam P.FOUL (P2.T4)31
39
Q2 - 5:49SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
39
Q2 - 5:56MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 5:56MILRedd 2' Layup (4 PTS)31
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 5:59MILMISS Mason 1' Layup29
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 6:13SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 6:13SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
6.8%
38
93.2%
Q2 - 6:13MILSUB: Mason FOR Johnson29
37
Q2 - 6:13MILHam P.FOUL (P1.T3)29
37
Q2 - 6:30MILJohnson 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)29
7.3%
37
92.7%
Q2 - 6:50SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)27
6.7%
37
93.3%
Q2 - 7:07MILHam 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)27
8.1%
34
91.9%
Q2 - 7:35SASSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)25
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 7:40SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.0%
31
91.0%
Q2 - 7:44MILMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot25
9.3%
31
90.7%
Q2 - 7:52MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot25
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 8:04MILThomas P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
31
Q2 - 8:14SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen25
31
Q2 - 8:14MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)25
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q2 - 8:30SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan25
31
Q2 - 8:3025
31
Q2 - 8:30MILBucks Rebound25
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 8:31MILSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)25
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 8:35MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 8:38SASMISS Rose 4' Jump Shot25
9.7%
31
90.3%
Q2 - 8:40SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q2 - 8:43MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)25
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 8:58SASPorter Layup (2 PTS)25
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q2 - 9:03MILPorter STEAL (1 STL)25
10.9%
29
89.1%
Q2 - 9:13SASDaniels Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)25
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q2 - 9:13MILDaniels STEAL (1 STL)25
11.0%
29
89.0%
Q2 - 9:13SASSUB: Smith FOR Daniels25
29
Q2 - 9:13MILSUB: Redd FOR Robinson25
29
Q2 - 9:13MILSUB: Cassell FOR Alston25
29
Q2 - 9:31SASRose 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)25
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q2 - 9:33SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
13.2%
27
86.8%
Q2 - 9:35SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot25
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q2 - 9:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q2 - 9:59MILMISS Robinson 1' Layup25
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q2 - 10:07MILSUB: Ham FOR Mason25
27
Q2 - 10:07SASSUB: Porter FOR Parker25
27
Q2 - 10:07SASRose P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
27
Q2 - 10:22SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
14.6%
27
85.4%
Q2 - 10:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 10:37SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.9%
25
83.1%
Q2 - 10:57MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)25
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 11:05MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q2 - 11:09SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot23
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q2 - 11:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q2 - 11:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q2 - 11:19SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot23
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q2 - 11:29MILRobinson P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
25
Q2 - 11:37SASSPURS Rebound23
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q2 - 11:39MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q2 - 12:0023
25
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS23
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound23
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup23
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0MILRobinson 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)23
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0MILMISS Alston 2' Layup21
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 1:06SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 1:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 1:13MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 1:16MILAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.0%
25
88.0%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot21
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 1:39MILJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)21
11.3%
25
88.7%
Q1 - 1:59SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)19
10.1%
25
89.9%
Q1 - 2:20MILRobinson 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)19
11.3%
23
88.7%
Q1 - 2:35SASSUB: Bowen FOR Smith17
23
Q1 - 2:35SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson17
23
Q1 - 2:35MILSUB: Alston FOR Cassell17
23
Q1 - 2:35MILSUB: Johnson FOR Redd17
23
Q1 - 2:35MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
23
Q1 - 2:43SASRobinson 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)17
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q1 - 3:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q1 - 3:02SASMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 3:08MILParker STEAL (1 STL)17
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 3:10SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
12.0%
21
88.0%
Q1 - 3:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 3:15MILMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot17
11.4%
21
88.6%
Q1 - 3:28MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
12.0%
21
88.0%
Q1 - 3:30SASMISS Smith 3' Layup17
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 3:50MILRobinson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 3:55MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
10.2%
21
89.8%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot15
10.0%
21
90.0%
Q1 - 4:12SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 4:14MILMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot15
10.0%
21
90.0%
Q1 - 4:22MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.5%
21
89.5%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot15
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 4:35SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 4:39MILMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot15
10.1%
21
89.9%
Q1 - 4:55SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)15
10.6%
21
89.4%
Q1 - 5:11MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
12.3%
18
87.7%
Q1 - 5:11MILBucks Rebound14
18
Q1 - 5:11MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 214
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 5:11SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T4)14
18
Q1 - 5:23SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
18
Q1 - 5:34SASSmith 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)14
12.5%
18
87.5%
Q1 - 5:46MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
13.2%
16
86.8%
Q1 - 6:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)14
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 6:02MILSUB: Thomas FOR Przybilla14
15
Q1 - 6:02MILMason S.FOUL (P1.T4)14
15
Q1 - 6:02SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 6:13SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
13
Q1 - 6:21MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 6:32MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14.8%
13
85.2%
Q1 - 6:34SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot12
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 6:56MILRobinson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
14.0%
13
86.0%
Q1 - 7:02SASSmith P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
13
Q1 - 7:09SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
13.1%
13
86.9%
Q1 - 7:09MILPrzybilla S.FOUL (P2.T3)10
12
Q1 - 7:09SASRobinson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)10
13.8%
12
86.2%
Q1 - 7:22MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
14.6%
10
85.4%
Q1 - 7:22MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 7:22SASDaniels S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
10
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
13.9%
10
86.1%
Q1 - 7:42SASSUB: Daniels FOR Bowen8
10
Q1 - 7:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 7:49MILMISS Mason 14' Jump Shot8
13.4%
10
86.6%
Q1 - 8:06SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
13.8%
10
86.2%
Q1 - 8:23MILRobinson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 8:29MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 8:33SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup6
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 8:46MILCassell 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)6
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 8:53SASRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 8:54SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 24
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 8:56SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
12.5%
8
87.5%
Q1 - 8:56MILPrzybilla S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
7
Q1 - 9:10MILRobinson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 9:32SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
12.7%
7
87.3%
Q1 - 9:49MILCassell P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 9:55MILMason 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 10:13SASRobinson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 10:32MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot0
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:36MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 10:38SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 10:58MILRobinson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:12MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:15SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot0
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:25MILMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot0
14.9%
2
85.1%
Q1 - 11:47SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)0
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Przybilla: Tip to Parker0
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.7%
SAS
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
10
18
56%
SAS
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIL
28
51
55%
SAS
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
SAS
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIL
10
14
71%
SAS
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Cassell3375%16.5 / 22
G. Robinson3056%15.0 / 27
M. Redd1667%8.0 / 12
T. Thomas836%4.0 / 11
E. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
J. Przybilla4100%2.0 / 2
A. Mason220%1.0 / 5
D. Ham250%1.0 / 2
R. Alston0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2242%11.0 / 26
D. Robinson2170%10.5 / 15
S. Smith2071%10.0 / 14
T. Parker1653%8.0 / 15
C. Smith422%2.0 / 9
B. Bowen217%1.0 / 6
A. Daniels217%1.0 / 5
M. Rose225%1.0 / 4
T. Porter250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
83
+6
-11
89
SAS
81
+16
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.7%
SAS
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
103.9
MIL 107.4 +10.6
SAS 96.8
Pace
92.5
92.4
MIL 95.3 +2.5
SAS 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.5
MIL 15.1 −0.4
SAS 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
49.2%
MIL 57.6% +13.0%
SAS 44.6%
TO %
14.5%
14.8%
MIL 11.4% −0.7%
SAS 12.1%
ORB %
25.6%
27.2%
MIL 9.7%
SAS 26.9% +17.2%
FTrt
26.9
35.3
MIL 17.7
SAS 30.1 +12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
56.4%
MIL 34.9%
SAS 50.0% +15.1%
STL %
7.8%
8.2%
MIL 10.6% +6.3%
SAS 4.3%
BLK %
7.1%
9.5%
MIL 12.1%
SAS 14.5% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
51.2%
MIL 56.7% +10.3%
SAS 46.4%
Rim FG%
56.1%
60.3%
MIL 55.6% +1.1%
SAS 54.5%
Mid FG%
45.1%
37.6%
MIL 54.9% +14.9%
SAS 40.0%
3P %
37.5%
36.2%
MIL 50.0% +26.0%
SAS 24.0%
FT %
74.8%
74.2%
MIL 71.4% +3.4%
SAS 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.2%
37.2%
MIL 22.8%
SAS 39.8% +17.0%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
43.8%
MIL 64.6%
SAS 30.1% −34.4%
3P Att. %
24.1%
19.0%
MIL 12.7%
SAS 30.1% +17.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points10191
Rebounds4142
Assists1517
Steals104
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals43-7934-83
At-the-Rim FG10-1818-33
Midrange FG28-5110-25
2-Point FG38-6928-58
3-Point FG5-106-25
Free Throws10-1417-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 255 · 35
39.8
2
20%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 29
39.3
30
56%
4
2
1
0
4
3
1
3
0-1
0%
15-26
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 32
36.3
33
75%
4
3
3
0
3
2
0
4
5-5
100%
11-17
65%
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 215 · 22
31.1
16
67%
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 245 · 22
17.2
4
100%
2
0
0
2
0
4
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 25
29.0
8
36%
9
2
1
0
1
3
0
9
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 245 · 34
25.7
6
75%
9
0
1
4
1
3
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
11.7
0
0%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 28
9.9
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
F · 6'8" 256 · 29
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
57%
41
15
10
7
11
0
3
38
10-14
71%
38-69
55%
5-10
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.