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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 27, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Heat39%8996
25Hawks61%92100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
45.6
37.6
14
54%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
5-11
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
41.2
35.2
24
56%
2
2
3
1
2
2
0
2
6-8
75%
6-13
4-10
46%
44%
2-5
40%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
38.8
29.7
16
51%
11
2
2
1
3
3
3
8
4-4
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
44%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 31.9
34.5
27.4
14
55%
8
3
0
0
5
3
3
5
0-6
0%
7-10
4-9
70%
47%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
33.9
24.9
14
64%
5
7
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-10
3-8
60%
41%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
16.5
22.0
4
42%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.3
15.4
11.0
10
45%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
4-7
57%
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.6
14.2
18.5
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
9.9
0
1-3
42%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.6
9.9
0
1-3
46%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 26.5
3.8
0
0-1
39%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
3.0
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.3
46.4
38.6
32
66%
5
5
3
2
0
3
0
5
10-10
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
44%
4-10
40%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
39.1
21.0
6
51%
10
1
1
1
1
2
1
9
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
32.6
36.6
22
45%
10
1
0
1
0
2
4
6
9-12
75%
5-17
7-15
29%
47%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.9
20.1
33.9
6
104%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Hanno Mottola
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 25.3
20.0
25.5
6
63%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.2
39.9
19.3
16
54%
4
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 21.6
21.9
15.7
8
67%
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Cal Bowdler
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.7
8.1
17.0
2
50%
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Mark Strickland
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.5
7.7
15.6
2
100%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Slater
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.3
4.0
5.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.3
12.7
0
1-3
46%
Emanual Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
6.7
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.