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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 27, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bulls6%9174
2Mavericks94%11089
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
38.6
38.3
19
46%
4
4
0
1
0
4
4
0
1-1
100%
9-20
7-17
45%
41%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 25.7
34.9
28.0
7
43%
12
4
1
1
0
1
3
9
5-5
100%
1-6
4-9
17%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.0
32.4
19.2
6
51%
9
1
1
1
0
6
2
7
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.1
31.0
25.1
13
39%
7
2
2
1
1
4
1
6
2-4
50%
4-14
3-8
29%
42%
1-1
100%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 23.4
27.6
33.0
11
47%
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
4-10
6-14
40%
43%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.2
21.8
14.5
5
64%
5
1
0
0
0
6
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 22.8
20.1
26.9
2
11%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-6
3-6
17%
44%
0-2
0%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
18.4
9.2
0
0%
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 19.1
8.0
11.5
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Dalibor Bagaric
C · 7'1" 290 · 21.5
7.1
4.7
8
82%
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
0-0
-
Greg Anthony
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
25.3
1
2-6
41%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 38.0
7.6
0
0-1
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.9
30.3
29.5
11
53%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
30.1
37.5
24
77%
6
1
1
1
1
4
1
5
7-8
88%
4-7
6-12
57%
53%
3-5
60%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 27.9
29.7
35.5
9
33%
2
14
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
0-4
0%
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 26.6
15.2
7.9
2
25%
8
0
3
0
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 28.8
3.2
42.8
1
57%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
8-15
-
51%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
33.6
24.0
15
82%
14
1
3
1
0
1
5
9
1-5
20%
7-7
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 35.3
27.5
25.1
7
35%
1
4
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.5
26.1
6.9
9
45%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Danny Manning
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 35.6
16.2
14.8
2
20%
3
2
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
52%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 29.8
15.8
3.9
4
50%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 21.3
8.8
4.2
5
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-4
25%
2-4
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.5
3.5
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.