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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies47%8891
28Heat53%8986
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.8
43.8
32.1
16
67%
6
4
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
43%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.5
39.9
35.7
11
37%
10
0
0
1
2
4
4
6
1-2
50%
5-14
6-11
36%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 26.1
37.9
34.3
19
55%
9
12
1
2
0
6
1
8
5-5
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22.1
36.0
32.6
10
44%
10
0
1
1
1
2
4
6
8-12
67%
1-6
5-11
17%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.3
34.8
39.6
15
49%
4
2
0
2
1
2
2
2
3-5
60%
3-8
4-10
38%
44%
2-5
40%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
19.9
18.7
10
51%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
43%
0-0
-
Rodney Buford
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24.2
17.6
14.8
6
60%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 26.1
6.2
13.3
0
0%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
1-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.4
3.9
5.8
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
38%
1-2
50%
Ike Austin
C · 6'10" 288 · 32.4
8.7
0
1-2
42%
Nick Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 228 · 33.9
3.7
0
0-1
39%
Antonis Fotsis
F · 6'10" 219 · 20.7
1.9
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
37.9
40.9
14
54%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
7-13
5-12
54%
45%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 31.9
35.3
31.0
20
51%
12
1
0
0
4
6
7
5
2-6
33%
9-17
5-11
53%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
33.6
37.8
12
35%
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
3-3
100%
3-12
5-11
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
26.8
34.1
2
13%
8
3
2
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-8
4-10
13%
44%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
26.3
29.3
8
47%
2
5
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-1
0%
4-8
4-9
50%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.3
22.5
13.6
12
64%
8
1
2
0
0
3
3
5
0-3
0%
6-8
2-5
75%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
21.7
5.8
7
39%
2
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
1-4
25%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
16.5
19.1
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.6
14.8
16.0
7
60%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.6
4.5
6.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 26.5
2.4
0
0-0
42%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
1.8
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.