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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 30, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Heat22%8480
14Pistons78%9386
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
42.0
30.4
22
93%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
10-11
4-9
91%
41%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
38.4
35.4
15
44%
4
5
6
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
4-12
4-10
33%
41%
2-4
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 31.9
36.8
32.0
18
85%
10
0
0
0
1
3
1
9
4-6
67%
7-8
5-11
88%
45%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
29.7
27.4
8
40%
2
7
4
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
3-9
3-8
33%
39%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
26.9
38.7
8
58%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
5-11
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.6
22.3
12.6
3
14%
2
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
39%
1-5
20%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
17.6
17.9
5
36%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.6
14.1
15.2
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.3
8.2
16.8
1
17%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-6
0%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.6
3.8
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 26.5
1.7
0
0-0
36%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
1.2
0
0-0
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 27.3
42.2
30.9
7
51%
15
1
2
1
5
1
4
11
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 27.4
35.5
27.0
12
48%
2
4
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-8
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
2-4
50%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.1
29.9
21.3
14
64%
2
1
1
1
0
5
1
1
2-2
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 27.2
27.9
33.6
24
61%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
8-8
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
47%
0-3
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.0
26.1
32.7
9
56%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
44%
1-4
25%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
24.4
16.9
5
58%
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
23.8
16.9
10
56%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 33.4
17.8
25.0
2
57%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Dana Barros
G · 5'11" 165 · 34.7
12.5
17.7
3
30%
0
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 26.2
6.1
0
1-1
48%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
4.3
0
1-2
45%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.3
3.7
0
0-0
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.