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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 30, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Rockets18%9190
4Lakers82%103114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.3
40.4
42.5
18
40%
8
7
1
1
2
1
1
7
12-12
100%
0-11
6-15
0%
41%
2-6
33%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 19.6
36.3
33.4
17
67%
8
1
0
1
3
2
0
8
3-4
75%
4-8
3-8
50%
39%
2-3
67%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
29.6
35.2
12
51%
1
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-2
0%
6-11
4-9
55%
42%
0-0
-
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 31.7
28.2
24.4
7
44%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 27.3
25.4
23.9
7
74%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 23.0
20.8
17.0
2
33%
3
0
0
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
38%
0-0
-
Oscar Torres
G-F · 6'6" 209 · 25.0
19.3
14.3
12
69%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
5-6
83%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
18.4
4.8
6
37%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-5
40%
2-6
0-1
33%
38%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.3
14.4
7.4
6
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
7.3
4.6
3
80%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 24.4
27.3
1
5-10
44%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 24.9
14.4
1
2-5
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 23.4
30.9
38.6
16
45%
2
11
0
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-15
9-18
47%
52%
0-2
0%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 25.8
29.2
34.0
12
67%
4
1
0
1
5
0
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 27.4
26.6
26.9
7
50%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.4
26.6
26.2
16
74%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
3-3
100%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 22.7
18.8
16.3
4
29%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
53%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 31.3
23.9
24.8
14
70%
11
6
1
1
0
0
3
8
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
21.4
23.0
14
68%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-6
3-5
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.1
21.4
16.4
12
87%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 25.9
18.8
5.2
6
60%
4
2
0
0
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
50%
0-0
-
Mitch Richmond
G · 6'5" 220 · 36.5
11.9
6.2
6
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 35.8
5.3
6.3
3
31%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.1
5.3
4.3
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.