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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Jazz71%96113
29Bulls29%89111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 38.5
46.0
37.9
32
55%
6
6
3
2
1
4
2
4
11-14
79%
9-21
8-18
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
45.7
29.1
25
67%
9
2
1
1
1
3
2
7
9-13
69%
8-13
5-10
62%
53%
0-0
-
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 39.8
32.4
30.1
9
44%
3
7
2
2
0
4
2
1
3-3
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 20.8
18.0
16.5
4
67%
0
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 23.1
11.3
12.2
2
100%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.0
35.0
29.5
8
37%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-4
25%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
21.6
14.0
16
96%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
45%
1-1
100%
John Crotty
G · 6'1" · 32.5
20.6
23.0
5
63%
0
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 28.8
20.2
17.2
5
39%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
5-10
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
14.2
23.2
7
62%
2
0
0
1
0
4
1
1
5-6
83%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
John Starks
G · 6'5" 190 · 36.4
2.7
0
0-1
42%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31.1
1.6
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
49.5
37.7
29
59%
4
6
2
1
0
1
1
3
8-8
100%
9-19
7-17
47%
42%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.1
35.6
29.9
23
81%
6
4
6
1
0
3
2
4
2-5
40%
6-8
4-10
75%
44%
3-4
75%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 38.1
32.1
26.8
10
56%
9
4
1
1
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
40%
0-0
-
Greg Anthony
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.1
16.3
20.9
4
42%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 25.7
6.3
22.5
1
57%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
3-7
-
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.0
32.8
20.8
10
74%
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
40%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
28.4
10.1
13
60%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
5-7
1-1
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.3
18.5
13.6
5
102%
3
1
0
0
3
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 23.4
18.0
22.5
7
37%
4
1
1
1
0
3
3
1
1-1
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
44%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 22.8
14.7
19.8
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 19.1
9.0
7.7
2
35%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
A.J. Guyton
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
3.9
11.3
3
38%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.