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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs38%100105
4Mavericks62%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 32.8
41.0
29.4
18
60%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
44%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
39.5
40.3
29
61%
17
2
1
1
0
4
5
12
9-13
69%
10-18
9-19
56%
49%
0-0
-
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 36.4
34.1
28.9
8
48%
7
0
1
1
1
2
2
5
4-10
40%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 30.6
29.9
24.4
4
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
40%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.6
18.2
27.6
7
51%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-6
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Terry Porter
G · 6'3" 205 · 38.7
29.8
18.9
22
66%
7
6
2
1
1
3
1
6
6-6
100%
5-11
1-3
45%
46%
2-3
67%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.8
25.2
20.6
13
94%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.1
22.3
19.1
4
41%
7
1
1
1
0
3
4
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
16.2
1
2-4
45%
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
7.3
0
1-2
44%
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
1.8
0
0-1
45%
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 28.2
1.6
0
0-0
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
45.7
39.3
28
62%
14
4
0
1
3
2
4
10
7-8
88%
6-12
6-11
50%
51%
3-7
43%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 27.9
39.8
38.0
17
43%
4
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
8-18
5-10
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 28.8
35.1
20.1
10
43%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.9
21.3
29.0
9
41%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
4-10
4-10
40%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
14.7
31.8
6
61%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 35.3
35.9
26.0
13
55%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
2-4
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
21.9
24.0
10
74%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-4
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
50%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.5
18.0
3.4
10
79%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.5
4.8
7.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Danny Manning
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 35.6
2.8
6.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Johnny Newman
F · 6'7" 210 · 38.1
16.2
1
1-2
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.