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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 8, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Heat27%8395
14Nets73%91104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 29.8
39.7
27.7
15
66%
10
2
0
1
1
1
1
9
3-3
100%
6-10
3-8
60%
42%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
38.1
37.1
9
35%
2
4
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
5-11
38%
42%
1-5
20%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 31.9
37.9
33.2
26
73%
14
1
0
0
0
1
4
10
4-4
100%
11-16
5-11
69%
46%
0-0
-
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
34.7
31.6
10
55%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
6-7
86%
2-6
4-9
33%
41%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
28.3
30.7
8
46%
0
6
0
1
0
4
0
0
3-4
75%
1-6
4-9
17%
39%
1-1
100%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 33.6
23.1
15.0
8
67%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
38%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
18.6
23.0
6
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.7
14.7
14.7
11
61%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
38%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.7
4.8
9.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34.3
8.6
0
1-3
41%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 26.5
3.0
0
0-1
35%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
1.0
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.6
38.3
31.9
18
69%
1
2
3
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.8
38.2
34.1
17
52%
6
7
4
2
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
42%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 21.5
37.1
27.9
12
56%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
6-6
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.2
31.1
22.2
19
57%
5
6
0
1
0
0
1
4
6-6
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Todd MacCulloch
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.9
24.7
21.8
12
77%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
23.3
22.3
11
59%
5
2
0
0
2
2
2
3
3-10
30%
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.1
19.6
24.3
12
61%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
16.9
23.6
2
25%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Donny Marshall
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.5
10.9
1
57%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.0
20.4
1
3-7
48%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.3
5.5
0
0-1
42%
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.