Final Win Prob. pScore
2627%83
95
1473%91
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
108.08880.3
Nets
118.28897.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANJN
Q4 - 0:00.0NJN95
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)95
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 1:09NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 1:09NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)93
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 1:09MIAHouse S.FOUL (P2.PN)93
99
Q4 - 1:22NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 1:24MIAWilliams BLOCK (2 BLK)93
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)93
4.3%
99
95.7%
Q4 - 1:41NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 2:04MIAJones 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)93
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 2:14NJNSUB: Williams FOR MacCulloch91
99
Q4 - 2:14NJNMacCulloch P.FOUL (P6.T4)91
99
Q4 - 2:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)91
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot91
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 2:35NJNVan Horn 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)91
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 2:42NJNNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)91
97
Q4 - 2:59MIAGrant Layup (15 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)91
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q4 - 3:14NJNVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 3:14NJNVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 3:14MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)89
95
Q4 - 3:14NJNNETS Rebound89
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
4.0%
95
96.0%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)89
7.9%
95
92.1%
Q4 - 3:37NJNMISS Kittles 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMourning Driving Dunk (26 PTS)89
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 4:13NJNVan Horn Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)87
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 4:21NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
5.0%
93
95.0%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot87
5.7%
93
94.3%
Q4 - 4:36NJNJefferson P.FOUL (P4.T3)87
93
Q4 - 4:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)87
7.3%
93
92.7%
Q4 - 4:44NJNMISS Kittles Driving Finger Roll87
6.5%
93
93.5%
Q4 - 5:05MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
6.8%
93
93.2%
Q4 - 5:07MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)84
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 5:09MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)84
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)84
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 5:30NJNMISS Van Horn 23' Jump Shot84
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAKittles STEAL (3 STL)84
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 5:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot84
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 5:5484
93
Q4 - 5:54NJNMacCulloch P.FOUL (P5.T2)84
93
Q4 - 6:03NJNVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
4.6%
93
95.4%
Q4 - 6:03NJNVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 6:03NJNSUB: MacCulloch FOR Williams84
91
Q4 - 6:03MIASUB: Jackson FOR Gill84
91
Q4 - 6:03MIASUB: Mourning FOR Ellis84
91
Q4 - 6:03MIAEllis S.FOUL (P4.PN)84
91
Q4 - 6:08MIAKidd STEAL (4 STL)84
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 6:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot84
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 6:39NJNWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)84
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q4 - 6:51NJNKidd Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)84
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 6:5184
90
Q4 - 6:51MIAEllis L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)84
90
Q4 - 6:51NJNNETS Rebound84
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot84
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q4 - 7:14NJNKittles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Van Horn 6 AST)84
11.3%
90
88.7%
Q4 - 7:24NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Marshall84
87
Q4 - 7:24NJNNETS Rebound84
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
19.3%
87
80.7%
Q4 - 7:46NJNKittles 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Van Horn 5 AST)84
22.8%
87
77.2%
Q4 - 8:00MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 3 AST)84
27.7%
85
72.3%
Q4 - 8:12NJNSUB: Van Horn FOR Collins82
85
Q4 - 8:12NJNMarshall L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)82
85
Q4 - 8:13MIAHeat Rebound82
22.9%
85
77.1%
Q4 - 8:14NJNMISS Collins 17' Jump Shot82
21.6%
85
78.4%
Q4 - 8:35NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
18.8%
85
81.2%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot82
20.0%
85
80.0%
Q4 - 8:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
22.9%
85
77.1%
Q4 - 8:49NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 282
22.3%
85
77.7%
Q4 - 8:49NJNWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
19.8%
85
80.2%
Q4 - 8:49MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.T3)82
84
Q4 - 8:53MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T2)82
84
Q4 - 9:09MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
23.6%
84
76.4%
Q4 - 9:15MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning80
84
Q4 - 9:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)80
84
Q4 - 9:23NJNCollins Layup (2 PTS)80
19.4%
84
80.6%
Q4 - 9:24NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
23.6%
82
76.4%
Q4 - 9:25NJNMISS Kidd 8' Running Hook Shot80
26.6%
82
73.4%
Q4 - 9:40NJNSUB: Kidd FOR Harris80
82
Q4 - 9:40MIAHouse Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T13)80
23.6%
82
76.4%
Q4 - 9:58NJNWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (Kittles 2 AST)80
28.0%
82
72.0%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (House 2 AST)80
32.8%
80
67.2%
Q4 - 10:37NJNNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)78
27.9%
80
72.1%
Q4 - 10:37NJNNETS Rebound78
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q4 - 10:39NJNMISS Collins 20' Jump Shot78
26.6%
80
73.4%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMourning Driving Dunk (22 PTS) (House 1 AST)78
23.9%
80
76.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
20.0%
80
80.0%
Q4 - 11:25NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 276
19.6%
80
80.4%
Q4 - 11:25NJNNETS Rebound76
80
Q4 - 11:25NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 276
17.7%
80
82.3%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMourning S.FOUL (P4.T1)76
80
Q4 - 11:25NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
17.0%
80
83.0%
Q4 - 11:26NJNMISS Kittles Driving Layup76
19.0%
80
81.0%
Q4 - 11:44MIAEllis Driving Layup (4 PTS)76
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q4 - 12:0074
80
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN74
14.0%
80
86.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNNETS Rebound74
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0NJNMISS Jefferson 32' 3PT Jump Shot74
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
12.4%
80
87.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS House Driving Layup74
13.0%
80
87.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0NJNMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHouse 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)74
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
10.1%
80
89.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
10.6%
79
89.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)72
78
Q3 - 0:54.0NJNNETS Rebound72
12.3%
78
87.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0NJNMISS Collins 15' Jump Shot72
13.7%
78
86.3%
Q3 - 1:09NJNHarris Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)72
12.6%
78
87.4%
Q3 - 1:09MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )72
77
Q3 - 1:29MIAHouse Driving Layup (2 PTS)72
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 1:43MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q3 - 1:45NJNMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot70
11.8%
77
88.2%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMourning Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)70
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q3 - 2:18NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 268
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 2:18NJNNETS Rebound68
77
Q3 - 2:18NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 268
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 2:18NJNSUB: Kittles FOR Kidd68
77
Q3 - 2:18MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T4)68
77
Q3 - 2:25NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot68
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 2:43NJNWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q3 - 2:43MIASUB: House FOR Strickland68
76
Q3 - 2:43NJNNETS Rebound68
76
Q3 - 2:43NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 268
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 2:43MIASUB: Mourning FOR Grant68
76
Q3 - 2:43MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T3)68
76
Q3 - 2:46NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q3 - 2:48NJNMISS Kidd 18' Jump Shot68
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q3 - 2:55NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot68
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 3:16NJNKidd 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q3 - 3:33MIAJones Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)68
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q3 - 3:44MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 2)68
74
Q3 - 3:53NJNHarris 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)68
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q3 - 4:05NJNNETS Rebound68
17.5%
72
82.5%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 268
17.9%
72
82.1%
Q3 - 4:06MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
19.6%
72
80.4%
Q3 - 4:06NJNSUB: Collins FOR Van Horn67
72
Q3 - 4:06NJNWilliams S.FOUL (P4.PN)67
72
Q3 - 4:12NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)67
17.9%
72
82.1%
Q3 - 4:15NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
15.1%
72
84.9%
Q3 - 4:17MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot67
15.9%
72
84.1%
Q3 - 4:29NJNHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
17.9%
72
82.1%
Q3 - 4:29MIASUB: Gill FOR Jackson67
71
Q3 - 4:29NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)67
18.3%
71
81.7%
Q3 - 4:29MIAJackson S.FOUL (P4.T2)67
70
Q3 - 4:35NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 4:37NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 4:48NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 267
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 4:49MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning67
70
Q3 - 4:49MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)67
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 4:49NJNJefferson P.FOUL (P3.PN)66
70
Q3 - 5:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 5:07NJNMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 266
20.0%
70
80.0%
Q3 - 5:07NJNWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q3 - 5:07MIAJackson S.FOUL (P3.T1)66
69
Q3 - 5:14NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot66
21.0%
69
79.0%
Q3 - 5:41NJNWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)66
23.3%
69
76.7%
Q3 - 5:41NJNWilliams OFF.Foul (P3)66
69
Q3 - 5:55MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 6:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
17.8%
69
82.2%
Q3 - 6:08NJNMISS Kidd 16' Jump Shot64
17.1%
69
82.9%
Q3 - 6:20NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 6:22NJNMISS Van Horn 10' Hook Shot64
17.1%
69
82.9%
Q3 - 6:40MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 6:40MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
15.0%
69
85.0%
Q3 - 6:40NJNWilliams S.FOUL (P2.PN)62
69
Q3 - 6:48NJNSUB: Harris FOR Kittles62
69
Q3 - 6:48NJNKidd P.FOUL (P1.T4)62
69
Q3 - 6:57NJNSUB: Williams FOR MacCulloch62
69
Q3 - 6:57NJNMacCulloch L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)62
69
Q3 - 6:58MIAHeat Rebound62
13.6%
69
86.4%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Grant Layup62
12.2%
69
87.8%
Q3 - 7:21NJNKidd 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
13.7%
69
86.3%
Q3 - 7:30NJNNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)62
67
Q3 - 7:40MIAGrant Layup (13 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)62
15.6%
67
84.4%
Q3 - 7:58MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
13.7%
67
86.3%
Q3 - 8:00NJNMISS Van Horn 11' Jump Shot60
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMourning 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)60
12.0%
67
88.0%
Q3 - 8:43NJNKittles Layup (13 PTS) (Van Horn 4 AST)58
10.6%
67
89.4%
Q3 - 8:58MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q3 - 8:58MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 8:58NJNMacCulloch S.FOUL (P3.T2)56
65
Q3 - 9:06NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)56
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)56
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot54
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 2)54
65
Q3 - 9:58NJNVan Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kittles 1 AST)54
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 10:06MIAKidd STEAL (3 STL)54
10.9%
62
89.1%
Q3 - 10:22NJNKittles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)54
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 10:34NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
10.9%
62
89.1%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Jones 9' Turnaround Jump Shot54
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAHeat Rebound54
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 10:49NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot54
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)54
11.1%
62
88.9%
Q3 - 11:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
9.8%
62
90.2%
Q3 - 11:17NJNMISS Van Horn 15' Jump Shot52
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 11:25MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 11:25MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
8.4%
62
91.6%
Q3 - 11:25NJNVan Horn S.FOUL (P2.T1)50
62
Q3 - 11:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
7.6%
62
92.4%
Q3 - 11:43NJNMISS Van Horn Alley Oop Dunk50
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 12:0050
62
Q2 - 0:00.0NJN50
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAStrickland 57' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)50
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound47
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0NJNMISS Kittles 15' Jump Shot47
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0NJNNETS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)47
62
Q2 - 0:08.0NJNNETS Rebound47
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q2 - 0:10.0NJNMISS Kidd 11' Jump Shot47
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0NJNMacCulloch P.FOUL (P2.PN)45
62
Q2 - 0:44.0NJNJefferson Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)45
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAKittles STEAL (2 STL)45
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q2 - 1:00NJNJefferson Violation:Kicked Ball45
60
Q2 - 1:15NJNVan Horn 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMourning 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q2 - 1:47NJNMacCulloch Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)43
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 1:52MIAKidd STEAL (2 STL)43
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q2 - 1:56NJNMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot43
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q2 - 2:08MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 2:08MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q2 - 2:08NJNJefferson S.FOUL (P2.T4)41
56
Q2 - 2:15NJNJefferson P.FOUL (P1.T3)41
56
Q2 - 2:25NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q2 - 2:25NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q2 - 2:25MIAJackson S.FOUL (P2.PN)41
54
Q2 - 2:38MIAGill Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)41
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q2 - 2:56NJNKittles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Van Horn 3 AST)39
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q2 - 3:02NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot39
7.6%
51
92.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)39
51
Q2 - 3:24NJNMacCulloch 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)39
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)39
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 3:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q2 - 3:42NJNMISS MacCulloch 8' Running Jump Shot39
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 3:58MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)39
9.2%
49
90.8%
Q2 - 4:05MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
49
Q2 - 4:09NJNVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 4:09NJNVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
8.7%
48
91.3%
Q2 - 4:09MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.PN)37
47
Q2 - 4:18MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)37
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 4:30NJNMacCulloch Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 4:30NJNMacCulloch Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 4:30NJNSUB: Kittles FOR Harris37
45
Q2 - 4:30MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P2.PN)37
45
Q2 - 4:44MIAGill 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)37
11.7%
45
88.3%
Q2 - 4:55NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)35
10.5%
45
89.5%
Q2 - 4:55MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis35
44
Q2 - 4:55MIASUB: Jackson FOR Jones35
44
Q2 - 4:55MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)35
44
Q2 - 4:55NJNHarris 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)35
11.8%
44
88.2%
Q2 - 5:00MIAKidd STEAL (1 STL)35
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 5:18NJNMacCulloch Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 5:18NJNMacCulloch Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 5:18MIAEllis S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
40
Q2 - 5:28MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 5:28NJNMacCulloch S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
40
Q2 - 5:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 5:36NJNMISS Jefferson Tip Shot33
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 5:37NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q2 - 5:39NJNMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot33
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 5:42NJNSUB: Jefferson FOR Marshall33
40
Q2 - 5:42NJNNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
40
Q2 - 5:42MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.T4)33
40
Q2 - 5:54MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)33
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 6:20NJNMacCulloch 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)31
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 6:36NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 6:38NJNMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
14.5%
38
85.5%
Q2 - 6:53NJNSUB: MacCulloch FOR Williams31
38
Q2 - 6:53MIAStrickland P.FOUL (P1.T3)31
38
Q2 - 7:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)31
13.4%
38
86.6%
Q2 - 7:03MIAHeat Rebound31
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)31
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 7:26NJNVan Horn 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)31
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 7:45MIASUB: Strickland FOR Grant31
36
Q2 - 7:45MIASUB: Jones FOR Jackson31
36
Q2 - 7:45NJNSUB: Van Horn FOR Collins31
36
Q2 - 7:4531
36
Q2 - 7:45MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T2)31
36
Q2 - 7:50NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
16.3%
36
83.7%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Mourning 15' Turnaround Jump Shot31
16.8%
36
83.2%
Q2 - 8:19NJNHarris 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)31
18.0%
36
82.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIAGill 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
19.7%
34
80.3%
Q2 - 8:59NJNHarris Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)29
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 9:07NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
19.5%
32
80.5%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Mourning Driving Layup29
20.0%
32
80.0%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 9:32NJNMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot29
20.7%
32
79.3%
Q2 - 9:45NJNSUB: Kidd FOR Kittles29
32
Q2 - 9:45MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)29
19.5%
32
80.5%
Q2 - 10:05NJNKittles 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)29
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 10:18MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)29
23.1%
30
76.9%
Q2 - 10:18MIASUB: Mourning FOR Stepania28
30
Q2 - 10:18NJNWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
30
Q2 - 10:18MIAGrant 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)28
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q2 - 10:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q2 - 10:33NJNMISS Marshall Free Throw 2 of 226
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q2 - 10:33NJNMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q2 - 10:33MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
29
Q2 - 10:52NJNMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Stepania 13' Turnaround Jump Shot26
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q2 - 11:11NJNKittles 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)26
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 11:23MIAGill 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAJackson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)24
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q2 - 11:34NJNNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Collins )23
27
Q2 - 11:50NJNWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (Collins 3 AST)23
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q2 - 12:0023
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
23.3%
25
76.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0NJNMISS Jefferson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot23
22.4%
25
77.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAKittles STEAL (1 STL)23
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0NJNMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot23
22.4%
25
77.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIASUB: Ellis FOR Jones23
25
Q1 - 0:42.0MIASUB: Gill FOR Strickland23
25
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)23
25
Q1 - 0:42.0NJNNETS Rebound23
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot23
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q1 - 1:04NJNKittles 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)23
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)23
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 1:35NJNWilliams Layup (4 PTS)20
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 1:55MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)20
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 1:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot18
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 2:27NJNWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)18
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 2:46MIAJackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)18
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 2:57NJNSUB: Harris FOR Kidd16
19
Q1 - 2:57MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
19
Q1 - 2:57NJNJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 3:04MIASUB: Stepania FOR Mourning16
19
Q1 - 3:04NJNSUB: Williams FOR MacCulloch16
19
Q1 - 3:04MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
19.8%
19
80.2%
Q1 - 3:04MIAJones OFF.Foul (P1)16
19
Q1 - 3:21NJNKidd Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Collins 2 AST)16
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIAJones Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)16
22.9%
17
77.1%
Q1 - 4:00NJNJefferson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)14
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
22.9%
15
77.1%
Q1 - 4:44NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 4:44NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 4:44NJNSUB: Collins FOR Van Horn12
13
Q1 - 4:44NJNNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
13
Q1 - 4:44MIAJackson S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
13
Q1 - 4:50MIAJackson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
23.0%
13
77.0%
Q1 - 5:11NJNKidd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)10
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 5:28NJNMacCulloch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 5:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
26.1%
10
73.9%
Q1 - 5:52NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 5:58NJNMacCulloch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Jones 7' Fadeaway Jumper10
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot10
24.7%
10
75.3%
Q1 - 6:30NJNMacCulloch Layup (2 PTS) (Van Horn 2 AST)10
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 6:36NJNMacCulloch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot10
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 6:55NJNVan Horn Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)10
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAGrant 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 7:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 7:28NJNMISS Van Horn 21' Jump Shot8
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 7:43MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 7:51NJNVan Horn P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 7:57MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 7:58NJNMISS Van Horn 7' Hook Shot6
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 8:09NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 8:11MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot6
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 8:35NJNJefferson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)6
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 9:12NJNKittles Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMourning P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 9:37NJNVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot4
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 9:49NJNMISS Kidd 20' Jump Shot4
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:24NJNKidd 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:34NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot2
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 10:45NJNMISS Van Horn 22' Jump Shot2
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 10:50MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:02MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 11:04NJNMISS Kittles 19' Jump Shot2
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 11:25NJNMISS MacCulloch 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 11:44NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 12:00NJNJump Ball Van Horn vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland0
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIANJN
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 57.2%
NJN
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
20
75%
NJN
16
21
76%
Midrange
MIA
20
44
45%
NJN
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
NJN
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
16
18
89%
NJN
27
35
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2672%13.0 / 18
B. Grant1563%7.5 / 12
E. House1161%5.5 / 9
J. Jackson1056%5.0 / 9
E. Jones935%4.5 / 13
R. Strickland844%4.0 / 9
K. Gill867%4.0 / 6
L. Ellis6100%3.0 / 3
V. Stepania250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Van Horn1956%9.5 / 17
K. Kittles1869%9.0 / 13
J. Kidd1753%8.5 / 16
R. Jefferson1255%6.0 / 11
T. MacCulloch1275%6.0 / 8
L. Harris1260%6.0 / 10
A. Williams1155%5.5 / 10
J. Collins225%1.0 / 4
D. Marshall150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+9
-14
83
NJN
82
+11
-6
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.14 57.2%
NJN
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.8
MIA 108.0
NJN 118.2 +10.2
Pace
89.7
94.8
MIA 80.3
NJN 97.4 +17.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.0
MIA 17.9
NJN 14.8 −3.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.6%
MIA 54.9% +2.2%
NJN 52.7%
TO %
15.5%
14.9%
MIA 15.8%
NJN 7.3% −8.5%
ORB %
26.7%
29.3%
MIA 24.1% +4.1%
NJN 20.0%
FTrt
26.8
28.0
MIA 25.0
NJN 47.9 +22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
65.4%
MIA 55.3%
NJN 72.2% +16.9%
STL %
7.4%
9.2%
MIA 3.4%
NJN 9.1% +5.7%
BLK %
8.7%
8.9%
MIA 1.6%
NJN 4.7% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
49.2%
MIA 57.2% +1.9%
NJN 55.3%
Rim FG%
60.6%
57.6%
MIA 75.0%
NJN 76.2% +1.2%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.2%
MIA 45.5% +8.0%
NJN 37.5%
3P %
34.7%
33.8%
MIA 37.5%
NJN 41.7% +4.2%
FT %
72.4%
73.5%
MIA 88.9% +11.8%
NJN 77.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
34.8%
MIA 27.8%
NJN 28.8% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
47.6%
MIA 61.1%
NJN 54.8% −6.3%
3P Att. %
14.1%
17.5%
MIA 11.1%
NJN 16.4% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANJN
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points95104
Rebounds3529
Assists2126
Steals38
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)6 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)22 (5)
Field Goals38-7236-73
At-the-Rim FG15-2016-21
Midrange FG20-4415-40
2-Point FG35-6431-61
3-Point FG3-85-12
Free Throws16-1827-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
39.7
15
63%
10
2
0
1
1
4
1
9
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
38.1
9
35%
2
4
2
0
4
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
37.9
26
72%
14
1
0
0
1
4
4
10
4-4
100%
11-16
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
34.7
10
56%
4
3
0
0
2
4
0
4
6-7
86%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
28.3
8
44%
0
6
0
0
4
2
0
0
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
23.1
8
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
18.6
6
100%
1
0
1
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
14.7
11
61%
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
4.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
57%
35
21
3
1
14
0
7
28
16-18
89%
35-64
55%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.